Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 Menurut Lapangan Usaha Kabupaten Samosir Tahun 2006 – 2012 (Juta Rupiah) Lapangan
Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 Menurut Lapangan Usaha Kabupaten Samosir Tahun 2006 – 2012 (Juta Rupiah)
Lapangan Usaha 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pertanian 589,088.22 617,421.82 649,292.80 682,885.46 721,006.96 762,172.93 805,336.60 Pertambangan & Penggalian 292.03 304.68 319.62 336.27 357.35 386.16 419.34 Industri Pengolahan 13,069.75 13,297.39 13,578.96 13,918.34 14,370.48 14,970.59 15,576.07 Listrik, gas & air bersih 1,086.63 1,152.76 1,231.86 1,333.58 1,460.10 1,605.02 1,774.35 Bangunan 2,633.36 2,878.73 3,160.27 3,472.51 3,828.44 4,240.86 4,688.09 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 75,685.40 78,999.38 83,015.02 87,329.80 92,046.15 98,027.41 104,645.27 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 9,625.89 9,983.73 10,441.76 10,963.42 11,604.42 12,340.87 13,233.91 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 17,203.89 17,708.39 18,463.97 19,379.09 20,440.89 22,056.60 24,322.58 Jasa-Jasa 159,903.62 166,710.73 174,346.78 182,840.75 193,370.30 205,816.56 219,694.89
PDRB 868,588.79 908,457.61 953,851.04 1,002,459.22 1,058,485.09 1,121,617.00 1,189,691.10 Sumber: BPS Provinsi Sumatera Utara
59 Universitas Sumatera Utara
60
Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 Menurut Lapangan Usaha Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2006 – 2012 (Juta Rupiah) Lapangan Usaha 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pertanian 22,724,490.00 23,856,150.00 25,300,640.00 26,526,920.00 28,040,200.00 29,390,580.00 30,778,670.00 Pertambangan & Penggalian 1,119,580.00 1,229,050.00 1,304,350.00 1,322,980.00 1,400,650.00 1,494,850.00 1,525,320.00 Industri Pengolahan 22,470,560.00 23,615,200.00 24,305,230.00 24,977,110.00 26,015,210.00 26,548,660.00 27,513,090.00 Listrik, gas & air bersih 738,310.00 739,990.00 772,940.00 816,000.00 872,140.00 943,750.00 976,090.00 Bangunan 6,085,610.00 6,559,290.00 7,090,650.00 7,554,360.00 8,066,150.00 8,754,630.00 9,348,160.00 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 17,095,260.00 18,386,280.00 19,515,520.00 20,575,430.00 21,919,340.00 23,693,430.00 25,406,770.00 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 8,259,200.00 9,076,560.00 9,883,240.00 10,630,440.00 11,633,900.00 12,799,430.00 13,856,600.00 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 5,977,570.00 6,720,610.00 7,479,840.00 7,939,210.00 8,795,140.00 9,992,480.00 11,111,510.00 Jasa-Jasa 8,876,810.00 9,609,200.00 10,519,960.00 11,216,750.00 11,976,160.00 12,969,810.00 13,947,740.00
PDRB 93,347,390.00 99,792,330.00 106,172,370.00 111,559,200.00 118,718,890.00 126,587,620.00 134,463,950.00 Sumber: BPS Provinsi Sumatera Utara
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Perhitungan Location Quotients Kabupaten Samosir Tahun 2006 – 2012 yij/yj yij/yj 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pertanian 0.67823 0.67965 0.68072 0.68121 0.68118 0.67954 0.67693 Pertambangan & Penggalian 0.00033 0.00033 0.00033 0.00034 0.00034 0.00034 0.00035 Industri Pengolahan 0.01505 0.01464 0.01424 0.01389 0.01358 0.01335 0.01310 Listrik, gas & air bersih 0.00125 0.00127 0.00129 0.00133 0.00138 0.00143 0.00149 Bangunan 0.00303 0.00317 0.00331 0.00346 0.00361 0.00378 0.00394 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 0.08713 0.08695 0.08703 0.08712 0.08696 0.08740 0.08796 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 0.01108 0.01099 0.01095 0.01093 0.01096 0.01100 0.01112 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 0.01980 0.01949 0.01935 0.01933 0.01931 0.01966 0.02044 Jasa-Jasa 0.18410 0.18351 0.18279 0.18239 0.18269 0.18350 0.18467
61 Universitas Sumatera Utara
yi/y 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pertanian 0.24344 0.23906 0.23830 0.23778 0.23619 0.23218 0.22890 Pertambangan & Penggalian 0.01199 0.01232 0.01229 0.01186 0.01180 0.01181 0.01134 Industri Pengolahan 0.24072 0.23664 0.22892 0.22389 0.21913 0.20973 0.20461 Listrik, gas & air bersih 0.00791 0.00742 0.00728 0.00731 0.00735 0.00746 0.00726 Bangunan 0.06519 0.06573 0.06678 0.06772 0.06794 0.06916 0.06952 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 0.18314 0.18425 0.18381 0.18444 0.18463 0.18717 0.18895 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 0.08848 0.09095 0.09309 0.09529 0.09800 0.10111 0.10305 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 0.06404 0.06735 0.07045 0.07117 0.07408 0.07894 0.08264 Jasa-Jasa 0.09509 0.09629 0.09908 0.10055 0.10088 0.10246 0.10373
62 Universitas Sumatera Utara
Tahun 2006 – 2012 Rata- Lqij 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 rata
Pertanian 2.78602 2.84303 2.85660 2.86485 2.88403 2.92685 2.95733 2.87410 Pertambangan & Penggalian 0.02784 0.02681 0.02645 0.02860 0.02883 0.02869 0.03112 0.02834 Industri Pengolahan 0.06251 0.06187 0.06219 0.06202 0.06195 0.06364 0.06400 0.06260 Listrik, gas & air bersih 0.15867 0.17072 0.17713 0.18138 0.18776 0.19135 0.20496 0.18171 Bangunan 0.04645 0.04823 0.04961 0.05112 0.05312 0.05466 0.05671 0.05141 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 0.47578 0.47193 0.47346 0.47234 0.47097 0.46697 0.46550 0.47099 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 0.12518 0.12078 0.11758 0.11474 0.11184 0.10881 0.10791 0.11526 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 0.30924 0.28947 0.27471 0.27165 0.26067 0.24905 0.24738 0.27174 Jasa-Jasa 1.93593 1.90579 1.84478 1.81402 1.81099 1.79098 1.78034 1.84040
63 Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lapangan Usaha Yin(t+1) Yin(t) ∆Yin ∆Yin/Yint Yn(t+1) Ynt ∆Yn ∆Yn/Yn(t) RPr
64 Perhitungan Rasio Pertumbuhan Referensi (RPr) Kabupaten Samosir 2006 – 2007
Pertanian 23,856,150.00 22,724,490.00 1,131,660.00 0.04980 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
0.72 Pertambangan & Penggalian 1,229,050.00 1,119,580.00 109,470.00 0.04980 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
0.72 Industri Pengolahan 23,615,200.00 22,470,560.00 1,144,640.00 0.05094 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
0.74 Listrik, gas & air bersih 739,990.00 738,310.00 1,680.00 0.00228 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
0.03 Bangunan 6,559,290.00 6,085,610.00 473,680.00 0.07784 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
1.13 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 18,386,280.00 17,095,260.00 1,291,020.00 0.07552 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
1.09 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 9,076,560.00 8,259,200.00 817,360.00 0.09896 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
1.43 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 6,720,610.00 5,977,570.00 743,040.00 0.12430 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
1.80 Jasa-Jasa 9,609,200.00 8,876,810.00 732,390.00 0.08251 99,792,330.00 93,347,390.00 6,444,940.00 0.069
1.20 Universitas Sumatera Utara
65 Lapangan Usaha Yin(t+1) Yin(t)
∆Yin ∆Yin/Yint Yn(t+1) Ynt ∆Yn ∆Yn/Yn(t) RPr Pertanian 25,300,640.00 23,856,150.00 1,444,490.00 0.06055 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
0.95 Pertambangan & Penggalian 1,304,350.00 1,229,050.00 75,300.00 0.06127 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
0.96 Industri Pengolahan 24,305,230.00 23,615,200.00 690,030.00 0.02922 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
0.46 Listrik, gas & air bersih 772,940.00 739,990.00 32,950.00 0.04453 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
0.70 Bangunan 7,090,650.00 6,559,290.00 531,360.00 0.08101 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
1.27 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 19,515,520.00 18,386,280.00 1,129,240.00 0.06142 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
0.96 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 9,883,240.00 9,076,560.00 806,680.00 0.08888 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
1.39 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 7,479,840.00 6,720,610.00 759,230.00 0.11297 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
1.77 Jasa-Jasa 10,519,960.00 9,609,200.00 910,760.00 0.09478 106,172,370.00 99,792,330.00 6,380,040.00 0.064
1.48 Universitas Sumatera Utara
66 Lapangan Usaha Yin(t+1) Yin(t)
∆Yin ∆Yin/Yint Yn(t+1) Ynt ∆Yn ∆Yn/Yn(t) RPr Pertanian 26,526,920.00 25,300,640.00 1,226,280.00 0.04847 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
0.96 Pertambangan & Penggalian 1,322,980.00 1,304,350.00 18,630.00 0.01428 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
0.28 Industri Pengolahan 24,977,110.00 24,305,230.00 671,880.00 0.02764 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
0.54 Listrik, gas & air bersih 816,000.00 772,940.00 43,060.00 0.05571 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
1.10 Bangunan 7,554,360.00 7,090,650.00 463,710.00 0.06540 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
1.29 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 20,575,430.00 19,515,520.00 1,059,910.00 0.05431 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
1.07 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 10,630,440.00 9,883,240.00 747,200.00 0.07560 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
1.49 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 7,939,210.00 7,479,840.00 459,370.00 0.06141 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
1.21 Jasa-Jasa 11,216,750.00 10,519,960.00 696,790.00 0.06624 111,559,200.00 106,172,370.00 5,386,830.00 0.051
1.31 Universitas Sumatera Utara
67 Lapangan Usaha Yin(t+1) Yin(t)
∆Yin ∆Yin/Yint Yn(t+1) Ynt ∆Yn ∆Yn/Yn(t) RPr Pertanian 28,040,200.00 26,526,920.00 1,513,280.00 0.05705 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
0.89 Pertambangan & Penggalian 1,400,650.00 1,322,980.00 77,670.00 0.05871 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
0.91 Industri Pengolahan 26,015,210.00 24,977,110.00 1,038,100.00 0.04156 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
0.65 Listrik, gas & air bersih 872,140.00 816,000.00 56,140.00 0.06880 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
1.07 Bangunan 8,066,150.00 7,554,360.00 511,790.00 0.06775 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
1.06 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 21,919,340.00 20,575,430.00 1,343,910.00 0.06532 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
1.02 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 11,633,900.00 10,630,440.00 1,003,460.00 0.09439 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
1.47 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 8,795,140.00 7,939,210.00 855,930.00 0.10781 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
1.68 Jasa-Jasa 11,976,160.00 11,216,750.00 759,410.00 0.06770 118,718,890.00 111,559,200.00 7,159,690.00 0.064
1.05 Universitas Sumatera Utara
68 Lapangan Usaha Yin(t+1) Yin(t)
∆Yin ∆Yin/Yint Yn(t+1) Ynt ∆Yn ∆Yn/Yn(t) RPr Pertanian 29,390,580.00 28,040,200.00 1,350,380.00 0.04816 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
0.73 Pertambangan & Penggalian 1,494,850.00 1,400,650.00 94,200.00 0.06725 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
1.01 Industri Pengolahan 26,548,660.00 26,015,210.00 533,450.00 0.02051 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
0.31 Listrik, gas & air bersih 943,750.00 872,140.00 71,610.00 0.08211 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
1.24 Bangunan 8,754,630.00 8,066,150.00 688,480.00 0.08535 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
1.29 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 23,693,430.00 21,919,340.00 1,774,090.00 0.08094 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
1.22 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 12,799,430.00 11,633,900.00 1,165,530.00 0.10018 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
1.51 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 9,992,480.00 8,795,140.00 1,197,340.00 0.13614 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
2.05 Jasa-Jasa 12,969,810.00 11,976,160.00 993,650.00 0.08297 126,587,620.00 118,718,890.00 7,868,730.00 0.066
1.25 Universitas Sumatera Utara
69 Lapangan Usaha Yin(t+1) Yin(t)
∆Yin ∆Yin/Yint Yn(t+1) Ynt ∆Yn ∆Yn/Yn(t) RPr Pertanian 30,778,670.00 29,390,580.00 1,388,090.00 0.04723 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
0.76 Pertambangan & Penggalian 1,525,320.00 1,494,850.00 30,470.00 0.02038 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
0.33 Industri Pengolahan 27,513,090.00 26,548,660.00 964,430.00 0.03633 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
0.58 Listrik, gas & air bersih 976,090.00 943,750.00 32,340.00 0.03427 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
0.55 Bangunan 9,348,160.00 8,754,630.00 593,530.00 0.06780 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
1.09 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 25,406,770.00 23,693,430.00 1,713,340.00 0.07231 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
1.16 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 13,856,600.00 12,799,430.00 1,057,170.00 0.08260 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
1.33 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 11,111,510.00 9,992,480.00 1,119,030.00 0.11199 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
1.80 Jasa-Jasa 13,947,740.00 12,969,810.00 977,930.00 0.07540 134,463,950.00 126,587,620.00 7,876,330.00 0.062
1.21 Universitas Sumatera Utara
70 Lapangan Usaha
1.51
1.29
1.09
1.19 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran
1.09
0.96
1.07
1.02
1.22
1.16
1.09 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi
1.43
1.39
1.49
1.47
1.33
1.29
1.44 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan
1.80
1.77
1.21
1.68
2.05
1.80
1.72 Jasa-Jasa
1.20
1.48
1.31
1.05
1.25
1.21
1.06
1.27
2006- 2007 2007- 2008 2008- 2009 2009- 2010 2010- 2011 2011- 2012 Rata- rata
0.70 Industri Pengolahan
Pertanian
0.72
0.95
0.96
0.89
0.73
0.76
0.84 Pertambangan & Penggalian
0.72
0.96
0.28
0.91
1.01
0.33
0.74
1.13
0.46
0.54
0.65
0.31
0.58
0.55 Listrik, gas & air bersih
0.03
0.70
1.10
1.07
1.24
0.55
0.78
Bangunan
1.25 Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lapangan Usaha Yij(t+1) Yij(t) ∆Yij ∆Yij/Yij(t) Yj(t+1) Yj(t) ∆Yj ∆Yj/Yj(t) RPs
71 Perhitungan Rasio Pertumbuhan Studi (RPs) Kabupaten Samosir 2006 – 2007
Pertanian 617,421.82 589,088.22 28,333.60 0.04810 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
1.05 Pertambangan & Penggalian 304.68 292.03 12.65 0.04332 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
0.94 Industri Pengolahan 13,297.39 13,069.75 227.64 0.01742 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
0.38 Listrik, gas & air bersih 1,152.76 1,086.63 66.13 0.06086 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
1.33 Bangunan 2,878.73 2,633.36 245.37 0.09318 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
2.03 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 78,999.38 75,685.40 3,313.98 0.04379 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
0.95 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 9,983.73 9,625.89 357.84 0.03717 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
0.81 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 17,708.39 17,203.89 504.50 0.02932 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
0.64 Jasa-Jasa 166,710.73 159,903.62 6,807.11 0.04257 908,457.61 868,588.79 39,868.82 0.04590
0.93 Universitas Sumatera Utara
72 Lapangan Usaha Yij(t+1) Yij(t)
∆Yij ∆Yij/Yij(t) Yj(t+1) Yj(t) ∆Yj ∆Yj/Yj(t) RPs Pertanian 649,292.80 617,421.82 31,870.98 0.05162 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
1.03 Pertambangan & Penggalian 319.62 304.68 14.94 0.04904 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
0.98 Industri Pengolahan 13,578.96 13,297.39 281.57 0.02117 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
0.42 Listrik, gas & air bersih 1,231.86 1,152.76 79.10 0.06862 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
1.37 Bangunan 3,160.27 2,878.73 281.54 0.09780 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
1.96 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 83,015.02 78,999.38 4,015.64 0.05083 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
1.02 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 10,441.76 9,983.73 458.03 0.04588 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
0.92 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 18,463.97 17,708.39 755.58 0.04267 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
0.85 Jasa-Jasa 174,346.78 166,710.73 7,636.05 0.04580 953,851.04 908,457.61 45,393.43 0.04997
0.92 Universitas Sumatera Utara
73 Lapangan Usaha Yij(t+1) Yij(t)
∆Yij ∆Yij/Yij(t) Yj(t+1) Yj(t) ∆Yj ∆Yj/Yj(t) RPs Pertanian 682,885.46 649,292.80 33,592.66 0.05174 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
1.02 Pertambangan & Penggalian 336.27 319.62 16.65 0.05209 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
1.02 Industri Pengolahan 13,918.34 13,578.96 339.38 0.02499 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
0.49 Listrik, gas & air bersih 1,333.58 1,231.86 101.72 0.08257 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
1.62 Bangunan 3,472.51 3,160.27 312.24 0.09880 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
1.94 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 87,329.80 83,015.02 4,314.78 0.05198 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
1.02 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 10,963.42 10,441.76 521.66 0.04996 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
0.98 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 19,379.09 18,463.97 915.12 0.04956 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
0.97 Jasa-Jasa 182,840.75 174,346.78 8,493.97 0.04872 1,002,459.22 953,851.04 48,608.18 0.05096
0.96 Universitas Sumatera Utara
74 Lapangan Usaha Yij(t+1) Yij(t)
∆Yij ∆Yij/Yij(t) Yj(t+1) Yj(t) ∆Yj ∆Yj/Yj(t) RPs Pertanian 721,006.96 682,885.46 38,121.50 0.05582 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
1.00 Pertambangan & Penggalian 357.35 336.27 21.08 0.06269 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
1.12 Industri Pengolahan 14,370.48 13,918.34 452.14 0.03249 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
0.58 Listrik, gas & air bersih 1,460.10 1,333.58 126.52 0.09487 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
1.70 Bangunan 3,828.44 3,472.51 355.93 0.10250 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
1.83 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 92,046.15 87,329.80 4,716.35 0.05401 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
0.97 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 11,604.42 10,963.42 641.00 0.05847 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
1.05 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 20,440.89 19,379.09 1,061.80 0.05479 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
0.98 Jasa-Jasa 193,370.30 182,840.75 10,529.55 0.05759 1,058,485.09 1,002,459.22 56,025.87 0.05589
1.03 Universitas Sumatera Utara
75 Lapangan Usaha Yij(t+1) Yij(t)
∆Yij ∆Yij/Yij(t) Yj(t+1) Yj(t) ∆Yj ∆Yj/Yj(t) RPs Pertanian 762,172.93 721,006.96 41,165.97 0.05710 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
0.96 Pertambangan & Penggalian 386.16 357.35 28.81 0.08062 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
1.35 Industri Pengolahan 14,970.59 14,370.48 600.11 0.04176 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
0.70 Listrik, gas & air bersih 1,605.02 1,460.10 144.92 0.09925 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
1.66 Bangunan 4,240.86 3,828.44 412.42 0.10773 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
1.81 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 98,027.41 92,046.15 5,981.26 0.06498 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
1.09 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 12,340.87 11,604.42 736.45 0.06346 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
1.06 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 22,056.60 20,440.89 1,615.71 0.07904 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
1.33 Jasa-Jasa 205,816.56 193,370.30 12,446.26 0.06436 1,121,617.00 1,058,485.09 63,131.91 0.05964
1.08 Universitas Sumatera Utara
76 Lapangan Usaha Yij(t+1) Yij(t)
∆Yij ∆Yij/Yij(t) Yj(t+1) Yj(t) ∆Yj ∆Yj/Yj(t) RPs Pertanian 805,336.60 762,172.93 43,163.67 0.05663 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
0.93 Pertambangan & Penggalian 419.34 386.16 33.18 0.08592 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
1.42 Industri Pengolahan 15,576.07 14,970.59 605.48 0.04044 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
0.67 Listrik, gas & air bersih 1,774.35 1,605.02 169.33 0.10550 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
1.74 Bangunan 4,688.09 4,240.86 447.23 0.10546 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
1.74 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran 104,645.27 98,027.41 6,617.86 0.06751 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
1.11 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi 13,233.91 12,340.87 893.04 0.07236 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
1.19 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan 24,322.58 22,056.60 2,265.98 0.10273 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
1.69 Jasa-Jasa 219,694.89 205,816.56 13,878.33 0.06743 1,189,691.10 1,121,617.00 68,074.10 0.06069
1.11 Universitas Sumatera Utara
77 Lapangan Usaha
1.06
1.74
1.89 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran
0.95
1.02
1.02
0.97
1.09
1.11
1.03 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi
0.81
0.92
0.98
1.05
1.19
1.83
1.00 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan
0.64
0.85
0.97
0.98
1.33
1.69
1.08 Jasa-Jasa
0.93
0.92
0.96
1.03
1.08
1.11
1.81
1.94
2006- 2007 2007- 2008 2008- 2009 2009- 2010 2010- 2011 2011- 2012 Rata- rata
1.14 Industri Pengolahan
Pertanian
1.05
1.03
1.02
1.00
0.96
0.93
1.00 Pertambangan & Penggalian
0.94
0.98
1.02
1.12
1.35
1.42
0.38
1.96
0.42
0.49
0.58
0.70
0.67
0.54 Listrik, gas & air bersih
1.33
1.37
1.62
1.70
1.66
1.74
1.57 Bangunan
2.03
1.01 Universitas Sumatera Utara
Perhitungan Trend LQ Tahun 2013-2020
Yn = a + b Xn Yn = a + b Xn Keterangan : Y adalah variabel nilai LQ tahun ke n X adalah variabel waktu (tahun). a dalah konstanta b adalah parameter a =
ΣY / N
2
b = ΣXY/ΣX 1.
Pertanian
Pertanian
2 Tahun LQ (Y)
X XY
X 2006 2.786024042 -3 -8.358072126 9 2007 2.843028746 -2 -5.686057491 4 2008 2.856603006 -1 -2.856603006 1 2009 2.864852483
2010 2.884028414 1 2.884028414
1 2011 2.926852253 2 5.853704507
4 2012 2.957329617 3 8.871988851
9 Jumlah 20.11871856 0.708989147
28 Yn = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 2.874102652
2
b = = 0.025321041 ΣXY/ΣX
Tahun LQ (Y) X a b 2013 2.975386816 4 2.874102652 0.025321041 2014 3.000707857 5 2.874102652 0.025321041 2015 3.026028898 6 2.874102652 0.025321041 2016 3.051349939 7 2.874102652 0.025321041 2017 3.076670979 8 2.874102652 0.025321041 2018 3.10199202 9 2.874102652 0.025321041 2019 3.127313061
10 2.874102652 0.025321041 2020 3.152634102 11 2.874102652 0.025321041
78
Industri Pengolahan
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.06259865 b =
28
9 Jumlah 0.198347021 0.015979105
4 2012 0.031121751 3 0.093365254
1 2011 0.028690828 2 0.057381657
2010 0.028828248 1 0.028828248
X2 2006 0.02783814 -3 -0.083514421 9 2007 0.026813445 -2 -0.05362689 4 2008 0.026454743 -1 -0.026454743 1 2009 0.028599865
X XY
Tahun LQ (Y)
= 0.00027808 Pertambangan & Penggalian
2
ΣXY/ΣX
79 Pertambangan & Penggalian Y = a + b Xn a =
ΣY / N = 0.028335 b = ΣXY/ΣX
4 2012 0.0640035 3 0.1920105
1 2011 0.0636409 2 0.1272818
2010 0.0619548 1 0.0619548
X2 2006 0.0625114 -3 -0.1875341 9 2007 0.0618673 -2 -0.1237345 4 2008 0.0621922 -1 -0.0621922 1 2009 0.0620205 0.0000000
X XY
Industri Pengolahan Tahun LQ (Y)
10 0.028335 0.000571 2020 0.0346 11 0.028335 0.000571 3.
4 0.028335 0.000571 2014 0.0312 5 0.028335 0.000571 2015 0.0318 6 0.028335 0.000571 2016 0.0323 7 0.028335 0.000571 2017 0.0329 8 0.028335 0.000571 2018 0.0335 9 0.028335 0.000571 2019 0.0340
LQ (Y) X a b 2013 0.0306
= 0.000571 Tahun
2
9 Jumlah 0.4381906 0.0077862
Listrik, Gas & Air Bersih
9 Jumlah 1.271963 0.190761
10 0.181709 0.006813 2020 0.2566507 11 0.181709 0.006813
4 0.181709 0.006813 2014 0.2157734 5 0.181709 0.006813 2015 0.2225863 6 0.181709 0.006813 2016 0.2293992 7 0.181709 0.006813 2017 0.2362121 8 0.181709 0.006813 2018 0.2430250 9 0.181709 0.006813 2019 0.2498378
= 0.006812 Tahun LQ (Y) X a b 2013 0.2089605
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.181709 b =
80 Industri Pengolahan Tahun LQ (Y) X a b 2013 0.0637110
4 0.06259865 0.00027808 2014 0.0639891 5 0.06259865 0.00027808 2015 0.0642671 6 0.06259865 0.00027808 2016 0.0645452 7 0.06259865 0.00027808 2017 0.0648233 8 0.06259865 0.00027808 2018 0.0651014 9 0.06259865 0.00027808 2019 0.0653795
1 2011 0.191346 2 0.382693
2010 0.187764 1 0.187764
X2 2006 0.158666 -3 -0.475999 9 2007 0.170715 -2 -0.341431 4 2008 0.177131 -1 -0.177131 1 2009 0.181384 0.000000
X XY
Listrik, gas & air bersih Tahun LQ (Y)
10 0.06259865 0.00027808 2020 0.0656575 11 0.06259865 0.00027808 4.
4 2012 0.204955 3 0.614866
81 Bangunan Bangunan
Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran Tahun LQ (Y)
=0.001684
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.470993 b =
9 Jumlah 3.2970 -0.0432
4 2012 0.4655 3 1.3965
1 2011 0.4670 2 0.9339
2010 0.4710 1 0.4710
X2 2006 0.4758 -3 -1.4273 9 2007 0.4719 -2 -0.9439 4 2008 0.4735 -1 -0.4735 1 2009 0.4723 0.0000
X XY
10 0.051412 0.001684 2020 0.069935 11 0.051412 0.001684 6.
Tahun LQ (Y)
X A b 2013 0.058148 4 0.051412 0.001684 2014 0.059832 5 0.051412 0.001684 2015 0.061516 6 0.051412 0.001684 2016 0.063200 7 0.051412 0.001684 2017 0.064883 8 0.051412 0.001684 2018 0.066567 9 0.051412 0.001684 2019 0.068251
=0.001684 Tahun LQ (Y)
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.051412 b =
9 Jumlah 0.35989 0.047149
4 2012 0.05671 3 0.170115
1 2011 0.05466 2 0.109324
2010 0.05312 1 0.053118
X2 2006 0.04645 -3 -0.139338 9 2007 0.04823 -2 -0.096464 4 2008 0.04961 -1 -0.049606 1 2009 0.05112 0.000000
X XY
Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran
Pengangkutan & Komunikasi
2
0.0832515 11 0.11526 -0.00291
10 0.11526 -0.00291 2020
2018 0.0890718 9 0.11526 -0.00291 2019 0.0861616
0.0948921 7 0.11526 -0.00291 2017 0.0919820 8 0.11526 -0.00291
6 0.11526 -0.00291 2016
2014 0.1007125 5 0.11526 -0.00291 2015 0.0978023
X A b 2013 0.1036226 4 0.11526 -0.00291
Tahun LQ (Y)
=-0.00291 Pengangkutan & Komunikasi
82 Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran Tahun LQ (Y)
X A b 2013 0.4648 4 0.4710 -0.0015 2014 0.4633 5 0.4710 -0.0015 2015 0.4617 6 0.4710 -0.0015 2016 0.4602 7 0.4710 -0.0015 2017 0.4586 8 0.4710 -0.0015 2018 0.4571 9 0.4710 -0.0015 2019 0.4556
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.11526 b =
9 Jumlah 0.80684 -0.0814847
4 2012 0.10791 3 0.3237428
1 2011 0.10881 2 0.2176264
2010 0.11184 1 0.1118351
X2 2006 0.12518 -3 -0.3755396 9 2007 0.12078 -2 -0.2415684 4 2008 0.11758 -1 -0.1175810 1 2009 0.11474 0.0000000
X XY
Pengangkutan & Komunikasi Tahun LQ (Y)
10 0.4710 -0.0015 2020 0.4540 11 0.4710 -0.0015 7.
ΣXY/ΣX
83 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan
0.1916041 8 0.271740 -0.010017 2018
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.8404 b =
9 Jumlah 12.88282 -0.730185
4 2012 1.78034 3 5.341007
1 2011 1.79098 2 3.581954
2010 1.81099 1 1.810993
X2 2006 1.93593 -3 -5.807780 9 2007 1.90579 -2 -3.811583 4 2008 1.84478 -1 -1.844777 1 2009 1.81402 0.000000
X XY
Jasa-Jasa Tahun LQ (Y)
0.1615530 11 0.271740 -0.010017
0.1715700 10 0.271740 -0.010017 2020
0.1815870 9 0.271740 -0.010017 2019
0.2016211 7 0.271740 -0.010017 2017
Tahun LQ (Y)
0.2216552 5 0.271740 -0.010017 2015 0.2116381 6 0.271740 -0.010017 2016
0.2316722 4 0.271740 -0.010017 2014
Tahun LQ (Y) X a b 2013
=-0.010017 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.271740 b =
9 Jumlah 1.90218 -0.280477
4 2012 0.24738 3 0.742143
1 2011 0.24905 2 0.498107
2010 0.26067 1 0.260665
X2 2006 0.30924 -3 -0.927732 9 2007 0.28947 -2 -0.578950 4 2008 0.27471 -1 -0.274711 1 2009 0.27165 0.000000
X XY
=-0.0261
84 Jasa-Jasa Tahun LQ (Y) X a b 2013 1.736091
4 1.840403 -0.026078 2014 1.710013 5 1.840403 -0.026078 2015 1.683935 6 1.840403 -0.026078 2016 1.657857 7 1.840403 -0.026078 2017 1.631779 8 1.840403 -0.026078 2018 1.605701 9 1.840403 -0.026078 2019 1.579623
10 1.840403 -0.026078 2020 1.553545 11 1.840403 -0.026078
Pertanian
1.46
2014 0.7654 5 0.84 -0.0139 2015 0.7514 6 0.84 -0.0139 2016 0.7375 7 0.84 -0.0139 2017 0.7236 8 0.84 -0.0139 2018 0.7096 9 0.84 -0.0139 2019 0.6957 10 0.84 -0.0139 2020 0.6818 11 0.84 -0.0139
= -0.0139 Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 0.7793 4 0.84 -0.0139
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Yn = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.835 b =
9 Jumlah 5.0100 -0.39
2.28
3
4 2011-2012 0.7600
85 Perhitungan Trend RPr Tahun 2013-2020 Yn = a + b Xn Yn = a + b Xn Keterangan : Y adalah variabel nilai LQ tahun ke n X adalah variabel waktu (tahun). a dalah konstanta b adalah parameter a =
ΣY / N b = ΣXY/ΣX
1 2010-2011 0.7300
0.89
1
1 2009-2010 0.8900
4 2008-2009 0.9600 -1 -0.96
9 2007-2008 0.9500 -2 -1.90
X2 2006-2007 0.7200 -3 -2.16
X XY
Pertanian Tahun RPr (Y)
2 1.
2
Industri Pengolahan
4 2011-2012 0.5800
1 2009-2010 0.6500
1
0.65
1 2010-2011 0.3100
2
0.62
3
9 2007-2008 0.4600 -2 -0.92
1.74
9 Jumlah 3.2800 -0.67
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.54667 b =
ΣXY/ΣX
2
= -0.0239
4 2008-2009 0.5400 -1 -0.54
86 Pertambangan & Penggalian Pertambangan & Penggalian
Tahun RPr (Y) X
4 2011-2012 0.3300 3 0.99
XY
X2 2006-2007 0.7200 -3 -2.16
9 2007-2008 0.9600 -2 -1.92
4 2008-2009 0.2800 -1 -0.28
1 2009-2010 0.9100 1 0.91
1 2010-2011 1.0100 2 2.02
9 Jumlah 4.2100 0 -0.44
X XY
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.70167 b =
ΣXY/ΣX
2
= -0.0157 Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 0.6388 4 0.70 -0.0157
2014 0.6231 5 0.70 -0.0157 2015 0.6074 6 0.70 -0.0157 2016 0.5917 7 0.70 -0.0157 2017 0.5760 8 0.70 -0.0157 2018 0.5602 9 0.70 -0.0157 2019 0.5445 10 0.70 -0.0157 2020 0.5288 11 0.70 -0.0157 3.
Industri Pengolahan Tahun RPr (Y)
X2 2006-2007 0.7400 -3 -2.22
Listrik, gas & air bersih
4 2011-2012 0.5500
2014 1.2477 5 0.78 0.09321 2015 1.3410 6 0.78 0.09321 2016 1.4342 7 0.78 0.09321 2017 1.5274 8 0.78 0.09321 2018 1.6206 9 0.78 0.09321 2019 1.7138 10 0.78 0.09321 2020 1.8070 11 0.78 0.09321
= 0.09321 Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 1.1545 4 0.78 0.09321
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.78167 b =
2.61
9 Jumlah 4.6900
1.65
3
87 Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 0.4510 4 0.55 -0.0239 2014 0.4270 5 0.55 -0.0239 2015 0.4031 6 0.55 -0.0239 2016 0.3792 7 0.55 -0.0239 2017 0.3552 8 0.55 -0.0239 2018 0.3313 9 0.55 -0.0239 2019 0.3074 10 0.55 -0.0239 2020 0.2835 11 0.55 -0.0239 4.
Listrik, gas & air bersih Tahun RPr (Y)
2
1 2010-2011 1.2400
1.07
1
1 2009-2010 1.0700
4 2008-2009 1.1000 -1 -1.10
9 2007-2008 0.7000 -2 -1.40
X2 2006-2007 0.0300 -3 -0.09
X XY
2.48
Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran
2.44
9 2007-2008 0.9600 -2 -1.92
4 2008-2009 1.0700 -1 -1.07
1 2009-2010 1.0200
1
1.02
1 2010-2011 1.2200
2
4 2011-2012 1.1600
X XY
3
3.48
9 Jumlah 6.5200
0.68
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.08667 b =
ΣXY/ΣX
2
= 0.02429
X2 2006-2007 1.0900 -3 -3.27
88 Bangunan Bangunan
Tahun RPr (Y)
2
X XY
X2 2006-2007 1.1300 -3 -3.39
9 2007-2008 1.2700 -2 -2.54
4 2008-2009 1.2900 -1 -1.29
1 2009-2010 1.0600
1
1.06
1 2010-2011 1.2900
2.58
2014 1.1330 5 1.19 -0.0111 2015 1.1219 6 1.19 -0.0111 2016 1.1108 7 1.19 -0.0111 2017 1.0998 8 1.19 -0.0111 2018 1.0887 9 1.19 -0.0111 2019 1.0776 10 1.19 -0.0111 2020 1.0665 11 1.19 -0.0111 6.
4 2011-2012 1.0900
3
3.27
9 Jumlah 7.1300 -0.31
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.18833 b =
ΣXY/ΣX
2
= -0.0111 Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 1.1440 4 1.19 -0.0111
Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran Tahun RPr (Y) Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 1.1838 4 1.09 0.02429 2014 1.2081 5 1.09 0.02429 2015 1.2324 6 1.09 0.02429 2016 1.2567 7 1.09 0.02429 2017 1.2810 8 1.09 0.02429 2018 1.3052 9 1.09 0.02429 2019 1.3295 10 1.09 0.02429 2020 1.3538 11 1.09 0.02429 7.
Pengangkutan & Komunikasi
Pengangkutan & Komunikasi Tahun RPr (Y)
X XY
X2 2006-2007 1.4300 -3 -4.29
9 2007-2008 1.3900 -2 -2.78
4 2008-2009 1.4900 -1 -1.49
1 2009-2010 1.4700
1
1.47
1 2010-2011 1.5100
2
3.02
4 2011-2012 1.3300
3
3.99
9 Jumlah 8.6200 -0.08
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.43667
2
b = = -0.0029 ΣXY/ΣX
Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 1.4252 4 1.44 -0.0029 2014 1.4224 5 1.44 -0.0029 2015 1.4195 6 1.44 -0.0029 2016 1.4167 7 1.44 -0.0029 2017 1.4138 8 1.44 -0.0029 2018 1.4110 9 1.44 -0.0029 2019 1.4081 10 1.44 -0.0029 2020 1.4052 11 1.44 -0.0029
89
90 Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan Keuangan, Persewaan, & Jasa Perusahaan
2
X2 2006-2007 1.2000 -3 -3.60
9 2007-2008 1.4800 -2 -2.96
4 2008-2009 1.3100 -1 -1.31
1 2009-2010 1.0500
1
1.05
1 2010-2011 1.2500
2.50
Jasa-Jasa Tahun RPr (Y)
4 2011-2012 1.2100
3
3.63
9 Jumlah 7.5000 -0.69
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.25 b =
ΣXY/ΣX
2
= -0.0246
X XY
2014 1.9023 5 1.72 0.03679 2015 1.9390 6 1.72 0.03679 2016 1.9758 7 1.72 0.03679 2017 2.0126 8 1.72 0.03679 2018 2.0494 9 1.72 0.03679 2019 2.0862 10 1.72 0.03679 2020 2.1230 11 1.72 0.03679 9.
Tahun RPr (Y)
2
X XY
X2 2006-2007 1.8000 -3 -5.40
9 2007-2008 1.7700 -2 -3.54
4 2008-2009 1.2100 -1 -1.21
1 2009-2010 1.6800
1
1.68
1 2010-2011 2.0500
4.10
= 0.03679 Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 1.8655 4 1.72 0.03679
4 2011-2012 1.8000
3
5.40
9 Jumlah 10.3100
1.03
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.71833 b =
ΣXY/ΣX
2
Jasa-Jasa
91 Tahun RPr (Y) X a b 2013 1.1514 4 1.25 -0.0246 2014 1.1268 5 1.25 -0.0246 2015 1.1021 6 1.25 -0.0246 2016 1.0775 7 1.25 -0.0246 2017 1.0529 8 1.25 -0.0246 2018 1.0282 9 1.25 -0.0246 2019 1.0036 10 1.25 -0.0246 2020 0.9789 11 1.25 -0.0246
92 Perhitungan Trend RPs Tahun 2013-2020 Yn = a + b Xn Yn = a + b Xn Keterangan : Y adalah variabel nilai RPs tahun ke n X adalah variabel waktu (tahun). a dalah konstanta b adalah parameter a =
2
= -0.01857 Tahun X A b 2013 0.924048 4 0.998333 -0.01857
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Yn = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.998333 b =
9 Jumlah 5.99 -0.52
2.79
3
4 2011-2012 0.93
1.92
1 2010-2011 0.96
ΣY / N b = ΣXY/ΣX
1
1
1 2009-2010 1
4 2008-2009 1.02 -1 -1.02
9 2007-2008 1.03 -2 -2.06
X2 2006-2007 1.05 -3 -3.15
X XY
Pertanian Tahun RPs (Y)
2
2014 0.905476 5 0.998333 -0.01857 2015 0.886905 6 0.998333 -0.01857 2016 0.868333 7 0.998333 -0.01857 2017 0.849762 8 0.998333 -0.01857 2018 0.83119 9 0.998333 -0.01857 2019 0.812619 10 0.998333 -0.01857 2020 0.794048 11 0.998333 -0.01857
Industri Pengolahan
9 2007-2008 0.42000 -2 -0.84
= 0.054286
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 0.54 b =
1.52
9 Jumlah 3.24
4 2011-2012 0.67000 3 2.01
1 2010-2011 0.70000 2 1.4
1 2009-2010 0.58000 1 0.58
4 2008-2009 0.49000 -1 -0.49
93 Pertambangan & Penggalian Pertambangan & Penggalian
Tahun RPs (Y)
X XY
Industri Pengolahan Tahun RPs (Y)
2014 1.545476 5 1.138333 0.081429 2015 1.626905 6 1.138333 0.081429 2016 1.708333 7 1.138333 0.081429 2017 1.789762 8 1.138333 0.081429 2018 1.87119 9 1.138333 0.081429 2019 1.952619 10 1.138333 0.081429 2020 2.034048 11 1.138333 0.081429 3.
= 0.081429 Tahun X a B 2013 1.464048 4 1.138333 0.081429
2
ΣXY/ΣX
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.138333 b =
2.28
Jumlah 6.83
X2 2006-2007 0.94 -3 -2.82 9 2007-2008 0.98 -2 -1.96 4 2008-2009 1.02 -1 -1.02 1 2009-2010 1.12 1 1.12 1 2010-2011 1.35 2 2.7 4 2011-2012 1.42 3 4.26 9
X XY
X2 2006-2007 0.38000 -3 -1.14 Tahun X a B 2013 0.757143 4 0.54 0.054286 2014 0.811429 5 0.54 0.054286 2015 0.865714 6 0.54 0.054286 2016 0.92 7 0.54 0.054286
2017 0.974286 8 0.54 0.054286 2018 1.028571 9 0.54 0.054286 2019 1.082857
10 0.54 0.054286 2020 1.137143 11 0.54 0.054286 4.
Listrik, gas & air bersih
Listrik, gas & air bersih Tahun RPs (Y)
X XY
X2 2006-2007 1.33000 -3 -3.99 9 2007-2008 1.37000 -2 -2.74 4 2008-2009 1.62000 -1 -1.62 1 2009-2010 1.70000
1
1.7
1 2010-2011 1.66000
2
3.32
4 2011-2012 1.74000
3
5.22
9 Jumlah 9.42
1.89
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.57
2
b = = 0.0675 ΣXY/ΣX
Tahun X a B 2013 1.84 4 1.57 0.0675 2014 1.9075 5 1.57 0.0675 2015 1.975 6 1.57 0.0675 2016 2.0425 7 1.57 0.0675 2017 2.11 8 1.57 0.0675 2018 2.1775 9 1.57 0.0675 2019 2.245 10 1.57 0.0675 2020 2.3125 11 1.57 0.0675
94
95 Bangunan Bangunan
2.18
X2 2006-2007 0.95000 -3 -2.85
9 2007-2008 1.02000 -2 -2.04
4 2008-2009 1.02000 -1 -1.02
1 2009-2010 0.97000 1
0.97
1 2010-2011 1.09000 2
4 2011-2012 1.11000 3
Perdagangan, Hotel & Restoran Tahun RPs (Y)
3.33
9 Jumlah 6.16
0.57
28 Y = a + b Xn a = ΣY / N = 1.026667 b =
ΣXY/ΣX
2
= 0.020357
X XY