Bahan MIGAS untuk British Embassy

(1)

IGN Wiratmaja

Director General of Oil & Gas, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources

British Embassy Workshop: Policy Dialogue

Grand Sahid Jaya Hotel Jakarta, April 26

2016

Indonesia Policy on

Energy Security Plan

(2)

D R E A

M

+ 5,000 km

(3)

3 FROM

_TO

1

2 Energy as Commodity

Energy

follows

the

People

Energy

follows

the

People

follow

the

Energy

People

follow

the

Energy

Green

Energy

Green

Energy

3 Energy as the

Driver for

Economic Growth

Energy as the

Driver for

Economic Growth

Pollution

(4)

LPG

GAS

CRUDE OIL

Gas export & consumption as of October 2015

2015

1 Production

830,000 BOPD

Production

2.27 million MTonnes

Production 8,113 MMSCFD

Import

770,000 BOPD

Import

4.3 million MTonnes

Export

3,048 MMSCFD

Consumption

1.6 million BOPD

Consumption 6.57 million MTonnes

Consumption 3,703 MMSCFD

Annual

Consumption

Growth

3%

Annual

Consumptio

n Growth

13%

Annual

Consumption

Growth

2%

(5)

ENERGY BUFFER RESERVES & SUPPLY

CHAIN

(6)

II. The condition of today’s fuel supply

I. Legal basis

OUTLINE

(7)

7 Energy Buffer

Reserves

(Crude oil, Fuel

oil, LPG)

Strategic Reserves

(Proven reserves:

O&G, coal, etc.)

Operational

reserves

(Crude, Fuel oil,

LPG)

National Energy Reserves

• Enterprises obligation • Regulated by govt

Regulated and managed by govt

Petroleum Strategic Reserves

National

Energy

Reserves

• Govt obligation • Regulated by DEN

(8)

FUEL OIL OPERATIONAL RESERVES

DEFINITION

(GOVERNMENT REGULATION

79/2014

)

The operational reserve is a

reserve provided by enterprises

and industrial energy providers to

ensure the continuity of energy

supply

TODAY’S CONDITION

1. No mandatory for the business enterprises

2. Fuel oil wholesaler current operational

stock/commercial stock varies between

0 – 21 days

DEFINITION

(GOVERNMENT REGULATION

36/2004

)

1 . Menteri Minister set policy regarding

the number and type of national fuel

reserves .

2. National fuel oil reserves is a certain

amount of fuel oil to support the supply

of domestic fuel oil

3. National fuel reserves of each of the

entities regulated and determined by the

governing agency (badan pengatur)

(9)

Oil & GAS BUFFER RESERVES

9 DEFINITION

(GOVERNMENT REGULATION

79/2014

)

1. Buffer reserves is the availability of

energy sources and stored energy

nationally, required to meet national

energy needs at a certain time .

2. Buffer reserves are reserves outside the

operatinal reserves provided by the

enterprises and energy industry .

3. Buffer reserves provided by the

government and used to overcome the

energy crisis and emergency conditions.

4. National Energy Council regulates the

types, number, time, and location of buffer

reserves of energy

.

(10)

(11)

ENERGY BUFFER

RESERVES (CADANGAN

PENYANGGA ENERGI)

PETROLEUM STRATEGIC RESERVES

(CADANGAN STRATEGIS MINYAK

BUMI)

STRATEGIC RESERVES

(CADANGAN STRATEGIS)

LEGAL BASIS

Gov Reg 79/2014 (National Energy Law 30/2007 (Energy) Policy)

Law 22/2001 (Oil & Gas)

Gov Reg 36/2004 (Downstream Business)

Law 30/2007 (Energy) Gov Reg 79/2014 (National Energy

Policy)

DEFINITION

The availability of energy sources and stored energy nationally, required to meet national energy needs at a certain time (article 1 Law 30/2007)

A certain amount of petroleum set by the government that should be available at all times for the domestic oil refinery intake to support the availability and distribution of domestic fuel oil. (art 1, Gov Reg 36/2004)

Strategic reserves are reserves of energy for the future. (art 1 Law 30/2007)

USAGE

•To ensure national energy security(article 5 paragraph 1, Law 30/2007)

•To overcome the energy crisis and emergency conditions. (art 15 par (2) Gov Reg 79/2014)

• To support the supply of domestic fuel oil. (art 8 par1, Law 22/2001)

• At the time of the disruption of fuel oil supply to support the supply of domestic fuel.

(art 57, Gov Reg 36/2004)

Strategic reserves can only be cultivated according a predetermined time or at any time necessary to the national interests. (art 14 par 2 Gov reg 79/2014)

REGULATION

Provisions concerning the types, number, time, and location of buffer reserves of energy be regulated by National Energy Council (Dewan Energi Nasional).

(Art 5 par 2, Law 30/2007)

Minister set up and establish strategic reserves of petroleum relating to the number, type, and location of storage, and the use of strategic reserves of petroleum

(Art 56 par 3, Gov Reg 36/2004)

Strategic reserves is managed and allocated by the government to ensure the long-term energy security. (art 14 par 1 Gov reg 79/2014)

PROVISION

The government is obliged to provide the energy buffer reserves (Art 5 par 1, Law 30/2007)

• The government is responsible for providing the strategic reserves of petroleum. (art 8 par 1, Law 22/2001)

• Strategic reserves of petroleum are provided by the government. (art 56 par 1, Gov Reg 36/2004) • Government can assign entities to provide the

strategic reserves of petroleum. (art 56 par2, Gov Reg 36/2004)

Further provisions on the management of strategic reserves set up by presidential decree. (Art 14 par 3 Gov reg 79/2014)

DOMAIN

DEN c.q. Setjen DEN MEMR c.q. Ditjen Migas MEMR c.q. Ditjen Migas & SKK _Migas

(12)

ENERGY BUFFER

RESERVES (CADANGAN

PENYANGGA ENERGI)

NATIONAL FUEL RESERVES

(CADANGAN

BBM NASIONAL)

OPERATIONAL

RESERVES (CADANGAN

OPERASIONAL)

LEGAL BASIS

Gov Reg 79/2014 (National Energy Law 30/2007 (Energy) Policy)

Law 22/2001 (Oil & Gas)

Gov Reg 36/2004 (Downstream Business) Gov Reg 79/2014 (National Energy Policy)

DEFINITION

The availability of energy sources and stored energy nationally, required to meet national energy needs at a certain time (article 1 Law 30/2007)

A certain amount of fuel oil to support the supply of domestic fuel oil

(art 1, Gov reg 36/2004)

-USAGE

•To ensure national energy security(article 5 paragraph 1, Law 30/2007)

•To overcome the energy crisis and emergency conditions. (art 15 par (2) Gov Reg 79/2014)

Used during fuel oil shortages (art 60 par 1, Gov reg 36/2004)

-REGULATION

•Provisions concerning the types, number, time, and location of buffer reserves of energy be regulated by National Energy Council (Dewan Energi Nasional). (Art 5 par 2, Law 30/2007)

•Energy buffer reserves are reserves outside the operatinal reserves provided by the enterprises and energy industry (art 15 par 2 a Gov reg 79/2014)

• Minister set policy regarding the number and type of national fuel reserves (art 59 par 1, Gov reg 36/2004)

• National fuel reserves of each of the entities regulated and determined by the governing agency (badan pengatur). (art 59 par 4, Gov reg 36/2004)

• In case of a business entity does not provide national fuel reserves when needed, the minister can impose administrative sanctions and/or penalties to entities in accordance with the recommendation of the governing agency. (art 61 par 2, Gov Reg 36/2004)

Further provisions regarding the provision of operational reserves regulated by the government

(art 16 par 2, Gov reg 79/2014)

PROVISION

The government is obliged to provide the energy buffer reserves

(Art 5 par 1, Law 30/2007)

Minister may appoint business entities .

(Ps 59 ayat 3, PP 36/2004) Enterprises and industrial energy providers are required to provide operational reserve to ensure the continuity of energy supply

(art 16 par 1, Gov reg 79/2014)

DOMAIN

DEN c.q. Setjen DEN MEMR c.q. Ditjen Migas + Badan Pengatur MEMR c.q. Ditjen Migas

REGULATION REFERENCE OF NATIONAL FUEL OIL RESERVES

=

(13)

THE CONDITIONS OF TODAY’S FUEL

SUPPLY

(14)

National Fuel Storage Capacity 2015

Fuel Storage Capacity

Region

Scope of Region

Capacity (kL)

Region I

Aceh, Sumut, Riau, Riau

Kepulauan, & Sumbar

1.247.796 Region II

Jambi, Sumsel, Bengkulu,

Lampung, Bangka-Belitung

230.665 Region III

Banten, DKI Jakarta, Jawa

Barat

2.563.130 Region IV

Jawa Tengah, DI Jogjakarta

_597.849

Region V

Jawa Timur, Bali, NTB, NTT

_1.288.748

Region VI

Kalimantan

_632.669

Region VII

Sulawesi

_383.431

Region VIII

Maluku dan Papua

_320.193

(15)

15 ROADMAP CONCEPT OF

(16)

Fuel Oil Operational Reserves Roadmap

Identifying Existing Condition:

Feb – April

2016

Regulatory Concept Study:

April – May

2016

Minister regulation drafting:

May – Dec

2016

Process Flow

Identifying Existing

Condition:

1. Average sales

volumeannual, quarterly)

2. Existing stock

condition (number of

days)

3. Storage capacity

availability and utilization

Regulatory Concept Study:

1. Type of fuel oil that is mandated 2. Operational reserves

Calculation methods 3.Phasing adequacy of

operational reserves

Minister regulation drafting:

1. Initial draft 2.Internal discussion 3. Draft improvement

4.Discussion with stakeholders 5.Draft finalization 6. Regulation publishing

Minister EMR Regulation: Fuel Oil Operational Reserve Roadmap

(17)

17 Utilization of Idle Tank Storage



_{Cost of Commodity = USD 211,6}

Million



_{Rental Cost of Tank = USD 43,1}

milion/year



_{Capacity of idle crude tank : 1,4}

Million Barrels



_{Capacity of Idle fue oill tank : 3,1}

Million Barrels

Utilization of Idle Tank Storage



_{Cost of Commodity = USD 211,6}

Million



_{Rental Cost of Tank = USD 43,1}

milion/year



_{Capacity of idle crude tank : 1,4}

Million Barrels



_{Capacity of Idle fue oill tank : 3,1}

Million Barrels

Utilization of New Tank Storage



_{Cost of Commodity = USD 387,7}

million



_{Rental Cost of Tank = USD 79,7}

Million/year



_{Capacity of crude tank: 3 million}

Barrels



_{Capacity of fuel oil tank: 5,3}

million Barrels

Utilization of New Tank Storage



_{Cost of Commodity = USD 387,7}

million



_{Rental Cost of Tank = USD 79,7}

Million/year



_{Capacity of crude tank: 3 million}

Barrels



_{Capacity of fuel oil tank: 5,3}

million Barrels

Construction of New Tank

Storage



_{Cost of Commodity = USD}

1.169,6 Million



_{Cost of construction tank = USD}

1.698,6 million



_{Cost of Operational Tank = USD}

81,3 juta/tahun



_{Capacity of crude tank : 17,6}

million Barrels



_{Capacity of fuel oil tank: 9,3}

Million Barrels

Construction of New Tank

Storage



_{Cost of Commodity = USD}

1.169,6 Million



_{Cost of construction tank = USD}

1.698,6 million



_{Cost of Operational Tank = USD}

81,3 juta/tahun



_{Capacity of crude tank : 17,6}

million Barrels



_{Capacity of fuel oil tank: 9,3}

Million Barrels

3,58 Days

6,56 Days

_{19,86 Days}

30 Days

PHASING PLAN

NATIONAL O&G BUFFER RESERVES

Notes :

Waiting for determination of type, volume, time and location of Buffer Stock from National Energy Board

Asumption:

1. Crude consumption per day= 1,5million barrel

2. Fuel Oil comsumption per day = 1,2 million

(18)

www.migas.esdm.go.id

(19)

BACK UP SLIDES

9

₁

(20)

Oiil Tank

LPG

Terminal

OIL TANK: 14 locations (Capacity: 69.500 KL)

MANGG IS AMPENA N BIM A BADA S RE O END E WAINGA PU MAUME RE L. TUKA KALABA HI ATAPUP U DIL I KUPAN G BITUN G FAK - FAK NABIR E MERAUK E JAYAPUR A BIA K SORON G MASO HI LABUH A TOLI - TOLI MOUTO NG PARI GI DONGGA LA POSO GORONTA LO KOLONDA LE PALOP O TAHU NA

PARE - PARE KOLAK A LUWU K KENDA RI RAH A BAU -BAU MAKASS AR AMPAN A WAYAM E TOBEL O TERNA TE BANGG AI SAUMLA KI DOB O TUA L SER UI MANOKW ARI RU VII. KASIM BUL A NAMLE A SANAN A KAIMA NA TIMIK A HALMAH ERA

LPG TERMINAL: 3 locations (Capacity: 5.000 MT)

menterian ESDM

Republik Indonesia

₃₅

Oil Tank & LPG Terminal Construction Plan (State

Funded)

(21)

Dasar Hukum

PP No 79 Tahun 2014

UU No 30 Tahun 2007

2 1

(22)

Arahan Presiden 29 Februari 2016

20 hingga 30 tahun mendatang dunia akan dihadapkan pada

persaingan sumber daya energi dan pangan. Karena itu, harus

disusun suatu strategi untuk memperkuat ketahanan energi.

Salah satu caranya adalah ketika harga murah seperti sekarang

ini, pemerintah harus meningkatkan cadangan strategis BBM

yang tersimpan di dalam maupun di luar negeri. Agar saat harga

diatas 100 BBM kita sudah punya stok….

“

- Pernyataan pada Penandatanganan Kontrak di

Plaza KESDM, 29 Februari 2016

(23)

Kebutuhan Dana

Asumsi 1 USD = Rp.

13.200,-

Jenis

Konsumsi 15 hari

_{(Juta bbl)}

Biaya Pembelian

komoditas

(Juta USD)

Biaya Pembelian

komoditas

(Triliun Rupiah)

1 Crude Oil

22,0

880,2

11,6

2 BBM

17,7

888,7

11,7

TOTAL

39,7

1.768,9

23,3

2 3

(24)

Usulan Inisiasi Pemupukan Cadangan

Strategis

1. Pemerintah segera melakukan komunikasi dengan produsen minyak

(

crude & product

);

2. Pemerintah perlu mengalokasikan dana dalam 2 sampai 3 tahun ke

depan;

3. Memanfaatkan

idle capacity

dalam jangka pendek (diperlukan

rekondisi

storage

);

4. Membangun tangki-tangki penyimpanan baru;

5. Sambil menunggu penyelesaian tangki-tangki baru tersebut, kita

menyepakati

term & condition

dengan produsen:

• _Menitipkan

_{crude/product}

_di

_storage

_{mereka untuk}

sewaktu-waktu dapat kita gunakan;

(25)

PAPUA

As of January 2015

113.00 166.22 3103.45 1145.77 304.18 606.33 1182.47 528.04 46.94 12.64 95.98 7.38 0.96 6.61 13.84 50.01 4.28 6.37 13.83 2.56 19.28 26.21

Indonesia Oil & Gas

Reserves

Proven :

3,602.53 MMSTB

Potential :

3,702.49 MMSTB

Total

:

7,305.02 MMSTB

OIL

OIL RESERVES

Production:

830,000 BPD

Production:

830,000 BPD

_GAS

Proven

: 97.99 TSCF

Potential

: 53.34 TSCF

Total

: 151.33 TSCF

GAS RESERVES

Production:

8,113

MMSCFD

Production:

8,113

MMSCFD

OIL (MMSTB) GAS (TSCF) NAD NORTH SUMATERA MID SUMATERA SOUTH SUMATERA NATUNA WEST JAVA EAST JAVA SULAWESI KALIMANTAN MALUKU

WORKING ACREAGE : 320

PSC

WORKING ACREAGE : 320

PSC

Exploration

:

240 PSCs

Exploitation

:

80 PSCs

25

(26)

PLANNING

Location

Capacity (MBCD)

Medan 6

Bontang 300 Tuban 300 RDMP: Balikpapan, Balongan,

Cilacap, Dumai 388

Total

2,163

EXISTING

Location

Capacity (MBCD)

Dumai 177 Plaju 127.3 Balongan 125

Cilacap 348 Cepu 3.8 Cepu 18 Tuban 100 Balikpapan 260 Sorong 10

Total

1,169.1

(27)

Tahun

Production

_(Barrels)

Production from

Downstream

Production from Upstream

Barrrels/Year

% Downstream

Barrels/Year

% Upstream

2010

44.771.818 807.098

1,80%

43.964.720 98,80%

2011

40.189.259 838.912

2,10%

39.350.347 97,90%

2012

36.242.796 989.031

2,70%

35.253.765 97,30%

2013

37.127.065 1.682.973

4,50%

35.444.092 95,50%

2014

35.188.268 1.801.278

5,50%

33.386.990 94,50%

2015

37.044.016 2.108.491

5,70%

34.935.525 94,30%

(1)

Arahan Presiden 29 Februari 2016

20 hingga 30 tahun mendatang dunia akan dihadapkan pada persaingan sumber daya energi dan pangan. Karena itu, harus disusun suatu strategi untuk memperkuat ketahanan energi. Salah satu caranya adalah ketika harga murah seperti sekarang ini, pemerintah harus meningkatkan cadangan strategis BBM yang tersimpan di dalam maupun di luar negeri. Agar saat harga diatas 100 BBM kita sudah punya stok….

“

- Pernyataan pada Penandatanganan Kontrak di Plaza KESDM, 29 Februari 2016

2 2

(2)

Kebutuhan Dana

Asumsi 1 USD = Rp.

13.200,- Jenis Konsumsi 15 hari _{(Juta bbl)} Biaya Pembelian komoditas (Juta USD)

Biaya Pembelian komoditas (Triliun Rupiah)

1 Crude Oil 22,0 880,2 11,6 2 BBM 17,7 888,7 11,7

TOTAL 39,7 1.768,9 23,3

2 3

(3)

Usulan Inisiasi Pemupukan Cadangan

Strategis

1. Pemerintah segera melakukan komunikasi dengan produsen minyak (crude & product);

2. Pemerintah perlu mengalokasikan dana dalam 2 sampai 3 tahun ke depan;

3. Memanfaatkan idle capacity dalam jangka pendek (diperlukan rekondisi storage);

4. Membangun tangki-tangki penyimpanan baru;

5. Sambil menunggu penyelesaian tangki-tangki baru tersebut, kita menyepakati term & condition dengan produsen:

• _Menitipkan_{crude/product}_di_storage_{mereka untuk}

sewaktu-waktu dapat kita gunakan;

• _{Menyepakati tata cara pembayaran yang fleksibel.}

2 4

(4)

PAPUA

As of January 2015

Indonesia Oil & Gas Reserves

Proven : 3,602.53 MMSTB

Potential : 3,702.49 MMSTB

Total : 7,305.02 MMSTB OIL

OIL RESERVES

Production: 830,000 BPD

Production: 830,000 BPD _GAS

Proven : 97.99 TSCF

Potential : 53.34 TSCF

Total : 151.33 TSCF

GAS RESERVES

Production: 8,113 MMSCFD

Production: 8,113 MMSCFD OIL (MMSTB) GAS (TSCF) NAD NORTH SUMATERA MID SUMATERA SOUTH SUMATERA NATUNA WEST JAVA EAST JAVA SULAWESI KALIMANTAN MALUKU

WORKING ACREAGE : 320 PSC

Exploration : 240 PSCs

Exploitation : 80 PSCs

(5)

PLANNING

Location Capacity (MBCD)

Medan 6

Bontang 300

Tuban 300

RDMP: Balikpapan, Balongan,

Cilacap, Dumai 388

Total 2,163

EXISTING

Location Capacity (MBCD)

Dumai 177

Plaju 127.3

Balongan 125

Cilacap 348

Cepu 3.8

Cepu 18

Tuban 100

Balikpapan 260

Sorong 10

Total 1,169.1

(6)

Tahun Production_(Barrels)

Production from

Downstream Production from Upstream Barrrels/Year % Downstream Barrels/Year % Upstream

2010 44.771.818 807.098 1,80% 43.964.720 98,80%

2011 40.189.259 838.912 2,10% 39.350.347 97,90%

2012 36.242.796 989.031 2,70% 35.253.765 97,30%

2013 37.127.065 1.682.973 4,50% 35.444.092 95,50%

2014 35.188.268 1.801.278 5,50% 33.386.990 94,50%

2015 37.044.016 2.108.491 5,70% 34.935.525 94,30%