APBN (Rp) APBD (Rp)

  Lampiran 1. Dana APBN, APBD, Swadaya dan Penduduk Miskin

  Kecamatan Kelurahan APBN (Rp) APBD (Rp) Swadaya (Rp)

  Log (Penduduk Miskin 2012/Jiwa)

  MEDAN TUNTUNGAN BARU LADANG BAMBU 50.000.000 16.360.000 846 SIDOMULYO 160.000.000 40.000.000 13.900.000 597 LAU CIH 160.000.000 40.000.000 23.435.000 455 NAMU GAJAH 180.000.000 40.000.000 7.815.000 2.008 KEMENANGAN TANI 50.000.000 8.185.000 342 SIMALINGKAR B 160.000.000 40.000.000 129.343.000 1.185 SIMPANG SELAYANG 240.000.000 60.000.000 33.390.000 17.172 TANJUNG SELAMAT 240.000.000 60.000.000 22.260.000 3.700 M A N G G A 80.000.000 20.000.000 12.725.000 2.532 MEDAN JOHOR KWALA BEKALA 240.000.000 60.000.000 62.140.000 3.387 GEDUNG JOHOR 80.000.000 20.000.000 66.458.000 627 KEDAI DURIAN 80.000.000 10.000.000 720 SUKA MAJU 50.000.000 43.567.000 848 TITI KUNING 90.000.000 45.278.000 730 PANGKALAN MASYHUR 90.000.000 17.025.000 4.567 MEDAN AMPLAS HARJOSARI II 240.000.000 60.000.000 41.280.000 250 SITIREJO II 80.000.000 20.000.000 13.560.000 441 SITIREJO III 80.000.000 20.000.000 9.650.000 542 HARJOSARI I 80.000.000 20.000.000 22.100.000

  2.882 A M P L A S 240.000.000 60.000.000

  44.650.000 472

  TIMBANG DELI 240.000.000 60.000.000 32.129.300

  844 BANGUN MULIA 40.000.000 10.000.000 12.650.000

  94 MEDAN DENAI B I N J A I 80.000.000 20.000.000 3.550.000 4.044 MEDAN TENGGARA 80.000.000 20.000.000 8.395.000 2.368 D E N A I 240.000.000 60.000.000 8.750.000 2.568 TEGAL SARI MANDALA III 80.000.000 20.000.000 5.650.000 6.932 TEGAL SARI MANDALA II 50.000.000 8.000.000 1.131 TEGAL SARI MANDALA I 40.000.000 10.000.000 10.470.000 300 MEDAN AREA PASAR MERAH TIMUR 80.000.000 20.000.000 6.800.000 1.647 TEGAL SARI II 50.000.000 4.420.000 684 TEGAL SARI III 50.000.000 10.200.000 5.355 TEGAL SARI I 50.000.000 4.600.000 948 SUKARAMAI I 40.000.000 10.000.000 3.500.000 988 KOTA MATSUM II 80.000.000 20.000.000 2.950.000 1.672 KOTA MATSUM IV 40.000.000 10.000.000 3.400.000 1.351 KOTA MATSUM I 40.000.000 10.000.000 6.057.000 1.232 SEI RENGAS PERMATA 40.000.000 10.000.000 8.398.000 214 SUKARAMAI II 40.000.000 10.000.000 2.310.000 1.153 SEI RENGAS II 40.000.000 10.000.000 3.650.000 215 PANDAU HULU II 40.000.000 10.000.000 5.850.000 678 MEDAN KOTA SITI REJO I 80.000.000 20.000.000 15.250.000 438 SUDI REJO II 240.000.000 60.000.000 7.325.000

  1.875 SUDI REJO I 240.000.000 60.000.000 6.650.000 989 TELADAN TIMUR 80.000.000 20.000.000 9.160.000 885 TELADAN BARAT 240.000.000 60.000.000 1.990.000 998 PASAR MERAH BARAT 40.000.000 10.000.000 6.052.500 860 M E S J I D 40.000.000 10.000.000

  1.900.000 632

  KOTA MATSUM III 50.000.000 3.850.000 990 SEI RENGAS I 160.000.000 40.000.000 17.810.000 114 PASAR BARU 160.000.000 40.000.000 10.915.000 127 PUSAT PASAR 40.000.000 10.000.000 3.330.000 171 PANDAU HULU I 40.000.000 10.000.000 4.860.000

  95 MEDAN MAIMUN KAMPUNG BARU 50.000.000 39.167.000 1.422 SEI MATI 240.000.000 60.000.000 43.530.000 789 SUKA RAJA 80.000.000 20.000.000 18.283.000 1.559 J A T I 40.000.000 10.000.000 8.460.000

  60 H A M D A N 50.000.000 16.479.000 1.219 A U R 240.000.000 60.000.000 36.771.000 485 MEDAN POLONIA SARI REJO 240.000.000 60.000.000 28.140.000 4.800 SUKA DAMAI 40.000.000 10.000.000 5.500.000 207 POLONIA 240.000.000 60.000.000 33.930.000 4.460 ANGGRUNG 40.000.000 10.000.000 9.270.000 605 MADRAS HULU 40.000.000 10.000.000 4.600.000 880 MEDAN BARU TITI RANTAI 100.000.000 20.000.000 14.180.000 625 PADANG BULAN 100.000.000 20.000.000 18.949.000 825 MERDEKA 100.000.000 20.000.000 17.204.800 715 D A R A T 50.000.000 10.000.000 7.420.000 298 BABURA 50.000.000 10.000.000 8.400.000 988 PETISAH HULU 50.000.000 10.000.000 7.590.000 625 MEDAN SELAYANG SEMPAKATA 100.000.000 20.000.000 17.347.000 2.667 BERINGIN 50.000.000 10.000.000 14.280.000 890 PADANG BULAN SELAYANG II 100.000.000 20.000.000 39.231.000 3.682 PADANG BULAN SELAYANG I 100.000.000 20.000.000 34.094.000 1.370 TANJUNG SARI 100.000.000 20.000.000 85.816.000 1.075 ASAM KUMBANG 100.000.000 20.000.000 5.780.500 1.073 MEDAN SUNGGAL SUNGGAL 240.000.000 60.000.000 109.129.000 7.600 TANJUNG REJO 50.000.000 75.920.000 9.666 BABURA 80.000.000 20.000.000 36.300.000 1.795 SEI SIKAMBING B 80.000.000 20.000.000 56.046.000 10.702 LALANG 240.000.000 60.000.000 90.167.500 3.450 MEDAN HELVETIA CINTA DAMAI 100.000.000 20.000.000 28.065.000 1.815 SEI SIKAMBING C II 50.000.000 10.000.000 14.845.000 810 DWI KORA 100.000.000 20.000.000 19.000.000 1.014 HELVETIA TIMUR 100.000.000 20.000.000 35.165.000 2.500 HELVETIA TENGAH 100.000.000 20.000.000 41.060.000 3.888 HELVETIA 100.000.000 20.000.000 21.077.000 2.510 TANJUNG GUSTA 100.000.000 20.000.000 17.469.000 6.286 MEDAN PETISAH SEI SIKAMBING D 280.000.000 60.000.000 38.618.000 928 PETISAH TENGAH 100.000.000 20.000.000 11.110.000 396 S E K I P 100.000.000 20.000.000 10.330.000 1.740 SEI PUTIH TIMUR II 50.000.000 10.000.000 6.400.000 234

  SEI PUTIH TIMUR I 50.000.000 10.000.000 7.059.000 272 SEI PUTIH TENGAH 100.000.000 20.000.000 13.456.000 278 SEI PUTIH BARAT 100.000.000 20.000.000 12.428.000 6.105 MEDAN BARAT KESAWAN 240.000.000 60.000.000 74.850.000 1.292 SILALAS 80.000.000 20.000.000 12.890.000 1.763 SEI AGUL 50.000.000 44.765.000 7.500 KARANG BEROMBAK 80.000.000 20.000.000 34.250.000 6.640 GLUGUR KOTA 80.000.000 20.000.000 9.798.000 178 PULO BRAYAN KOTA 80.000.000 20.000.000 5.690.000 565 MEDAN TIMUR SIDODADI 40.000.000 10.000.000 4.650.000

  97 PERINTIS 40.000.000 10.000.000 4.295.000 153 GAHARU 90.000.000 68.257.600 707 DURIAN 50.000.000 46.851.500 725 GLUGUR DARAT II 50.000.000 5.300.000 1.178 GLUGUR DARAT I 50.000.000 29.901.000 621 PULO BRAYAN DARAT I 50.000.000 2.810.000 203 PULO BRAYAN DARAT II 80.000.000 20.000.000 32.030.000 2.473 PULO BRAYAN BENGKEL BARU 50.000.000 29.130.000 1.469 PULO BRAYAN BENGKEL 50.000.000 7.700.000 1.745 MEDAN PERJUANGAN PANDAU HILIR 40.000.000 10.000.000 7.570.000 575 SEI KERA HULU 40.000.000 10.000.000 7.500.000 417 PAHLAWAN 50.000.000 500.000 1.510 SEI KERA HILIR I 80.000.000 20.000.000 8.114.000 3.009 SEI KERA HILIR II 80.000.000 20.000.000 6.300.000 1.896 SIDORAME TIMUR 240.000.000 60.000.000 18.205.000 2.145 SIDORAME BARAT II 90.000.000 9.800.000 2.569 SIDORAME BARAT I 80.000.000 20.000.000 12.575.000 1.160 TEGAL REJO 240.000.000 60.000.000 26.770.000 5.840 MEDAN TEMBUNG

  INDRA KASIH 50.000.000 8.700.000 3.790 SIDOREJO HILIR 50.000.000 30.933.000 1.081

  SIDOREJO 50.000.000 13.500.000 1.161

  BANTAN TIMUR 50.000.000 12.000.000 1.307 BANDAR SELAMAT 50.000.000 19.500.000 4.113 B A N T A N 50.000.000 16.285.000 1.272 T E M B U N G 50.000.000 24.100.000 110 MEDAN DELI TANJUNG MULIA 150.000.000 36.840.000 1.448 TANJUNG MULIA HILIR 80.000.000 20.000.000 10.935.000 2.510 MABAR HILIR 80.000.000 20.000.000 26.392.000 1.448 M A B A R 80.000.000 20.000.000 20.965.000 1.868 KOTA BANGUN 50.000.000 23.333.000 1.441 TITI PAPAN 240.000.000 60.000.000 33.127.000 3.356 MEDAN LABUHAN B E S A R 50.000.000 36.375.000 3.291 TANGKAHAN 240.000.000 60.000.000 62.674.000 4.704 MARTUBUNG 240.000.000 60.000.000 60.069.000 6.900 SEI MATI 50.000.000 47.135.000 1.200 PEKAN LABUHAN 50.000.000 87.825.000 7.525 NELAYAN INDAH 50.000.000 52.268.000 4.839 MEDAN MARELAN TANAH ENAM RATUS 80.000.000 20.000.000 20.753.000 1.200 RENGAS PULAU 240.000.000 60.000.000 44.330.500 2.019 T E R J U N 90.000.000 37.838.000 3.656 PAYA PASIR 50.000.000 22.726.000 3.728 LABUHAN DELI 240.000.000 60.000.000 50.657.000 5.235 MEDAN BELAWAN BELAWAN PULAU SICANANG 50.000.000 61.420.400 5.423 BELAWAN BAHAGIA 280.000.000 60.000.000 96.259.000 725 BELAWAN BAHARI 240.000.000 60.000.000 146.423.000 4.570 BELAWAN II 90.000.000 78.655.000 8.028 BAGAN DELI 240.000.000 60.000.000 99.076.000 6.054 BELAWAN I 240.000.000 60.000.000 135.726.000 1.974

  TOTAL 15.590.000.000 3.160.000.000 3.969.331.600 322.609

  Lampiran 2. One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test

  Unstandardize d Residual N 149 a,,b

  Normal Parameters Mean .0000000 Std. Deviation 2.26472004E3 Most Extreme Differences Absolute .164 Positive .164

  Negative -.114 Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z 2.000 Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) .001 a. Test distribution is Normal.

b. Calculated from data.

  

Lampiran 3. Uji Multikolineritas, Autokorelasi dan Pengujian Hipotesis

Descriptive Statistics

  Mean Std. Deviation N KEMISKINAN 2165.1611 2458.25662 149 APBN 1046.3087 737.55655 149 APBD 212.0805 214.00706 149 SWADAYA 266.4698 278.74811 149

  Correlations

KEMISKINAN APBN APBD SWADAYA

  Pearson Correlation KEMISKINAN 1.000 .246 .194 .377 APBN .246 1.000 .951 .472 APBD .194 .951 1.000 .383 SWADAYA .377 .472 .383 1.000

  Sig. (1-tailed) KEMISKINAN . .001 .009 .000 APBN .001 . .000 .000 APBD .009 .000 . .000 SWADAYA .000 .000 .000 . N KEMISKINAN 149 149 149 149 APBN 149 149 149 149 APBD 149 149 149 149 SWADAYA 149 149 149 149

  Variables Entered/Removed

  Model Variables

  Entered Variables Removed Method

1 SWADAYA,

  a

  . Enter a. All requested variables entered.

APBD, APBN

  b Model Summary

  Adjusted R Std. Error of the Model R R Square Square Estimate

  a

  1 .389 .151 .134 2288.02824

  a. Predictors: (Constant), SWADAYA, APBD, APBN

  b. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  b

Model Summary

  Change Statistics R Square

Model Change F Change df1 df2 Sig. F Change Durbin-Watson

  1 .151 8.614 3 145 .000 1.971

  b. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  b ANOVA Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. a

  1 Regression 1.353E8 3 4.509E7 8.614 .000 Residual 7.591E8 145 5235073.210 Total 8.944E8 148

  a. Predictors: (Constant), SWADAYA, APBD, APBN

  b. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  a Coefficients

  Standardized Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.

  1 (Constant) 910.691 391.565 2.326 .021 APBN .941 .887 .282 1.060 .291

APBD -2.253 2.918 -.196 -.772 .441

  SWADAYA 2.807 .789 .318 3.558 .001

  Coefficients a

  B Std. Error Beta t Sig.

  1 (Constant) 910.691 391.565 2.326 .021 APBN .941 .887 .282 1.060 .291

APBD -2.253 2.918 -.196 -.772 .441

  SWADAYA 2.807 .789 .318 3.558 .001

a. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  Coefficients a

  Model 95,0% Confidence Interval for B Correlations Lower Bound Upper Bound Zero-order Partial Part

  1 (Constant) 136.779 1684.604

  Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients

APBN -.813 2.695 .246 .088 .081

  Model Collinearity Statistics Tolerance

  VIF

  1 APBN .083 12.112 APBD .091 11.025 SWADAYA .731 1.367

  a. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  Coefficients a

  SWADAYA 1.247 4.366 .377 .283 .272

  a. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  a Coefficient Correlations

  Model SWADAYA APBD APBN

  1 Correlations SWADAYA 1.000 .242 -.378 APBD .242 1.000 -.945 APBN -.378 -.945 1.000

  Covariances SWADAYA .622 .558 -.265

  APBD .558 8.515 -2.448 APBN -.265 -2.448 .788

  a. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  a Collinearity Diagnostics

  Variance Proportions Model Dimension Eigenvalue Condition Index (Constant) APBN APBD SWADAYA

  1 1 3.321 1.000 .02 .00 .00 .03 2 .362 3.029 .03 .01 .04 .58 3 .300 3.326 .53 .00 .01 .28 4 .017 14.018 .43 .99 .95 .11 a. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  a

Residuals Statistics

  Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation N

Predicted Value 1115.0507 5925.9287 2165.1611 956.06943 149

Std. Predicted Value -1.098 3.934 .000 1.000 149

Standard Error of Predicted 188.731 1004.664 350.357 133.826 149

Value

Adjusted Predicted Value 1124.5254 6149.2822 2171.9645 987.31466 149

Residual -4171.05371 14417.67090 .00000 2264.72004 149

Std. Residual -1.823 6.301 .000 .990 149

Stud. Residual -1.890 6.408 -.001 1.009 149

Deleted Residual -4508.08447 14907.80957 -6.80343 2353.02871 149

Stud. Deleted Residual -1.907 7.542 .009 1.067 149

Mahal. Distance .014 27.542 2.980 3.737 149

Cook's Distance .000 .349 .010 .034 149

Centered Leverage Value .000 .186 .020 .025 149

  a. Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN

  Lampiran 4. Hasil PLS pendekatan REM Dependent Variable: KEMISKINAN Method: Pooled EGLS (Two-way random effects) Date : 04/09/13 Time: 14:41 Sample : 1 149 Included observations : 149 Cross-sections included : 4 Total pool (balanced) observations: 596 Wansbeek and Kapteyn estimator of component variances White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)

  Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

  C 5527.976 415.2191 13.31339 0.0000 Random Effects (Cross)

  @APBN—C -3340.397 @APBD—C -3340.397 @SWADAYA—C -3340.397 @KEMISKINAN—C -3340.397

  Random Effects (Period) 1—C -4681.976 2—C -4930.976 3—C -5072.976 4—C -3519.976 5—C -5185.976 6—C -4342.976

  7--C 11644.02 8--C -1827.976 9--C -2995.976 10--C -2140.976

  11--C -4900.976 12--C -4807.976 13--C -4679.976 14--C -4797.976 15--C -960.9756 16--C -5277.976 17--C -5086.976 18--C -4985.976 19--C -2645.976 20--C -5055.976 21--C -4683.976 22--C -5433.976 23--C -1483.976 24--C -3159.976 25--C -2959.976 26--C 1404.024 27--C -4396.976 28--C -5227.976

  29--C -3880.976 30--C -4843.976 31--C -172.9756 32--C -4579.976 33--C -4539.976 34--C -3855.976 35--C -4176.976 36--C -4295.976 37--C -5313.976 38--C -4374.976 39--C -5312.976 40--C -4849.976 41--C -5089.976 42--C -3652.976 43--C -4538.976 44--C -4642.976 45--C -4529.976 46--C -4667.976 47--C -4895.976 48--C -4537.976 49--C -5413.976 50--C -5400.976 51--C -5356.976 52--C -5432.976 53--C -4105.976 54--C -4738.976 55--C -3968.976 56--C -5467.976 57--C -4308.976 58--C -5042.976 59--C -727.9756 60--C -5320.976 61--C -1067.976 62--C -4922.976 63--C -4647.976 64--C -4902.976 65--C -4702.976 66--C -4812.976 67--C -5229.976 68--C -4539.976 69--C -4902.976 70--C -2860.976 71--C -4637.976 72--C -1845.976 73--C -4157.976 74--C -4452.976 75--C -4454.976 76--C 2072.024

  77--C 4138.024 78--C -3732.976 79--C 5174.024 80--C -2077.976 81--C -3712.976 82--C -4717.976 83--C -4513.976 84--C -3027.976 85--C -1639.976 86--C -3017.976 87--C 758.0244 88--C -4599.976 89--C -5131.976 90--C -3787.976 91--C -5293.976 92--C -5255.976 93--C -5249.976 94--C 577.0244 95--C -4235.976 96--C -3764.976 97--C 1972.024 98--C 1112.024 99--C -5349.976 100--C -4962.976

  101--C -5430.976 102--C -5374.976 103--C -4820.976 104--C -4802.976 105--C -4349.976 106--C -4906.976 107--C -5324.976 108--C -3054.976 109--C -4058.976 110--C -3782.976 111--C -4952.976 112--C -5110.976 113--C -4017.976 114--C -2518.976 115--C -3631.976 116--C -3382.976 117--C -2958.976 118--C -4367.976 119--C 312.0244 120--C -1737.976 121--C -4446.976 122--C -4366.976 123--C -4220.976 124--C -1414.976

  125--C -4255.976 126--C -5417.976 127--C -4079.976 128--C -3017.976 129--C -4079.976 130--C -3659.976 131--C -4086.976 132--C -2171.976 133--C -2236.976 134--C -823.9756 135--C 1372.024 136--C -4327.976 137--C 1997.024 138--C -688.9756 139--C -4327.976 140--C -3508.976 141--C -1871.976 142--C -1799.976 143--C -292.9756 144--C -104.9756 145--C -4802.976 146--C -957.9756 147--C 2500.024 148--C 526.0244 149--C -3553.976