CAN presentation Developed Country Mitigation Workshop April 3 2011
Observations on
current developed country
mitigation pledges
Tove Maria Ryding
Climate Action Network – International
Network of 550 civil society organisations around the world
Developed country pledges: Where are parties after
Cancun?
1.
2.
3.
4.
Adopted: 2oC goal
Agreed: consider moving to 1.5oC
Recognised: 25-40% range for developed countries
Agreed: scaled-up effort necessary to
• achieve the global goal
• move developed countries into 25-40% range
Current developed country pledges are far below the IPCC
25-40% range, making them inconsistent with 1.5oC/2oC.
How big is the gap?
Global emissions, GtCO2e
56 GtCO2e under business-as-usual
53 GtCO2e in case of low, unconditional pledges and lenient rules
49 GtCO2e in case of higher, conditional pledges and strict rules
44 GtCO2e or far less needed for 1.5oC/2oC
5-9 GtCO2e remaining gap
Consistent with 2oC
Consistent with 1.5oC
Source: Adapted from The Emissions Gap report, UNEP, 2010
3
Clarifications needed
1. Developed countries must clarify what their true
emissions will be, i.e. their assumptions on forests and
other land use accounting, the use of carbon offsets and
hot air carry-over, in order to close all loopholes.
2. Developed countries with current pledges below the 2540% range must explain how their low pledges
• should be compensated for by other developed
countries making higher cuts instead,
• are consistent with their fair share of the globally
needed mitigation effort.
Clarifications needed (continued)
3. Developed countries whose pledges are
• below their current Kyoto targets, and/or
• below BAU under existing domestic legislation and
targets (e.g. efficiency targets),
must explain how those pledges constitute progress.
4. Developed countries must explain how their 2020
pledges will allow them to achieve near-zero
emissions by 2050.
Thank you
Climate Action Network – International is a coalition of 550
civil society organisations worldwide committed to limiting
climate change to ecologically sustainable levels.
CAN-I
North Africa (Maghreb)
David Turnbull, [email protected] Mohammed Bendada,
Julie-Anne Richards,
[email protected]
[email protected]
South Africa
Canada
Dorah Lebelo, [email protected]
Graham Saul, [email protected]
Southern Africa
United States
Rajen Awotar, [email protected]
Angela Anderson,
[email protected]
West Africa
Emmanuel Seck, [email protected]
Latin America
Victor Campos,
CAN Eastern Europe, Caucasus and
[email protected]
Central Asia
Irina Stavchuk, [email protected]
Brazil
Rubens Born, [email protected]
Europe
Gaines Campbell, [email protected]
Matthias Duwe, [email protected]
Ulriikka Aarnio, [email protected]
Mexico
Ana Romero, [email protected] France
Sébastien Blavier, [email protected]
Eastern Africa / Uganda
Morgane Créach, [email protected]
Geoffrey Kamese, [email protected]
China
Fei Xiaojing, [email protected] Patrick
Schroeder, [email protected]
South Asia
Sanjay Vashist, [email protected] or
[email protected]
Southeast Asia
Gurmit Singh, [email protected]
Japan
Kimiko Hirata, [email protected]
Australia
George Woods, [email protected]
Cook Islands
David Ngatae, [email protected]
Federated States of Micronesia
Marstella Jack,[email protected]
Tuvalu
Mrs Pulafagu Toafa, [email protected]
Policy Working Groups
Adaptation
Harjeet Singh, [email protected]
Sven Harmeling, [email protected]
Rachel Berger, [email protected]
Finance
Steve Herz, [email protected]
Mahlet Eyassu, [email protected]
REDD
Gaines Campbell, Vitae Civilis, [email protected]
John Lanchbery, RSPB, [email protected]
Flex Mechs
Eva Filzmoser, CDM-Watch, [email protected]
Naoyuki Yamagishi, WWF, [email protected]
LULUCF
Chris Henschel, CPAWS, [email protected]
Melanie Coath, RSPB, [email protected]
Mitigation
Nina Jamal, IndyAct, [email protected]
Erica Hope, CAN-E, [email protected]
Bunkers
Art Williams, Sierra Club, [email protected]
Technology
Victor Menotti, IFG, [email protected]
Tirthankar Mandal, WWF, [email protected]
Shared Vision
Nina Jamal, IndyAct, [email protected]
Capacity Building
Pat Finnegan, [email protected]
Mona Matepi, [email protected]
MRV
Erika Rosenthal, Earth Justice, [email protected]
Niranjali Amerasinghe, CIEL, [email protected]
Martin Wagner, [email protected]
Legal
Stephen Porter, CIEL, [email protected]
Srinivas Krishnaswamy, [email protected]
Political Coordination Group
Julie-Anne Richards, CAN, [email protected]
current developed country
mitigation pledges
Tove Maria Ryding
Climate Action Network – International
Network of 550 civil society organisations around the world
Developed country pledges: Where are parties after
Cancun?
1.
2.
3.
4.
Adopted: 2oC goal
Agreed: consider moving to 1.5oC
Recognised: 25-40% range for developed countries
Agreed: scaled-up effort necessary to
• achieve the global goal
• move developed countries into 25-40% range
Current developed country pledges are far below the IPCC
25-40% range, making them inconsistent with 1.5oC/2oC.
How big is the gap?
Global emissions, GtCO2e
56 GtCO2e under business-as-usual
53 GtCO2e in case of low, unconditional pledges and lenient rules
49 GtCO2e in case of higher, conditional pledges and strict rules
44 GtCO2e or far less needed for 1.5oC/2oC
5-9 GtCO2e remaining gap
Consistent with 2oC
Consistent with 1.5oC
Source: Adapted from The Emissions Gap report, UNEP, 2010
3
Clarifications needed
1. Developed countries must clarify what their true
emissions will be, i.e. their assumptions on forests and
other land use accounting, the use of carbon offsets and
hot air carry-over, in order to close all loopholes.
2. Developed countries with current pledges below the 2540% range must explain how their low pledges
• should be compensated for by other developed
countries making higher cuts instead,
• are consistent with their fair share of the globally
needed mitigation effort.
Clarifications needed (continued)
3. Developed countries whose pledges are
• below their current Kyoto targets, and/or
• below BAU under existing domestic legislation and
targets (e.g. efficiency targets),
must explain how those pledges constitute progress.
4. Developed countries must explain how their 2020
pledges will allow them to achieve near-zero
emissions by 2050.
Thank you
Climate Action Network – International is a coalition of 550
civil society organisations worldwide committed to limiting
climate change to ecologically sustainable levels.
CAN-I
North Africa (Maghreb)
David Turnbull, [email protected] Mohammed Bendada,
Julie-Anne Richards,
[email protected]
[email protected]
South Africa
Canada
Dorah Lebelo, [email protected]
Graham Saul, [email protected]
Southern Africa
United States
Rajen Awotar, [email protected]
Angela Anderson,
[email protected]
West Africa
Emmanuel Seck, [email protected]
Latin America
Victor Campos,
CAN Eastern Europe, Caucasus and
[email protected]
Central Asia
Irina Stavchuk, [email protected]
Brazil
Rubens Born, [email protected]
Europe
Gaines Campbell, [email protected]
Matthias Duwe, [email protected]
Ulriikka Aarnio, [email protected]
Mexico
Ana Romero, [email protected] France
Sébastien Blavier, [email protected]
Eastern Africa / Uganda
Morgane Créach, [email protected]
Geoffrey Kamese, [email protected]
China
Fei Xiaojing, [email protected] Patrick
Schroeder, [email protected]
South Asia
Sanjay Vashist, [email protected] or
[email protected]
Southeast Asia
Gurmit Singh, [email protected]
Japan
Kimiko Hirata, [email protected]
Australia
George Woods, [email protected]
Cook Islands
David Ngatae, [email protected]
Federated States of Micronesia
Marstella Jack,[email protected]
Tuvalu
Mrs Pulafagu Toafa, [email protected]
Policy Working Groups
Adaptation
Harjeet Singh, [email protected]
Sven Harmeling, [email protected]
Rachel Berger, [email protected]
Finance
Steve Herz, [email protected]
Mahlet Eyassu, [email protected]
REDD
Gaines Campbell, Vitae Civilis, [email protected]
John Lanchbery, RSPB, [email protected]
Flex Mechs
Eva Filzmoser, CDM-Watch, [email protected]
Naoyuki Yamagishi, WWF, [email protected]
LULUCF
Chris Henschel, CPAWS, [email protected]
Melanie Coath, RSPB, [email protected]
Mitigation
Nina Jamal, IndyAct, [email protected]
Erica Hope, CAN-E, [email protected]
Bunkers
Art Williams, Sierra Club, [email protected]
Technology
Victor Menotti, IFG, [email protected]
Tirthankar Mandal, WWF, [email protected]
Shared Vision
Nina Jamal, IndyAct, [email protected]
Capacity Building
Pat Finnegan, [email protected]
Mona Matepi, [email protected]
MRV
Erika Rosenthal, Earth Justice, [email protected]
Niranjali Amerasinghe, CIEL, [email protected]
Martin Wagner, [email protected]
Legal
Stephen Porter, CIEL, [email protected]
Srinivas Krishnaswamy, [email protected]
Political Coordination Group
Julie-Anne Richards, CAN, [email protected]