Departement of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business

         

  Universitas  Padjadjaran   Departement  of  Economics,  Faculty  of   Economics  and  Business  

  CODE A  

       

Principles  of  Macroeconomics  Review

  Time   :  90  Minutes   Closed  books  and  Notes   Permitted  materials:  Non  –  programmable  calculator;   Dictionary  

    General  Instructions  

  1. Read  the  brief  instructions  before  answering  the  questions  

  2. Read  the  questions  carefully  and  don’t  panic!  

  3. Do  not  ever  cheat  during  the  test  in  any  way.  Any  illegal   actions  will  get  an  appropriate  punishment  

  4. Do  not  write  anything  on  the  question  paper.  The  question   paper  is  used.   If  you  have  given  up  on  all  questions,  please  just  leave  the  room   and  get  some  fresh  air!  

   

  TIPE  A   Multiple  Choice  (30%)  

  d. 16,67  

  c. AUD  387,98    

  b. AUD  236,21  

  a. AUD  198,43  

  d. THB  4849   $421,  how  much  it  will  cost  in  Australia?  

  c. THB  4188  

  b. THB  1845    

  a. THB  269  

  5. In   open   economy   system,   Thailand   GDP   in   2014   is   THB   17512   which   consists   of   consumer  spending  for  THB  5762,  saving  for  THB  6118,  and  net  export  for  THB  4235.   How  much  the  government  spends  their  money  for  national  activity?    

  d. Fisher  effect  

  c. Inflation  tax  

  b. Shoe  leather  cost  

  4. Inflation   will   make   people   walk   to   the   bank   more   often   in   order   to   reduce   money   holding.  This  condition  is  called  ……   a. Menu  cost  

  c. 26,67  

  1. Suppose  V  is  constant,  M  is  growing  5%  per  year,  Y  is  growing  2%  per  year,  and  r  =  4.     Solve  for  i  .  .  .  

  b. 20  

  a. 13,33  

  3. Suppose   Indonesia   produced   2   ton   of   potatoes.   The   quantity   of   money   is   Rp   5.000.000  and  the  peoples  spend  a  total  of  Rp  40.000.000  per  year  of  potato.  If  the   output  increased  by  50  %  and  the  quantity  of  money  change    to  Rp  6.000.000,  what   is  the  velocity  of  money?  

  d. Is  higher  when  each  dollar  is  used  more  frequently  

  c. Is  higher  whenthe  interest  rate  is  high  

  b. Depends  only  on  the  amount  of  money  in  the  economy  

  a. Is  higher  when  the  real  gross  domestic  product  is  high  

  2. The  velocity  of  money…  

  d. 2  

  c. 1  

  b. 7  

  a. 3  

  d. AUD  456,83  

  7. If  Philippines  capital  outflow  is  about  7844  in  2013  and  its  inflow  is  about  8736.  What   does  this  means  and  how  much  its  net  foreign  investment?   a. Budget  surplus,  892  

  b. Budget  deficit,  -­‐892  

  c. Trade  surplus,  892  

  d. Trade  deficit,  -­‐892    

  8. In  2010  we  can  buy  S$1  for  Rp10.000.  In  2013  we  have  to  pay  Rp11.500  to  get  S$1.   What  happen  to  Indonesia  Rupiah?  

  a. Appreciating  

  b. Depreciating  

  c. Deficit  

  d. Surplus  

  9. If   there   is   a   surplus   of   loanable   funds   in   Indonesia,   the   quantity   of   loanable   funds   demanded  in  Indonesia  is   a. greater  than  the  quantity  supplied  and  the  interest  rate  will  rise  

  b. greater  than  the  quantity  supplied  and  the  interest  rate  will  fall  

  c. less  than  the  quantity  supplied  and  the  interest  rate  will  rise  

  d. less  than  the  quantity  supplied  and  the  interest  rate  will  fall  

  10. Suppose  that  the  Indonesian  citizen  start  saving  more.  What  does  this  imply  about   the  supply  of  loanable  funds  and  the  equilibrium  real  interest  rate?  What  happen  to   the  real  exchange  rate?  

  a. the  supply  of  loanable  funds  will  decrease,  the  equilibrium  of  the  real  interest   rate  falls,  and  the  real  exchange  rate  of  Rupiah  will  appreciates   b. the   demand   of   loanable   funds   increase,   the   supply   of   loanable   funds   will   decrease,  the  equilibrium  of  the  real  interest  rate  falls,  and  the  real  exchange   rate  of  Rupiah  will  appreciates  

  c. the  supply  of  loanable  funds  will  increase,  the  equilibrium  of  the  real  interest   rate  falls,  and  the  real  exchange  rate  of  Rupiah  will  depreciates   d. the   demand   of   loanable   funds   increase,   the   supply   of   loanable   funds   will   increase,  the  equilibrium  of  the  real  interest  rate  rise,  and  the  real  exchange   rate  of  Rupiah  will  appreciates  

  11. Suppose  that  U.S  government  budget  deficit  increases,  what  will  happen  to  their  real   interest  rate,  domestic  investment,  net  capital  outflow,  real  exchange  rate  of  dollar   and  their  trade  balance  condition?  (Answer  this  question  with  the  exact  sequences)  

  b. rises,  falls,  falls,  appreciates,  falls  

  c. rises,  falls,  rises,  depreciates,  rises  

  d. falls,  rises,  falls,  depreciates,rises  

  12. Which  of  the  following  is  correct?  

  a. Over  the  business  cycle  consumption  fluctuates  more  than  investment   c. During  recession  sales  and  profit  tend  to  fall  

  d. Because  of  the  government  policy,  Indonesia  has  suffered  no  recession  in  the   last  20  years  

  13. Suppose  there  is  a  rise  in  tax  rate.  This  rise  would  induced  people  to…  

  a. Increase  consumption,  shifting  aggregate  demand  curve  to  the  right  

  b. Increase  consumption,  aggregate  demand  curve  moving  to  the  right  

  c. Decrease  consumption,  shifting  aggregate  demand  to  the  left  

  d. Decrease  consumption,  the  aggregate  demand  curve  moving  to  the  left  

  14. Which  of  the  following  would  cause  prices  to  fall  and  output  to  rise  in  the  short  run?  

  a. Short  run  aggregate  supply  shifts  right  

  b. Short  run  aggregate  supply  shifts  left  

  c. Aggregate  demand  shift  right  

  d. Aggregate  demand  shift  right  

  15. The  slope  of  aggregate  demand  is  the  result  from  these  three  reasons,  except  ……  

  a. Interest  rate  effect  

  b. Income  effect  

  c. Wealth  effect  

  d. Exchange  rate  effect    

  (70%) Essay    

Instruction   :   YOU   MUST   done   ALL   of   COMPULSORY   questions   and   CHOOSE   ONLY   ONE   OPTIONAL  

questions.     Compulsory  Questions  (@25%)  

  1. In   2013,   Indonesia’s   GDP   is   about   $1   Trillion   and   the   value   of   Net   Export   is   $2,5   Billion.  In  the  same  time,  Indonesia’s  real  interest  rate  is  3%  and  the  amount  of  the   loanable  fund  is  about  $170  Billion.  All  of  the  variables  are  in  equilibrium  condition.   (Indonesia  is  an  open  economy)  

  a. Draw   the     graph   to   illustrate   the   equilibrium   condition   of   Indonesian   Economy  in  2013.  

  b. Let’s   say,   in   2014,   there   is   a   capital   flight   in   USA   and   the   capital   move   to   Indonesia   (Ceteris   Paribus).   Draw   the   graph   to   illustrate   the   effect   of   afore   mentioned  condition  to  the  Indonesian  economy  and  explain  the  process.     nation  is  now  in  a  recession.  …  “From  a  consumer’s  perspective,  the  economy  is  bad,   and   the   environment   is   going   to   be   tough   for   a   while,”   said   Wachovia   economist   Mark  Vitner.  …  Through  growth  was  sluggish  in  the  last  quarter  of  2007  and  the  first   quarter   of   2008,   the   US   economy   has   not   yet   shown   retraction   in   the   current   slowdown.  …  “Whether  the  economy  technically  meets  the  definition  of  a  recession   matters   more   for   economists   and   policy   makers   than   it   does   for   consumers,”   said   Vitner.   …   Of   those   who   think   the   economy   is   in   a   recession,   27   percent   said   they   believe  we  are  in  a  serious  recession.  …  Americans  are  less  confident  in  the  future  of   the  economy  than  they  were  in  March.  The  poll  showed  that  23  percent  believe  the   downturn  will  last  more  than  two  years,  up  from  19  percent  in  March.  …  

  CNN,  July  7,  2008  

  a. Explain   the   effects   of   a   decrease   in   consumer   confidence   on   the   short-­‐run   macroeconomic  equilibrium  and  draw  a  graph  to  illustrate  the  effects.   b. If   the   economy   had   been   operating   at   a   full-­‐employment   equilibrium,   describe  the  effect  of  the  fall  in  consumer  confidence  in  the  full-­‐employment   equilibrium.  Draw  a  graph  to  describe.  

     Optional  Questions  (20%)  

   

  3. The   table   below   provides   information   about   the   demand   for   money   in   Ramira.   Column   A   is   the   price   level,   P.   Column   B   and   C   show   the   quantity   of   money   demanded   at   two   values   of   real   GDP   in   two   years:   Y 1   is   $10   billion   and   Y 2   is   $20   billion.   (Remember:   both   real   GDPs   hold   only   if   the   money   supply   is   unchanged   between  years)  

  A   B   C   P   Y 1   Y 2  

  1   1.0   1.5   2   1.5   2.0   3   2.0   2.5   4   2.5   3.0   5   3.0   3.5   6   3.5   4.0   7   4.0   4.5  

   

  a) If  real  GDP  is  $10  billion  and  the  quantity  of  money  supplied  is  $3  billion.  Graph   the   money   market   curve!   Give   your   analysis   on   what   happens   in   Ramira   if   the   price  level:   i. Exceeds  $5!   ii. Equals  $5!  

  Do  people  buy  or  sell  bonds?  Will  the  price  level  rise  or  fall?  

  b) If  the  price  level  is  $15,  calculate  the  velocity  of  money  in  year  1!  

  c) The   quantity   of   money   increases   by   20%   in   year   2.   Calculate   the   quantity   of   money,  the  price  level,  real  GDP,  and  the  velocity  in  year  2!    

  4. The   following   datails   used   to   analyse   the   purchasing   power   parity   in   the   several   countries  using  the  price  of  CocaCola.  The  price  data  of  CocaCola  in  5  countries  are:  

  Country   The   Price   of   Coca   Predicted  Exchange   Actual   Exchange   Cola   Rate   Rate  

  Indonesia   Rp  5000   ____/US$   Rp  11000/US$   South  Korea   ₩  550   ____/US$   ₩  1000/US$   Swiss   CHF  0.6   ____/US$   CHF  0.88/US$   Czech   Kč  8   ____/US$   Kč  20/US$   Brazil   R$  1.2   ____/US$   R$  2.2/US$  

  Source:  Example  

  a. For  each  country,  calculate  the  predicted  exchange  rate  of  domestic  currency  per   U.S.  dollar!  

  b. Does  the  predicted  exchange  rate  equal  with  the  real  exchange  rate?  If  it  is  not   equal,  why  does  the  predicted  exchange  rate  is  not  equal  with  the  real  exchange   rate?    

  5. The  1990s    economic  boom    creating    almost  24  million  jobs,  rising  productivity  gains   month  over  month;  and  causing  gross  domestic  product    growth  month  over  month   and  unprecedented  investment  in  the  stock  market  (Wall  Street  added  $10  trillion  in   wealth  over  the  decade). This  prosperity,  combined  with  the  Budget  Acts  of  1990  and  

  1993  (which  raised  taxes  and  restrained  spending),  allowed  the  federal  government  

to  go  from  a  $290  billion  deficit  in  1992  to  a  record  $236.4  billion  surplus  in  2000.    

  a. Explain   how   the   stock   boom   could   affect   the   money   market   and   aggregate   demand.  What  is  the  consequences?  Draw  a  graph  to  illustrate  the  effects.   b. When  the  stock  boom  occurs,  why  is  the  interest  rate  tend  to  have  higher  rate  

  (interest  rates  raised  from  3%  to  6%)?  What  is  the  role  of  the  Central  Bank  in  this   situation?