Bankruptcy Predicton Analysis Of Companies Listed On The Indonesian Stock Exchange

The First International Conference on Engineering, Technology and Applied Business 2014
Batam-Indonesia, 4th December 2014

Paper-SH- 005: Bankruptcy Predicton Analysis of Companies Listed on The Indonesian
Stock Exchange
Tia Maria Sembiringa*, Sinartib
a

Politeknik Negeri Batam, Parkway street Batam Centre, Batam 29461. Telp +62 85668842118, fax +62 778 463620
Politeknik Negeri Batam, Parkway street Batam Centre, Batam 29461. Telp +62 8127040316, fax +62 778 463620
*
Corresponding author: tia@ptdsaw.co.id

b

ABSTRACT
Bankruptcy prediction is useful for companies which want to maintain their existence in order to take into account
the possible policies to increase production and sales. Bankruptcy prediction gives an overview to the company's
management and investors that actual conditions are under control. This study aims to determine the financial health
level of manufacturing and metal companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and also to find out if there is a
significant difference to the approach using three models to examine a company’s financial health. This study used

secondary data obtained from www.idx.co.id. The analysis used a linear regression and T-tests. The results of this
study indicated that there are no significant difference on predictive models Z-Score and Springate, but there are
significant differences to the model predictions with the Z-Score with Zmijewski and Springate with Zmijewski. The
Z-Score Model predictions indicate that many companies could potentially bankrupt the state, as well as Springate,
but Zmijewski states that companies are more healthy.
Keywords: A-score, springate, zmijewski, bankruptcy, prediction.

Politeknik Negeri Batam, ICC Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Asian Fellowship of Academic Professionals (AFAP)

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