erna

2 PT “SUMPIL PERMATA JAYA”

  • 5
  • 4
  • 3
  • 2
  • 1
  • 50.000
  • 44.000
  • 39.000
  • 26.000
  • 15.000

  16

     

       

  ) = 108.000 / 110 = 981,82 C =

  2

  Jumlah 11 170.000 110 108.000 1.663.000 1954 B = ( Σ XY / Σ X

  81 256 625

  1

  2

  1

  16

  81

  625 256

  162.000 304.000 500.000

  117.000 52.000 15.000 17.000 70.000

  2

  2

  4

  11   x x

  =  407 000 .

  18  

  . 18 000 293 .

  21 . 700 000 .

  . 12 538

  = 100 .

  1

  17.000 35.000 54.000 76.000

  11 . 000 110 170 000 . 663 .

  1

           2 . 110 958

  =

        

  X Y X n

  X n Y

  100.000 250.000 176.000

  25

  Ramalan Penjualan dari Metode Kuadratik

  X

  5

  4

  3

  2

  1

  4

  2 Y

  7

  X

  2 XY

  X

  MALANG No Tahun Penjualan (Y) Prediksi (X)

  = A + BX + CX

  I

  Y

  6

  8

  16

  25

  9

  4

  1

  1

  4

  9

  16

  5

  9

  4

  3

  2

  1

  10.000 11.000 13.000 13.000 15.000 16.500 17.000 17.500 18.000 19.000 20.000

  11 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

  10

2 X

  = -43,12

2 A = (Σ Y – C Σ X ) / n

  = ( 170 – ((-43,12)(110))) / 11 = (170.000 – ( -4.743,2)) / 11 = 174.743,2 / 11 = 15.885,75

  1

2 Y = 15.885,75 + 981,85X + (-43,12X )

  Y 2002 = 15.885,75 + 981,82(6) + (-43,12 (36)) = 15.885,75 + 5.890,92 + (-1.552,32) = 20.224,35 = 20.225 Jadi ramalan penjualan tahun 2002 adalah 20.225 unit.