The size of the Brazilian light vehicle fleet also plays a role in encouraging ethanol consumption. The fleet is estimated at 35.46 million units in June 2017, and pure hydrous ethanol and flex fuel
powered vehicles together represent approximately 76 percent 27 million units of the total fleet. The table below shows the licensing of flex fuel vehicles FFV and hydrous ethanol powered cars,
as reported by the Brazilian Association of Vehicle Manufacturers ANFAVEA. Sales of FFV currently represent over 90 percent of total monthly vehicle sales. The slowdown of the Brazilian
economy in 2016 has sharply affected the purchasing of new flex-fuel cars.
Licensing of Ethanol Powered Vehicles pure ethanol flex fuel units 2011
2012 2013
2014 2015
2016 20171
2,848,071 3,162,824
3,169,111 2,940,508
2,194,020 1,750,754
881,559 Source: National Association of Vehicle Manufacturers ANFAVEA 1 January-June
4.4. Trade A. Exports
Brazil’s total ethanol exports for 2018 are forecast at 1.4 million liters, unchanged from the current estimate for 2017. Fuel ethanol exports for 2016 are estimated at 939 million liters, mostly to the
United States. The tables below show ethanol exports NCM 2207.10 through 2207.20.19 for 2016 and 2017 January-June, as reported by the Brazilian Secretariat of Foreign Trade SECEX.
Brazilian Ethanol Exports NCM 2207.10, 2207.20.11 2207.20.19, MT, 000 Liters, US 1,000 FOB
CY 2016 CY 2017 1
Country Volume
Weight Value
Volume Weight
Value
United States 795,207
629,311 421,649
440,605 348,349
272,043 South Korea
630,890 514,418
300,267 88,289
71,277 45,376
Japan 82,200
64,972 44,619
55,955 44,168
34,735 Colombia
15,308 12,339
8,377 5,873
4,788 3,803
Uruguay 2,749
2,238 1,592
856 694
522 Liberia
1,457 1,174
943 476
384 335
Cote DIvore 245
197 169
340 274
237 France
168 135
223 Chile
1,188 1,036
769 327
264 190
Paraguay 123
110 115
124 119
150 Others
259,668 208,998
117,844 599
486 517
Total 1,789,034
1,434,793 896,343
593,612 470,938
358,131 Source: Brazilian Foreign Trade Secretariat SECEX
Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding 1Jan-Jun.
B. Imports
Brazil’s total ethanol imports for 2018 are projected at 1.3 billion liters, a decrease of 400 million liters compared to 2017, due to expected increase in domestic production. Ethanol imports are
only for fuel use and originate almost entirely from the United States. Steady imports from the United States, particularly since the second semester of 2016 and early 2017, have concerned
domestic ethanol producers, who requested the Brazilian government impose an import tariff see section 2.2.5. Ethanol Import Tariff Quota. However, post contacts report that even if the tariff
is increased, at certain times in the year imports will continue because the price arbitrage still favors U.S. ethanol.
The tables below show ethanol imports NCM 2207.10 through 2207.20.19 for 2016 and 2017 January-June, as reported by the Brazilian Secretariat of Foreign Trade SECEX.
Brazilian Ethanol Imports NCM 2207.10, 2207.20.11 2207.20.19, 000 Liters, MT, US 1,000 FOB
CY 2016 CY 2017 1
Country Volume
Weight Value
Volume Weight
Value
United States 829,819
655,378 392,779
1,279,773 1,021,486
640,613 Paraguay
572 452
420 Jamaica
41 48
354 40
32 221
Germany 99
80 105
73 63
83 France
10 9
65 6
5 35
Sweden 7
6 47
2 4
30 Mexico
1 3
14 2
2 10
Spain 1
Japan 7
Switzerland Others
2,166 1,741
1,314 Total
832,144 657,264
394,684 1,280,469
1,022,042 641,414
Source : Brazilian Foreign Trade Secretariat SECEX Numbers may not add due to rounding 1Jan-Jun.
4.5. Ending Stocks
