74
2011 Top 10 countries
Hong Kong SAR 2,124
514 15,098
66 17,802
6.3 India
2,732 2,222
11,190 39
16,183 5.7
South Korea 3,581
2,680 5,340
- 11,601
4.1 China
3,393 149
7,854 183
11,579 4.1
Taiwan 114
3,955 6,503
3 10,575
3.8 United Kingdom
3,598 295
3,531 6
7,430 2.6
United States 385
3,512 2,143
112 6,152
2.2 Australia
1,729 -
1,760 97
3,586 1.3
Indonesia 24
892 2,202
3 3,121
1.1 Malaysia
239 101
2,680 10
3,030 1.1
Total 17,919
14,320 58,301
519 91,059
32.3
a Non-bank loans include loans to government and quasi-government entities
Bank Loans and debt securities
Total exposure In millions
Assets in
Banks Central
banks and Government
securities Non-
banks
a
Investments
Amount As a of
Total assets
1 2
3 4 5=1+2+3+4
6 2012
Top 10 countries
India
3,715 2,583
14,395 36
20,729 7.2
China 9,594
248 9,371
160 19,373
6.7
Hong Kong SAR 1,007
695 15,514
77 17,293
6.0
United States 1,104
9,187 2,374
125 12,790
4.4
South Korea 1,560
2,731 5,182
- 9,473
3.3
United Kingdom 1,243
874 3,202
1 5,320
1.8
Indonesia 117
239 3,250
2 3,608
1.3
Malaysia 406
219 2,406
10 3,041
1.1
Taiwan 90
2,339 460
- 2,889
1.0
Japan 1,310
2 1,405
124 2,841
1.0
Total 20,146
19,117 57,559
535 97,357
33.8 Bank
Loans and debt securities Total exposure
In millions Assets in
Banks Central
banks and Government
securities Non-
banks
a
Investments
Amount As a of
Total assets
1 2
3 4 5=1+2+3+4
6
75
45 Market Risk
45.1 Market Risk Market risk affects the economic values of financial
instruments held by the Group, and arises from changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates,
equity prices, commodity prices, credit spreads and changes in the correlations and volatilities of these risk
factors. The Group manages market risk in the course of
market-making, structuring and packaging treasury products for investors and other clients, as well as to
benefit from market opportunities.
Market Risk Governance and Organisation The oversight committee for market risk is the Group
Market Liquidity Risk Committee. This Committee oversees the Group’s market risk management
infrastructure comprising frameworks, policies, risk methodologies, processes and systems, sets market
risk limits and provides enterprise-wide oversight of all market risks and their management. RMG Market
Liquidity Risk, comprising risk control, risk analytics, production and reporting teams, is the independent
market risk management function that reports to the CRO and is responsible for day-to-day market risk
monitoring, control and analysis. Market Risk Framework, Policies and Measures
The Group
’s market risk framework sets out the overall approach towards market risk management and this is
supplemented with policies which articulate the standards relating to limit setting, independent
valuation model validation, risk monitoring and valuation.
The Group
’s market risk methodology uses a historical simulation approach to forecast the Group
’s potential loss distribution arising from market risk in the trading
and banking books. The principal market risk appetite measures used by the Group are Tail Value-at-Risk
TVaR and stress loss. The Group also calculates Value-at-Risk VaR at 99 confidence level using the
same potential loss distribution and holding period used for TVaR.
TVaR captures losses beyond the chosen confidence interval from the potential loss distribution and hence
provides additional information to VaR. TVaR is calculated using a one-day time horizon and a 95
confidence interval. The risk factor scenarios are aligned to parameters and market data that are used
for valuation. The scenarios are maintained in the risk system and are used to compute TVaR at Group level,
and for each business unit and location. The TVaR is supplemented by risk control measures, such as
sensitivities to risk factors as well as loss triggers for management action.
VaR on the other hand facilitates backtesting and comparability at the industry level. Regular backtesting
of daily profit and loss against the VaR forecast is carried out for the trading book as a whole and at the
subportfolio level. Although both VaR and TVaR provide valuable
insights, no statistical measure can capture all aspects of market risk. Historical simulation VaR and TVaR are
based on the assumption that historical rate and price movements will be a good predictor of the future. To
supplement VaR and TVaR, regular stress testing is carried out using a combination of historical and
hypothetical scenarios, to monitor the Group
’s vulnerability to unexpected and extreme shocks.
Trading book and Banking book The
trading book definition is based on the firm’s investment intent. Issuer risk in the trading book is
governed by credit spread sensitivity of one basis point shift CSPV01 and Jump-to-default measurements.
The Group also manages banking book interest rate risk arising from mismatches in the interest rate profile
of assets, liabilities and capital instruments and associated hedges, including basis risk arising from
different interest rate benchmarks, interest rate re- pricing risk, yield curve risks and embedded optionality.
Behavioural assumptions are applied in managing the interest rate risk of banking book deposits with
indeterminate maturities. To manage its balance sheet and revenues, the Group deploys funds in debt
securities, equities and funds or in the interbank money market.
The Group has a comprehensive risk appetite framework for all types of market risk across both the
trading and banking books, including structural foreign exchange risk arising from the Group
’s strategic investments. The Group level total TVaR associated
with this framework is tabulated below, showing the period-end, average, high and low TVaR at a 95
confidence level over a one-day holding period.
The Group 1 Jan 2012 to 31 Dec 2012
In millions As at 31
Dec 2012 Average
High Low
Total 40
52 62
38 The Group
1 Jan 2011 to 31 Dec 2011 In millions
As at 31 Dec 2011
Average High
Low
Total 44
41 48
35
Bank 1 Jan 2012 to 31 Dec 2012
In millions As at 31
Dec 2012 Average
High Low
Total 35
48 58
32 Bank
1 Jan 2011 to 31 Dec 2011 In millions
As at 31 Dec 2011
Average High
Low
Total 41
39 43
33
76
The Group ’s interest rate trading business is the major
contributor of trading book risk and the significant exposures are in SGD and USD.
The following table shows the period-end, average, high and low VaR at a 99 confidence level over a
one-day holding period for trading book market risk:
The Group 1 Jan 2012 to 31 Dec 2012
In millions As at 31
Dec 2012 Average
High Low
Total 17
25 40
15 The Group
1 Jan 2011 to 31 Dec 2011 In millions
As at 31 Dec 2011
Average High
Low
Total 37
27 42
14
Bank 1 Jan 2012 to 31 Dec 2012
In millions As at 31
Dec 2012 Average
High Low
Total 11
21 36
10 Bank
1 Jan 2011 to 31 Dec 2011 In millions
As at 31 Dec 2011
Average High
Low
Total 32
24 34
13
The charts below unaudited provide the range of VaR for the trading portfolio for the period from 1 January
2012 to 31 December 2012: Back-testing is a procedure used to verify the predictive
power of the VaR model involving comparison of daily profits and losses adjusted with the estimates from the
VaR model. In the back-testing for the period from 1 January 2012
to 31 December 2012, there were no backtesting exceptions
2011: 5 exceptions for the Group. There were no backtesting exceptions 2011: 4 exceptions
for the Bank. For the banking book market risk the main risk drivers
are SGD and USD interest rate positions. The economic value impact of changes in interest rates is
simulated under various assumptions for the banking book.
For the Group, the simulated economic value changes are negative 449 million and 848 million 2011:
negative 243 million and 433 million based on parallel shocks to all yield curves of 100 basis points
and 200 basis points respectively. For the Bank, the simulated economic value changes
are negative 433 million and 815 million 2011: negative 219 million and 383 million based on
parallel shocks to all yield curves of 100 basis points and 200 basis points respectively.
The reported figures are based on the worst case of an upward and downward parallel shift in the yield curves.
77
46 Liquidity Risk
Funding liquidity risk or liquidity risk is the risk arising from an inability to meet obligations when they become due. The Group
’s liquidity obligations arise from withdrawals of deposits, repayments of borrowed funds at maturity, and commitments to extend credit and support working capital needs. The Group seeks to manage its liquidity in a manner
that ensures that its liquidity obligations would continue to be honoured under normal as well as adverse circumstances. Liquidity Risk Governance and Organisation
The oversight committee for liquidity risk is the Group Market Liquidity Risk Committee. This Committee oversees the
Group’s liquidity risk management infrastructure comprising frameworks, policies, risk methodologies, processes and systems, sets liquidity risk limits and provides enterprise-wide oversight of all liquidity risks and their
management. RMG Market Liquidity Risk, comprising risk control, risk analytics, production and reporting teams, is the independent liquidity risk management function that reports to the CRO and is responsible for day-to-day liquidity
risk monitoring, control and analysis.
Liquidity Risk Framework, Policies and Measures In practice, the Group employs a range of strategies to manage its liquidity. These include maintaining an adequate
counterbalancing capacity comprising liquid assets, the capacity to borrow from the money markets as well as forms of managerial interventions that improve liquidity to address potential cashflow shortfalls, maintaining diversified sources
of liquidity, and having robust internal control processes. In the event of a potential or actual crisis, the Group has in place a set of liquidity contingency and recovery plans to ensure that decisive actions are taken to ensure the Group
maintain adequate liquidity. The primary measure used to manage liquidity within the appetite defined by the Board is the maturity mismatch
analysis. The analysis is performed on a regular basis under normal and adverse scenarios, and assesses the adequacy of the counterbalancing capacity to fund or mitigate any cashflow shortfalls that may occur as forecasted in
the cashflow movements across successive time bands. To ensure that liquidity is managed in line with the appetite statement, core parameters underpinning the performance of the analysis, such as the types of scenarios, the survival
period and the minimum level of liquid assets, are pre-specified for monitoring and control at the Group. Any occurrences of forecasted shortfalls that cannot be covered by the counterbalancing capacity would be escalated to the
relevant internal risk committees for deliberation and actions. To complement the maturity mismatch analysis in its objective to manage liquidity within the appetite statement, liquidity
risk control measures, such as liquidity-related ratios and balance sheet analysis, are performed for more granular monitoring and control over the liquidity profile of the Group and across locations.
78
The table below analyses assets and liabilities of the Group at 31 December based on the remaining period as at balance sheet date to the contractual maturity date:
The Group 2012
2011
In millions
Up to 1 year More than 1
year Total
Up to 1 year More than 1
year Total
Cash and balances with central banks
17,767 -
17,767 25,300
- 25,300
Singapore Government securities and treasury bills
5,675 6,417
12,092 6,209
6,294 12,503
Due from banks 27,470
1,338 28,808
24,383 1,188
25,571 Financial assets at fair value
through profit or loss
6,397 5,143
11,540 6,633
5,294 11,927
Positive fair value for financial derivatives
17,280 -
17,280 21,164
- 21,164
Loans and advances to customers 92,629
116,766 209,395
86,134 108,141
194,275 Financial investments
9,709 25,858
35,567 9,509
20,982 30,491
Securities pledged and transferred 2,576
1,821 4,397
1,423 1,211
2,634 Investments in associates
- 1,236
1,236 -
949 949
Goodwill on consolidation -
4,802 4,802
- 4,802
4,802 Properties and other fixed assets
- 945
945 -
976 976
Investment properties -
497 497
- 372
372 Deferred tax assets
- 91
91 -
149 149
Other assets 5,478
3,195 8,673
7,616 2,135
9,751 Total assets
184,981 168,109
353,090 188,371
152,493 340,864
Due to banks 23,603
1,559 25,162
26,124 1,477
27,601 Due to non-bank customers
237,675 3,490
241,165 217,075
1,917 218,992
Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss
4,508 3,341
7,849 7,624
4,288 11,912
Negative fair value for financial derivatives
17,532 -
17,532 22,207
- 22,207
Bills payable 316
- 316
254 -
254 Current tax liabilities
824 -
824 836
- 836
Deferred tax liabilities -
30 30
- 30
30 Other liabilities
8,102 348
8,450 8,325
1,957 10,282
Other debt securities in issue 6,629
3,607 10,236
7,945 2,409
10,354 Due to holding company
822 -
822 1,533
- 1,533
Subordinated term debts -
5,505 5,505
- 5,304
5,304 Total liabilities
300,011 17,880
317,891 291,923
17,382 309,305
Non-controlling interests -
1,743 1,743
- 1,757
1,757 Shareholders’ funds
- 33,456
33,456 -
29,802 29,802
Total equity -
35,199 35,199
- 31,559
31,559
79
Bank 2012
2011
In millions
Up to 1 year More than 1
year Total
Up to 1 year More than 1
year Total
Cash and balances with central banks
11,652 -
11,652 21,728
- 21,728
Singapore Government securities and treasury bills
5,675 6,417
12,092 6,209
6,294 12,503
Due from banks 20,725
1,338 22,063
18,416 1,121
19,537 Financial assets at fair value
through profit or loss
5,636 4,542
10,178 5,684
4,183 9,867
Positive fair value for financial derivatives
16,982 -
16,982 21,034
- 21,034
Loans and advances to customers 65,003
94,440 159,443
61,350 88,250
149,600 Financial investments
7,025 24,740
31,765 6,472
18,853 25,325
Securities pledged and transferred 966
935 1,901
455 781
1,236 Subsidiaries
3,990 11,698
15,688 4,063
10,372 14,435
Due from special purpose entities 2
- 2
15 -
15 Investments in joint ventures
- -
- -
1 1
Investments in associates -
649 649
1,109 1,109
Properties and other fixed assets -
509 509
- 467
467 Investment properties
- 43
43 -
43 43
Deferred tax assets -
28 28
60 60
Other assets 2,505
2,550 5,055
4,615 318
4,933 Total assets
140,161 147,889
288,050 150,041
131,852 281,893
Due to banks 22,285
1,559 23,844
24,369 1,477
25,846 Due to non-bank customers
181,164 1,064
182,228 175,556
1,128 176,684
Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss
2,328 3,107
5,435 2,499
3,391 5,890
Negative fair value for financial derivatives
17,283 -
17,283 22,009
- 22,009
Bills payable 240
- 240
204 -
204 Current tax liabilities
769 -
769 742
- 742
Other liabilities 4,009
161 4,170
4,794 193
4,987 Other debt securities in issue
6,379 2,610
8,989 6,228
1,381 7,609
Due to holding company 822
- 822
1,533 -
1,533 Due to subsidiaries
5,629 1,500
7,129 949
1,500 2,449
Due to special purpose entities -
- -
112 -
112 Subordinated term debts
- 5,505
5,505 -
5,304 5,304
Total liabilities 240,908
15,506 256,414
238,995 14,374
253,369 Non-controlling interests
- -
- -
- -
Shareholders’ funds -
31,636 31,636
- 28,524
28,524 Total equity
- 31,636
31,636 -
28,524 28,524
80
The table below shows the assets and liabilities of the Group at 31 December based on contractual undiscounted repayment obligations:
The Group
In millions Less than
7 days 1 week to
1 month 1 to 3
months 3 to 12
months More than
1 year No specific
maturity Total
2012
Cash and balances with central banks
10,255 1,975
4,161 1,381
- -
17,772
Due from banks
7,233 4,120
5,662 10,521
1,352 -
28,888
Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss
419 1,371
1,676 3,143
5,243 235
12,087
Other securities
a
169 1,249
5,230 12,058
35,312 1,099
55,117
Loans and advances to customers
14,772 23,637
20,711 35,661
125,456 -
220,237
Other assets
b
2,479 159
513 1,481
3,195 7,572
15,399 Total assets
35,327 32,511
37,953 64,245
170,558 8,906
349,500
Due to banks 10,489
6,289 5,166
1,679 1,561
- 25,184
Due to non-bank customers 158,547
29,605 25,372
24,497 3,498
- 241,519
Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss
771 1,019
1,433 1,347
3,464 -
8,034
Other liabilities
c
7,358 3,419
1,624 3,769
4,103 30
20,303
Subordinated term debts -
14 49
113 6,268
- 6,444
Total liabilities 177,165
40,346 33,644
31,405 18,894
30 301,484
Non-controlling interests -
- -
- -
1,743 1,743
Shareholders’ funds -
- -
- -
33,456 33,456
Total equity -
- -
- -
35,199 35,199
Derivatives settled on a net basis
d
469 8
10 53
151 -
283 Net liquidity gap
142,307 7,843
4,299 32,893
151,815 26,323
12,534 2011
Cash and balances with central banks
10,703 5,900
7,248 1,462
- -
25,313 Due from banks
10,144 3,211
4,792 6,361
1,213 -
25,721 Financial assets at fair value
through profit or loss 422
1,210 1,557
3,532 5,863
229 12,813
Other securities
a
197 2,276
4,876 9,428
31,294 1,157
49,228 Loans and advances to
customers 11,193
24,729 18,282
33,698 118,986
- 206,888
Other assets
b
3,975 216
622 37
2,134 9,401
16,385
Total assets 36,634
37,542 37,377
54,518 159,490
10,787 336,348
Due to banks 12,843
7,770 4,314
1,211 1,478
- 27,616
Due to non-bank customers 146,846
25,772 25,417
19,282 1,928
- 219,245
Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss
1,526 1,242
1,408 3,421
4,480 60
12,137 Other liabilities
c
4,285 4,166
4,642 1,441
4,529 4,275
23,338 Subordinated term debts
- 14
3 96
5,868 -
5,981
Total liabilities 165,500
38,964 35,784
25,451 18,283
4,335 288,317
Non-controlling interests -
- -
- -
1,757 1,757
Shareholders’ funds -
- -
- -
29,802 29,802
Total equity -
- -
- -
31,559 31,559
Derivatives settled on a net basis
d
440 22
26 73
119 -
628
Net liquidity gap 129,306
1,444 1,619
28,994 141,088
25,107 15,844
a Other securities include Singapore Government securities and treasury bills, financial investments and securities pledged and transferred b Other assets include investments in associates, goodwill on consolidation, properties and other fixed assets, investment properties, deferred tax
assets and other assets c Other liabilities include bills payable, other debt securities in issue, current and deferred tax liabilities, other liabilities and due to holding company
d Positive indicates inflow and negative indicates outflow of funds
81
Bank
In millions Less than
7 days 1 week to
1 month 1 to 3
months 3 to 12
months More than
1 year No specific
maturity Total
2012
Cash and balances with central banks
5,697 1,501
3,892 568
- -
11,658
Due from banks 6,179
2,470 4,370
7,762 1,352
- 22,133
Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss
419 1,191
1,455 2,778
4,637 235
10,715
Other securities
a
105 513
3,689 10,044
33,376 1,011
48,738
Loans and advances to customers
11,765 18,579
12,811 23,566
101,009 3
167,733
Other assets
b
1,391 154
174 204
2,549 16,920
21,392 Total assets
25,556 24,408
26,391 44,922
142,923 18,169
282,369
Due to banks 9,388
6,167 5,070
1,678 1,561
- 23,864
Due to non-bank customers 135,464
21,010 14,675
10,272 741
331 182,493
Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss
456 321
1,092 509
3,241 -
5,619
Other liabilities
c
11,899 2,326
1,507 1,887
4,374 -
21,993
Subordinated term debts -
14 49
113 6,268
- 6,444
Total liabilities 157,207
29,838 22,393
14,459 16,185
331 240,413
Non-controlling interests -
- -
- -
- -
Shareholders’ funds
- -
- -
- 31,636
31,636 Total equity
- -
- -
- 31,636
31,636
Derivatives settled on a net basis
d
443 9
9 43
91 -
327 Net liquidity gap
132,094 5,439
3,989 30,506
126,829 13,798
9,993 2011
Cash and balances with central banks
7,131 5,904
7,248 1,459
- -
21,742 Due from banks
8,017 2,593
3,577 4,262
1,139 4
19,592 Financial assets at fair value
through profit or loss 410
1,106 1,159
3,082 4,735
229 10,721
Other securities
a
149 1,491
2,859 8,256
28,677 1,074
42,506 Loans and advances to
customers 7,853
19,072 12,284
23,366 96,572
- 159,147
Other assets
b
2,549 28
163 18
319 17,374
20,451
Total assets 26,109
30,194 27,290
40,443 131,442
18,681 274,159
Due to banks 11,721
7,642 4,232
791 1,478
- 25,864
Due to non-bank customers 126,724
18,379 16,658
13,944 1,136
- 176,841
Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss
332 661
563 910
3,576 60
6,102 Other liabilities
c
2,847 2,902
3,623 560
1,652 5,982
17,566 Subordinated term debts
- 14
3 96
5,868 -
5,981
Total liabilities 141,624
29,598 25,079
16,301 13,710
6,042 232,354
Non-controlling interests -
- -
- -
- -
Shareholders’ funds -
- -
- -
28,524 28,524
Total equity -
- -
- -
28,524 28,524
Derivatives settled on a net basis
d
285 24
44 49
106 -
410
Net liquidity gap 115,800
572 2,167
24,191 117,626
15,885 12,871
a Other securities include Singapore Government securities and treasury bills, financial investments and securities pledged and transferred b Other assets include subsidiaries, due from special purpose entities, investments in associates and joint ventures, properties and other fixed assets,
investment properties, deferred tax assets and other assets c Other liabilities include bills payable, other debt securities in issue, current and deferred tax liabilities, other liabilities and due to holding company,
subsidiaries and special purpose entities d Positive indicates inflow and negative indicates outflow of funds
The balances in the above table will not agree with the balances in the balance sheet as the table incorporates all cash flows, on an undiscounted basis, relating to both principal as well as future interest payments.
Customer assets and liabilities including non-maturing savingscurrent deposits are represented on a contractual basis or in a period when it can legally be withdrawn. On a behavioural basis, for liquidity risk analysis the assets and
liabilities cash flows may differ from contractual basis.
82
46.1 Derivatives settled on a gross basis The table below shows the Group