The Ensenada area marina supply will continue to grow strongly, constrained only by site The Pacific coast of Baja California will not see any additional marina development. This The Los Cabos area marina supply will expand in several locations as the ar

N o r t h w e s t M e x i c o M a r i n a M a r k e t A n a l y s i s i - 8 P r o j e c t e d L o c a t i o n s o f M a r i n a D e m a n d i n N o r t h w e s t M e x i c o 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 5 Boating Area Ensenada 751 29 1,500 25 Pacific Coast 40 2 50 1 Los Cabos Region 362 14 1,100 18 La Paz 413 16 1,200 20 Central Coast Sea of Cortez 15 1 450 8 Northern Sea of Cortez 26 1 100 2 Central Coast Mainland 706 27 1,050 18 Mazatlan 287 11 550 9 Total 2,600 100 6,000 100 Prepared by EDAW December 17, 2002 Existing Marina Spaces Percent of Existing Marina Spaces Total Marina Spaces 2015 Percent of Total Marina Spaces in 2015 The projections also assume that there will be some initial marina development in the Baja California Central Coast Sea of Cortez area, and substantial growth in the La Paz area. In summary, we project the following marina development trends by recreational boating area:

1. The Ensenada area marina supply will continue to grow strongly, constrained only by site

availability, due to its proximity to San Diego. Boating activity in the area will gradually spread to adjacent coastal locations and around the islands.

2. The Pacific coast of Baja California will not see any additional marina development. This

area will continue to be part of a rapid journey to the south, with periodic fuel and rest stops at a few key locations. The rest stops can be served by natural anchorages and moorings or buoys. The cross peninsula boat transport system proposed from Santa Rosalillita to Bahia de los Angeles will not become a significant factor in boating activities in the region because it has no well defined market to serve. It will not serve boats in the 25 to 35 foot range – most of these are sport fishers, coastal cruisers or day sailors that are not designed for ocean use. These boats are too small to be sailed part of the way, too big to be trailered, and must be transported professionally. The larger ocean-going boats of 35 feet and up have no reason to stop in mid trip and switch to a transport vehicle. These larger boats can simply continue to Cabo San Lucas and be in reach of excellent services much more rapidly than they would be via Bahia de los Angeles.

3. The Los Cabos area marina supply will expand in several locations as the area continues

its maturation into a preeminent role in the southwestern United Statescoast of Mexico N o r t h w e s t M e x i c o M a r i n a M a r k e t A n a l y s i s i - 9 resort industry. However, any marina development in the Cabo del Este area will need to be preceded by substantial investment in basic infrastructure.

4. The La Paz area marina supply will expand dramatically if Costa Baja and Los Muertos are

developed. These projects will provide access to new market segments, and will move La Paz into a new market position

5. The Baja California central coast of the Sea of Cortez can start a smaller scale marina