Resources - ACCCRN Learning Forum 2016 Presentations and Resources - ACCCRN Network
Shifting Paradigms
G.K.Bhat
TARU
Planning/Design Time Scales
Decision Timeframe
Life of structures
Cimate Change
Nuclear reactor
Indian administrator
Bridges
City planner
Real Estate developer
Multistoried flats
Indian politician
Traditional house
Orchard owner
Tribal house, NE India
Arid farmer
0
50
100
Years
150
200
Humid tropics Farmer
0
5/31/2016
G.K.Bhat: Anticipatory Culture
5
10
15
20
25
30
2
Addressing Transforming (Time) , Transitional (Space) and
Transient (Shock) Challenges
• Expansion & Densification (Transformation)
• Changing Rural urban boundary issues (Transitional areas
undergoing transformation)
• Economy
• Resource use intensification (transformation)
• Climate change (Transformation & Transient processes)
• Resource uncertainties
• Shrinking edges ( sea level rise/Flood plains)
• Disasters (Floods)
Incorporating these phenomena in planning process –
A challenge to be addressed by urban planners and citizens
5/31/2016
G.K.Bhat: Shifting paradigms
3
Paths to Anticipatory culture
• Rediscovering time scales
• understanding process of change (Looking back- looking forward)
• We are victims of past, what we do would impact our own children)
• Developing common visions across multiple stockholders
•
•
•
•
Scenarios and visioning exercises
Worst case scenario building
Understanding and including uncertainties
Multi-stakeholder Institutions>> consensus ( Surat Climate change trust)
• Understanding limits Natural/hydrological/Marine boundaries
• Consumer >> Conservationist culture (maintaining stocks and limiting
outflows)
• Learning to Internalise uncertainties and surprises in planning
http://i24.photobucket.com/al
bums/c8/thomasn528/Goldma
n-Sachs-Building-HurricaneSandy-1400.jpg
5/31/2016
G.K.Bhat: Anticipatory Culture
4
G.K.Bhat
TARU
Planning/Design Time Scales
Decision Timeframe
Life of structures
Cimate Change
Nuclear reactor
Indian administrator
Bridges
City planner
Real Estate developer
Multistoried flats
Indian politician
Traditional house
Orchard owner
Tribal house, NE India
Arid farmer
0
50
100
Years
150
200
Humid tropics Farmer
0
5/31/2016
G.K.Bhat: Anticipatory Culture
5
10
15
20
25
30
2
Addressing Transforming (Time) , Transitional (Space) and
Transient (Shock) Challenges
• Expansion & Densification (Transformation)
• Changing Rural urban boundary issues (Transitional areas
undergoing transformation)
• Economy
• Resource use intensification (transformation)
• Climate change (Transformation & Transient processes)
• Resource uncertainties
• Shrinking edges ( sea level rise/Flood plains)
• Disasters (Floods)
Incorporating these phenomena in planning process –
A challenge to be addressed by urban planners and citizens
5/31/2016
G.K.Bhat: Shifting paradigms
3
Paths to Anticipatory culture
• Rediscovering time scales
• understanding process of change (Looking back- looking forward)
• We are victims of past, what we do would impact our own children)
• Developing common visions across multiple stockholders
•
•
•
•
Scenarios and visioning exercises
Worst case scenario building
Understanding and including uncertainties
Multi-stakeholder Institutions>> consensus ( Surat Climate change trust)
• Understanding limits Natural/hydrological/Marine boundaries
• Consumer >> Conservationist culture (maintaining stocks and limiting
outflows)
• Learning to Internalise uncertainties and surprises in planning
http://i24.photobucket.com/al
bums/c8/thomasn528/Goldma
n-Sachs-Building-HurricaneSandy-1400.jpg
5/31/2016
G.K.Bhat: Anticipatory Culture
4