7 LAMPIRAN 1 DATA PENELITIAN,
50
LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1.
Data Variabel Penelitian.
Data Dana Otonomi khusus (X) di Provinsi Aceh
Tahun 2008-2015
Tahun
Dana Otonomi Khusus (Rp)
2008
1.472.132.897.000
2009
1.610.272.000.000
2010
1.612.837.640.000
2011
2.200.772.392.499
2012
2.769.894.866.100
2013
2.937.012.524.600
2014
3.850.037.274.702
2015
4.046.415.753.916
Sumber: BAPPEDA Provinsi Aceh, 2016
Tahun
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sumber:
Data Petumbuhan Ekonomi (Y) di Provinsi Aceh
Tahun 2008-2015
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (%)
1,88
3,97
5,32
5,89
5,14
4,18
4,68
4,34
BPS Provinsi Aceh, 2016
51
Lampiran 2.
Grafik Variabel Penelitian.
Grafik Dana Otonomi khusus (X) di Provinsi Aceh
Tahun 2008-2015
X
4.5E+12
4.0E+12
3.5E+12
3.0E+12
2.5E+12
2.0E+12
1.5E+12
1.0E+12
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
Grafik Perkembangan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
Provinsi Aceh Tahun 2008-2015
Y
6
5
4
3
2
1
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
2015
52
Lampiran 3
Deskripsi Penelitian
Deskripsi Penelitian
Date: 09/28/16
Time: 01:18
Sample: 2008 2015
X
Y
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
2.56E+12
2.49E+12
4.05E+12
1.47E+12
1.01E+12
0.353704
1.662168
4.425000
4.510000
5.890000
1.880000
1.211540
-1.060626
3.600355
Jarque-Bera
Probability
0.763407
0.682698
1.620047
0.444848
Sum
Sum Sq. Dev.
2.05E+13
7.17E+24
35.40000
10.27480
Observations
8
8
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
53
Lampiran 4
Uji Asumsi Klasik
A. Uji Normalitas
Uji Normalitas
4
Series: Residuals
Sample 2008 2015
Observations 8
3
2
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
-2.66e-15
-0.138952
1.544070
-2.081465
1.149528
-0.340959
2.555812
Jarque-Bera
Probability
0.220772
0.895488
1
0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
B. Uji Autokorelasi
Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
0.731691
2.142822
Prob. F(2,4)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
0.5360
0.3425
54
C. Uji Heteroskedastisitas
Uji Heteroskedastisitas
Menggunakan White’s General Heteroscedasticity Test
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS
1.668055
3.201598
1.400930
Prob. F(2,5)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
0.2786
0.2017
0.4964
55
Lampiran 5
Hasil Regresi
Hasil regresi dari Dana Otonomi Khusus yang mempengaruhi
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 09/28/16 Time: 01:06
Sample: 2008 2015
Included observations: 8
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
C
LOG(X)
-22.82774
0.956152
33.42726 -0.682908
1.172681 0.815355
R-squared
0.099749 Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared -0.050293 S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression
1.241632 Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid
9.249904 Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood
-11.93219 Hannan-Quinn criter.
F-statistic
0.664804 Durbin-Watson stat
Prob(F-statistic)
0.446020
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 (Data Diolah), 2016
Prob.
0.5201
0.4460
4.425000
1.211540
3.483049
3.502909
3.349098
0.874734
56
LAMPIRAN 6
d.f.
dua
sisi
satu
sisi
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
TINGKAT SIGNIFIKANSI
20%
10%
5%
2%
1%
0,20%
0,10%
10%
3,078
1,886
1,638
1,533
1,476
1,44
1,415
1,397
1,383
1,372
1,363
1,356
1,35
1,345
1,341
1,337
1,333
1,33
1,328
1,325
1,323
1,321
1,319
1,318
1,316
1,315
1,314
1,313
1,311
1,31
5%
6,314
2,92
2,353
2,132
2,015
1,943
1,895
1,86
1,833
1,812
1,796
1,782
1,771
1,761
1,753
1,746
1,74
1,734
1,729
1,725
1,721
1,717
1,714
1,711
1,708
1,706
1,703
1,701
1,699
1,697
2,50%
12,706
4,303
3,182
2,776
2,571
2,447
2,365
2,306
2,262
2,228
2,201
2,179
2,16
2,145
2,131
2,12
2,11
2,101
2,093
2,086
2,08
2,074
2,069
2,064
2,06
2,056
2,052
2,048
2,045
2,042
1%
31,821
6,965
4,541
3,747
3,365
3,143
2,998
2,896
2,821
2,764
2,718
2,681
2,65
2,624
2,602
2,583
2,567
2,552
2,539
2,528
2,518
2,508
2,5
2,492
2,485
2,479
2,473
2,467
2,462
2,457
0,50%
63,657
9,925
5,841
4,604
4,032
3,707
3,499
3,355
3,25
3,169
3,106
3,055
3,012
2,977
2,947
2,921
2,898
2,878
2,861
2,845
2,831
2,819
2,807
2,797
2,787
2,779
2,771
2,763
2,756
2,75
0,10%
318,309
22,327
10,215
7,173
5,893
5,208
4,785
4,501
4,297
4,144
4,025
3,93
3,852
3,787
3,733
3,686
3,646
3,61
3,579
3,552
3,527
3,505
3,485
3,467
3,45
3,435
3,421
3,408
3,396
3,385
0,05%
636,619
31,599
12,924
8,61
6,869
5,959
5,408
5,041
4,781
4,587
4,437
4,318
4,221
4,14
4,073
4,015
3,965
3,922
3,883
3,85
3,819
3,792
3,768
3,745
3,725
3,707
3,69
3,674
3,659
3,646
57
LAMPIRAN 7
LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1.
Data Variabel Penelitian.
Data Dana Otonomi khusus (X) di Provinsi Aceh
Tahun 2008-2015
Tahun
Dana Otonomi Khusus (Rp)
2008
1.472.132.897.000
2009
1.610.272.000.000
2010
1.612.837.640.000
2011
2.200.772.392.499
2012
2.769.894.866.100
2013
2.937.012.524.600
2014
3.850.037.274.702
2015
4.046.415.753.916
Sumber: BAPPEDA Provinsi Aceh, 2016
Tahun
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sumber:
Data Petumbuhan Ekonomi (Y) di Provinsi Aceh
Tahun 2008-2015
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (%)
1,88
3,97
5,32
5,89
5,14
4,18
4,68
4,34
BPS Provinsi Aceh, 2016
51
Lampiran 2.
Grafik Variabel Penelitian.
Grafik Dana Otonomi khusus (X) di Provinsi Aceh
Tahun 2008-2015
X
4.5E+12
4.0E+12
3.5E+12
3.0E+12
2.5E+12
2.0E+12
1.5E+12
1.0E+12
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
Grafik Perkembangan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
Provinsi Aceh Tahun 2008-2015
Y
6
5
4
3
2
1
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
2015
52
Lampiran 3
Deskripsi Penelitian
Deskripsi Penelitian
Date: 09/28/16
Time: 01:18
Sample: 2008 2015
X
Y
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
2.56E+12
2.49E+12
4.05E+12
1.47E+12
1.01E+12
0.353704
1.662168
4.425000
4.510000
5.890000
1.880000
1.211540
-1.060626
3.600355
Jarque-Bera
Probability
0.763407
0.682698
1.620047
0.444848
Sum
Sum Sq. Dev.
2.05E+13
7.17E+24
35.40000
10.27480
Observations
8
8
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
53
Lampiran 4
Uji Asumsi Klasik
A. Uji Normalitas
Uji Normalitas
4
Series: Residuals
Sample 2008 2015
Observations 8
3
2
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
-2.66e-15
-0.138952
1.544070
-2.081465
1.149528
-0.340959
2.555812
Jarque-Bera
Probability
0.220772
0.895488
1
0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
B. Uji Autokorelasi
Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
0.731691
2.142822
Prob. F(2,4)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
0.5360
0.3425
54
C. Uji Heteroskedastisitas
Uji Heteroskedastisitas
Menggunakan White’s General Heteroscedasticity Test
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS
1.668055
3.201598
1.400930
Prob. F(2,5)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 ( Data Diolah), 2016
0.2786
0.2017
0.4964
55
Lampiran 5
Hasil Regresi
Hasil regresi dari Dana Otonomi Khusus yang mempengaruhi
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 09/28/16 Time: 01:06
Sample: 2008 2015
Included observations: 8
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
C
LOG(X)
-22.82774
0.956152
33.42726 -0.682908
1.172681 0.815355
R-squared
0.099749 Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared -0.050293 S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression
1.241632 Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid
9.249904 Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood
-11.93219 Hannan-Quinn criter.
F-statistic
0.664804 Durbin-Watson stat
Prob(F-statistic)
0.446020
Sumber: Output Eviews 8.1 (Data Diolah), 2016
Prob.
0.5201
0.4460
4.425000
1.211540
3.483049
3.502909
3.349098
0.874734
56
LAMPIRAN 6
d.f.
dua
sisi
satu
sisi
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
TINGKAT SIGNIFIKANSI
20%
10%
5%
2%
1%
0,20%
0,10%
10%
3,078
1,886
1,638
1,533
1,476
1,44
1,415
1,397
1,383
1,372
1,363
1,356
1,35
1,345
1,341
1,337
1,333
1,33
1,328
1,325
1,323
1,321
1,319
1,318
1,316
1,315
1,314
1,313
1,311
1,31
5%
6,314
2,92
2,353
2,132
2,015
1,943
1,895
1,86
1,833
1,812
1,796
1,782
1,771
1,761
1,753
1,746
1,74
1,734
1,729
1,725
1,721
1,717
1,714
1,711
1,708
1,706
1,703
1,701
1,699
1,697
2,50%
12,706
4,303
3,182
2,776
2,571
2,447
2,365
2,306
2,262
2,228
2,201
2,179
2,16
2,145
2,131
2,12
2,11
2,101
2,093
2,086
2,08
2,074
2,069
2,064
2,06
2,056
2,052
2,048
2,045
2,042
1%
31,821
6,965
4,541
3,747
3,365
3,143
2,998
2,896
2,821
2,764
2,718
2,681
2,65
2,624
2,602
2,583
2,567
2,552
2,539
2,528
2,518
2,508
2,5
2,492
2,485
2,479
2,473
2,467
2,462
2,457
0,50%
63,657
9,925
5,841
4,604
4,032
3,707
3,499
3,355
3,25
3,169
3,106
3,055
3,012
2,977
2,947
2,921
2,898
2,878
2,861
2,845
2,831
2,819
2,807
2,797
2,787
2,779
2,771
2,763
2,756
2,75
0,10%
318,309
22,327
10,215
7,173
5,893
5,208
4,785
4,501
4,297
4,144
4,025
3,93
3,852
3,787
3,733
3,686
3,646
3,61
3,579
3,552
3,527
3,505
3,485
3,467
3,45
3,435
3,421
3,408
3,396
3,385
0,05%
636,619
31,599
12,924
8,61
6,869
5,959
5,408
5,041
4,781
4,587
4,437
4,318
4,221
4,14
4,073
4,015
3,965
3,922
3,883
3,85
3,819
3,792
3,768
3,745
3,725
3,707
3,69
3,674
3,659
3,646
57
LAMPIRAN 7