Village based data approach for Orang utan habitat
7/11/2012
VILLAGE BASED DATA APPROACH FOR ORANG UTAN
HABITAT SUITABILITY MAPPING IN BORNEO
L.B.Prasetyo, K.Mengersen, E. Meijaard,
D.Buchori, Lennie, Yoki, B. Okarda
BOGOR AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY & TNC
ATBC Meeting Bali-Indonesia 2010
Introduction
• In Borneo : 300 distinct Orang Utan (OU) population,
distributes in 130,919 km2 (2004)
• Needs huge effort to map its habitat and population condition
(large amount of money & time needed)
• In 2008 : new approach based on structured-interview based
approach to villagers (687 villages, 10 villagers each, 32 questions
and 34 optional sub-questions)
– Relative Abundance of OU
– Conflict of OU and Community (rate killing)
– Socio, culture/tribes & economic background of community
– Understanding the community knowledge of OU regarding its
status/regulation
– etc
METHOD
• Logistic Regression Model
– Where : P = Absence/Presence of OU
ß ji = Independent Variables
•
P : Relative Abundance data from previous result
1
7/11/2012
Note
INDEPENDENT VARIABEL
(Phisical & Socio-economics)
Abbreviation
Variable
Unit
alt
Altitude (RSTM)
slo
riv
road
popdens
agr
non_ agr
ks
labor
jamkes
Slope (RSTM)
Distance From River (River network)
Road Density (Road network : Landsat)
Population Density (PODES)
Agricultural family (PODES)
Non Agricultural family (PODES)
Pra KS and KS 1 family (PODES)
Agricultural Labor (PODES)
JAMKES recipient (PODES)
Meter Above Sea
Level
Percent
Kilometer
Km/Km2
People/Km2
Number of family
Number of family
Number of family
Number of Labour
Number of recipient
METHOD : Village sampling
Distribution of OU (PHVA 2004)
Number Village : 1,725
Number sample : 687 villages
2
7/11/2012
METHOD : Sample of villages
METHOD : Sample of villages
1. Total area : 5522 Grid each 25km2 (West Borneo, East
Borneo, Central Borneo)
2. Sample area is forested area (based on data in 2006)
which overlapping with village survey location
3. Sampling area : 1104 Grid – Hawth Tools generated
random sampling
4. Presence area is sampling area with presence data from
survey (Relative Abundance/RA = 1, 2,3, or 4)
5. Absence Area is sampling area with absence data (RA= 0)
3
7/11/2012
95% C.I.for
EXP(B)
B
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B) Lower Upper
Step 1a Alt
-.002 .001
14.012
1
.000
.998
.997
.999
slo
.032 .014
5.150
1
.023
1.033
1.004
1.062
riv
.086 .026
10.858
1
.001
1.090
1.035
1.147
road
-.283 .149
3.600
1
.058
.753
.562
1.009
popdens
-.002 .001
1.553
1
.213
.998
.995
1.001
agr
.000 .000
1.965
1
.161
1.000
.999
1.000
non_agr
.000 .000
.612
1
.434
1.000
1.000
1.001
ks
.000 .001
.085
1
.770
1.000
.998
1.001
labour
.000 .001
.000
1
.994
1.000
.999
1.001
jamkes
.000 .001
.085
1
.770
1.000
.998
1.002
Constant
.723 .154
22.095
1
.000
2.060
Nagelkerke R Square = 0.054
0
1
0
61
939
1
13
987
Overall Percentage
presence
%
6.1
98.7
52.4
4
7/11/2012
FUTURE THREAT & POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT
Band 1 : HH
Band 2 : HV
Band 3 : HH-HV/HH+HV
(Normalized =
Decomposed band)
ALOS PALSAR (2008)
RGB : HH,HV,Normalized
Courtesy : JAXA & JICA
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
Gn. Palung National Park
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Bukit Baka & Bukit Raya
5
7/11/2012
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Sebangau
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Kutai
THREAT OF POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT (OIL PALM)
6
7/11/2012
THREAT OF POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT (OIL PALM)
Conclusion
• There are other variables out of variables
utilized in the model
• Habitat of OU tend to distribute at lower
altitude, far from river distribution, steeper
slope and remote place (limited road access)
• Analysis showed based on 2010 Alos Palsar
data, suitable habitat already converted to oil
palm plantation.
• Conservation area is the only potential
suitable habitat, even tough is not free from
encroachment/conversion
7
VILLAGE BASED DATA APPROACH FOR ORANG UTAN
HABITAT SUITABILITY MAPPING IN BORNEO
L.B.Prasetyo, K.Mengersen, E. Meijaard,
D.Buchori, Lennie, Yoki, B. Okarda
BOGOR AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY & TNC
ATBC Meeting Bali-Indonesia 2010
Introduction
• In Borneo : 300 distinct Orang Utan (OU) population,
distributes in 130,919 km2 (2004)
• Needs huge effort to map its habitat and population condition
(large amount of money & time needed)
• In 2008 : new approach based on structured-interview based
approach to villagers (687 villages, 10 villagers each, 32 questions
and 34 optional sub-questions)
– Relative Abundance of OU
– Conflict of OU and Community (rate killing)
– Socio, culture/tribes & economic background of community
– Understanding the community knowledge of OU regarding its
status/regulation
– etc
METHOD
• Logistic Regression Model
– Where : P = Absence/Presence of OU
ß ji = Independent Variables
•
P : Relative Abundance data from previous result
1
7/11/2012
Note
INDEPENDENT VARIABEL
(Phisical & Socio-economics)
Abbreviation
Variable
Unit
alt
Altitude (RSTM)
slo
riv
road
popdens
agr
non_ agr
ks
labor
jamkes
Slope (RSTM)
Distance From River (River network)
Road Density (Road network : Landsat)
Population Density (PODES)
Agricultural family (PODES)
Non Agricultural family (PODES)
Pra KS and KS 1 family (PODES)
Agricultural Labor (PODES)
JAMKES recipient (PODES)
Meter Above Sea
Level
Percent
Kilometer
Km/Km2
People/Km2
Number of family
Number of family
Number of family
Number of Labour
Number of recipient
METHOD : Village sampling
Distribution of OU (PHVA 2004)
Number Village : 1,725
Number sample : 687 villages
2
7/11/2012
METHOD : Sample of villages
METHOD : Sample of villages
1. Total area : 5522 Grid each 25km2 (West Borneo, East
Borneo, Central Borneo)
2. Sample area is forested area (based on data in 2006)
which overlapping with village survey location
3. Sampling area : 1104 Grid – Hawth Tools generated
random sampling
4. Presence area is sampling area with presence data from
survey (Relative Abundance/RA = 1, 2,3, or 4)
5. Absence Area is sampling area with absence data (RA= 0)
3
7/11/2012
95% C.I.for
EXP(B)
B
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B) Lower Upper
Step 1a Alt
-.002 .001
14.012
1
.000
.998
.997
.999
slo
.032 .014
5.150
1
.023
1.033
1.004
1.062
riv
.086 .026
10.858
1
.001
1.090
1.035
1.147
road
-.283 .149
3.600
1
.058
.753
.562
1.009
popdens
-.002 .001
1.553
1
.213
.998
.995
1.001
agr
.000 .000
1.965
1
.161
1.000
.999
1.000
non_agr
.000 .000
.612
1
.434
1.000
1.000
1.001
ks
.000 .001
.085
1
.770
1.000
.998
1.001
labour
.000 .001
.000
1
.994
1.000
.999
1.001
jamkes
.000 .001
.085
1
.770
1.000
.998
1.002
Constant
.723 .154
22.095
1
.000
2.060
Nagelkerke R Square = 0.054
0
1
0
61
939
1
13
987
Overall Percentage
presence
%
6.1
98.7
52.4
4
7/11/2012
FUTURE THREAT & POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT
Band 1 : HH
Band 2 : HV
Band 3 : HH-HV/HH+HV
(Normalized =
Decomposed band)
ALOS PALSAR (2008)
RGB : HH,HV,Normalized
Courtesy : JAXA & JICA
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
Gn. Palung National Park
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Bukit Baka & Bukit Raya
5
7/11/2012
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Sebangau
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Kutai
THREAT OF POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT (OIL PALM)
6
7/11/2012
THREAT OF POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT (OIL PALM)
Conclusion
• There are other variables out of variables
utilized in the model
• Habitat of OU tend to distribute at lower
altitude, far from river distribution, steeper
slope and remote place (limited road access)
• Analysis showed based on 2010 Alos Palsar
data, suitable habitat already converted to oil
palm plantation.
• Conservation area is the only potential
suitable habitat, even tough is not free from
encroachment/conversion
7