Village based data approach for Orang utan habitat
VILLAGE BASED DATA APPROACH FOR
ORANG UTAN HABITAT SUITABILITY
MAPPING IN BORNEO
L.B.Prasetyo, K.Mengersen, E. Meijaard,
D.Buchori, Lennie, Yoki, B. Okarda
BOGOR AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY & TNC
ATBC Meeting Bali-Indonesia 2010
Introduction
• In Borneo : 300 distinct Orang Utan (OU) population,
distributes in 130,919 km2 (2004)
• Needs huge effort to map its habitat and population condition
(large amount of money & time needed)
• In 2008 : new approach based on structured-interview based
approach to villagers (687 villages, 10 villagers each, 32
questions and 34 optional sub-questions)
– Relative Abundance of OU
– Conflict of OU and Community (rate killing)
– Socio, culture/tribes & economic background of community
– Understanding the community knowledge of OU regarding its
status/regulation
– etc
METHOD
• Logistic Regression Model
– Where : P = Absence/Presence of OU
ß ji = Independent Variables
•
P : Relative Abundance data from previous result
Note
INDEPENDENT VARIABEL
(Phisical & Socio-economics)
Abbrevia
tion
Variable
Unit
alt
Altitude (RSTM)
slo
riv
Slope (RSTM)
Distance From River (River
network)
Road Density (Road network : Km/Km2
Landsat)
Population Density (PODES)
People/Km2
Agricultural family (PODES)
Number of
family
Non Agricultural family
Number of
(PODES)
family
Pra KS and KS 1 family
Number of
road
popdens
agr
non_ agr
ks
Meter Above
Sea Level
Percent
Kilometer
METHOD : Village sampling
Distribution of OU (PHVA 2004)
Number Village : 1,725
Number sample : 687 villages
METHOD : Sample of villages
METHOD : Sample of villages
1. Total area : 5522 Grid each 25km2 (West Borneo, East
Borneo, Central Borneo)
2. Sample area is forested area (based on data in 2006)
which overlapping with village survey location
3. Sampling area : 1104 Grid – Hawth Tools generated
random sampling
4. Presence area is sampling area with presence data from
survey (Relative Abundance/RA = 1, 2,3, or 4)
5. Absence Area is sampling area with absence data (RA= 0)
95% C.I.for
EXP(B)
B
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B) Lower Upper
Step 1a Alt
-.002 .001
14.012
1
.000
.998
.997
.999
slo
.032 .014
5.150
1
.023
1.033
1.004
1.062
riv
.086 .026
10.858
1
.001
1.090
1.035
1.147
road
-.283 .149
3.600
1
.058
.753
.562
1.009
popdens
-.002 .001
1.553
1
.213
.998
.995
1.001
agr
.000 .000
1.965
1
.161
1.000
.999
1.000
non_agr
.000 .000
.612
1
.434
1.000
1.000
1.001
ks
.000 .001
.085
1
.770
1.000
.998
1.001
labour
.000 .001
.000
1
.994
1.000
.999
1.001
jamkes
.000 .001
.085
1
.770
1.000
.998
1.002
Constant
.723 .154
22.095
1
.000
2.060
Nagelkerke R Square = 0.054
0
1
presence 0
61
939
1
13
987
Overall Percentage
%
6.1
98.7
52.4
FUTURE THREAT & POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT
Band 1 : HH
Band 2 : HV
Band 3 : HH-HV/HH+HV
(Normalized =
Decomposed band)
ALOS PALSAR (2008)
RGB : HH,HV,Normalized
Courtesy : JAXA & JICA
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
Gn. Palung National Park
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Bukit Baka & Bukit Raya
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Sebangau
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Kutai
THREAT OF POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT (OIL PALM)
THREAT OF POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT (OIL PALM)
Conclusion
• There are other variables out of variables utilized
in the model
• Habitat of OU tend to distribute at lower altitude,
far from river distribution, steeper slope and
remote place (limited road access)
• Analysis showed based on 2010 Alos Palsar data,
suitable habitat already converted to oil palm
plantation.
• Conservation area is the only potential suitable
habitat, even tough is not free from
encroachment/conversion
ORANG UTAN HABITAT SUITABILITY
MAPPING IN BORNEO
L.B.Prasetyo, K.Mengersen, E. Meijaard,
D.Buchori, Lennie, Yoki, B. Okarda
BOGOR AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY & TNC
ATBC Meeting Bali-Indonesia 2010
Introduction
• In Borneo : 300 distinct Orang Utan (OU) population,
distributes in 130,919 km2 (2004)
• Needs huge effort to map its habitat and population condition
(large amount of money & time needed)
• In 2008 : new approach based on structured-interview based
approach to villagers (687 villages, 10 villagers each, 32
questions and 34 optional sub-questions)
– Relative Abundance of OU
– Conflict of OU and Community (rate killing)
– Socio, culture/tribes & economic background of community
– Understanding the community knowledge of OU regarding its
status/regulation
– etc
METHOD
• Logistic Regression Model
– Where : P = Absence/Presence of OU
ß ji = Independent Variables
•
P : Relative Abundance data from previous result
Note
INDEPENDENT VARIABEL
(Phisical & Socio-economics)
Abbrevia
tion
Variable
Unit
alt
Altitude (RSTM)
slo
riv
Slope (RSTM)
Distance From River (River
network)
Road Density (Road network : Km/Km2
Landsat)
Population Density (PODES)
People/Km2
Agricultural family (PODES)
Number of
family
Non Agricultural family
Number of
(PODES)
family
Pra KS and KS 1 family
Number of
road
popdens
agr
non_ agr
ks
Meter Above
Sea Level
Percent
Kilometer
METHOD : Village sampling
Distribution of OU (PHVA 2004)
Number Village : 1,725
Number sample : 687 villages
METHOD : Sample of villages
METHOD : Sample of villages
1. Total area : 5522 Grid each 25km2 (West Borneo, East
Borneo, Central Borneo)
2. Sample area is forested area (based on data in 2006)
which overlapping with village survey location
3. Sampling area : 1104 Grid – Hawth Tools generated
random sampling
4. Presence area is sampling area with presence data from
survey (Relative Abundance/RA = 1, 2,3, or 4)
5. Absence Area is sampling area with absence data (RA= 0)
95% C.I.for
EXP(B)
B
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B) Lower Upper
Step 1a Alt
-.002 .001
14.012
1
.000
.998
.997
.999
slo
.032 .014
5.150
1
.023
1.033
1.004
1.062
riv
.086 .026
10.858
1
.001
1.090
1.035
1.147
road
-.283 .149
3.600
1
.058
.753
.562
1.009
popdens
-.002 .001
1.553
1
.213
.998
.995
1.001
agr
.000 .000
1.965
1
.161
1.000
.999
1.000
non_agr
.000 .000
.612
1
.434
1.000
1.000
1.001
ks
.000 .001
.085
1
.770
1.000
.998
1.001
labour
.000 .001
.000
1
.994
1.000
.999
1.001
jamkes
.000 .001
.085
1
.770
1.000
.998
1.002
Constant
.723 .154
22.095
1
.000
2.060
Nagelkerke R Square = 0.054
0
1
presence 0
61
939
1
13
987
Overall Percentage
%
6.1
98.7
52.4
FUTURE THREAT & POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT
Band 1 : HH
Band 2 : HV
Band 3 : HH-HV/HH+HV
(Normalized =
Decomposed band)
ALOS PALSAR (2008)
RGB : HH,HV,Normalized
Courtesy : JAXA & JICA
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
Gn. Palung National Park
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Bukit Baka & Bukit Raya
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Sebangau
IMPORTANT SUITABLE HABITAT
TN. Kutai
THREAT OF POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT (OIL PALM)
THREAT OF POTENTIAL SUITABLE HABITAT (OIL PALM)
Conclusion
• There are other variables out of variables utilized
in the model
• Habitat of OU tend to distribute at lower altitude,
far from river distribution, steeper slope and
remote place (limited road access)
• Analysis showed based on 2010 Alos Palsar data,
suitable habitat already converted to oil palm
plantation.
• Conservation area is the only potential suitable
habitat, even tough is not free from
encroachment/conversion