rcps final release 31may2010 overview
RCP FINAL
[FIGURE COMPILATION:
RCP FINAL RELEASE]
Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as of 28 May 2010 in 131 Figures.
RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al., May 2010
URL: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~mmalte/rcps
[RADIATIVE FORCING]
Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC EFF Radiative Forcing
14
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:27:11 − FINAL RCPs
8
(W/m^2)
6
4
2
0
−2
−4
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TOTAL ANTHRO EFF Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:27:08 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global GHG EFF Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:27:04 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global KYOTOGHG EFF Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:27:00 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2CH4N2O EFF Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:55 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC Radiative Forcing
14
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:51 − FINAL RCPs
8
(W/m^2)
6
4
2
0
−2
−4
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TOTAL ANTHRO Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:46 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global Montreal Protocol Gases Radiative Forcing
0.35
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:41 − FINAL RCPs
0.25
(W/m^2)
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 Radiative Forcing
0.35
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:36 − FINAL RCPs
0.25
(W/m^2)
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global GHG Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:32 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global KYOTOGHG Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:27 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2CH4N2O Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:23 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global KYOTOCO2EQ Concentrations
3000
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
2500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:19 − FINAL RCPs
(CO2eq ppm)
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2EQ Concentrations
3000
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
2500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:15 − FINAL RCPs
(CO2eq ppm)
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3CL Radiative Forcing
−4
6
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:11 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3BR Radiative Forcing
−5
4
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:06 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
2
1
0
−1
−2
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON2402 Radiative Forcing
−4
1.5
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(W/m^2)
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:02 − FINAL RCPs
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1301 Radiative Forcing
−3
1
x 10
0.9
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.8
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:58 − FINAL RCPs
0.7
(W/m^2)
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1202 Radiative Forcing
1
0.8
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:54 − FINAL RCPs
0.4
(W/m^2)
0.2
0
−0.2
−0.4
−0.6
−0.8
−1
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1211 Radiative Forcing
−3
1.4
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1.2
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:50 − FINAL RCPs
1
(W/m^2)
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 142b Radiative Forcing
−3
5
x 10
4.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
4
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:47 − FINAL RCPs
3.5
(W/m^2)
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 141b Radiative Forcing
−3
4
x 10
3.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:43 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 22 Radiative Forcing
0.08
0.07
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.06
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:39 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global MCF Radiative Forcing
−3
8
x 10
7
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:35 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
5
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Radiative Forcing
0.014
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.012
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:31 − FINAL RCPs
0.01
(W/m^2)
0.008
0.006
0.004
0.002
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 115 Radiative Forcing
−3
1.8
x 10
1.6
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1.4
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:28 − FINAL RCPs
1.2
(W/m^2)
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 114 Radiative Forcing
−3
6
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:24 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 113 Radiative Forcing
0.03
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.025
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:20 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.02
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 12 Radiative Forcing
0.18
0.16
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.14
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:16 − FINAL RCPs
0.12
(W/m^2)
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 11 Radiative Forcing
0.07
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.06
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:13 − FINAL RCPs
0.05
(W/m^2)
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SF6 Radiative Forcing
0.07
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.06
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:09 − FINAL RCPs
0.05
(W/m^2)
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC245fa Radiative Forcing
0.018
0.016
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.014
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:05 − FINAL RCPs
0.012
(W/m^2)
0.01
0.008
0.006
0.004
0.002
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC227ea Radiative Forcing
−3
1
x 10
0.9
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.8
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:01 − FINAL RCPs
0.7
(W/m^2)
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC143a Radiative Forcing
0.04
0.035
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.03
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:58 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.025
0.02
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC134a Radiative Forcing
0.1
0.09
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.08
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:54 − FINAL RCPs
0.07
(W/m^2)
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC125 Radiative Forcing
0.06
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.05
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:45 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC43 10 Radiative Forcing
−3
3.5
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:42 − FINAL RCPs
2.5
(W/m^2)
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC23 Radiative Forcing
−3
6
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:38 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC32 Radiative Forcing
−3
7
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:34 − FINAL RCPs
5
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C6F14 Radiative Forcing
−4
4.5
x 10
4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3.5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:30 − FINAL RCPs
3
(W/m^2)
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C2F6 Radiative Forcing
−3
7
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:27 − FINAL RCPs
5
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CF4 Radiative Forcing
0.025
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:23 − FINAL RCPs
0.02
(W/m^2)
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global VOLCANIC ANNUAL Radiative Forcing
0.5
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:19 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
−1
−1.5
−2
−2.5
−3
−3.5
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SOLAR Radiative Forcing
0.25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.2
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:15 − FINAL RCPs
0.15
(W/m^2)
0.1
0.05
0
−0.05
−0.1
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global STRATOZ Radiative Forcing
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.01
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:12 − FINAL RCPs
−0.02
(W/m^2)
−0.03
−0.04
−0.05
−0.06
−0.07
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TROPOZ Radiative Forcing
0.45
0.4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.35
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:08 − FINAL RCPs
0.3
(W/m^2)
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global BCSNOW Radiative Forcing
0.12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.1
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:04 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global LANDUSE Radiative Forcing
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.05
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:00 − FINAL RCPs
−0.1
(W/m^2)
−0.15
−0.2
−0.25
−0.3
−0.35
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CLOUD TOT Radiative Forcing
0
−0.1
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.2
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:56 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
−0.3
−0.4
−0.5
−0.6
−0.7
−0.8
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TOTAER DIR Radiative Forcing
0
−0.05
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.1
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:52 − FINAL RCPs
−0.15
(W/m^2)
−0.2
−0.25
−0.3
−0.35
−0.4
−0.45
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global BIOMASSAER Radiative Forcing
0.08
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.06
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:48 − FINAL RCPs
0.04
(W/m^2)
0.02
0
−0.02
−0.04
−0.06
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global OC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.01
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:44 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
−0.02
−0.03
−0.04
−0.05
−0.06
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global BC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
0.25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:39 − FINAL RCPs
0.2
(W/m^2)
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global NOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.02
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:35 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
−0.04
−0.06
−0.08
−0.1
−0.12
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
0
−0.05
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.1
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:31 − FINAL RCPs
−0.15
(W/m^2)
−0.2
−0.25
−0.3
−0.35
−0.4
−0.45
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global N2O Radiative Forcing
0.8
0.7
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:27 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH4 Radiative Forcing
1.4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1.2
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:22 − FINAL RCPs
1
(W/m^2)
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2 Radiative Forcing
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:18 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
[CONCENTRATIONS]
Global CH3CL Concentrations
540
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
530
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:13 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
520
510
500
490
480
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3BR Concentrations
9.5
9
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
8.5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:09 − FINAL RCPs
8
(ppt)
7.5
7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON2402 Concentrations
0.45
0.4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.35
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:05 − FINAL RCPs
0.3
(ppt)
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1301 Concentrations
3.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:01 − FINAL RCPs
2.5
(ppt)
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1202 Concentrations
0.06
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.05
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:56 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1211 Concentrations
4.5
4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3.5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:53 − FINAL RCPs
3
(ppt)
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 142b Concentrations
25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:49 − FINAL RCPs
20
(ppt)
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 141b Concentrations
30
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
25
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:45 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
20
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 22 Concentrations
400
350
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
300
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:41 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
250
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global MCF Concentrations
140
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
120
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:38 − FINAL RCPs
100
(ppt)
80
60
40
20
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Concentrations
120
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
100
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:34 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
80
60
40
20
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 115 Concentrations
10
9
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
8
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:30 − FINAL RCPs
7
(ppt)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 114 Concentrations
18
16
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
14
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:26 − FINAL RCPs
12
(ppt)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 113 Concentrations
90
80
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
70
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:22 − FINAL RCPs
60
(ppt)
50
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 12 Concentrations
600
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:19 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 11 Concentrations
300
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
250
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:15 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SF6 Concentrations
120
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
100
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:11 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
80
60
40
20
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC245fa Concentrations
70
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
60
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:07 − FINAL RCPs
50
(ppt)
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC227ea Concentrations
3.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:04 − FINAL RCPs
2.5
(ppt)
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC143a Concentrations
300
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
250
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:00 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC134a Concentrations
700
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
600
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:56 − FINAL RCPs
500
(ppt)
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC125 Concentrations
250
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:53 − FINAL RCPs
200
(ppt)
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC43 10 Concentrations
9
8
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
7
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:49 − FINAL RCPs
6
(ppt)
5
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC23 Concentrations
30
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
25
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:45 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
20
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC32 Concentrations
60
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
50
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:41 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C6F14 Concentrations
0.9
0.8
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.7
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:37 − FINAL RCPs
0.6
(ppt)
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C2F6 Concentrations
25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:34 − FINAL RCPs
20
(ppt)
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CF4 Concentrations
300
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
250
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:30 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global N2O Concentrations
550
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:26 − FINAL RCPs
(ppb)
450
400
350
300
250
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH4 Concentrations
4000
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:22 − FINAL RCPs
3000
(ppm)
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2 Concentrations
2000
1800
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1600
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:19 − FINAL RCPs
1400
(ppm)
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
[EMISSIONS]
Global Montreal Protocol Gases GWP−weighted Emissions
8
7
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:15 − FINAL RCPs
(GtCO2eq/yr)
5
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 GWP−weighted Emissions
2.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:11 − FINAL RCPs
2
(GtCO2eq/yr)
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global KYOTOGHGS GWP−weighted Emissions
140
120
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
100
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:07 − FINAL RCPs
(GtCO2eq/yr)
80
60
40
20
0
−20
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3CL Emissions
3550
3500
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3450
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:04 − FINAL RCPs
3400
(Mg/yr)
3350
3300
3250
3200
3150
3100
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3BR Emissions
220
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
210
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:00 − FINAL RCPs
200
(Mg/yr)
190
180
170
160
150
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON2402 Emissions
1.8
1.6
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1.4
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:56 − FINAL RCPs
1.2
(Mg/yr)
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1301 Emissions
6
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:52 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1202 Emissions
0.8
0.7
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:49 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1211 Emissions
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:45 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 142b Emissions
40
35
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
30
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:41 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
25
20
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 141b Emissions
60
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
50
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:37 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 22 Emissions
500
450
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
400
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:34 − FINAL RCPs
350
(Mg/yr)
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global MCF Emissions
700
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
600
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:30 − FINAL RCPs
500
(Mg/yr)
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Emissions
150
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(Mg/yr)
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:26 − FINAL RCPs
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 115 Emissions
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:18 − FINAL RCPs
10
(Mg/yr)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 114 Emissions
18
16
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
14
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:14 − FINAL RCPs
12
(Mg/yr)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 113 Emissions
300
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
250
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:10 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 12 Emissions
600
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:06 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 11 Emissions
400
350
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
300
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:02 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
250
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SF6 Emissions
18
16
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
14
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:59 − FINAL RCPs
12
(kt/yr)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC245fa Emissions
200
180
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
160
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:55 − FINAL RCPs
140
(kt/yr)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC227ea Emissions
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:51 − FINAL RCPs
(kt/yr)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC143a Emissions
100
90
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
80
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:47 − FINAL RCPs
70
(kt/yr)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC134a Emissions
800
700
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
600
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:43 − FINAL RCPs
(kt/yr)
500
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC125 Emissions
180
160
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
140
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:39 − FINAL RCPs
120
(kt/yr)
100
80
60
40
20
0
−20
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC43 10 Emissions
25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:36 − FINAL RCPs
20
(kt/yr)
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC23 Emissions
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:32 − FINAL RCPs
(kt/yr)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC32 Emissions
100
90
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
80
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:28 − FINAL RCPs
70
(kt/yr)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C6F14 Emissions
0.5
0.45
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.4
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:24 − FINAL RCPs
0.35
(kt/yr)
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C2F6 Emissions
6
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:21 − FINAL RCPs
(kt/yr)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CF4 Emissions
25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:17 − FINAL RCPs
20
(kt/yr)
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
[FIGURE COMPILATION:
RCP FINAL RELEASE]
Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as of 28 May 2010 in 131 Figures.
RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al., May 2010
URL: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~mmalte/rcps
[RADIATIVE FORCING]
Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC EFF Radiative Forcing
14
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:27:11 − FINAL RCPs
8
(W/m^2)
6
4
2
0
−2
−4
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TOTAL ANTHRO EFF Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:27:08 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global GHG EFF Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:27:04 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global KYOTOGHG EFF Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:27:00 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2CH4N2O EFF Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:55 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC Radiative Forcing
14
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:51 − FINAL RCPs
8
(W/m^2)
6
4
2
0
−2
−4
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TOTAL ANTHRO Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:46 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global Montreal Protocol Gases Radiative Forcing
0.35
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:41 − FINAL RCPs
0.25
(W/m^2)
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 Radiative Forcing
0.35
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:36 − FINAL RCPs
0.25
(W/m^2)
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global GHG Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:32 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global KYOTOGHG Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:27 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2CH4N2O Radiative Forcing
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:23 − FINAL RCPs
10
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global KYOTOCO2EQ Concentrations
3000
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
2500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:19 − FINAL RCPs
(CO2eq ppm)
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2EQ Concentrations
3000
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
2500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:15 − FINAL RCPs
(CO2eq ppm)
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3CL Radiative Forcing
−4
6
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:11 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3BR Radiative Forcing
−5
4
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:06 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
2
1
0
−1
−2
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON2402 Radiative Forcing
−4
1.5
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(W/m^2)
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:26:02 − FINAL RCPs
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1301 Radiative Forcing
−3
1
x 10
0.9
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.8
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:58 − FINAL RCPs
0.7
(W/m^2)
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1202 Radiative Forcing
1
0.8
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:54 − FINAL RCPs
0.4
(W/m^2)
0.2
0
−0.2
−0.4
−0.6
−0.8
−1
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1211 Radiative Forcing
−3
1.4
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1.2
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:50 − FINAL RCPs
1
(W/m^2)
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 142b Radiative Forcing
−3
5
x 10
4.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
4
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:47 − FINAL RCPs
3.5
(W/m^2)
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 141b Radiative Forcing
−3
4
x 10
3.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:43 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 22 Radiative Forcing
0.08
0.07
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.06
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:39 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global MCF Radiative Forcing
−3
8
x 10
7
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:35 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
5
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Radiative Forcing
0.014
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.012
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:31 − FINAL RCPs
0.01
(W/m^2)
0.008
0.006
0.004
0.002
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 115 Radiative Forcing
−3
1.8
x 10
1.6
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1.4
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:28 − FINAL RCPs
1.2
(W/m^2)
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 114 Radiative Forcing
−3
6
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:24 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 113 Radiative Forcing
0.03
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.025
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:20 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.02
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 12 Radiative Forcing
0.18
0.16
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.14
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:16 − FINAL RCPs
0.12
(W/m^2)
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 11 Radiative Forcing
0.07
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.06
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:13 − FINAL RCPs
0.05
(W/m^2)
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SF6 Radiative Forcing
0.07
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.06
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:09 − FINAL RCPs
0.05
(W/m^2)
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC245fa Radiative Forcing
0.018
0.016
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.014
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:05 − FINAL RCPs
0.012
(W/m^2)
0.01
0.008
0.006
0.004
0.002
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC227ea Radiative Forcing
−3
1
x 10
0.9
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.8
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:25:01 − FINAL RCPs
0.7
(W/m^2)
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC143a Radiative Forcing
0.04
0.035
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.03
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:58 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.025
0.02
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC134a Radiative Forcing
0.1
0.09
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.08
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:54 − FINAL RCPs
0.07
(W/m^2)
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC125 Radiative Forcing
0.06
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.05
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:45 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC43 10 Radiative Forcing
−3
3.5
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:42 − FINAL RCPs
2.5
(W/m^2)
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC23 Radiative Forcing
−3
6
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:38 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC32 Radiative Forcing
−3
7
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:34 − FINAL RCPs
5
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C6F14 Radiative Forcing
−4
4.5
x 10
4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3.5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:30 − FINAL RCPs
3
(W/m^2)
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C2F6 Radiative Forcing
−3
7
x 10
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:27 − FINAL RCPs
5
(W/m^2)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CF4 Radiative Forcing
0.025
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:23 − FINAL RCPs
0.02
(W/m^2)
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global VOLCANIC ANNUAL Radiative Forcing
0.5
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:19 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
−1
−1.5
−2
−2.5
−3
−3.5
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SOLAR Radiative Forcing
0.25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.2
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:15 − FINAL RCPs
0.15
(W/m^2)
0.1
0.05
0
−0.05
−0.1
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global STRATOZ Radiative Forcing
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.01
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:12 − FINAL RCPs
−0.02
(W/m^2)
−0.03
−0.04
−0.05
−0.06
−0.07
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TROPOZ Radiative Forcing
0.45
0.4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.35
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:08 − FINAL RCPs
0.3
(W/m^2)
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global BCSNOW Radiative Forcing
0.12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.1
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:04 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global LANDUSE Radiative Forcing
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.05
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:24:00 − FINAL RCPs
−0.1
(W/m^2)
−0.15
−0.2
−0.25
−0.3
−0.35
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CLOUD TOT Radiative Forcing
0
−0.1
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.2
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:56 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
−0.3
−0.4
−0.5
−0.6
−0.7
−0.8
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global TOTAER DIR Radiative Forcing
0
−0.05
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.1
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:52 − FINAL RCPs
−0.15
(W/m^2)
−0.2
−0.25
−0.3
−0.35
−0.4
−0.45
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global BIOMASSAER Radiative Forcing
0.08
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.06
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:48 − FINAL RCPs
0.04
(W/m^2)
0.02
0
−0.02
−0.04
−0.06
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global OC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.01
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:44 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
−0.02
−0.03
−0.04
−0.05
−0.06
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global BC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
0.25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:39 − FINAL RCPs
0.2
(W/m^2)
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global NOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
0
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.02
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:35 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
−0.04
−0.06
−0.08
−0.1
−0.12
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
0
−0.05
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
−0.1
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:31 − FINAL RCPs
−0.15
(W/m^2)
−0.2
−0.25
−0.3
−0.35
−0.4
−0.45
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global N2O Radiative Forcing
0.8
0.7
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:27 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH4 Radiative Forcing
1.4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1.2
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:22 − FINAL RCPs
1
(W/m^2)
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2 Radiative Forcing
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:18 − FINAL RCPs
(W/m^2)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
[CONCENTRATIONS]
Global CH3CL Concentrations
540
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
530
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:13 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
520
510
500
490
480
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3BR Concentrations
9.5
9
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
8.5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:09 − FINAL RCPs
8
(ppt)
7.5
7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON2402 Concentrations
0.45
0.4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.35
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:05 − FINAL RCPs
0.3
(ppt)
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1301 Concentrations
3.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:23:01 − FINAL RCPs
2.5
(ppt)
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1202 Concentrations
0.06
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.05
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:56 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1211 Concentrations
4.5
4
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3.5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:53 − FINAL RCPs
3
(ppt)
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 142b Concentrations
25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:49 − FINAL RCPs
20
(ppt)
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 141b Concentrations
30
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
25
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:45 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
20
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 22 Concentrations
400
350
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
300
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:41 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
250
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global MCF Concentrations
140
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
120
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:38 − FINAL RCPs
100
(ppt)
80
60
40
20
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Concentrations
120
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
100
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:34 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
80
60
40
20
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 115 Concentrations
10
9
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
8
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:30 − FINAL RCPs
7
(ppt)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 114 Concentrations
18
16
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
14
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:26 − FINAL RCPs
12
(ppt)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 113 Concentrations
90
80
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
70
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:22 − FINAL RCPs
60
(ppt)
50
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 12 Concentrations
600
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:19 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 11 Concentrations
300
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
250
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:15 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SF6 Concentrations
120
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
100
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:11 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
80
60
40
20
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC245fa Concentrations
70
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
60
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:07 − FINAL RCPs
50
(ppt)
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC227ea Concentrations
3.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:04 − FINAL RCPs
2.5
(ppt)
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC143a Concentrations
300
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
250
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:22:00 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC134a Concentrations
700
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
600
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:56 − FINAL RCPs
500
(ppt)
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC125 Concentrations
250
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:53 − FINAL RCPs
200
(ppt)
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC43 10 Concentrations
9
8
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
7
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:49 − FINAL RCPs
6
(ppt)
5
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC23 Concentrations
30
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
25
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:45 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
20
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC32 Concentrations
60
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
50
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:41 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C6F14 Concentrations
0.9
0.8
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.7
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:37 − FINAL RCPs
0.6
(ppt)
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C2F6 Concentrations
25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:34 − FINAL RCPs
20
(ppt)
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CF4 Concentrations
300
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
250
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:30 − FINAL RCPs
(ppt)
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global N2O Concentrations
550
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:26 − FINAL RCPs
(ppb)
450
400
350
300
250
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH4 Concentrations
4000
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:22 − FINAL RCPs
3000
(ppm)
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CO2 Concentrations
2000
1800
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1600
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:19 − FINAL RCPs
1400
(ppm)
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
[EMISSIONS]
Global Montreal Protocol Gases GWP−weighted Emissions
8
7
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:15 − FINAL RCPs
(GtCO2eq/yr)
5
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 GWP−weighted Emissions
2.5
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:11 − FINAL RCPs
2
(GtCO2eq/yr)
1.5
1
0.5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global KYOTOGHGS GWP−weighted Emissions
140
120
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
100
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:07 − FINAL RCPs
(GtCO2eq/yr)
80
60
40
20
0
−20
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3CL Emissions
3550
3500
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
3450
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:04 − FINAL RCPs
3400
(Mg/yr)
3350
3300
3250
3200
3150
3100
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CH3BR Emissions
220
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
210
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:21:00 − FINAL RCPs
200
(Mg/yr)
190
180
170
160
150
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON2402 Emissions
1.8
1.6
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
1.4
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:56 − FINAL RCPs
1.2
(Mg/yr)
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1301 Emissions
6
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:52 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1202 Emissions
0.8
0.7
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.6
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:49 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HALON1211 Emissions
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:45 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 142b Emissions
40
35
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
30
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:41 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
25
20
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 141b Emissions
60
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
50
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:37 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HCFC 22 Emissions
500
450
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
400
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:34 − FINAL RCPs
350
(Mg/yr)
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global MCF Emissions
700
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
600
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:30 − FINAL RCPs
500
(Mg/yr)
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Emissions
150
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(Mg/yr)
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:26 − FINAL RCPs
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 115 Emissions
14
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
12
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:18 − FINAL RCPs
10
(Mg/yr)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 114 Emissions
18
16
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
14
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:14 − FINAL RCPs
12
(Mg/yr)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 113 Emissions
300
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
250
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:10 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 12 Emissions
600
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
500
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:06 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CFC 11 Emissions
400
350
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
300
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:20:02 − FINAL RCPs
(Mg/yr)
250
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global SF6 Emissions
18
16
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
14
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:59 − FINAL RCPs
12
(kt/yr)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC245fa Emissions
200
180
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
160
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:55 − FINAL RCPs
140
(kt/yr)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC227ea Emissions
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:51 − FINAL RCPs
(kt/yr)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC143a Emissions
100
90
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
80
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:47 − FINAL RCPs
70
(kt/yr)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC134a Emissions
800
700
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
600
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:43 − FINAL RCPs
(kt/yr)
500
400
300
200
100
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC125 Emissions
180
160
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
140
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:39 − FINAL RCPs
120
(kt/yr)
100
80
60
40
20
0
−20
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC43 10 Emissions
25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:36 − FINAL RCPs
20
(kt/yr)
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC23 Emissions
12
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
10
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:32 − FINAL RCPs
(kt/yr)
8
6
4
2
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global HFC32 Emissions
100
90
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
80
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:28 − FINAL RCPs
70
(kt/yr)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C6F14 Emissions
0.5
0.45
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
0.4
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:24 − FINAL RCPs
0.35
(kt/yr)
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global C2F6 Emissions
6
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
5
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:21 − FINAL RCPs
(kt/yr)
4
3
2
1
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Global CF4 Emissions
25
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
RCP6SCP6to45
RCP85
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCPs
(c) RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al. 31 May 2010 20:19:17 − FINAL RCPs
20
(kt/yr)
15
10
5
0
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200