08 Audit Sampling to Test of Controls[CompatibilityMode]

Chapter 8 Chapter 8 Audit Sampling: An Overview and Application to Tests of Controls McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Introduction Auditing standards recognize and permit both statistical Auditing standards recognize and permit both statistical and nonstatistical methods of audit sampling. and nonstatistical methods of audit sampling. Two technological advances have reduced the number

  of times auditors need to apply sampling techniques to pp y p g q gather audit evidence:

  1

  2 Development of Advent of powerful well-controlled, PC audit software to automated download and accounting examine client systems. data 8-2

  Introduction

However, technology will never eliminate the need for auditors to rely on sampling to some degree because:

  1. Many control processes require human involvement.

  2 Many testing procedures require the auditor to physically examine an asset.

  2. Many testing procedures require the auditor to

  3. In many cases auditors are required to obtain and examine evidence from third parties.

  Definitions and Key Concepts

On the following screens we will define: On the following screens we will define:

  1. Sampling Risk

  1.Sampling Risk

  2 Confidence Le el Confidence Level 3.

  2 Confidence Le el

  2.Confidence Level 2.

  3.Tolerable and Expected Error Tolerable and Expected Error

  4. Audit Sampling 8-4 LO# 1

  4.Audit Sampling

  Audit Sampling

Audit sampling is the application of an Audit sampling is the application of an audit procedure to less than 100 percent audit procedure to less than 100 percent of the items within an account balance or of the items within an account balance or class of transactions for the purpose of class of transactions for the purpose of evaluating some characteristic of the evaluating some characteristic of the balance or class. balance or class. 8-5 LO# 2

  Sampling Risk Sampling risk is the element of uncertainty that enters into the auditor’s conclusions anytime sampling is used. There are two types of sampling risk.

  Risk of incorrect rejection Risk of incorrect rejection (Type I) (Type I) – in a test of internal – in a test of internal controls, it is the risk that the sample supports a conclusion that the control is not operating effectively when, in fact, it is operating effectively.

  Risk of incorrect acceptance (Type II) – in a test of internal controls, it is the risk that the sample supports a conclusion that the control is operating effectively when, in fact, it is not operating effectively.

  LO# 2 Sampling Risk

Three Important Factors in Determining Sample Size

  1. The desired level of assurance in the results (or confidence level), (or confidence level),

  1.The desired level of assurance in the results

  2. Acceptable defect rate (or tolerable error), and 3. The historical defect rate (or estimated error).

  2.Acceptable defect rate (or tolerable error), and

  3.The historical defect rate (or estimated error). 8-7 LO# 2 Confidence Level

  Confidence level is the complement of sampling risk.

  The auditor may set The auditor may set sampling risk for a sampling risk for a li li i k f i k f particular sampling particular sampling application at application at

  5 percent 5 percent 5 percent 5 percent , which , which results in a results in a confidence level of confidence level of

  95 percent 95 percent 95 percent 95 percent . . 8-8 LO# 2

  Tolerable and Expected Error Once the desired confidence level is established, the sample size is determine largely by how much the tolerable error exceeds expected error.

  Precision Precision Precision Precision , at the , at the at the at the planning stage of planning stage of

  Auditing Standards audit sampling, is audit sampling, is refer to Precision the difference the difference as the “Allowance for between the between the sampling risk” expected and expected and tolerable deviation tolerable deviation rates. rates.

  LO# 3 Audit Evidence – To Sample or Not?

  Relationship between Evidence Types and Audit Sampling Audit Sampling Type of Evidence Commonly Used Inspection of tangible assets Yes Inspection of records or documents Yes Reperformance Yes Recalculation Yes Confirmation Yes Analytical procedures No Scanning No Inquiry No Observation No 8-10 LO# 3

  Audit Evidence – To Sample or Not?

  • Inspection of tangible assets . Auditors typically attend

  the client’s year-end inventory count. When there are a large number of items in inventory, the auditor will select a sample to physically inspect and count.

  • Inspection of records or documents . Certain controls

  may require the matching of documents. The procedure may take place many times a day. The auditor may gather evidence on the effectiveness of the control by testing a sample of the document packages. 8-11

  LO# 3 Audit Evidence – To Sample or Not?

  ™ Reperformance. To comply with rule 404 of the

  Sarbanes-Oxley Act, publicly traded clients must document and test controls over important assertions for significant accounts. The auditor may reperform a sample of the tests performed by the client. f d b th li t

  ™ Confirmation. Rather than confirm all customer account

  receivable balances, the auditor may select a sample of customers.

  Testing All Items with a Particular Characteristic When an account or class of transactions is made up of a few large items , the auditor may examine all the items in the account or class of transaction. When a small number of large transactions make up LO# 3

  8-13 a relatively large percent of an account or class of transactions, auditors will typically test all the transactions greater than a particular dollar amount.

  Testing Only One or a Few Items

Highly automated information systems Highly automated information systems process transactions consistently unless the process transactions consistently unless the system or programs are changed. system or programs are changed

  Th dit t t th Th dit t t th LO# 3

  8-14

  The auditor may test the The auditor may test the general controls over the general controls over the system and any program system and any program changes, but test only a few changes, but test only a few transactions processed by transactions processed by the IT system. the IT system.

  Types of Audit Sampling and nonstatistical methods of audit sampling. and nonstatistical methods of audit sampling.

  In nonstatistical (or In nonstatistical (or judgmental) sampling, the judgmental) sampling, the Statistical sampling uses Statistical sampling uses the laws of probability to the laws of probability to LO# 4 j g ) p g j g ) p g auditor does not use auditor does not use statistical techniques to statistical techniques to determine sample size, determine sample size, select the sample items, select the sample items, or measure sampling risk. or measure sampling risk. p y p y compute sample size and compute sample size and evaluate results. The evaluate results. The auditor is able to use the auditor is able to use the most efficient sample size most efficient sample size and quantify sampling risk. and quantify sampling risk.

  Types of Audit Sampling

  2.

  Attribute Sampling Used to estimate the proportion of a population that possess a specified characteristic. The most common use of attribute sampling is for tests of controls. LO# 4

  2.Monetary-Unit Sampling. LO# 4 8-17 3.Classical Variables Sampling.

  Statistical Sampling Techniques 1.Attribute Sampling.

  3. Lack of consistent application Lack of consistent application across audit teams. across audit teams.

  3.

  2. Time to design and conduct Time to design and conduct sampling application. sampling application.

  1. Training auditors in proper use. Training auditors in proper use.

  Advantages of statistical sampling Advantages of statistical sampling 1.

  Disadvantages of statistical sampling Disadvantages of statistical sampling 1.

  3. Quantify sampling risk. Quantify sampling risk.

  3. Quantify sampling risk. Quantify sampling risk. LO# 4 8-16 3.

  3.

  2. Measure the sufficiency of Measure the sufficiency of evidence obtained. evidence obtained.

  2.

  1. Design an efficient sample. Design an efficient sample.

  Our client’s controls require that all checks have two independent signatures. Yes, I know. We are planning a test of that control using attribute sampling. Monetary-Unit Sampling Monetary-unit sampling uses attribute sampling theory to estimate the dollar amount of misstatement for a class of transactions or an account balance. LO# 4

  8-19 This technique is used extensively because it has a number of advantages over classical variables sampling.

  Classical Variables Sampling Auditors sometimes use variables sampling to estimate the dollar value of a class of transactions or account balance. It is more frequently used to determine whether an account is materially misstated. LO# 4

  8-20 Attribute Sampling Applied to Tests of Controls

  In conducting a statistical sample for a test of controls auditing standards require the auditor to properly plan , perform , and evaluate the sampling application and to LO# 5, 6, & 7 evaluate the sampling application and to adequately document each phase of the sampling application.

  Plan Plan Perform Perform Evaluate Evaluate Document Document

  5, 6, & 7 LO# Planning

  Planning 1. Determine the test objectives.

  2. Define the population characteristics. • Define the sampling population. • Define the sampling unit. • Define the control deviation conditions.

  3. Determine the sample size, using the following inputs: • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. Th d i d fid l l i k f i t t • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  The objective of attribute sampling when used for tests of controls is to evaluate the operating effectiveness of the internal control. 8-22 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Planning Planning 2. Define the population characteristics. • Define the sampling population. • Define the sampling unit. • Define the control deviation conditions.

  3. Determine the sample size, using the following inputs: The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  All or a subset of the items that constitute the class of transactions make up the sampling population. 8-23 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Planning Planning • Define the sampling population. • Define the sampling unit. • Define the control deviation conditions.

  3. Determine the sample size, using the following inputs: The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  Each sampling unit makes up one item in the population. The sampling unit should be defined in relation to the specific control being tested.

  5, 6, & 7 LO# Planning

  Planning 2. Define the population characteristics. • Define the sampling population. • Define the sampling unit. • Define the control deviation conditions.

  3. Determine the sample size, using the following inputs: The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  A deviation is a departure from adequate performance of the internal control. 8-25 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Planning Planning

  3. Determine the sample size, using the following inputs: • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  The confidence level is the desired level of assurance that the sample results will support a conclusion that the control is functioning effectively. Generally, when the auditor has decided to rely on controls, the confidence level is set at 90% or 95%. The means the auditor is willing to accept a 10% or 5% risk of accepting the control as effective when it is not. 8-26 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Planning Planning • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  Th t l The tolerable deviation rate is the maximum bl d i ti t i th i deviation rate from a prescribed control that the auditor is willing to accept and still consider the control effective.

  5, 6, & 7 LO# Planning

  Planning

  3. Determine the sample size, using the following inputs: • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  Suggested Tolerable Deviation Rates Suggested Tolerable Deviation Rates for Assessed Levels of Control Risk

   Tolerable Planned Assessed Level Deviation of Control Risk Rate Low 3–5% Moderate 6–10% Slightly below maximum 11–20% Maximum Omit test 8-28 5, 6, & 7 LO# Planning

  Planning

  3. Determine the sample size, using the following inputs: • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  The expected population deviation The expected population deviation

  rate is the rate the auditor expects to

  exist in the population. The larger the expected population deviation rate, the larger the sample size must be, all else equal. 8-29 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Planning Planning

  3. Determine the sample size, using the following inputs: • The desired confidence level or risk of incorrect acceptance. • The tolerable deviation rate. • The expected population deviation rate.

  Assume a desired confidence level of 95%, and a large population, the effect of 95%, and a large population, the effect of the expected population deviation rate on sample size is shown below: Expected Population Sample Deviation Rate Size 3.0% ‡ 2.0% 181 1.5% 124 1.0% 93 ‡ Sam ple size too large to be cost-effective.

  5, 6, & 7 LO# Population Size: Attributes Sampling

  Population size is not an important factor in determining sample size for attributes sampling. The population size has little or no effect on the sample size, unless the Tolerable deviation rate Inverse Desired confidence level Direct Factor Sample Size Factor Sample population is relatively small, say less than 500 items. Relationship to Change in Effect on Higher Decrease Lower Increase Higher Increase Lower Decrease Examples Population size Expected population deviation rate Direct Decreases sample size only when population is small (fewer than 500 items) Lower Decrease Higher Increase 8-31 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Performance Performance and Evaluation 4. Select sample items. • Random-Number Selection. • Systematic Selection.

  5. Perform the Audit Procedures. • Voided documents. • Unused or inapplicable documents • Inability to examine a sample item. • Stopping the test before completion.

  6. Calculate the Sample Deviation and Upper Deviation Rates

  7. Draw Final Conclusions

  Every item in the population has the same probability of being selected as every other sampling unit in the population. 8-32 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Performance Performance and Evaluation 4. Select sample items. • Random-Number Selection. • Systematic Selection.

  5. Perform the Audit Procedures. • Voided documents. • Unused or inapplicable documents • Inability to examine a sample item. • Stopping the test before completion.

  6. Calculate the Sample Deviation and Upper Deviation Rates

  7. Draw Final Conclusions

  The auditor determines the sampling interval by dividing the population by the sample size. A starting number is

  th

  randomly selected in the first interval and every n item is

  5, 6, & 7 LO# Performance

  Performance and Evaluation 5. Perform the Audit Procedures. • Voided documents. • Unused or inapplicable documents • Inability to examine a sample item. • Stopping the test before completion. pp g p

  6. Calculate the Sample Deviation and Upper Deviation Rates

  7. Draw Final Conclusions

  For example, assume a sales invoice should not be prepared unless there is a related shipping document. If the shipping document is present, there is evidence the control is working properly. If the shipping document is not present a control deviation exist. 8-34 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Performance Performance and Evaluation 5. Perform the Audit Procedures. • Voided documents. • Unused or inapplicable documents • Inability to examine a sample item. • Stopping the test before completion. pp g p

  6. Calculate the Sample Deviation and Upper Deviation Rates

  7. Draw Final Conclusions

  Unless the auditor finds something unusual about either of these items, they should be replaced with a new sample item. 8-35 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Performance Performance and Evaluation 5. Perform the Audit Procedures. • Voided documents. • Unused or inapplicable documents • Inability to examine a sample item. • Stopping the test before completion. pp g p

  6. Calculate the Sample Deviation and Upper Deviation Rates

  7. Draw Final Conclusions

  If the auditor is unable to examine a document or to use an alternative procedure to test the control, the sample item is a deviation for purposes of evaluating the sample results.

  5, 6, & 7 LO# Performance

  Performance and Evaluation 5. Perform the Audit Procedures. • Voided documents. • Unused or inapplicable documents • Inability to examine a sample item. • Stopping the test before completion. pp g p

  6. Calculate the Sample Deviation and Upper Deviation Rates

  7. Draw Final Conclusions

  If a large number of deviations are detected early in the tests of controls, the auditor should consider stopping the test, as soon as it is clear that the results of the test will not support the planned assessed level of control risk. 8-37 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Evaluation Evaluation

  6. Calculate the Sample Deviation and Upper Deviation Rates

  7. Draw Final Conclusions

  After completing the audit procedures, the g auditor summarizes the deviations for each control tested and evaluates the results. For example, if the auditor discovered two deviations in a sample of 50, the deviation rate in the sample would be 4% (2 ÷ 50).

  The upper deviation rate is the sum of the sample deviation rate and an appropriate allowance for sampling risk. 8-38 5, 6, & 7 LO#

  Evaluation Evaluation

  6. Calculate the Sample Deviation and Upper Deviation Rates

  7. Draw Final Conclusions

  The auditor compares the tolerable deviation rate to the computed upper deviation rate to the computed upper deviation rate.

  True State of Internal Control Auditor's Decision Based on Sample Evidence Reliable Not Reliable Supports the planned level Risk of incorrect Correct decision of control risk acceptance (Type II) Does not support the Risk of incorrect Correct decision planned level of control risk rejection (Type I)

  5, 6, & 7 LO# Attribute Sampling Example

  The auditor has decided to test a control at Calabro Wireless Services. The test is to determine the sales and service contracts are properly authorized for credit approval.

  A deviation in this test is defined as the failure of the credit department personnel to follow proper credit approval p p p p pp procedures for new and existing customers. Here is information relating to the test:

  Desired confidence level 95% Tolerable deviation rate 6% Expected population deviation rate 1% Sample size

  78 8-40 5, 6, & 7 LO# Attribute Sampling Example

  Part of the table used to determine sample size when the auditor specifies a 95% desired confidence level.

  Sample Size at 95% Desired Confidence Level Expected Population Tolerable Deviation Rate Deviation Rate 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 0.00% 149

  99

  74

  59

  49

  42 0.25% 236 157 93 117

  78

  66 0.50% 157 93 117

  78

  66 0.75% 208 93 117

  78

  66 1.00% 93 156

  78

  66 1.25% 124 156

  78

  66 1.50% 124 192 103

  66 8-41 5, 6, & 7 LO# 17,063 24,423 65,785 77,035 57,267 Attribute Sampling Example 59,096 32,014 11,531 45,594 80,027 There are 125,000 There are 125,000 74,184 3,475 11,027 28,664 44,899 42,970 25,484 95,084 96,213 62,333 audit items in the audit items in the 1,755 1,986 67,454 62,828 23,758 population numbered population numbered 37,285 19,308 97,613 42,756 92,096 35,744 39,602 67,446 from 1 to 125,000. The from 1 to 125,000. The 22,113 10,350 52,705 71,586 34,989 96,813 50,006 24,202 59,304 6,937 45,839 60,481 these random these random th th d d auditor generates auditor generates 18,965 37,183 52,496 80,382 34,027 12,104 91,083 66,805 numbers using Excel. numbers using Excel. 30,393 67,965 40,817 60,169 27,951 52,597 34,783 8,210 Each number Each number 38,383 66,533 92,628 10,374 represents a contract represents a contract 96,603 54,109 93,234 72,563 30,521 87,003 81,175 50,282 that was to be that was to be 42,914 6,184 13,350 72,886 reviewed for credit reviewed for credit approval. approval. Attribute Sampling Example

  The auditor examines each selected contract for credit approval and determines the following:

  11.5

  5.4

  8.4

  11.1

  13.5

  60

  4.9

  7.7

  10.2

  12.5

  65

  4.6

  7.1

  9.4

  70

  14.8

  4.2

  6.6

  8.8

  10.8

  75

  4.0

  6.2

  8.2

  10.1

  80

  3.7

  5.8

  7.7

  55

  12.1

  Number of deviations

  14.9 19.6 -

  2 Sample size

  78 Sample deviation rate 2 6% LO# 5, 6, & 7 8-43 Sample deviation rate 2.6% Computed upper deviation rate 8.2% Tolerable deviation rate 6.0%

  Let’s see how we get the computed Let’s see how we get the computed upper deviation rate. upper deviation rate.

  Attribute Sampling Example

  Part of the table used to determine the computed upper deviation rate at 95% desired confidence level:

  Sample Size

  1

  2

  3

  25

  11.3 17.6 - - Actual Number of Deviations Found LO# 5, 6, & 7 8-44

  30

  9.5

  35

  9.2

  8.3

  12.9 17.0 -

  40

  7.3

  11.4

  15.0

  18.3

  45

  6.5

  10.2

  13.4

  16.4

  50

  5.9

  LO# 5, 6, & 7 Auditor’s Decision: Auditor’s Decision: Does not support reliance on the control. Does not support reliance on the control.

  LO# 8 Nonstatistical Sampling for Tests of Control

  Determining the Sample Size Determining the Sample Size An auditing firm may establish a nonstat sampling policy like the one below: Desired Desired Level of Controls Sample Reliance Size Low 15–20 Moderate 25–35 High 40–60 Such a policy will promote consistency in sampling applications. 8-46

  LO# 8 Nonstatistical Sampling for Tests of Control

Selecting the Sample Items Selecting the Sample Items Nonstatistical sampling allows the use of random or systematic selection, but also permits the use of other methods such as haphazard sampling. h h d li When haphazard sample selection is used, sampling units are selected without any bias, that is to say, without a special reason for including or omitting the item in the sample

  8-47 LO# 8

  Nonstatistical Sampling for Tests of Control

Calculating the Upper Deviation Rate Calculating the Upper Deviation Rate With a nonstatistical sample, the auditor can calculate the sample deviation rate, but cannot

  formally quantify the computed upper formally quantify the computed upper deviation rate and sampling risk associated with the test.

  LO# 8 Considering the Effect of Population Size

  This table assumes a desired confidence of 90%, a tolerable deviation rate of 10%, and an expected population deviation rate of 1%:

  Population Sample Size Size 100

  31 500

  38 1,000

  39 5,000

  1 – (n/N)

  = correction factor

  √ n = sample size from tables N = number of units in the population 8-49

  End of Chapter 8 8-50