C lo sing 1-D ay C hg () YT D C hg ()

  Tuesday, October 16, 2018

  ID X S t a t is t ic s C lo s ing Volume JCI Index

  7,000 20,000

  JCI 5,727.26 Transactio n Value Regular M arket (IDR tn) 4.837

  6,000 15,000

  Transactio n Vo lume Regular M arket (mn shares) 6,378

  5,000 10,000

  Fo reign Net B uy (Sell) (IDR bn) 340

  4,000 5,000

  Fo reign Net B uy (Sell) (4.09) To tal M arket Capitalizatio n (IDR tn) 6,490.15

  3,000 Y T D O t he r Indic e s C lo s ing 1- D a y C hg ( %) C hg ( %) IHSG turun sebanyak 29.2 poin (0.51%) ke level 5727.26.

  LQ45 900.30 (0.28) (16.59)

  Sementara LQ45 turun sebanyak 2.5 poin (0.28%) ke level

  EIDO 21.36 (0.47) (24.87) 900.3. Foreign net buy sebesar Rp 340.06 miliar.

  IDX 19.32 (0.21) (22.22) DOW JONES 25,250.55 (0.35)

  2.15 S&P 500 2,750.79 (0.59)

  2.89 NA SDA Q 7,430.74 (0.88)

  7.64 Today’s Market: FTSE 7,029.22 0.48 (8.57)

  

 IHSG diperkirakan bergerak mixed. Bursa AS ditutup NIKKEI 22,271.30 (1.87) (2.17)

melemah pada perdagangan Senin (15/10). Harga crude

  HA NG SENG 25,445.06 (1.38) (14.95)

  oil turun ke level USD 71.84 per barrel. Harga batubara

  STRA ITS TIM ES 3,045.97 (0.76) (10.49)

  stabil di level USD 109.25 per Mt. Rupiah bergerak stabil

  KLSE 1,728.74 (0.12) (3.79)

  terhadap Dollar AS ke level Rp 15.230. 10Yr Government Bonds Yield naik ke level 8.88%.

  Y T D C urre nc y S po t R a t e R a t e ( ID R ) 1- D a y C hg ( %)  Dari dalam negeri, Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) mengu-

  C hg ( %) mumkan neraca perdagangan pada September 2018 men-

  USD/IDR 15,230.00

  0.00

  10.94

  catat surplus sebesar US$230 juta. Ekspor tercatat sebe-

  EUR/IDR 17,639.83

  0.50

  8.03 sar US$14,83 miliar dan impor US$14,60 miliar. JP Y/IDR 135.95

  0.15

  11.43

   Dari dalam negeri, Menteri Keuangan mengusulkan revisi

  SGD/IDR 11,056.51

  0.29

  8.27

  asumsi nilai tukar rupiah dalam RAPBN 2019, dari Rp

  A UD/IDR 10,862.74

  0.66

  2.58

  14.500 per dolar AS menjadi Rp 15.000 per dolar AS pada rapat dengan Badan Anggaran DPR, Senin (15/10) GB P /IDR 20,026.17

  0.29

  8.56

   Dari dalam negeri, penjualan sepeda motor domestik tum- La s t Y T D buh 8,8% menjadi 4.722.242 unit hingga kuartal III-2018,

  C o m m o dit ie s P ric e T ra ns a c t io n C hg ( %) dibandingkan periode sama tahun lalu 4.340.252 unit.

  Crude Oil (USD/barrel) 71.84 7:54:11 A M

  18.90

   Sehubungan dengan emiten, Vale Indonesia (INCO) mere-

  Co al (USD/mn to ns) 109.25 10/15/2018

  8.38

  visi target produksi nikel dalam matte pada 2018 menjadi 75.000 ton dari 77,000 ton akibat aktivitas pemeliharaan

  Natural Gas (USD/mmB tu) 3.28 7:54:13 A M

  10.90

  yang di luar rencana. Pada kuartal III/2018 perseroan

  Go ld (USD/o unce) 1,228.28 8:04:18 A M (5.72) memproduksi nikel dalam matte sejumlah 18.193 ton. Nickel (USD/mn to ns) 12,625.00 8:04:18 A M (1.06)

  

 Secara teknikal indeks hari Senin (15/10), IHSG diprediksi Tins (USD/mn to ns) 19,110.00 7:36:04 A M (4.57)

bergerak di kisaran 5696-5787.

  CP O (M YR/mn to ns) 2,148.00 10/15/2018 (12.48) Rubber (JP Y/kg) 153.40 7:58:24 A M (25.32) Wheat (USD/bushel) 525.25 7:52:00 A M

  23.01 Co rn (USD/bushel) 376.50 7:53:54 A M

  7.34 Top BUY: ASRI, BBCA, KLBF BoW: BBRI

  Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research See important disclaimer at the end of this report www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id

  Daily Corporate and Industry News

Menteri Keuangan Sri Mulyani Indrawati mengusulkan revisi asumsi nilai tukar rupiah dalam RAPBN 2019, dari Rp

14.500 per dolar AS menjadi Rp 15.000 per dolar AS pada rapat dengan Badan Anggaran DPR, Senin (15/10). Usul-

an tersebut mengacu pada pernyataan Gubernur Bank Indonesia Perry Warjiyo bahwa tahun depan kurs rupiah di-

prediksi bergerak dalam rentang Rp 14.800 - 15.200 per dolar AS. Source: Investor Daily

Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) mengumumkan neraca perdagangan pada September mencatat surplus sebesar US$230

juta. Surplus itu terjadi karena ekspor tercatat sebesar US$14,83 miliar dan impor US$14,60 miliar. Source: Bisnis

Indonesia

Bank Indonesia (BI) dan bank sentral Jepang, Bank of Japan (BoJ), menandatangani amandemen perjanjian kerja

sama bilateral swap arrangement (BSA) senilai US$ 22,76 miliar. Dalam penandatanganan ini, Bank of Japan bertin-

dak sebagai agen Kementerian Keuangan Jepang. Source: Investor Daily

Bank Indonesia (BI) mencatat kegiatan dunia usaha pada triwulan III-2018 mengalami perlambatan, yang tercermin

dari perkembangan Saldo Bersih Tertimbang (SBT) yang hanya tumbuh 14,23 % atau turun 6,46% dari kuartal II-

2018 sebesar 20,89%. Source: Investor Daily

Statistik Utang Luar negeri (ULN) Indonesia yang dicatat BI, pada Agustus 2018 sebesar US$ 360,7 miliar. Jumlah

ini naik 5,14% secara tahunan (yoy). Angka ini lebih tinggi 5,08% dibanding bulan sebelumnya. Utang pemerintah

dan bank sentral tercatat sebesar US$ 181,3 miliar. Sementara utang luar negeri sektor swasta mengalami pening-

katan menjadi US$ 179,4 miliar. Angka ini tumbuh 6,7% yoy, lebih tinggi dari periode sebelumnya 6,49% yoy.

Source: Kontan

Menteri Pertanian Amran Sulaiman menyatakan bahwa investor asal Taiwan berniat membangun pabrik gula (PG)

senilai Rp 20 triliun di Indonesia. Terkait rencana itu, Pemerintah Indonesia telah menawarkan areal lahan pengem-

bangan tanaman tebu dan pembangunan PG di Nusa Tenggara Barat (NTB), Sulawesi Tengah (Sulteng), dan Me-

rauke dengan luasan 20 ribu hektare (ha) untuk masing masing lokasi kepada investor tersebut. Source: Investor

Daily

Penjualan sepeda motor domestik tumbuh 8,8% menjadi 4.722.242 unit hingga kuartal III-2018, dibandingkan peri-

ode sama tahun lalu 4.340.252 unit. Kenaikan itu ditopang perbaikan daya beli masyarakat, seiring meningkatnya

harga komoditas dan berhasilnya masa panen. Source: Investor Daily

Asosiasi Peternak Layer Nasional (PLN) mengambil keputusan untuk mengafkir dini 33 juta ayam layer pada Oktober

ini karena harga jual yang tidak sebanding dengan biaya pokok produksi. Aksi afkir dini ayam petelur dan potensi

kenaikan harga telur pada akhir tahun bisa menyebabkan kenaikan inflasi. Source: Bisnis Indonesia

Total dana kelolaan (assets under management/ AUM) industri reksa dana tumbuh 19,58% menjadi Rp 495,09 tri-

liun per akhir September 2018, dibandingkan periode sama tahun lalu yang sebesar Rp 414,03 triliun. Adapun total

reksa dana yang diterbitkan perusahaan manajemen aset meningkat dari 1.677 menjadi 2.035 produk. Source: In-

vestor Daily

Bumi Resources (BUMI) telah membayar porsi utang tranche A sebesar US$ 167,48 juta sampai 15 Oktober 2018.

Pembayaran sebagian utang tersebut meliputi pokok tranche A sebesar US$ 91,07 juta dan bunga pinjaman US$

76,41 juta yang termasuk bunga akrual dan bunga yang belum dibayar (back interest). Source: Investor Daily

Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR) melalui anak usahanya, PT Profesional Telekomunikasi Indonesia (Protelindo)

mengubah perjanjian kredit dengan JP Morgan Chase Bank. Perubahan fasilitas pinjaman yang sebelumnya Rp 200

miliar menjadi Rp 300 miliar. Surat Perubahan sebagai informasi atas fasilitas awal dengan JP Morgan telah dil-

akukan keterbukaan informasi sebelumnya pada 24 April 2018. Source: Investor Daily

Nusantara Infrastructure (META) bersama mitranya, PT Triputra Utama Selaras membidik porsi kepemilikan mayori-

tas sebesar 85% dalam konsorsium pengusahaan jalan tol prakarsa Cikunir—Ulujami (Jakarta Outer Ring Road III)

yang diperkirakan menelan dana Rp22,5 triliun. Sisanya akan dimiliki Adhi Karya (ADHI) dan Acset Indonesia

(ACST). Source: Bisnis Indonesia

  See important disclaimer at the end of this report www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id

  Daily Corporate and Industry News

Vale Indonesia (INCO) merevisi target produksi nikel dalam matte pada 2018 menjadi 75.000 ton dari 77,000 ton

akibat aktivitas pemeliharaan yang di luar rencana. CEO Vale Indonesia menyampaikan, pada kuartal III/2018

perseroan memproduksi nikel dalam matte sejumlah 18.193 ton. Volume itu menurun dari kuartal sebelumnya sebe-

sar 18.893 ton dan kuartal III/2017 sejumlah 20.163 ton Source: Bisnis Indonesia

Arwana Citramulia (ARNA) membukukan kenaikan pendapatan sebesar 15,5% pada Januari—September 2018 di-

dorong oleh peningkatan volume dan harga jual. Pada kuartal III/2018, average selling price/ASP produk keramik

perseroan meningkat 4,4%. Di sisi profitabilitas, ARNA mengantongi laba bersih Rp115,94 miliar, naik 38,22% YoY.

Source: Bisnis Indonesia

Aneka Tambang (ANTM) mengajukan izin usaha penembangan khusus atau IUPK kepada pemerintah pusat untuk

dua wilayah tambang yang masing-masing berlokasi di Sulawesi Tengah dan Sulawesi Tenggara. Kegiatan eksplorasi

di kedua wilayah tambang itu sudah dapat dilakukan setelah IUPK diterbitkan. Source: Bisnis Indonesia

Sejumlah badan usaha milik negara (BUMN) yang sahamnya tercatat di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) tengah agresif

mengembangkan bisnisnya di bidang konstruksi, pertambangan, transportasi, serta layanan maintenance, repair,

and overhaul (MRO) di dalam maupun luar negeri. Emiten BUMN tersebut adalah Wijaya Karya (WIKA), Timah

(TINS), Aneka Tambang (ANTM), dan Garuda Indonesia (GIAA) melalui anak usahanya, Garuda Maintenance Facility

Aero Asia (GMFI). Total nilai ekspansi maupun investasinya ditaksir mencapai Rp 34 triliun. Source: Investor Daily

Ristia Bintang Mahkotasejati (RBMS) akan menerbitkan saham baru dengan skema hak memesan efek terlebih dahu-

lu (HMETD) alias rights issue. RBMS menawarkan maksimal 1,49 miliar saham seri B dengan harga penawaran Rp

200 per saham. Jumlah saham yang diterbitkan setara 49,74% dari total modal disetor. Periode pelaksanaan HMETD

pada 12-18 Oktober 2018. Source: Kontan

  See important disclaimer at the end of this report www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id

  World Equity Indices Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report WO R LD E Q UIT Y IN D IC E S N O T IC KE R

  15.66

  8.99

  7.60

  1.46 1.32 6,617.61

  50.00

  26 NKY Index 24,448.07 20,347.49 (493.64) (2.17)

  19.40

  1.90 1.81 377,987.52 3,380.93

  3.39 3.36 4,101,800.45 269.59

  27 NEY Index 376.09 323.31 (23.07) (6.45)

  16.05

  11.98

  1.38 1.24 424,803.71 3,799.68

  28 TP X Index 1,911.31 1,645.16 (142.12) (7.82)

  16.34

  13.01

  25 KSE100 Index 47,144.12 36,274.25 (3,703.91) (9.15)

  15.48

  29 FB M KLCI Index 1,896.03 1,657.78 (68.07) (3.79)

  22 NIFTY Index 11,760.20 9,951.90 (18.20) (0.17)

  7.69

  1.05 1.02 10,585.50 1,350.85

  21 SENSEX Index 38,989.65 32,312.74 808.27

  2.37

  24.56

  18.74

  3.12 2.94 62,545.47 848.30

  23.84

  21.16

  18.15

  3.12 2.93 76,902.20 1,043.02

  23 JCI Index 6,693.47 5,557.56 (628.40) (9.89)

  24.62

  14.83

  2.58 2.52 6,490,152.45 426.56

  24 LQ45 Index 1,132.92 871.91 (179.08) (16.59)

  1.41 1.35 629,576.58 5,631.28

  16.68

  20 HSCEI Index 13,962.53 9,975.77 (1,564.96) (13.37)

  2.08 2.02 17,105.94 523.98

  34 TWSE Index 11,270.18 9,740.76 (741.74) (6.97)

  15.55

  12.72

  1.75 1.61 29,346.85 950.35

  35 SET Index 1,852.51 1,584.68 (57.55) (3.28)

  18.90

  15.73

  36 SET50 Index 1,223.67 1,043.32 (20.52) (1.81)

  8.65

  17.52

  15.43

  2.26 2.19 11,715.30 358.86

  37 VNINDEX Index 1,211.34 814.92 (32.60) (3.31)

  19.13

  16.50

  2.81 2.69 3,054,496.26 130.93

  1.05 0.99 1,388,418.30 1,226.96

  12.69

  16.69

  83.33

  1.67 1.59 1,078.25 259.51

  30 NZSE Index 1,652.90 1,433.28

  37.31

  2.47

  19.27

  20.58

  2.03 1.92 127.26

  31 P COM P Index 9,078.37 6,790.58 (1,631.91) (19.07)

  33 KOSP I Index 2,607.10 2,129.13 (322.37) (13.06)

  22.98

  16.12

  2.51 2.41 8,715.64 161.30

  32 FSSTI Index 3,641.65 3,035.20 (356.95) (10.49)

  11.07

  12.34

  1.22 1.20 527.78 383.59

  9.18

  1.39 1.33 16,543.82 2,111.20

  1 INDU Index 26,951.81 22,887.12 531.33

  7 UKX Index 7,903.50 6,866.94 (658.55) (8.57)

  19.72

  16.27

  2.65 2.56 5,737.06 305.02

  6 SX5E Index 3,708.82 3,180.61 (293.59) (8.38)

  18.41

  13.29

  1.67 1.69 2,767.06 3,205.36

  23.26

  1.91 1.83 2,363.36 1,821.47

  12.57

  1.97 1.90 1,936.79 2,548.43

  8 CA C Index 5,657.44 5,038.12 (217.49) (4.09)

  18.43

  13.60

  1.67 1.59 1,510.05 1,749.24

  9 DA X Index 13,596.89 11,459.08 (1,303.48) (10.09)

  5 M EXB OL Index 51,121.23 44,429.36 (1,615.33) (3.27)

  14.95

  12.60

  22.49

  2.15

  20.64

  15.94

  3.88 3.70 7,045.66 7,045.66

  2 SP X Index 2,940.91 2,532.69

  77.18

  2.89

  16.89

  19.79

  3.30 3.12 24,103.09 24,103.09

  3 CCM P Index 8,133.30 6,517.93 527.36

  7.64

  40.71

  21.77

  3.80 3.50 11,619.16 11,619.16

  4 SP TSX Index 16,586.46 14,785.78 (799.66) (4.93)

  19.19

  1.86 1.85 1,076.05 1,246.49

  10.56

  16.86

  14.89

  2.00 1.88 1,893.90 1,351.67

  16 SHSZ300 Index 4,403.34 3,094.97 (904.41) (22.44)

  16.47

  10.71

  2.05 1.99 25,038.92 3,619.91

  17 SHA SHR Index 3,757.20 2,656.45 (774.13) (22.35)

  10.48

  15 A S30 Index 6,481.30 5,834.00 (219.28) (3.56)

  1.80 1.75 27,355.33 3,954.80

  18 SZA SHR Index 2,140.56 1,310.59 (647.20) (32.58)

  29.07

  14.80

  3.12 2.95 16,395.86 2,370.37

  19 HSI Index 33,484.08 25,125.22 (4,474.09) (14.95)

  13.71

  18.90

  2.08 1.97 1,744.81 1,245.27

  10 IB EX Index 10,643.40 8,850.20 (1,120.20) (11.15)

  18.84

  14.97

  11.68

  1.47 1.40 555.34 643.31

  11 FTSEM IB Index 24,544.26 19,166.68 (2,565.70) (11.74) 581.58

  10.56

  1.18 1.08 458.16 530.73

  12 A EX Index 576.90 512.67 (26.22) (4.81)

  13.98

  14.72

  1.91 1.81 635.32 735.96

  13 SM I Index 9,616.38 8,372.90 (728.71) (7.77)

  24.52

  15.14

  2.59 2.48 1,049.64 1,063.14

  14 A S51 Index 6,373.50 5,724.80 (228.03) (3.76)

  17.95

  A s ia / P a c if ic A m e ric a 5 2 - WE E K C H A N G E Y T D P E R ( x) P B V ( x) M A R KE T C A P ( B n) E uro pe H IG H LO W P O IN T % 2 0 17 2 0 18 E 2 0 17 2 0 18 E D o m a in C urre nc y US D

  LQ45 Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report LQ45 Index HIGH LOW POINT % 2017 2018E 2017 2018E

  9.50

  16.57

  20.77

  13.41

  0.99 1.03 49,452.68

  31 PTBA IJ 4,440 4,940 2,090 1,980

  80.49

  5.79

  1.91 3.01 51,151.73

  14 12.73 - - - - 10,751.20

  32 PTPP IJ 1,545 3,280 1,465 (1,095) (41.48)

  11.26

  5.55

  1.43 0.74 9,578.84

  33 PWON IJ 438 725 432 (247) (36.06)

  17.62

  9.66

  3.20 1.73 21,093.91

  30 PGAS IJ 2,040 2,860 1,505 290

  29 MYRX IJ 124 198 101

  27.24

  18.09

  21.11

  15.74

  3.08 1.87 31,208.85

  25 KLBF IJ 1,285 1,785 1,155 (405) (23.96)

  32.96

  24.38

  5.96 4.14 60,234.53

  26 LPKR IJ 290 735 276 (198) (40.57)

  8.33

  1.86 1.03 10,635.70

  0.49 0.31 6,695.28

  27 LPPF IJ 6,000 11,975 5,525 (4,000) (40.00)

  15.29

  8.86

  12.53 4.73 17,507.51

  28 MNCN IJ 745 1,690 700 (540) (42.02)

  11.78

  6.93

  34 SCMA IJ 1,770 2,980 1,645 (710) (28.63)

  15.73

  3.29 2.77 62,304.85

  7.76

  2.91 2.25 117,312.75

  42 UNVR IJ 43,600 58,100 40,400 (12,300) (22.00)

  60.89

  43.46

  82.44 54.91 332,668.00

  43 WIKA IJ 1,285 2,190 1,210 (265) (17.10)

  11.55

  1.10 0.81 11,526.39

  17.84

  44 WSBP IJ 340 510 332 (68) (16.67)

  10.56

  7.38

  1.47 0.99 8,962.79

  45 WSKT IJ 1,570 3,150 1,570 (640) (28.96)

  7.38

  4.59

  2.14 1.20 21,311.03

  11.40

  41 UNTR IJ 31,450 40,500 30,775 (3,950) (11.16)

  9.30 5.07 25,880.23

  3.54 2.62 11,906.25

  35 SMGR IJ 8,825 11,775 6,500 (1,075) (10.86)

  29.14

  26.13

  2.03 1.73 52,345.66

  36 SRIL IJ 312 414 302 (68) (17.89) 7.26 - 1.18 - 6,381.08

  37 SSMS IJ 1,250 1,545 1,005 (250) (16.67)

  17.92

  13.97

  38 TLKM IJ 3,660 4,439 3,250 (739) (16.80)

  22 11.11 - - - - 10,919.41

  19.68

  17.16

  4.70 3.60 362,567.71

  39 TPIA IJ 4,550 6,675 4,300 (1,450) (24.17)

  23.81

  27.19

  4.74 3.02 81,142.52

  40 TRAM IJ 220 432 128

  24 JSMR IJ 4,300 6,775 3,920 (2,100) (32.81)

  52.41

  1 ADHI IJ 1,270 2,510 1,265 (615) (32.63)

  11.38

  4.11 3.91 588,021.97

  7 BBNI IJ 7,050 10,175 6,675 (2,850) (28.79)

  13.56

  8.57

  1.87 1.22 131,473.03

  8 BBRI IJ 3,000 3,920 2,720 (640) (17.58)

  15.34

  2.67 1.99 370,037.43

  23.17

  9 BBTN IJ 2,340 3,890 2,110 (1,230) (34.45)

  12.49

  7.35

  1.75 1.00 24,780.60

  10 BJBR IJ 1,920 2,730 1,795 (480) (20.00)

  19.20

  12.30

  2.31 1.78 18,616.88

  22.80

  8.90

  20.93

  28.11

  13.02

  5.68

  1.15 0.68 4,522.28

  2 ADRO IJ 1,675 2,650 1,575 (185) (9.95)

  9.06

  7.34

  1.26 0.95 53,576.49

  3 AKRA IJ 3,500 8,025 3,220 (2,850) (44.88)

  13.26

  6 BBCA IJ 23,850 25,475 20,050 1,950

  3.37 1.66 14,051.43

  4 ANTM IJ 765 1,015 600 140 22.40 -

  23.69

  0.81 0.99 18,383.54

  5 ASII IJ 6,850 8,750 6,100 (1,450) (17.47)

  17.83

  13.11

  2.72 2.05 277,312.34

  11 BMRI IJ 6,375 9,050 6,175 (1,625) (20.31)

  11.70

  43.45

  1.16 1.11 32,293.10

  16.13 12.53 440,845.51

  19 ICBP IJ 8,725 9,275 7,900 (175) (1.97)

  27.31

  24.26

  5.31 4.69 101,750.15

  20 INCO IJ 3,250 4,720 2,570 360 12.46 -

  26.70

  21 INDF IJ 5,525 8,500 5,500 (2,100) (27.54)

  43.54

  16.18

  11.02

  2.15 1.42 48,511.86

  22 INDY IJ 2,520 4,630 2,160 (540) (17.65)

  3.50

  4.36

  1.27 0.87 13,129.68

  23 INTP IJ 16,925 23,950 12,500 (5,025) (22.89)

  33.48

  18 HMSP IJ 3,790 5,550 3,230 (940) (19.87)

  2.24 1.64 297,500.00

  1.29 0.68 19,150.46

  12 BMTR IJ 350 755 350 (240) (40.68) - - 0.88 - 4,969.52

  13 BRPT IJ 1,760 2,720 1,510 (500) (22.12)

  30.00

  19.28

  2.16 1.15 31,313.19

  14 BSDE IJ 995 1,965 930 (705) (41.47)

  6.61

  7.38

  15 BUMI IJ 178 356 177 (92) (34.07)

  3.82 3.05 140,843.24

  2.57 1.95 - - 11,654.62

  16 EXCL IJ 2,760 1,710 (200) (6.76)

  85.16

  75.10

  1.46 1.34 29,498.77

  17 GGRM IJ 73,200 86,400 61,925 (10,600) (12.65)

  20.80

  16.69

  MARKET CAP (Bn) LQ45 Index CHANGE YTD PER (x) PBV (x) 15-Oct-18 52-WEEK

  Macro data S e c t o rs D e s c ript io n 1- D a y ( %) 5 - D a ys ( %) 1- M o nt h ( %) Y T D ( %)

  P ro perty (1.00) (1.37) (7.01) (19.18) B asic Industry (3.68) (3.79) (9.66)

  4.86 Trade (0.76) (1.55) (4.46) (14.43) Finance

  0.97 1.04 (1.93) (8.13) M iscellaneo us Industry (0.06) 0.01 (3.47) (13.96) Co nsumer (0.55) (0.66) (2.98) (15.59) Infrastructure (0.80) 0.83 (1.01) (13.45) A griculture (0.81) (2.29) (7.11) (6.59) M ining (1.69) (3.43) (1.22)

  18.80 E c o no m ic Indic a t o rs

  E c o no m ic P a ra m e t e rs S e p- 18 A ug- 18

  Inflatio n YTD (in %)

  1.94

  3.61 Inflatio n Yo Y (in %)

  2.88

  3.20 Inflatio n M o M (in %) -0.18 -0.05 Fo reign Reserves (in USD bn)

  114.85 117.93

  F O R E X S po t R a t e 1- D a y ( %) 1- M o nt h ( %) Y T D ( %)

  • USD/IDR 15,220.00 (2.23) (10.94) USD/CNY

  6.92 0.08 (0.86) (5.93) USD/EUR 0.86 (0.08)

  0.82

  3.59 USD/JP Y 111.89 (0.11) (0.04)

  0.72 USD/SGD

  1.38 0.12 (0.23) (2.84) USD/A UD 1.40 (0.10)

  0.57

  9.37 USD/GB P 0.76 (0.04)

  0.01

  2.69 Le nding a nd D e po s it R a t e s ( in %) JIB OR (in IDR)

  7.58 LIB OR (in GB P )

  1.09 SIB OR ( in USD)

  1.46 Indo nesia 5-Year Go vernment B o nds Yield

  8.57 Indo nesia 10-Year Go vernment B o nds Yield

  8.88 Indo nesia 15-Year Go vernment B o nds Yield

9.03 Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

  See important disclaimer at the end of this report www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id

  St a t e Bu dge t 2 0 1 6 2 0 1 7 2 0 1 8

  I N D I CA T OR LKPP A PBN P RA PBN GD P Gr ow th ( % , YoY) 5,0% 5,2% 5,4% Ex change r ate ( USD / I D R) 13307 13300 13500 I nflation ( % , YoY)

  3% 4,3% 3,5%

  3 Months SPN ( % ) 5,7% 5,2% 5,3% I ndonesian C r ude Oil ( USD / bar r el)

  40

  45

  48 Oil Lifting ( thousands bar r el/ day ) 829 815 800 Gas Lifting ( thousands, BOE/ day )

  1.18

  1.15

  1.2 Total State Budget ( in I D R tr illion) 1556 1714 1878 Upcom in g I PO

  I PO I ssu e d Co m p a n y Bu sin e ss Pr ice Sh a r e s Of f e r in g Da t e ( 2 0 1 7 ) List in g Un d e r w r it e r ( Rp ) ( Mn ) Madusar i Mur ni I ndah 495.9 23/ 08/ 2018 - 27/ 08/ 2018 30- Aug- 18 Tr im itr a Pr oper tindo Tbk 773.3 10/ 07/ 2018 - 14/ 08/ 2018 23- Aug- 18 MD Pictur es Tbk 1981.0 25/ 07/ 2018 - 31/ 07/ 2018 07- Aug- 18 Mahk ota Gr oup Tbk 703.7 03/ 07/ 2018 - 09/ 07/ 2018 12- Jul- 18 NFC I ndonesia Tbk 166.7 03/ 07/ 2018 - 05/ 07/ 2018 12- Jul- 18

  D ivide n d

St o ck D PS ( Rp ) St a t u s Cu m D a t e Ex D a t e Re co r d in g Pa y m e n t

  AALI 112 04/ 10/ 2018 05/ 10/ 2018 09/ 10/ 2018 19/ 10/ 2018 ASI I

  60 04/ 10/ 2018 05/ 10/ 2018 09/ 10/ 2018 31/ 10/ 2018 BSSR 151 02/ 10/ 2018 03/ 10/ 2018 05/ 10/ 2018 19/ 10/ 2018 D VLA

  37 02/ 10/ 2018 03/ 10/ 2018 05/ 10/ 2018 26/ 10/ 2018 TPI A USD 0.00162 28/ 09/ 2018 01/ 10/ 2018 03/ 10/ 2018 24/ 10/ 2018

  HEXA USD 0.02148 25/ 09/ 2018 26/ 09/ 2018 28/ 09/ 2018 19/ 10/ 2018

  I KBI

  5 18/ 09/ 2018 19/ 09/ 2018 21/ 09/ 2018 10/ 10/ 2018

XI SB

  1.98 13/ 09/ 2018 14/ 09/ 2018 18/ 09/ 2018 20/ 09/ 2018 JPFA 50 05/ 09/ 2018 06/ 09/ 2018 10/ 09/ 2018 24/ 09/ 2018

  Righ t s I ssu e T ick e r Ra t io Pr ice ( Rp ) Cu m Da t e EX Da t e T r a d in g RBMS 99 : 100 200 05/ 10/ 2018 08/ 10/ 2018 12/ 10/ 2018 - 18/ 10/ 2018 MAYA

  1 : 6 2,200 03/ 10/ 2018 04/ 10/ 2018 10/ 10/ 2018 - 16/ 10/ 2018

AGRO 271 : 1000 400 06/ 09/ 2018 07/ 09/ 2018 14/ 09/ 2018 - 20/ 09/ 2018

www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id See important disclaimer at the end of this report

  Pick s of Th e D a y BBRI : BUY ON W EAKN ESS BBRI belum ber hasil break Resist ance 3.040, BBRI ber peluang m enguj i Suppor t 2.960, 2.920 dan 2.870. Nam un, j ik a BBRI ber hasil break Resist ance 3.040, m ak a BBRI ak an m encoba Resist ance 3.070, 3.110 dan 3.160. BBRI dilihat dar i indik at or Stoc osc m engindik asik an pola Rever sal. Ent r y point : 2.960 — 3.000 Ex it point : 3.040 ( 2.7% ) , 3.070 ( 3.7% ) St op Loss : 2.920 ( - 1.4% ) ASRI : TRAD I N G BUY ASRI ber hasil br eak Resist ance 276, ASRI berpeluang m elanj ut k an penguat an dengan m enguj i Resist ance 282, 286 dan 292.

  

Nam un, j ik a ASRI gagal br eak Resist ance 282, m ak a ASRI ak an m encoba Suppor t 270, 266 dan 260. ASRI dilihat I ndik at or MACD

m engindik asik an pola Reversal. Ent r y point : 276 — 278 Ex it point : 282 ( 2.2% ) , 292 ( 5.8% ) St op Loss : 270 ( - 2.2% )

w w w .sin a r m a sse k u r it a s.co.id Se e im por t a n t discla im e r a t t h e e n d of t h is r e por t

Oct Nov Dec 2018 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 2,700 2,800 2,900 3,000 3,100 3,200 3,300 3,400 3,500 3,600 3,700 3,800 3,900 3300 3200 3250 3070 3110 3160 3040 3000 2960 2920 2870 BBRI - Daily 10/15/2018 4:14:00 PM Open 2960, Hi 3030, Lo 2960, Clos e 3000 (1.7%) MA(Clos e,50) = 3,118.20 3,000 3,118.2 Oct Nov Dec 2018 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct -100 100 BBRI - MACD(12,26) = -30.71, Signal(12,26,9) = -24.26
  • -30.7128 -24.2611
  • 20 80 95.9855 BBRI - Stoch %K(15,3) = 26.04, Stoch %D(15,3,3) = 21.97 26.0417 21.9656 BBRI - RSI(15) = 47.39 Oct Nov Dec 2018 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 260 270 280 290 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 260 266 282 292 298 286 276 270 ASRI - Daily 10/15/2018 4:07:00 PM Open 272, Hi 278, Lo 268, Clos e 276 (1.5%) MA(Clos e,50) = 301.32 276 301.32 Oct Nov Dec 2018 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct -10 10 ASRI - MACD(12,26) = -7.67, Signal(12,26,9) = -7.91
    • -7.66804 -7.91344
    • 20 ASRI - Stoch %K(15,3) = 29.82, Stoch %D(15,3,3) = 24.10 29.8246 24.1019 ASRI - RSI(15) = 41.44

        Pick s of Th e D a y BBCA : TRAD I N G BUY

      BBCA ber hasil br eak Resist ance 23.600 . BBCA berpeluang m elanj ut k an penguat an dengan m enguj i Resist ance 23.950, 24.200 dan

      24.700. Nam un, j ik a BBCA gagal br eak Resist ance 24.200, m ak a BBCA ak an m encoba Suppor t 23.600, 23.400 dan 22.975. BBCA

      dilihat I ndik at or MACD dan Stoc osc m engindik asik an pola Reversal. Ent r y point : 23.600 — 23.800 Ex it point : 24.200 ( 2.5% ) , 24.700 ( 4.7% ) St op Loss : 23.400 ( - 0.8% ) KLBF : TRAD I N G BUY KLBF ber hasil br eak Resist ance 1.285. KLBF berpeluang m elanj ut k an penguat an dengan m enguj i Resist ance 1.305, 1.325 dan

      1.340. Nam un, j ik a KLBF gagal break Resist ance 1.305, m ak a KLBF ak an m encoba Suppor t 1.260, 1.230 dan 1.205. KLBF dilihat

      I ndik ator St oc osc m engindik asik an pola Ov er sold. Ent r y point : 1.285 — 1.290 Ex it point : 1.305 ( 1.6% ) , 1.325 ( 3.1% ) St op Loss : 1.260 ( - 1.9% )

      w w w .sin a r m a sse k u r it a s.co.id Se e im por t a n t discla im e r a t t h e e n d of t h is r e por t

      Oct Nov Dec 2018 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 19,500 20,000 20,500 21,000 21,500 22,000 22,500 23,000 23,500 24,000 24,500 25,000 25,500 26,000 24375 24700 24200 23950 23400 23600 22975 BBCA - Daily 10/15/2018 4:14:00 PM Open 23500, Hi 23850, Lo 23500, Clos e 23850 (2.6%) MA(Clos e,50) = 24,005.00 23,850 24,005 Oct Nov Dec 2018 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct -200 200 400 BBCA - MACD(12,26) = -186.38, Signal(12,26,9) = -147.87
      • -186.383 -147.869
      • 20 80 BBCA - Stoch %K(15,3) = 43.84, Stoch %D(15,3,3) = 35.58 43.8356 35.582 BBCA - RSI(15) = 51.08 Oct Nov Dec 2018 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1,150 1,200 1,250 1,300 1,350 1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1390 1250 1285 1305 1340 1360 1230 1205 1260 1410 1470 1325 KLBF - Daily 10/15/2018 4:05:00 PM Open 1275, Hi 1295, Lo 1270, Clos e 1285 (1.2%) MA(Clos e,50) = 1,281.40 1,285 1,281.4 Oct Nov Dec 2018 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct -60 -40 -20 20 KLBF - MACD(12,26) = -0.75, Signal(12,26,9) = 6.19
        • -0.746433 6.19457
        • 20 80 KLBF - Stoch %K(15,3) = 19.35, Stoch %D(15,3,3) = 19.11 19.3548 19.1091 KLBF - RSI(15) = 49.33

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