The Contribution Of Open Economy To Economic Growth in west Sumatera.
I'ACULTY OF ECONODqCS
ANDALAS
!\IITRSITV
TIIESIS
TITE CO\"TRIBUTION OF OPEN ECONOMY
TO ECONOMIC
GROWTE IN \4DST STJMA1ERA
BY:
CERT CINTIA ELVA NAZMAR
06151 012
The Stud..t Of Bachetor Degrde Or Econonic
m6it l! Subnidat t"
poniat
Dcp.rtn€nt
tugl!@nt OJ Ih. Requn n"h! tot
Buh.tor D.Arc. Froh Andrl6 UriveBitu
PADANC
n.
CERI
(]I\TIA
Pesonal Idcnily
a) Dare ol Br
h Buk,l Combak Snlaf Me' l8'r'
name Elva.ano Naznar and Husorltr
dl D.pa.r'ncnl L.om,n. c) Srud€n No
cl
rs88 b) Pa.cds'
Flculry: hconomics
06 l5l 0ll l1 Drl. of
Examl.rfon Jadux.y. tlri'2010 e) Cradilalc srhdard verl
Salnhcrion h) GIA 3,01 i) Lcngth olsrudy Pe.od .l rerrs ard l
nonths, PaEnli addre$ Jorons Bukik (bmbar S uak. Kenasa.ian
'the Contribuiion OlOp€n Econony 'ro fcononic Cronrh Of$.{ Strm,rem
'Ihesis br:Ceriairli, Elvr\r7nrr Th€sh \,lr n!,r: Ir0f.Dr,IL !trfruddin Llrimi. sEj
The Nodero economl can nor separaled $nh opcn ccoiofric srsLems, open econom! aho calL.d
rntenrlional lrade thal xre always conicctd wilh .rpon and mport rctiMN
thcor! ol
cconoml.s acrivily..rFn and in!.smcdr h!5 poslr\e Elaxonsbips
cconofric gro\ h.
rn!€{mdnl undftcriomlly crsc rhe cap rl goods impon that arc sieniticaml!.ause €cononnc
gro$1h Thrs research s a srudr abou he conlribution oaotcn c..nomy ro econonnc Foslh or
wesl SumatDra lhe analizes usins OLS (Ordirarv LcasL Squarq) ol lrne se.es dara ol l98l to
2009 Thc \aribrl.s lscs hcrc ar G.$ Rcgional D.n€s!,ca Pruduch a\ dependenl ra.ablc and
E1lod, lnll.d (in.ludi.g .apnal go.ds i,nNd), l.vest rent as nrdependent laiablcs llas.d oi
ncll resulr, sriler suggesllhlt eypon and caprral goods rmpon has blg.onl.ibulLon ro the
Gro$ Regionll Donrestrcs trorlucls FunhemoE. capiul goods lmpon lho has poitive
rel.liondrips lo nr!estme.l rn the case ofwei Sumatcra
{it[
lI r
.n
(orqords: Irrmaiion:J tade e.o.om'c er$l1i. ordir4 lea{ squi(. co lnbulnrn
I hcas LranLn.trion rnJ
SE,
MA
llead of Lrepanment: ProlDrl:l l.i^Mp Ian Sl]M E. DEA
Tlrd r
' \J r."ier. 'r\. J..l\,lf.uo'.o
oblarned thc ,\lLnmus Rcsulralion Nunber
ln!
\'dl.r
.
'r
rot
The olficer in charec oflracuLlj_ r^ndalas
Univer$ty ALurnnus ReJjln.aitun No
fa.uhv Alumnus ReqNtiation No
l
CIIAPT'RI
Cbbal econonric relrrn)nships in rhe rorld tuc sray in rltr purtosc ol'
qelldc. To relch Lhis purposc caoh courxry !1, b hc thc bc$ in gnibal mdrker
rherearcnan!thcory.xta dcdb)rrhenNeBoreconomic,.llolthcrhdor
tu1filln.ssccity
arc cnd in thc rmson that howro
tbc thcor] we Lnow opcn
'n
4onomic sysreors atul closed cconomic slslem. bolh
rcle 10 ,tach welllrc
ol
olllrm
have JiJlereDl
rhcn counlry Closcd ccononric syslctus
.c.non!. rvilh.Lt lorcien tadc. d'cl
lirlfill all ol
ato try ro
dre
uo
thc
nesecil] in
{hcn counay. sonclincs $is thcory olcloscdecon.nic s}{ensare sepamtcd
''.,11.o'ub
" i n.rr\'..!r
is thc Lheroy thal
bari.6.
rlhw
the
o ,..'i.opc' i,,.ri. Jr"
berseo coDlrics..d no rjde
'chri.ships
lhcrc a.c mant bcnncn*.lthis- bur lhe problenr aho bie, cspcciallr-
lor thc cucncy laluc.
'Jhe ol]en econoory
!l$
called inlemalional lradc. nod.m econonomy
lrddy
.&1 sl?rarcd lron intumartu.al
t!de,
becouse oeotle neens
b
rade, we .an t aloitl inrcriarional
tullill the;
*hypcopLcdo iircmationalrradc is (. nsing
N lo lLrllll ness{il}
wellirc but also
can
lishr lo bc rhc bcsr
lift.
a
lle
bcst rcdson
{har
}t.e
ttuduce. rise
country. bccousc cach olcoundcJ
dd Lud.r d€leniped c.unnies in
Accordn8 ro Cdsholnr {l98l) or his
the slobal
b&,llht tricipte!
The pure theorr_
ol inremalional tldc
imflicdrions
nicroec.nonic rsnecrsreler
has micrceconomic and
ro lhe interaction
OJ
pnamdqumtit) for
m
mrkct.
Ec.,onti.s,
mrcroe.dnomic
ofdcntud drd
suppll in individull rarkds. As in domcslic markcrs, rrade esrablishes
equilibnum
.l
lnrernarional tmdc hclps
th. aond dErkei Sonelimes, dereloped coMtrics
Fowerful lhtur devcloping
lLs
wel
dnd consume nror. than
rvo*r cc.ndmics in
i
oessecily and
lradcd eoods md services \\ften
'nokers
an
arc lnrled lhrou!h lmde. equilibriun oc.ur\ al the intcscctioi ol Blobal
lemand and slobal supply.
'lhe demand and supply beL$€en counhics w€ cdlldJ expon aDd inrpon
acriviq, extonmcm\ when you trade Aoods turd sciriccs oul ol vour counlry.
ourcounlrl. A counrv trr
ard inpod rncds shcn thc forcisn pmducr cnror
10
to bc the best each orlEr in the mdlct. bc.ousc
n\
rhe Lvorld n,arker, qualiry rnd price arc somc
acccpt our producl. Fvery
ordcr to nicrcasc expod
gorcmenl
{h
rcsor b!
in lhe wond
inrtort, becousc
n
n.t e{s} to challcnec
the consumers
al{ats suppn
counlq will
ir
10
an elJbn ni
oct tradc
slrplus
Fhcn cxpon moE th.n impo.r. yicc !c6a wh.o imf)on is gGater
thd cxpo
orlns trade delicit Jo. a counrry. We kno{ balan.e oll.adc. $hich tnosr ns
complnsr bet*ecn cxpo,r lnd iornon. Ralarcc ol lradc hopclilly al*lys
p.silivc. bccousc it sill bdne us r. hc rdde surplus. Lmde plls hrnrg
In open €conomic counlry ol inlemalio.al tradc. cx0!n hls
lhe
imponanr rcle ro acceleralcd donrcsric gro$dl Lxp.n .an bc nse econoDic
stuwlh
ir
onc si,lc.
bd also can wo6e the
oLheN sidc
(Sriafnddin Kdinri,
1986). Indonesia as one countr) thal hold oFcn economy can l sepaFlcd aron
rhe posirive
od
neAllire ellecr ol inlenrarioral ccon.hy. becouse most
lnd.ncsidn cdonomy rro dependenl
natural resouices dar de exp.n
to lntenntional lndc, esrucilll]
b o$c6 countries ol dcstidtions
ol
aor
Besides
rllal cxpon will hclp thk country to rhc tho uscljrl orcapitll aoods irDpod, in
Lleside to ftlch good econonric coopeftliors.
welift
! .ou.try, cconomic dcvclopmcnt k signilicmr Jircror
h.tu lhc ncw inl.rcsr in rhc Jctcminlnls ol economic dcvelopfrenr ht\
Td nsc
in
rcieritcd thc dcbalc on op.nncs md growth. Thc f$v e$slh $corics sussesl
thal tEde policy afects long run Sroslh dnught ils i.rprcr on lehnololycal
changr Opu.nrs {d trdc Fovides 4cess ro inponcd inpurs. which €nrbodv
ndw rdchdolost, idcEases lhe efecrive size
ol
thc ndkct pioducins
roducc6. which raiscs thc rdtums 10 innovation and affecls coutrics
spcciaLizarion h rese.rch inleisive production (Ann Hri$i. 1995)
CHAPTER
!'I
CONCI,IJSSION AND PECO
According lo the resdl of llis nsemh,
L Inlemtioml t.de sisnin@dy
Esulr of
ftis
Fseach €xpon
csuse
kiter
conclndc thal:
b $€
4onomic groq$. Acording
dd inlon
haae bis conr.ibution
b
tne
of@nooy {Cms Rqioml Don6tics Poduct), eEsiolly in the
cde ol Vesl SMaled The elTect of intemtio.al trade lo Cbss
glov1h
Regional Donestics Pnducl hol
.dpibl eood irmn. har
juL
nudjElrl)
&om export setor, but
nse
*onor
r.
er
.ho
eom
os1ll
Tle src$th of inv6tnen! €apilal so.ds import, and export logethd
siglinmlly ou* dr lelcl ofcmss Reeion lDom6lics lbducls. Usins
the dab of l98l lo 2009 exporl oue e@nooic g.odh aboul 23 % in
p€Eenrase. 17,? % caw the src$th ofcapilal eoods inpon. B$ides lhal
copilal soods imlon ontribure 29,7 % of Investnent,
Economic cnsis al 1998 cauins tlrce faclor of gbv1n (expod,
soods isporl. md inv€shrent), it is
dimtly sue @nonic grcfih. The
elidoce shoes dal Cro$ Regiorel Don6lis
t@ f01l !@h frinls lelel ol GDP.
€pitll
tuucl
of West Smatem
investue als fall dom whcr* n
noi roo fall. b€side lhal expon also dom. Bur. aldought expon lall
doq,
ol lsde of Vest SlmteE stiu in tno positive side. Mens
dLL We{ cmar.m h^e Cood ope"non ro fre &onomrc ririi.
the baldce
Tt.
belmcc of tzdc of W€sl SunDtea shows goorl c@p€Ftiom oner
6ononics cdsis f&ing by Indonesia al 199?. Bale@ of hde th.t is
knoM d the onpaien beh@n the dounl of export md impott in d
couFy shos th€ positive relatioships in thc yed of2003
the
5.
hil
2009 in
Vest Swalen aonoDy.
west Smalera
qp.n b ndy
vcry importonr to
incre
cobEies of destimtion. this a.livity dc
src*th in Wcsl Smalen. Tne bigg4l mounl
R.EFDR'ENCES
Adolfen. Malin. (2004) "Enpir'cal hopertlcs of Cl8ed dd OF. Econony
DSCE Models ol fie Eurc AFa. Svens€s Rilsbanl dd
S o.lholm Uai.s:tr " Srdcthorm c$eden
Alfao, I-aua (2001) FoEien DiEct Invesl,a€nt md Crorlh:
Msner?, H6rd BEiacc.S.hoo, Bolbr
Baler,
D6.
J. Bndlord Delohg, Paul
Ecorcmic
Cro*dl
(ngme. (2005)
Pdn€elon
D@s the Scctor
Assel
Rell@ And
UnieBily. Pdnceton.
\vilh Tems Of Tadc L
Devclopi4 Comtries.." ledenl Ree c Banl OfNew Yort,
voime 9. Nunbs I 1.
Broda, Christie- And Cednc Tille. (2003) '.copin8
Cupmthq Filip€. (2009) 'A Cotered hdex of Spatal Concentdlion: Expe.ted
Inuence Appro&h md Appli@iion ro loNhtion &d Clpitll
Cili€s," SilsapoE Mmgenent UniveBity.
CaErq Ceuin. (2007) "Exporl Divdiicadon: r naas behj.d the llunp?,'
UniveBit6 d'Auv.rg!e, Laiir Anerica.
Culovic, Mdia & Rosc L.vinc. (2004) D@s Foreign Direo lnleslmeft
Acceleded Econonic GDRtb ?," Cdlson Univ€Eiry,
Minneeta.
Chcn, Zhenf€ne. (2004).
"Comodiq
T6dc Evidmce fion
DoUd, Darid. And An Ki@y
Concentration Degree
Japa.. Soudr Ko@
(2001).
of
Intemarional
6d Chino
.
TFdq CDsth, And
Poverty,
"Developnmt Rsomn Cioup, Tle World BMk.
Dullecr, Uwe. (2008) 'Idpofted lquipnenl
Gofin
In Developing
Ilum
Couties,'
Capital And Econonic
EcoDoni€ Amlysis
& ?olicy
Ofvitua. A$ni!.
Elbeydi, Hmu.la md Cazda. (2010). "the RclaiioNhip b.twe. Expon md
Econonic Gr*ln i. Libya Adb Jdahinya, iounal Of
Ih@retical dd Applied Econonics, Volme XVII.
EyqEn, Amltn. And Gud Kmber. (2004) "t.t€mal'on lied Pmduclion in a
Departn€nr OfEononics, r]1e uiversity
Smoll Op.n E@.omx" Disussion PsFr Scncs,
Reeflc Bait.
ANDALAS
!\IITRSITV
TIIESIS
TITE CO\"TRIBUTION OF OPEN ECONOMY
TO ECONOMIC
GROWTE IN \4DST STJMA1ERA
BY:
CERT CINTIA ELVA NAZMAR
06151 012
The Stud..t Of Bachetor Degrde Or Econonic
m6it l! Subnidat t"
poniat
Dcp.rtn€nt
tugl!@nt OJ Ih. Requn n"h! tot
Buh.tor D.Arc. Froh Andrl6 UriveBitu
PADANC
n.
CERI
(]I\TIA
Pesonal Idcnily
a) Dare ol Br
h Buk,l Combak Snlaf Me' l8'r'
name Elva.ano Naznar and Husorltr
dl D.pa.r'ncnl L.om,n. c) Srud€n No
cl
rs88 b) Pa.cds'
Flculry: hconomics
06 l5l 0ll l1 Drl. of
Examl.rfon Jadux.y. tlri'2010 e) Cradilalc srhdard verl
Salnhcrion h) GIA 3,01 i) Lcngth olsrudy Pe.od .l rerrs ard l
nonths, PaEnli addre$ Jorons Bukik (bmbar S uak. Kenasa.ian
'the Contribuiion OlOp€n Econony 'ro fcononic Cronrh Of$.{ Strm,rem
'Ihesis br:Ceriairli, Elvr\r7nrr Th€sh \,lr n!,r: Ir0f.Dr,IL !trfruddin Llrimi. sEj
The Nodero economl can nor separaled $nh opcn ccoiofric srsLems, open econom! aho calL.d
rntenrlional lrade thal xre always conicctd wilh .rpon and mport rctiMN
thcor! ol
cconoml.s acrivily..rFn and in!.smcdr h!5 poslr\e Elaxonsbips
cconofric gro\ h.
rn!€{mdnl undftcriomlly crsc rhe cap rl goods impon that arc sieniticaml!.ause €cononnc
gro$1h Thrs research s a srudr abou he conlribution oaotcn c..nomy ro econonnc Foslh or
wesl SumatDra lhe analizes usins OLS (Ordirarv LcasL Squarq) ol lrne se.es dara ol l98l to
2009 Thc \aribrl.s lscs hcrc ar G.$ Rcgional D.n€s!,ca Pruduch a\ dependenl ra.ablc and
E1lod, lnll.d (in.ludi.g .apnal go.ds i,nNd), l.vest rent as nrdependent laiablcs llas.d oi
ncll resulr, sriler suggesllhlt eypon and caprral goods rmpon has blg.onl.ibulLon ro the
Gro$ Regionll Donrestrcs trorlucls FunhemoE. capiul goods lmpon lho has poitive
rel.liondrips lo nr!estme.l rn the case ofwei Sumatcra
{it[
lI r
.n
(orqords: Irrmaiion:J tade e.o.om'c er$l1i. ordir4 lea{ squi(. co lnbulnrn
I hcas LranLn.trion rnJ
SE,
MA
llead of Lrepanment: ProlDrl:l l.i^Mp Ian Sl]M E. DEA
Tlrd r
' \J r."ier. 'r\. J..l\,lf.uo'.o
oblarned thc ,\lLnmus Rcsulralion Nunber
ln!
\'dl.r
.
'r
rot
The olficer in charec oflracuLlj_ r^ndalas
Univer$ty ALurnnus ReJjln.aitun No
fa.uhv Alumnus ReqNtiation No
l
CIIAPT'RI
Cbbal econonric relrrn)nships in rhe rorld tuc sray in rltr purtosc ol'
qelldc. To relch Lhis purposc caoh courxry !1, b hc thc bc$ in gnibal mdrker
rherearcnan!thcory.xta dcdb)rrhenNeBoreconomic,.llolthcrhdor
tu1filln.ssccity
arc cnd in thc rmson that howro
tbc thcor] we Lnow opcn
'n
4onomic sysreors atul closed cconomic slslem. bolh
rcle 10 ,tach welllrc
ol
olllrm
have JiJlereDl
rhcn counlry Closcd ccononric syslctus
.c.non!. rvilh.Lt lorcien tadc. d'cl
lirlfill all ol
ato try ro
dre
uo
thc
nesecil] in
{hcn counay. sonclincs $is thcory olcloscdecon.nic s}{ensare sepamtcd
''.,11.o'ub
" i n.rr\'..!r
is thc Lheroy thal
bari.6.
rlhw
the
o ,..'i.opc' i,,.ri. Jr"
berseo coDlrics..d no rjde
'chri.ships
lhcrc a.c mant bcnncn*.lthis- bur lhe problenr aho bie, cspcciallr-
lor thc cucncy laluc.
'Jhe ol]en econoory
!l$
called inlemalional lradc. nod.m econonomy
lrddy
.&1 sl?rarcd lron intumartu.al
t!de,
becouse oeotle neens
b
rade, we .an t aloitl inrcriarional
tullill the;
*hypcopLcdo iircmationalrradc is (. nsing
N lo lLrllll ness{il}
wellirc but also
can
lishr lo bc rhc bcsr
lift.
a
lle
bcst rcdson
{har
}t.e
ttuduce. rise
country. bccousc cach olcoundcJ
dd Lud.r d€leniped c.unnies in
Accordn8 ro Cdsholnr {l98l) or his
the slobal
b&,llht tricipte!
The pure theorr_
ol inremalional tldc
imflicdrions
nicroec.nonic rsnecrsreler
has micrceconomic and
ro lhe interaction
OJ
pnamdqumtit) for
m
mrkct.
Ec.,onti.s,
mrcroe.dnomic
ofdcntud drd
suppll in individull rarkds. As in domcslic markcrs, rrade esrablishes
equilibnum
.l
lnrernarional tmdc hclps
th. aond dErkei Sonelimes, dereloped coMtrics
Fowerful lhtur devcloping
lLs
wel
dnd consume nror. than
rvo*r cc.ndmics in
i
oessecily and
lradcd eoods md services \\ften
'nokers
an
arc lnrled lhrou!h lmde. equilibriun oc.ur\ al the intcscctioi ol Blobal
lemand and slobal supply.
'lhe demand and supply beL$€en counhics w€ cdlldJ expon aDd inrpon
acriviq, extonmcm\ when you trade Aoods turd sciriccs oul ol vour counlry.
ourcounlrl. A counrv trr
ard inpod rncds shcn thc forcisn pmducr cnror
10
to bc the best each orlEr in the mdlct. bc.ousc
n\
rhe Lvorld n,arker, qualiry rnd price arc somc
acccpt our producl. Fvery
ordcr to nicrcasc expod
gorcmenl
{h
rcsor b!
in lhe wond
inrtort, becousc
n
n.t e{s} to challcnec
the consumers
al{ats suppn
counlq will
ir
10
an elJbn ni
oct tradc
slrplus
Fhcn cxpon moE th.n impo.r. yicc !c6a wh.o imf)on is gGater
thd cxpo
orlns trade delicit Jo. a counrry. We kno{ balan.e oll.adc. $hich tnosr ns
complnsr bet*ecn cxpo,r lnd iornon. Ralarcc ol lradc hopclilly al*lys
p.silivc. bccousc it sill bdne us r. hc rdde surplus. Lmde plls hrnrg
In open €conomic counlry ol inlemalio.al tradc. cx0!n hls
lhe
imponanr rcle ro acceleralcd donrcsric gro$dl Lxp.n .an bc nse econoDic
stuwlh
ir
onc si,lc.
bd also can wo6e the
oLheN sidc
(Sriafnddin Kdinri,
1986). Indonesia as one countr) thal hold oFcn economy can l sepaFlcd aron
rhe posirive
od
neAllire ellecr ol inlenrarioral ccon.hy. becouse most
lnd.ncsidn cdonomy rro dependenl
natural resouices dar de exp.n
to lntenntional lndc, esrucilll]
b o$c6 countries ol dcstidtions
ol
aor
Besides
rllal cxpon will hclp thk country to rhc tho uscljrl orcapitll aoods irDpod, in
Lleside to ftlch good econonric coopeftliors.
welift
! .ou.try, cconomic dcvclopmcnt k signilicmr Jircror
h.tu lhc ncw inl.rcsr in rhc Jctcminlnls ol economic dcvelopfrenr ht\
Td nsc
in
rcieritcd thc dcbalc on op.nncs md growth. Thc f$v e$slh $corics sussesl
thal tEde policy afects long run Sroslh dnught ils i.rprcr on lehnololycal
changr Opu.nrs {d trdc Fovides 4cess ro inponcd inpurs. which €nrbodv
ndw rdchdolost, idcEases lhe efecrive size
ol
thc ndkct pioducins
roducc6. which raiscs thc rdtums 10 innovation and affecls coutrics
spcciaLizarion h rese.rch inleisive production (Ann Hri$i. 1995)
CHAPTER
!'I
CONCI,IJSSION AND PECO
According lo the resdl of llis nsemh,
L Inlemtioml t.de sisnin@dy
Esulr of
ftis
Fseach €xpon
csuse
kiter
conclndc thal:
b $€
4onomic groq$. Acording
dd inlon
haae bis conr.ibution
b
tne
of@nooy {Cms Rqioml Don6tics Poduct), eEsiolly in the
cde ol Vesl SMaled The elTect of intemtio.al trade lo Cbss
glov1h
Regional Donestics Pnducl hol
.dpibl eood irmn. har
juL
nudjElrl)
&om export setor, but
nse
*onor
r.
er
.ho
eom
os1ll
Tle src$th of inv6tnen! €apilal so.ds import, and export logethd
siglinmlly ou* dr lelcl ofcmss Reeion lDom6lics lbducls. Usins
the dab of l98l lo 2009 exporl oue e@nooic g.odh aboul 23 % in
p€Eenrase. 17,? % caw the src$th ofcapilal eoods inpon. B$ides lhal
copilal soods imlon ontribure 29,7 % of Investnent,
Economic cnsis al 1998 cauins tlrce faclor of gbv1n (expod,
soods isporl. md inv€shrent), it is
dimtly sue @nonic grcfih. The
elidoce shoes dal Cro$ Regiorel Don6lis
t@ f01l !@h frinls lelel ol GDP.
€pitll
tuucl
of West Smatem
investue als fall dom whcr* n
noi roo fall. b€side lhal expon also dom. Bur. aldought expon lall
doq,
ol lsde of Vest SlmteE stiu in tno positive side. Mens
dLL We{ cmar.m h^e Cood ope"non ro fre &onomrc ririi.
the baldce
Tt.
belmcc of tzdc of W€sl SunDtea shows goorl c@p€Ftiom oner
6ononics cdsis f&ing by Indonesia al 199?. Bale@ of hde th.t is
knoM d the onpaien beh@n the dounl of export md impott in d
couFy shos th€ positive relatioships in thc yed of2003
the
5.
hil
2009 in
Vest Swalen aonoDy.
west Smalera
qp.n b ndy
vcry importonr to
incre
cobEies of destimtion. this a.livity dc
src*th in Wcsl Smalen. Tne bigg4l mounl
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