Analisis Pengaruh ROE, Growth, dan Working Capital terhadap Overvalued Saham Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di BEI (Bursa Efek Indonesia) Tahun 2013
Lampiran 1
Data Keuangan ROE, Growth, dan Working Capital Perusahaan
Manufaktur 2013 di BEI
NO
PERUSAHAAN
OVER/UNDER
GROWTH
ROE
WORKING
CAPITAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
AISA
ALDO
ALMI
ARNA
AMFG
ASII
AUTO
CEKA
CPIN
CTBN
DLTA
DPNS
DVLA
EKAD
ETWA
GGRM
GJTL
HMSP
ICBP
IGAR
IKBI
IMAS
INAI
INDF
INDR
INDS
INKP
INRU
INTP
ISSP
JPFA
KAEF
KBLI
KIAS
KLBF
LION
LMSH
MAIN
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0.14
0.15
0.30
0.16
0.11
0.12
0.05
0.06
0.17
0.05
0.11
0.27
0.09
0.14
0.01
0.10
0.01
0.07
0.10
0.01
0.03
0.10
0.03
0.04
0.004
0.05
0.95
0.29
0.07
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.06
0.03
0.13
0.11
0.11
0.24
0.14
0.16
0.39
0.31
0.12
0.21
0.11
0.12
0.25
0.25
0.40
0.30
0.14
0.17
0.01
0.15
0.02
0.76
0.17
0.15
0.03
0.10
0.04
0.09
0.005
0.08
0.96
0.30
0.22
0.10
0.12
0.13
0.08
0.04
0.23
0.16
0.13
0.28
1048280
45102717928
107964788543
93325070983
1506156
17213
2368205
328084142774
6497852
87255097
589120262
150678751590
698510652
130685823094
26914761438
14509881
3879618
9124040
6625132
185199337379
39977096
917400582236
103793212259
12993188
36513933
804791559762
562625
27674
14106159
906819
4643121
1064491455983
521463366806
600200047287
4856729427795
365092370101
87966040415
10509456
Ln
Working
Capital
13.86
24.53
25.41
25.26
14.23
9.75
14.68
26.52
15.69
18.28
20.19
25.74
20.36
25.60
24.02
16.49
15.17
16.03
15.71
25.94
17.50
27.54
25.37
16.38
17.41
27.41
13.24
10.23
16.46
13.72
15.35
27.69
26.98
27.12
29.21
26.62
25.20
16.17
47
Universitas Sumatera Utara
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
MBTO
MERK
MLBI
MYOR
ROTI
SCCO
SKLT
SMBR
SMCB
SMGR
SMSM
SRIL
TCID
TOTO
TRIS
TRST
TSPC
ULTJ
UNVR
VOKS
WIIM
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0.03
0.34
0.01
0.22
0.18
0.10
0.06
0.10
0.03
0.13
0.11
0.11
0.07
0.13
0.12
0.01
0.07
0.14
0.01
-0.01
0.12
0.36
0.34
1.19
0.27
0.20
0.30
0.08
0.13
0.11
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.13
0.23
0.17
0.02
0.16
0.16
1.26
0.65
0.17
340076177403
440419337
16290
3798418959199
43683614095
411259373717
12338358618
1913010101
1176999
4674479833
547104718206
109810760843
532184702746
593303685136
195098808296
149383423748
2643649893411
931716602130
2556503
179092594748
584879546750
26.55
19.90
9.70
28.97
24.50
26.74
23.24
21.37
13.98
22.27
27.03
25.42
27.00
27.11
26.00
25.73
28.60
27.56
14.75
25.91
27.09
48
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2
Statistik Deskriptif
Descriptive Statistics
Std.
N
Range Minimum Maximum
Mean
Deviation Variance
Std.
Statistic Statistic Statistic
Statistic Statistic Error
Over/Under
59
1
0
1
Growth
59
.95
.00
ROE
59
1.3
.0
LnWC
59
19.51
9.70
Valid N
59
.76
Skewness
Std.
Kurtosis
Std.
Statistic Statistic Statistic Error Statistic Error
.056
.429
.184 -1.268 .311
-.408 .613
.95
.1163 .01743
.13391
.018
4.414 .311 25.974 .613
1.3
.238 .0328
.2522
.064
2.690 .311
29.21 21.5677 .75237 5.77905
33.397
7.749 .613
-.484 .311 -1.208 .613
(listwise)
49
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3
Uji Hosmer dan Lemeshow
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step
1
Chi-square
df
4.639
Sig.
8
.795
50
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 4
Case Processing Summary
a
Unweighted Cases
Selected Cases
N
Included in Analysis
Missing Cases
Total
Unselected Cases
Total
Percent
59
100.0
0
.0
59
100.0
0
.0
59
100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of
cases.
51
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 5
Model Summary
Step
1
-2 Log likelihood
51.584
Cox & Snell R
Nagelkerke R
Square
Square
a
.199
.299
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 8 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
52
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 6
Classification Table
a
Predicted
Over/Under
Observed
Step 1
Over/Under
0
Percentage
1
Correct
0
4
10
28.6
1
2
43
95.6
Overall Percentage
79.7
a. The cut value is .500
53
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 7
Variables in the Equation
B
Step 1
a
Growth
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B)
-14.864
11.644
1.630
1
.202
.000
50.502
10.281
89.345
1
.046
8.018E8
LnWC
-.086
.068
1.607
1
.205
.918
Constant
1.484
1.612
.847
1
.357
4.411
ROE
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: Growth, ROE, LnWC.
54
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data Keuangan ROE, Growth, dan Working Capital Perusahaan
Manufaktur 2013 di BEI
NO
PERUSAHAAN
OVER/UNDER
GROWTH
ROE
WORKING
CAPITAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
AISA
ALDO
ALMI
ARNA
AMFG
ASII
AUTO
CEKA
CPIN
CTBN
DLTA
DPNS
DVLA
EKAD
ETWA
GGRM
GJTL
HMSP
ICBP
IGAR
IKBI
IMAS
INAI
INDF
INDR
INDS
INKP
INRU
INTP
ISSP
JPFA
KAEF
KBLI
KIAS
KLBF
LION
LMSH
MAIN
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0.14
0.15
0.30
0.16
0.11
0.12
0.05
0.06
0.17
0.05
0.11
0.27
0.09
0.14
0.01
0.10
0.01
0.07
0.10
0.01
0.03
0.10
0.03
0.04
0.004
0.05
0.95
0.29
0.07
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.06
0.03
0.13
0.11
0.11
0.24
0.14
0.16
0.39
0.31
0.12
0.21
0.11
0.12
0.25
0.25
0.40
0.30
0.14
0.17
0.01
0.15
0.02
0.76
0.17
0.15
0.03
0.10
0.04
0.09
0.005
0.08
0.96
0.30
0.22
0.10
0.12
0.13
0.08
0.04
0.23
0.16
0.13
0.28
1048280
45102717928
107964788543
93325070983
1506156
17213
2368205
328084142774
6497852
87255097
589120262
150678751590
698510652
130685823094
26914761438
14509881
3879618
9124040
6625132
185199337379
39977096
917400582236
103793212259
12993188
36513933
804791559762
562625
27674
14106159
906819
4643121
1064491455983
521463366806
600200047287
4856729427795
365092370101
87966040415
10509456
Ln
Working
Capital
13.86
24.53
25.41
25.26
14.23
9.75
14.68
26.52
15.69
18.28
20.19
25.74
20.36
25.60
24.02
16.49
15.17
16.03
15.71
25.94
17.50
27.54
25.37
16.38
17.41
27.41
13.24
10.23
16.46
13.72
15.35
27.69
26.98
27.12
29.21
26.62
25.20
16.17
47
Universitas Sumatera Utara
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
MBTO
MERK
MLBI
MYOR
ROTI
SCCO
SKLT
SMBR
SMCB
SMGR
SMSM
SRIL
TCID
TOTO
TRIS
TRST
TSPC
ULTJ
UNVR
VOKS
WIIM
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0.03
0.34
0.01
0.22
0.18
0.10
0.06
0.10
0.03
0.13
0.11
0.11
0.07
0.13
0.12
0.01
0.07
0.14
0.01
-0.01
0.12
0.36
0.34
1.19
0.27
0.20
0.30
0.08
0.13
0.11
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.13
0.23
0.17
0.02
0.16
0.16
1.26
0.65
0.17
340076177403
440419337
16290
3798418959199
43683614095
411259373717
12338358618
1913010101
1176999
4674479833
547104718206
109810760843
532184702746
593303685136
195098808296
149383423748
2643649893411
931716602130
2556503
179092594748
584879546750
26.55
19.90
9.70
28.97
24.50
26.74
23.24
21.37
13.98
22.27
27.03
25.42
27.00
27.11
26.00
25.73
28.60
27.56
14.75
25.91
27.09
48
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2
Statistik Deskriptif
Descriptive Statistics
Std.
N
Range Minimum Maximum
Mean
Deviation Variance
Std.
Statistic Statistic Statistic
Statistic Statistic Error
Over/Under
59
1
0
1
Growth
59
.95
.00
ROE
59
1.3
.0
LnWC
59
19.51
9.70
Valid N
59
.76
Skewness
Std.
Kurtosis
Std.
Statistic Statistic Statistic Error Statistic Error
.056
.429
.184 -1.268 .311
-.408 .613
.95
.1163 .01743
.13391
.018
4.414 .311 25.974 .613
1.3
.238 .0328
.2522
.064
2.690 .311
29.21 21.5677 .75237 5.77905
33.397
7.749 .613
-.484 .311 -1.208 .613
(listwise)
49
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3
Uji Hosmer dan Lemeshow
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step
1
Chi-square
df
4.639
Sig.
8
.795
50
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 4
Case Processing Summary
a
Unweighted Cases
Selected Cases
N
Included in Analysis
Missing Cases
Total
Unselected Cases
Total
Percent
59
100.0
0
.0
59
100.0
0
.0
59
100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of
cases.
51
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 5
Model Summary
Step
1
-2 Log likelihood
51.584
Cox & Snell R
Nagelkerke R
Square
Square
a
.199
.299
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 8 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
52
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 6
Classification Table
a
Predicted
Over/Under
Observed
Step 1
Over/Under
0
Percentage
1
Correct
0
4
10
28.6
1
2
43
95.6
Overall Percentage
79.7
a. The cut value is .500
53
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 7
Variables in the Equation
B
Step 1
a
Growth
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B)
-14.864
11.644
1.630
1
.202
.000
50.502
10.281
89.345
1
.046
8.018E8
LnWC
-.086
.068
1.607
1
.205
.918
Constant
1.484
1.612
.847
1
.357
4.411
ROE
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: Growth, ROE, LnWC.
54
Universitas Sumatera Utara