France 2017 OECD economic survey towards more inclusive growth and employment

(1)

http://www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/economic-survey-france.htm

2017 OECD ECONOMIC

SURVEY OF FRANCE

Towards more inclusive growth and employment

Paris, 14 September 2017

@OECD


(2)

A long-term strategy would help to reduce public

spending and improve its impact on equity

Fostering an inclusive development of skills and

employment

Improving life in poor neighbourhoods

Improving the efficiency of the health-care


(3)

Potential growth has slowed

3

Source : OECD (2017), OECD Econom ic Outlook 10 1 Database.

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Capital per worker

Labour input

TFP

Potential growth


(4)

Too many people are excluded from the

labour market

Source: OECD (2016), OECD Education at a Glance 20 16 Database.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

IS L NL D CH E LU X DE U SW E NO R JP N AU T DN K AU S CZ E ES T LV A CA N NZ L G

BR BEL ISR FIN

US A O ECD SV N PR T PO L HU N IR L F R A SV K KO R CH L M EX ES P G

RC ITA TUR

Youths not in employment, education or training (NEET), 2015

% of the 15-29 population


(5)

Public spending is high

5

Per cent of GDP, 2016

Source : OECD (2017), OECD Econom ic Outlook 10 1 Database.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

IR L CH E US A JP N CZ E ES T CA N O ECD PO L SV K G

BR ESP NLD

DE U PR T SV N HU N EA 16 G

RC ITA

SW E AU T BE L DN K F IN F R A


(6)

D e ve lo p in g a lo n g-te rm s tra te gy

to re d u ce p u b lic s p e n d in g a n d


(7)

Without policy changes the debt-to-GDP is

set to increase further

7

Debt simulations (per cent of GDP)

Source: OECD calculations based on OECD (2017), OECD Econom ic Outlook 10 1 Database.

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

Business as usual¹

Higher interest rate² (+1.4% points)


(8)

Pension spending and the wage bill explain

most of the gap in public spending

1. Numbers may not add to totals because of rounding, overlapping across selected spending categories and non-universal coverage of all spending categories.

2. Excluding pre-primary education.

Source: OECD Econom ic Outlook 10 1 Database; OECD Social Expenditure Database (SOCX); OECD Education at a Glance 20 16 Database.


(9)

The average effective age of

labour-market exit is low

9

Average effective age of labour-market exit in 2014

1

1. The effective retirement age shown is for the five-year period 2009-2014. The official pension age is shown for 2014, assuming labour market entry at age 20.

2. Belgium introduced a certain number of measures in 2015 to raise the effective age of labour market exit, focusing on conditions for accessing early retirement.

Source : OECD (2015), OECD Pensions at a Glance 20 15, OECD Publishing, Paris.

Iceland

Men Women

Korea Mexico

Turkey Japan Chile Israel New Zealand

Portugal Switzerland United States

Ireland Australia

Sweden Norway

Spain

OECD

Canada United Kingdom

Estonia Czech Republic

Denmark Netherlands

Germany Hungary Slovenia Austria

Belgium²

France

Poland Luxembourg

Finland Italy Greece Slovak Republic

50 55 60 65 70 75

50 55

60 65

70 75


(10)

Corporate tax rates are high

Source: Oxford Centre for Business Taxation (2017), CBT Database.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

IR L SV N CZ E PO L T U R CH E IS L F IN KO R G BR HU N NL D SV K SW E DN K IS R AU T O ECD NO R CA N ES T IT A LU X CH L PR T G

RC NZL

M EX AU S DE U ES P BE L JP N F R A US A

Average effective corporate tax rates

Per cent, 2016


(11)

But corporate income tax revenues are low

11

Source: OECD (2017), OECD R ev enue Statistics Database.

0

1

2

3

4

5

0

1

2

3

4

5

SV N LV A T U R DE U PO L HU N G

RC ITA EST FRA FIN USA AUT ESP GBR DNK IRL NLD

O ECD IS L SW E IS R CH E CA N PR T KO R M

EX BEL

SV K CZ E JP N LU X NZ L NO R AU S CH L

Corporate income tax revenues


(12)

The personal income tax represents a low

share of total tax revenues

1. 2014 for the OECD.

2. Including the contribution sociale généralisée.

Source: OECD (2017), OECD R ev enue Statistics Database.

Personal income tax², 18.9%

Corporate income

tax, 4.6 %

Social security contributions,

37.1 % Taxes on payroll

and workforce, 3.5 % Taxes

on property,

8.9 % Taxes on goods and

services, 24.4%

Other taxes, 2.7%

A. France

Personal income tax², 24.0%

Corporate income

tax, 8.8 % Social security contributions,

26.2 % Taxes on payroll

and workforce, 1.1 % Taxes

on property,

5.6 % Taxes on goods and

services, 32.6%

Other taxes, 1.8%

B. OECD


(13)

Exemptions and VAT tax breaks lead to a

substantial shortfall

13 1 Ratio between the actual value-added tax (VAT) revenue collected and the revenue that would theoretically be raised if VAT

was applied at the standard rate to all final consumption. It implicitly measures the share of potential tax revenues lost due to the existence of preferential tax treatments.

Source:OECD (2016), Consum ption Tax Trends 20 16: VAT/ GST and excise rates, trends and policy issues, OECD Publishing,

Paris.

VAT revenue ratio

1

(%), 2014

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 M EX G

RC ITA ESP TUR POL

G

BR ISL BEL NLD SVK PRT ARF IRL AUS CAN LVA FIN DEU

O ECD NO R HU N SW E CZ E DN K AU T SV N CH L IS R KO R JP N ES T CH E NZ L LU X


(14)

Main recommendations to reduce public

spending and taxes

Meet the ambitious targets to reduce public spending and taxes

Move towards a single pension system to improve labour mobility and lower

management costs

Then, gradually increase the minimum retirement age in line with life expectancy

Lower social contribution rates and corporate income tax rates, as planned

Use lower social contributions as an opportunity to give a bigger role to the

progressive income tax, e.g. by lowering the basic allowance

Remove personal tax breaks on capital income, and lower the tax rate


(15)

Fostering an inclusive development

of skills and employment


(16)

Too many adults have weak basic skills

Source: OECD (2016), Skills M atter: Further R esults from the Surv ey of Adult Skills, OECD Skills Studies, OECD Publishing, Paris.

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 JP N F IN SV K NL D CZ E NZ L NO R AU S KO R ES T SW E BE L AU T DN K CA N G

BR IRL

US A DE U PO L O

ECD FR

A

SV

N

G

RC ISR ESP ITA TUR CHL

% %

Share of adults 16-65 scoring below level 2 in PIAAC's reading proficiency scale


(17)

Strengthen apprenticeships and public

employment services

17

Source: Ministère de l’Éducation nationale, DEPP.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

Number of apprentices with a low level of education


(18)

It is difficult to get a permanent contract

1. Employees on temporary contract in year t-1 but declaring having been hired on a permanent contract in year t.

Source : Eurostat.

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ES P F R A G

RC ITA POL

EU

28 FIN

PR T SV K DE U LU X HU N BG R SW E BE L NL D SV N CZ E IR L LT U NO R ES T AU T DN K IS L RO U LV A G BR


(19)

Unionisation is low

19

Source : OECD (2017), Labour Force Statistics Database.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

ES T T U R F R A KO R HU N US A CZ E PO L SV K M EX AU S CH L CH E O ECD ES P JP N NL D DE U NZ L PR T SV N G

RC ISR

G BR CA N IR L AU T LU X IT A NO R BE L DN K SW E F

IN ISL

Trade union density, 2014

Trade union members in per cent of employees, %


(20)

But the collective bargaining

coverage rate is very high

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

T

U

R

KO

R

US

A

M

EX

PO

L

LV

A

NZ

L

JP

N

CH

L

HU

N

ES

T

SV

K

IS

R

CA

N

G

BR

G

RC

O

ECD

CZ

E

CH

E

DE

U

LU

X

AU

S

SV

N

NO

R

PR

T

ES

P

IT

A

DN

K

NL

D

IS

L

SW

E

F

IN

BE

L

AU

T

F

R

A

Collective bargaining coverage rate, 2013

Per cent of all wage earners with right to bargaining


(21)

Main recommandations to foster an inclusive

development of skills

21

Simplify the personal training account (CPF), and reduce the number of similar

schemes

Improve information about providers by strengthening the quality label system

Develop apprenticeships in vocational lycées

Continuously evaluate active labour market policies

Introduce professional judges to guide lay assessors in labour courts

Merge inactive sectors and those that lack the critical mass for effective bargaining

Ensure that the extension procedure for sectoral agreements takes account of their

economic and social impacts, and authorise exemptions

Encourage sectoral agreements that are differentiated by the size or age of the

business, for example

Reduce the number of institutions that represent workers


(22)

Improving life in poor

neighbourhoods


(23)

Residents of poor neighbourhoods face

various social handicaps

23

1. Percentage point gap in the odds of unemployment for poor neighborhoods' residents versus residents of surrounding urban areas; employed native-born women aged 30 to 49 with a baccalauréat only are identified as the reference group. 2. Refers to post lower secondary education vocational qualifications such as: Certificat d’aptitude professionnelle (CAP) and Brev et d’études professionnelles (BEP)

Source : ONPV (2016), R apport annuel 20 15.

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

≤ Lower secondary Below upper secondary ² Upper secondary Tertiary

Poor neighbourhoods Surrounding urban areas

Likelihood of unemployment by place of residence and education


(24)

Reducing inequalities in educational

opportunities

1. Percentage variance in the PISA reading score for children aged 15 years explained by family environment (parents’ level of education

and income, social and occupational status, cultural possessions, books and education resources available at home).

Source: OECD (20 16), PISA 20 15 R esults (Vol. II): Excellen ce an d Equity in Education, OECD Publishing, Paris.

0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15 20 25 IS L NO R ES T CA N US A T U R G

BR LVA FIN

KO R IS R JP N DN K AU S IT A NL D SW E SV N NZ L M EX O

ECD GRC IR

L ES P PO L DE U CH E PR T CH L AU T SV K BE L F R A CZ E LU X HU N


(25)

Urban renewal needs a stronger focus on

well-being


(26)

Improving access to higher-quality housing

for the poor

1. The first income decile includes households with average annual income below EUR 8 0 0 0 , while the 10 th decile refers to households with average annual income above EUR 39 0 0 0 .

Source : INSEE, H ousin g Survey 20 13.

Housing tenure across households by income decile¹

Metropolitan France, primary residences, 2013

0

20

40

60

80

100

0

20

40

60

80

100

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

X

Total

Social rental dwellings

Market rented dwellings

Owner-occupied dwellings

Other


(27)

Main recommendations for improving life in

poor neighbourhoods

Continue awareness campaign for recruiters

Better target public spending at transportation, childcare services and

face-to-face public services in poor neighbourhoods

Offer attractive salaries and career prospects to excellent teachers in schools

with many pupils from disadvantaged backgrounds

Promote an innovative range of different practices in teacher training in order to

meet the different needs of pupils

Use urban renewal in poor neighbourhoods as an entry point to offer practical

training in firms and basic skills courses

Reduce registration fees, and increase taxes on immovable properties

Tighten obligations to pay higher rents and encourage occupants whose income

rises above the eligibility ceiling to move houses


(28)

Improving the efficiency of the

health-care system


(29)

Health-care quality is high

29

Source: Eurostat (2016), Am enable and Prev entable Deaths Statistics.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

CH E F R A LU X NL D ES P NO R IT A BE L SW E DN K AU T IR L DE U F IN PR T G BR SV N G RC EU 28 PO L CZ E HR V SR B ES T SV K HU N BG R LT U RO U LV A

Deaths avoidable through better health-care, 2014

Per 100 000 inhabitants


(30)

But expenditures are high and likely to

increase

Source: OECD (2017), OECD H ealth Statistics Database.

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

FRANCE Germany Italy Spain

Current health-care spending, 1990-2016


(31)

There is room to improve prevention

31

1. The scope of institutional spending is different from the entirety of spending on prevention in France, especially for ordinary consultations, which amount to 9.3 billion euros in 2014 according to Drees, i.e. 3.9% of health spending, compared to 2.0% in 2014 according to OECD figures.

Source : OECD (2017), OECD H ealth Statistics Database.

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

IS

R

G

RC BEL PRT AUS AFR ESP LVA SVK AUT LIS CHE LUX DNK HUN SVN POL IRL CZE JPN

O

ECD US

A

NO

R

DE

U

SW

E

ES

T

M

EX

KO

R

NL

D

FI

N

IT

A

G

BR

CA

N

Spending on prevention, 2015


(32)

Coordination between different care

providers is insufficient

Source : Drees (2017), Les établissem ents de santé – édition 20 17.

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

Use of emergency departments

Population

Hospital emergency departments' use


(33)

Hospital expenditures are high

33

Source : OECD (2017), OECD H ealth Statistics database.

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

LV A M EX CZ E KO R ES T PR T CA N IS R SV K HU N PO L ES P G BR SW E O

ECD FIN IR

L SV N IT A AU S NO R DN K BE L US A DE U NL D JP N CH E F R A G

RC AUT

In-patient curative and rehabilitative care, 2015


(34)

Developing the use of generics would cut

costs

Source : OECD (2017), OECD H ealth Statistics database.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

LUX

ITA

GRC

CHE

FRA

BEL

IRL

PRT

ESP

AUT

TUR

DNK

SVK

NLD

NZL

DEU

GBR

Value

Volume

Use of generics, 2015


(35)

Main recommendations to improve the

efficiency of the health-care system

35

Increase health practitioners’ remuneration for prevention and complex chronic

diseases, which would help reduce the volume of treatments, prescriptions and

drug sales

Make it easier for insurers to contract with group practices

Develop electronic health records

Adjust the activity-based system for hospital funding (Diagnosis Related

Groups) to increase rewards for efficiency and quality for public and private

hospitals

Strengthen the autonomy of public hospital managers by allowing them to

develop their own human resource policies

Lower pharmaceutical spending by developing the use of generics, developing

targeted information for hospitals and primary-care providers to promote

appropriate prescribing and applying capped reimbursement amounts to a wider

range of drugs


(36)

For more information

Disclaimers:

The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.

This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.

http://www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/economic-survey-france.htm

@OECDeconomy

@OECD


(1)

There is room to improve prevention

1. The scope of institutional spending is different from the entirety of spending on prevention in France, especially for ordinary consultations, which amount to 9.3 billion euros in 2014 according to Drees, i.e. 3.9% of health spending, compared to 2.0% in 2014 according to OECD figures.

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 IS R G

RC BEL PRT AUS AFR ESP LVA SVK AUT LIS CHE LUX DNK HUN SVN POL IRL CZE JPN

O ECD US A NO R DE U SW E ES T M EX KO R NL D FI N IT A G BR CA N

Spending on prevention, 2015 Per cent of health-care spending ¹


(2)

Coordination between different care

providers is insufficient

Source : Drees (2017), Les établissem ents de santé – édition 20 17.

80 100 120 140 160 180 200

80 100 120 140 160 180 200

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Use of emergency departments Population

Hospital emergency departments' use


(3)

Hospital expenditures are high

Source : OECD (2017), OECD H ealth Statistics database.

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 LV A M EX CZ E KO R ES T PR T CA N IS R SV K HU N PO L ES P G BR SW E O

ECD FIN IR

L SV N IT A AU S NO R DN K BE L US A DE U NL D JP N CH E F R A G

RC AUT

In-patient curative and rehabilitative care, 2015


(4)

Developing the use of generics would cut

costs

Source : OECD (2017), OECD H ealth Statistics database.

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

LUX ITA GRC CHE FRA BEL IRL PRT ESP AUT TUR DNK SVK NLD NZL DEU GBR

Value Volume

Use of generics, 2015


(5)

Main recommendations to improve the

efficiency of the health-care system

 Increase health practitioners’ remuneration for prevention and complex chronic

diseases, which would help reduce the volume of treatments, prescriptions and drug sales

 Make it easier for insurers to contract with group practices

 Develop electronic health records

 Adjust the activity-based system for hospital funding (Diagnosis Related Groups) to increase rewards for efficiency and quality for public and private hospitals

 Strengthen the autonomy of public hospital managers by allowing them to develop their own human resource policies

 Lower pharmaceutical spending by developing the use of generics, developing targeted information for hospitals and primary-care providers to promote

appropriate prescribing and applying capped reimbursement amounts to a wider range of drugs


(6)

For more information

Disclaimers:

The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.

This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.

http://www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/economic-survey-france.htm

@OECDeconomy @OECD