Analisis Distribusi Curah Hujan dengan M
OVERVIEW
PENDAHULUAN
•
!"#$ %&'!()(*! +!,! -.()!/!,!( $&0!( &(,&% /.()123.'
4#5!*!$ (+2(."#! ".1!'! 6!#%
•
#+!% 1&%&- -!+!,(*! 0&/5!$ ",!"#&( -.()!/!,!( 1&!1! +#
4#5!*!$ (+2(."#! *!() 1&%&- 5&!" +!( ,.'6!)#76!)# +!5!/
-&5!&7-&5!& *!() ,.'-#"!$7-#"!$8 %2(+#"# #(# /.()!%#6!,%!(
+!,! /.,.2'252)# %&'!() +!-!, +#/!(9!!,%!( ".1!'!
/.(*.5&'&$ %!'.(! %&'!() !%&'!, +!'# ".)# "-!"#!5
•
5.$ %!'.(! #,&8 /.(126!
/.(.'!-%!( /.,2+. %'#))#()
&(,&% /.(+!-!,%!( "-!"#!5 *!() 5.6#$ 6!#% +#6!(,& +.()!(
+!,! +.(".:
PENDAHULUAN
:
!)!#/!(! $!"#5 /!--#() +!'# ".,#!- /.,2+.
%'#))#() ;
:
.(.(,&%!( /.,2+. %'#))#() *!() /./#5#%# .''2'
*!() -!5#() /#(#/&/:
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
VARIOGRAM
ORDINARY
KRIGING
COLOCATED
KRIGING
COKRIGING
CONVENTIONAL
EXTERNAL DRIFT
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
<
=
= =
&()"# /!,./!,#"
<
*!() +!-!, +#)&(!%!(
= = = = &(,&%
/.()&%&'
'#)#()
'+#(!'*
!+!5!$
%2(,#(,!"
%'#)#()
"&!,& "-!"#!5
/.,2+.
+#"*!'!,%!(
!(,!'!
).2",!,#",#%!
+!,!
+&! +!,!
>
6.'+#",'#6&"#
*!()
#5!#.'&-!%!(
,#!+!-!,
/./!(9!!,%!(
)'#+
/./6.'#%!(
-.(+.%!,!(
(2'/!5
+#/!"&%%!(
(#5!#
+!( #(92'/!"#
"1!,,.'
"-!"#!5
,'!+#"#2(!5
+!5!/ -.'$#,&()!(
-!+!
-52,
".6.'!-!
&(,&%
!(,!'!
52%!"#
+!(
,.'"!/-.5
+!,!
6!#%
/.,2+.
$!(*!
"-!"#!5
%2'.5!"#
(#5!#
+!(
+.()!(
2%'#)#()
+!,!
3!'#2)'!/
".#"/#1
-2#(,
6&0&'
+!( &(,&%
/.())&(!%!(
?-!+!
?A8
,&())!5
"!,&!(
/./-'.+#%"#
"#/&5!"#
,.'+.%!,
/.,.'
#(#
-.()./6!()!( /.,2+. 12%'#)#() *!()
(#5!#
+!(
+!'#
3!'#2)'!/
+#)&(!%!(
5#(,!()
-!+!
,#,#% *!()
52%!"#
*!()
?*8+!,!
"!,&!(
+#$#,&()
,.5!$
5!#(26".'3!"#
*!()
/.,.'
+#$#,&()
*!()
6.5&/
+#/!"&%%!(
5!-!()!(
,#+!%
*!#,&
+!(@!,!&
/./6.(,&%
3!'#2)'!/
8 +!(
+!5!/
,#+!%
/./-.'$#,&()!( (#5!# ,'.(+ +!'# +!,! +.(".
"&!,&
&(,&%
!-!%!$
,.'"!/-.5
%!5%&5!"#
-25!
4.55
,.'+!-!,
?,'.(
,2".$#())!
+#/!(!
4.558!,!&
-25!
".#"/#1
(#5!#
-'2"."(*!
6.'6.(,&%
%2(,#(,!"
-'.+#%"#
,2 ".#"/#18
5.6#$
'!(+2/
+#'.%"#2(!5
,.'".6&,
1.-!,
+!(*!()
4.55
,.')!(,&()
+!'#
/.(&(0&%%!(
+!'#-!+!
+!,! -2#(,
-!+!
/.,2+.
,2
6!$4!
,.'".6&,:
%.+.%!,!((*!
".#"/#1
2(3.(,#2(!5
'!,!7'!,!
+!,!
./!%#(
,.'$!+!+!(
2%'#)#()
6."!'
3!'#!("
52%!"#
(#5!#
3!'#2)'!/8
%2(",!(
/!%#(&(,&%
6."!'
,.'"!/-.5
,#!-7,#!%.,.')!(,&()!(
52%!"# !(,!'!
"-!"#!5:
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
(Boerema, 1938),
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
OLR (outgoing
longwave radiation) :
fluks panas (radiasi
gelombang panjang)
yang diemisikan oleh
sitem bumi-atmosfer
Variasi OLR: cerminan respon sistem bumi-atmosfer
terhadap radiasi matahari
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
!,.55#,." 6".'3. !+#!,#2(
!&, ,'2-#" -!(!" +!(
6!(*!% /.()./#"#%!(
'!+#!"# ).5 -!(0!()
&(1!% 1&/&52(#/6&" +#()#(
/.()./#"#%!( ".+#%#,
).52/6!() -!(0!()
•
%.1#5 !4!( ,#())#8
+#()#( +!( ?/&()%#(
$&0!(
•
6."!' 5!()#,
6.'"#$8 !4!( '.(+!$
$!()!,
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
'!,! %.1#5 ?B CC @/ 6.'!"2"#!"# +.()!(
%2(3.%"# .D&!,2'8 5./6!$ !/!E2(8 !"#9#% .D&!,2'#!5
,#/&' +!(
&$& +#()#( +# #/!5!*!
'!,! 6."!' ?F C @/ 6.'!"2"#!"# +.()!(
!$!'! ,.()!$ +!( ,#/&' +!( "./.(!(0&() '!6
=
G
;
!
%&
"
' ()*
' +,&
# $
(*
=
(*!
;
- .
!,!
/
6".'3!"# $&0!( 6&5!(
"#,. -.()!/!,!(
0 "
1"
2
"@+ .6'&!'# C
/
&,)2#() 2()4!3. !+#!,#2( ?
#
+#
=
.7 (!5*"#"
."./6.' C
."
3#
-
./ 2
+!'#
4
!
#
56% "
# "
=
.1!'! 9#"#" G#%! 3!5&. +!,! ".#/#1 ?
4.55 ?$&0!( !%!( 6."!'
%.1#5 /!%! +!,!
=
=
=
G
;
.
7
.
7
.
8
.
.
=
=;
;
=
;
=
=;
<
=
=;
==
= >
?
;
<
=
H
;
•
•
"
#
"" "
9
2 #
:# "
" 0#
# ;
"
"" "
9
9
3 1
3 !"
2 242
2 #
#
,
(/
"
"
!"
#
2
2
;
>/
"
# "
#4
9 =
3
!"
! #
2 #
2
242
4<
"
#
#
9 #
2
3 #
4
; !
4 " ##! 9
2 #
#
"" " 9
34"
!4"
9 "
1
2 #
4
PENDAHULUAN
•
!"#$ %&'!()(*! +!,! -.()!/!,!( $&0!( &(,&% /.()123.'
4#5!*!$ (+2(."#! ".1!'! 6!#%
•
#+!% 1&%&- -!+!,(*! 0&/5!$ ",!"#&( -.()!/!,!( 1&!1! +#
4#5!*!$ (+2(."#! *!() 1&%&- 5&!" +!( ,.'6!)#76!)# +!5!/
-&5!&7-&5!& *!() ,.'-#"!$7-#"!$8 %2(+#"# #(# /.()!%#6!,%!(
+!,! /.,.2'252)# %&'!() +!-!, +#/!(9!!,%!( ".1!'!
/.(*.5&'&$ %!'.(! %&'!() !%&'!, +!'# ".)# "-!"#!5
•
5.$ %!'.(! #,&8 /.(126!
/.(.'!-%!( /.,2+. %'#))#()
&(,&% /.(+!-!,%!( "-!"#!5 *!() 5.6#$ 6!#% +#6!(,& +.()!(
+!,! +.(".:
PENDAHULUAN
:
!)!#/!(! $!"#5 /!--#() +!'# ".,#!- /.,2+.
%'#))#() ;
:
.(.(,&%!( /.,2+. %'#))#() *!() /./#5#%# .''2'
*!() -!5#() /#(#/&/:
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
VARIOGRAM
ORDINARY
KRIGING
COLOCATED
KRIGING
COKRIGING
CONVENTIONAL
EXTERNAL DRIFT
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
<
=
= =
&()"# /!,./!,#"
<
*!() +!-!, +#)&(!%!(
= = = = &(,&%
/.()&%&'
'#)#()
'+#(!'*
!+!5!$
%2(,#(,!"
%'#)#()
"&!,& "-!"#!5
/.,2+.
+#"*!'!,%!(
!(,!'!
).2",!,#",#%!
+!,!
+&! +!,!
>
6.'+#",'#6&"#
*!()
#5!#.'&-!%!(
,#!+!-!,
/./!(9!!,%!(
)'#+
/./6.'#%!(
-.(+.%!,!(
(2'/!5
+#/!"&%%!(
(#5!#
+!( #(92'/!"#
"1!,,.'
"-!"#!5
,'!+#"#2(!5
+!5!/ -.'$#,&()!(
-!+!
-52,
".6.'!-!
&(,&%
!(,!'!
52%!"#
+!(
,.'"!/-.5
+!,!
6!#%
/.,2+.
$!(*!
"-!"#!5
%2'.5!"#
(#5!#
+!(
+.()!(
2%'#)#()
+!,!
3!'#2)'!/
".#"/#1
-2#(,
6&0&'
+!( &(,&%
/.())&(!%!(
?-!+!
?A8
,&())!5
"!,&!(
/./-'.+#%"#
"#/&5!"#
,.'+.%!,
/.,.'
#(#
-.()./6!()!( /.,2+. 12%'#)#() *!()
(#5!#
+!(
+!'#
3!'#2)'!/
+#)&(!%!(
5#(,!()
-!+!
,#,#% *!()
52%!"#
*!()
?*8+!,!
"!,&!(
+#$#,&()
,.5!$
5!#(26".'3!"#
*!()
/.,.'
+#$#,&()
*!()
6.5&/
+#/!"&%%!(
5!-!()!(
,#+!%
*!#,&
+!(@!,!&
/./6.(,&%
3!'#2)'!/
8 +!(
+!5!/
,#+!%
/./-.'$#,&()!( (#5!# ,'.(+ +!'# +!,! +.(".
"&!,&
&(,&%
!-!%!$
,.'"!/-.5
%!5%&5!"#
-25!
4.55
,.'+!-!,
?,'.(
,2".$#())!
+#/!(!
4.558!,!&
-25!
".#"/#1
(#5!#
-'2"."(*!
6.'6.(,&%
%2(,#(,!"
-'.+#%"#
,2 ".#"/#18
5.6#$
'!(+2/
+#'.%"#2(!5
,.'".6&,
1.-!,
+!(*!()
4.55
,.')!(,&()
+!'#
/.(&(0&%%!(
+!'#-!+!
+!,! -2#(,
-!+!
/.,2+.
,2
6!$4!
,.'".6&,:
%.+.%!,!((*!
".#"/#1
2(3.(,#2(!5
'!,!7'!,!
+!,!
./!%#(
,.'$!+!+!(
2%'#)#()
6."!'
3!'#!("
52%!"#
(#5!#
3!'#2)'!/8
%2(",!(
/!%#(&(,&%
6."!'
,.'"!/-.5
,#!-7,#!%.,.')!(,&()!(
52%!"# !(,!'!
"-!"#!5:
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
(Boerema, 1938),
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
OLR (outgoing
longwave radiation) :
fluks panas (radiasi
gelombang panjang)
yang diemisikan oleh
sitem bumi-atmosfer
Variasi OLR: cerminan respon sistem bumi-atmosfer
terhadap radiasi matahari
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
!,.55#,." 6".'3. !+#!,#2(
!&, ,'2-#" -!(!" +!(
6!(*!% /.()./#"#%!(
'!+#!"# ).5 -!(0!()
&(1!% 1&/&52(#/6&" +#()#(
/.()./#"#%!( ".+#%#,
).52/6!() -!(0!()
•
%.1#5 !4!( ,#())#8
+#()#( +!( ?/&()%#(
$&0!(
•
6."!' 5!()#,
6.'"#$8 !4!( '.(+!$
$!()!,
TINJAUAN PUSTAKA
'!,! %.1#5 ?B CC @/ 6.'!"2"#!"# +.()!(
%2(3.%"# .D&!,2'8 5./6!$ !/!E2(8 !"#9#% .D&!,2'#!5
,#/&' +!(
&$& +#()#( +# #/!5!*!
'!,! 6."!' ?F C @/ 6.'!"2"#!"# +.()!(
!$!'! ,.()!$ +!( ,#/&' +!( "./.(!(0&() '!6
=
G
;
!
%&
"
' ()*
' +,&
# $
(*
=
(*!
;
- .
!,!
/
6".'3!"# $&0!( 6&5!(
"#,. -.()!/!,!(
0 "
1"
2
"@+ .6'&!'# C
/
&,)2#() 2()4!3. !+#!,#2( ?
#
+#
=
.7 (!5*"#"
."./6.' C
."
3#
-
./ 2
+!'#
4
!
#
56% "
# "
=
.1!'! 9#"#" G#%! 3!5&. +!,! ".#/#1 ?
4.55 ?$&0!( !%!( 6."!'
%.1#5 /!%! +!,!
=
=
=
G
;
.
7
.
7
.
8
.
.
=
=;
;
=
;
=
=;
<
=
=;
==
= >
?
;
<
=
H
;
•
•
"
#
"" "
9
2 #
:# "
" 0#
# ;
"
"" "
9
9
3 1
3 !"
2 242
2 #
#
,
(/
"
"
!"
#
2
2
;
>/
"
# "
#4
9 =
3
!"
! #
2 #
2
242
4<
"
#
#
9 #
2
3 #
4
; !
4 " ##! 9
2 #
#
"" " 9
34"
!4"
9 "
1
2 #
4