KOSPI TAHUN 2006 KOSPI TAHUN 2010

14. KOSPI TAHUN 2006

GARCH 1,3 Dependent Variable: RKOSPI_2006 Method: ML - ARCH Marquardt - Normal distribution Date: 042716 Time: 05:00 Sample: 1 247 Included observations: 247 Convergence achieved after 20 iterations Presample variance: backcast parameter = 0.7 GARCH = C3 + C4RESID-12 + C5GARCH-1 + C6GARCH-2 + C7GARCH-3 + C8WORLDCUP Variable Coefficient Std. Error z-Statistic Prob. C 0.000971 0.000603 1.610016 0.1074 WORLDCUP 0.002613 0.003708 0.704713 0.4810 Variance Equation C 6.28E-06 3.74E-06 1.679806 0.0930 RESID-12 0.098449 0.028432 3.462596 0.0005 GARCH-1 1.697602 0.082460 20.58688 0.0000 GARCH-2 -1.577385 0.127618 -12.36025 0.0000 GARCH-3 0.733736 0.073574 9.972752 0.0000 WORLDCUP 6.54E-06 1.65E-05 0.397557 0.6910 R-squared -0.005028 Mean dependent var 0.000223 Adjusted R-squared -0.009130 S.D. dependent var 0.011484 S.E. of regression 0.011537 Akaike info criterion -6.155579 Sum squared resid 0.032609 Schwarz criterion -6.041914 Log likelihood 768.2140 Hannan-Quinn criter. -6.109817 Durbin-Watson stat 1.956628

15. KOSPI TAHUN 2010

GARCH 1,2 Dependent Variable: RKOSPI_2010 Method: ML - ARCH Marquardt - Normal distribution Date: 042716 Time: 05:07 Sample: 1 249 Included observations: 249 Convergence achieved after 49 iterations Presample variance: backcast parameter = 0.7 GARCH = C3 + C4RESID-12 + C5GARCH-1 + C6GARCH-2 + C7WORLDCUP Variable Coefficient Std. Error z-Statistic Prob. C 0.001232 0.000613 2.009914 0.0444 WORLDCUP 0.000713 0.002066 0.345140 0.7300 Variance Equation C 2.35E-06 5.10E-07 4.620671 0.0000 RESID-12 0.018849 0.009487 1.986935 0.0469 GARCH-1 1.870196 0.053789 34.76923 0.0000 GARCH-2 -0.916282 0.048833 -18.76351 0.0000 WORLDCUP 1.23E-06 1.20E-06 1.023260 0.3062 R-squared -0.000981 Mean dependent var 0.000841 Adjusted R-squared -0.005033 S.D. dependent var 0.009513 S.E. of regression 0.009537 Akaike info criterion -6.492347 Sum squared resid 0.022466 Schwarz criterion -6.393463 Log likelihood 815.2973 Hannan-Quinn criter. -6.452545 Durbin-Watson stat 2.010789

16. KOSPI TAHUN 2014