14. KOSPI TAHUN 2006
GARCH 1,3
Dependent Variable: RKOSPI_2006 Method: ML - ARCH Marquardt - Normal distribution
Date: 042716 Time: 05:00 Sample: 1 247
Included observations: 247 Convergence achieved after 20 iterations
Presample variance: backcast parameter = 0.7 GARCH = C3 + C4RESID-12 + C5GARCH-1 + C6GARCH-2 +
C7GARCH-3 + C8WORLDCUP
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error z-Statistic
Prob. C
0.000971 0.000603
1.610016 0.1074
WORLDCUP 0.002613
0.003708 0.704713
0.4810 Variance Equation
C 6.28E-06
3.74E-06 1.679806
0.0930 RESID-12
0.098449 0.028432
3.462596 0.0005
GARCH-1 1.697602
0.082460 20.58688
0.0000 GARCH-2
-1.577385 0.127618
-12.36025 0.0000
GARCH-3 0.733736
0.073574 9.972752
0.0000 WORLDCUP
6.54E-06 1.65E-05
0.397557 0.6910
R-squared -0.005028 Mean dependent var
0.000223 Adjusted R-squared
-0.009130 S.D. dependent var 0.011484
S.E. of regression 0.011537 Akaike info criterion
-6.155579 Sum squared resid
0.032609 Schwarz criterion -6.041914
Log likelihood 768.2140 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-6.109817 Durbin-Watson stat
1.956628
15. KOSPI TAHUN 2010
GARCH 1,2
Dependent Variable: RKOSPI_2010 Method: ML - ARCH Marquardt - Normal distribution
Date: 042716 Time: 05:07 Sample: 1 249
Included observations: 249 Convergence achieved after 49 iterations
Presample variance: backcast parameter = 0.7 GARCH = C3 + C4RESID-12 + C5GARCH-1 + C6GARCH-2 +
C7WORLDCUP
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error z-Statistic
Prob. C
0.001232 0.000613
2.009914 0.0444
WORLDCUP 0.000713
0.002066 0.345140
0.7300 Variance Equation
C 2.35E-06
5.10E-07 4.620671
0.0000 RESID-12
0.018849 0.009487
1.986935 0.0469
GARCH-1 1.870196
0.053789 34.76923
0.0000 GARCH-2
-0.916282 0.048833
-18.76351 0.0000
WORLDCUP 1.23E-06
1.20E-06 1.023260
0.3062 R-squared
-0.000981 Mean dependent var 0.000841
Adjusted R-squared -0.005033 S.D. dependent var
0.009513 S.E. of regression
0.009537 Akaike info criterion -6.492347
Sum squared resid 0.022466 Schwarz criterion
-6.393463 Log likelihood
815.2973 Hannan-Quinn criter. -6.452545
Durbin-Watson stat 2.010789
16. KOSPI TAHUN 2014