Results and discussion Directory UMM :Data Elmu:jurnal:A:Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment:Vol81.Issue2.Oct2000:

E. Huffman et al. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 81 2000 113–123 119 Table 5 Matrix depicting the salinization ‘risk factor’ of different combi- nations of land cover types Permanent cover of polygon a Summerfallow of cropland 0–10 10–20 20–30 30–40 40–50 75–100 1 2 3 4 5 50–75 2 3 5 7 8 25–50 3 5 7 8 9 0–25 4 6 8 10 10 a Forest, hay and pasture. into consideration in developing the SRI were the present status of the extent and severity of saline conditions Px, topography Tp and soil drainage Dr. The dynamic factors of aridity Ar and surface cover Sc were incorporated to give: SRI=Px× Tp×Dr×Ar×Sc. A brief outline of each factor is presented in Table 4. The risk of salinization due to the distribution of summerfallow and permanent cover within a polygon is presented in Table 5.

3. Results and discussion

3.1. Soil cover Compilation of the area under each cover category at a national level Fig. 2 shows: 1 a fairly sharp increase in the amount of farmland under low cover between 1921 and 1971, followed by a decline to 1991; Fig. 2. Area of cropland under high, medium and low amounts of soil cover in Canada, 1901–1991. 2 an increase in medium cover between 1901 and 1941 and a fairly level trend since then; and 3 a very minor increase in high cover between 1901 and 1981, followed by a dramatic increase between 1981 and 1991. The major proportion of farmland falls in the ‘medium cover’ category in all years, but 1991 shows the highest percentage under high cover 31 since 1901 36, when hay, pasture and spring cereals were the dominant crops. The percentage of farmland under low cover is higher in 1991 23 than in 1901 5, but is lower than at any point since 1921. In the period 1981–1991, the proportion of farmland under medium and high cover increased from 66 to 77. In Canada, land use trends have contributed to a decline in agricultural soil cover between 1901 and 1991. This decline is due to an increase in the area of farmland, an increase in the proportion of farmland that is cultivated, an increase in the proportion of crop- land devoted to annual rowcrops and an increase in the amount of summerfallow. On the other hand, two trends; a decline in summerfallow since 1971 and an increase in conservation and no-tillage systems, have positive implications for soil cover levels. These two indications of a move to improve soil cover levels are particularly important in that they occur in the latter part of the time period, between 1961 and 1991 and especially between 1981 and 1991. For the first time since the mid 1920s, there is currently more high cover than low cover in Canada. However, the overall im- pact of these two trends has been significantly negated by concurrent shifts to crops which provide less cover, such as potatoes, corn, soybeans and canola. 120 E. Huffman et al. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 81 2000 113–123 Although it is clear that the expansion of crop pro- duction in Canada in this century has exposed a great deal of soil to environmental degradation processes Sparrow, 1984, it is difficult to make a definitive judgment of whether that trend is continuing or not. Farmland expansion has leveled off and summerfal- low levels have declined, while conservation tillage is expanding greatly, but the proportion of farmland cultivated and the proportion in rowcrops is still on the rise. The analysis is hindered by the use of ‘qualitative’ measures, but it is apparent that there is a variety of forces and reactions at work and there is a need to explore these issues in more detail. It is critical to identify parts of the country that should be monitored, and where increased efforts to address soil degradation through conservation and crop choices should be made. 3.2. Wind erosion For the 1981–1991 trend analysis, the total amount of erosion in tonnes was calculated for each polygon by multiplying the estimated soil erosion rate by the area of cultivated land in the polygon. The SLC poly- gon results were ‘rolled up’ by dominant soil texture types to provide ecoregion summaries Table 6. Table 6 Reduction in the risk of wind erosion in the Canadian Prairies, 1981–1991 Ecoregion typical soil type a Soil texture Reduction in risk, 1981–1991 Mixed Grassland Brown Chernozem, Aridic Kastanozem Sand 7.4 Loam 5.1 Clay 6.9 Mean 5.3 Moist Mixed Grassland Dark Brown Chernozem, Haplic Kastanozem Sand 23.3 Loam 4.6 Clay 9.6 Mean 7.0 Parkland Black Chernozem, Chernozem Sand 12.4 Loam 5.8 Clay 6.1 Mean 6.8 Boreal Transition Dark Gray Chernozem, Greyzem Sand 8.2 Loam 11.2 Clay 12.1 Mean 11.3 a Canadian and WRB FAO systems Soil Classification Working Group, 1998. In general, the risk of wind erosion in the prairies is greatest in the arid south and diminishes to the north where wind speeds tend to be lower, temperatures cooler and precipitation higher. In the more north- ern areas, less summerfallow and greater amounts of residue also contribute to lower erosion risk. Between 1981 and 1991, wind erosion risk in the prairies declined by nearly 7 overall. One-third of this decline can be attributed to changes in cropping systems, particularly reduced summerfallow, and the remainder is due to increased adoption of conservation tillage. The relative importance of changes in crop- ping versus tillage varies across the region, however, with conservation tillage being most important in the more arid south and reduced summerfallow and in- creased forages more significant in the north. Analy- sis at the detailed level of SLUs shows that cropping system changes to incorporate more oilseeds and spe- cialty crops on clay soils in the south Brown and Dark Brown soil zones have marginally increased erosion risk in some areas. 3.3. Soil salinity For application in a broad-scale analysis of farmland in the Canadian Prairie Region Alberta, E. Huffman et al. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 81 2000 113–123 121 Saskatchewan, Manitoba, SRI values were grouped into three risk classes: 2.9=low, 3.0–8.9=moderate and 9=high. Since the concept of risk does not result in a definitive indication of a change in salinity, this analysis indicates only whether management prac- tices are subjecting any susceptible land to increasing risk of salinity. For example, a moderate rating may be the result of severe salinity being managed well or mild salinity being managed poorly. The risk class was calculated for each SLC polygon for the years 1981 and 1991, and results were compared to identify changes in the risk of salinity. According to information in the soils database, the total extent of land in the prairie region currently af- fected by significant salinity Ec e 8 dSm and 1.0 of the landscape affected is 1.4 million ha 2.5 of farmland. Incorporation of land use information in the SRI showed that in 1991, 62 of farmland was at low risk of increased salinity, 28 was at moderate risk and 10 was at high risk. The implications are that under 1991 land use practices, a considerable area that is not currently negatively affected by salinity is at risk of becoming so. Comparison of the risk under 1981 land use prac- tices with that of 1991 shows that the situation improved somewhat over the 10 years, with approx- imately 93 of farmland showing no change in risk, about 7 showing a lowered risk and 1 showing an increase in risk. Although the data presents two ‘snapshots’ in time and so does not conclusively show a trend, the results can be attributed to a considerable reduction in summerfallow area i.e. more continuous cropping and an increase in conservation tillage.

4. Conclusions