Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) Provinsi-Provinsi di Indonesia (Metode Kointegrasi)
LAMPIRAN 1
Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 Menurut Provinsi, 2004-2011 (Milyar Rupiah)
Provinsi
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011*)
1
Aceh
40 374
36 288
36 854
35 983
34 098
32 219
33 103
34 789
2
Sumatera Utara
83 329
87 898
93 347
99 792
106 172
111 559
118 719
126 588
3
Sumatera Barat
27 578
29 159
30 950
32 913
35 177
36 683
38 862
41 292
4
Riau
75 217
79 288
83 371
86 213
91 085
93 786
97 736
102 666
5
Jambi
11 954
12 620
13 364
14 275
15 298
16 275
17 472
18 964
6
Sumatera
Selatan
47 344
49 634
52 215
55 262
58 065
60 453
63 859
68 008
7
Bengkulu
5 896
6 239
6 611
7 037
7 442
7 860
8 340
8 878
8
Lampung
28 262
29 397
30 861
32 695
34 443
36 256
38 390
40 859
9
Kepulauan
Bangka Belitung
8 415
8 707
9 054
9 465
9 900
10 270
10 885
11 588
10
Kepulauan Riau
28 509
30 382
32 441
34 714
37 015
38 319
41 076
43 810
Sumatera
356 879
369 612
389 067
408 350
428 695
443 681
468 441
497 441
11
DKI Jakarta
278 525
295 271
312 827
332 971
353 723
371 469
395 622
422 237
12
Jawa Barat
230 003
242 884
257 499
274 180
291 206
303 405
322 224
343 111
13
Jawa Tengah
135 790
143 051
150 683
159 110
168 034
176 673
186 993
198 270
14
DI.Yogyakarta
16 146
16 911
17 536
18 292
19 212
20 064
21 044
22 132
15
Jawa Timur
242 229
256 443
271 249
288 404
305 539
320 861
342 281
366 983
16
Banten
54 880
58 107
61 342
75 350
79 701
83 454
88 552
94 207
53
Universitas Sumatera Utara
17
18
19
20
21
Bali
Kalimantan
Barat
Kalimantan
Tengah
Kalimantan
Selatan
Kalimantan
Timur
19 963
21 072
22 185
24 450
25 910
27 291
28 882
30 758
22 483
23 538
24 768
26 020
27 439
28 757
30 329
32 138
13 253
14 035
14 854
15 755
16 726
17 658
18 806
20 078
22 171
23 293
24 452
25 922
27 593
29 052
30 675
32 553
91 050
93 938
96 613
98 386
103 207
105 565
110 953
115 476
22
Sulawesi Utara
12 150
12 745
13 473
14 344
15 902
17 150
18 377
19 735
23
Sulawesi Tengah
10 925
11 752
12 672
13 961
15 047
16 208
17 624
19 237
24
Sulawesi Selatan
34 345
36 422
38 868
41 332
44 550
47 326
51 200
55 099
25
Sulawesi
Tenggara
7 480
8 027
8 643
9 332
10 011
10 769
11 654
12 698
26
Gorontalo
1 892
2 028
2 176
2 339
2 521
2 711
2 917
3 141
27
Sulawesi Barat
2 922
3 121
3 321
3 568
3 999
4 239
4 744
5 233
14 928
15 184
15 604
16 369
16 832
18 874
20 073
19 440
9 537
9 867
10 369
10 902
11 430
11 921
12 547
13 253
28
29
Nusa Tenggara
Barat
Nusa Tenggara
Timur
30
Maluku
3 102
3 259
3 440
3 633
3 787
3 993
4 251
4 509
31
Maluku Utara
2 128
2 237
2 359
2 501
2 651
2 812
3 036
3 230
32
Papua Barat
4 969
5 307
5 549
5 934
6 400
7 287
9 361
11 896
33
Papua
16 283
22 209
18 402
19 200
18 932
23 138
22 400
21 208
1 604 036
1 690 311
1 777 950
1 890 607
1 999 047
2 094 358
2 222 987
2 364 065
Jumlah 33 Provinsi
54
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 2
PDRB Per Kapita dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi 33 Provinsi Indonesia Atas
Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 Tahun 2005-2008
No.
Provinsi
PDRB per Kapita (Ribu Rp)
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (%)
2005
2006
2007
2008
Rata-Rata
2005
2006
2007
2008
RataRata
1.
Aceh
8.886
8.873
8.519
7.938
8.554
-10,0
-0,1
-4,0
-6,8
-5,2
2.
Sumatera Utara
7.078
7.393
7.775
8.141
7.597
3,0
4,5
5,2
4,7
4,3
3.
Sumatera Barat
6.385
6.681
7.006
7.350
6.855
5,0
4,6
4,9
4,9
4,9
4.
Riau
16.396
16.832
17.001
17.553
16.945
-1,5
2,7
1,0
3,2
1,4
5.
JambI
4.762
4.956
5.206
5.486
5.102
4,6
4,1
5,0
5,4
4,8
6.
Sumatera Selatan
7.282
7.548
7.872
8.155
7.714
1,9
3,7
4,3
3,6
3,4
55
Universitas Sumatera Utara
7.
Bengkulu
3.984
4.154
4.335
4.479
16.952
4,7
4,3
4,4
3,3
4,2
8.
Lampung
4.148
4.293
4.485
4.656
4.395
3,7
3,5
4,5
3,8
3,9
9.
Bangka Belitung
8.101
8.300
8.552
8.806
8.440
-1,4
2,5
3,0
3,0
1,8
10.
Kepulauan Riau
23.756
24.304
24.922
25.478
24.615
-0,7
2,3
2,5
-2,2
-1,6
11.
DKI Jakarta
33.205
34.837
36.733
38.654
35.857
4,3
4,9
5,4
5,2
5,0
12.
Jawa Barat
6.204
6.480
6.799
7.091
6.643
4,1
4,4
4,9
4,3
4,5
13.
Jawa Tengah
4.488
4.690
4.914
5.143
4.809
7,5
4,5
4,8
4,7
5,4
14.
Yogyakarta
5.025
5.157
5.326
5.538
5.261
0,3
2,6
3,3
4,0
2,6
15.
Jawa Timur
7.027
7.393
7.801
8.217
7.609
5,8
5,2
5,5
5,3
5,5
16.
Banten
6.406
6.634
6.903
7.168
6.778
6,6
3,6
4,1
3,8
4,5
17.
Bali
6.188
6.444
6.752
7.082
6.616
5,3
4,1
4,8
4,9
4,8
18.
NTT
2.306
2.376
2.451
2.520
2.413
0,5
3,0
3,2
2,8
2,4
19.
NTB
3.660
3.697
3.813
3.850
3.755
0,1
1,0
3,1
1,0
1,3
20.
Kalimantan Barat
5.830
6.030
6.285
6.515
6.165
4,6
3,4
4,2
3,7
4,0
21.
Kalimantan Tengah
7.125
7.431
7.767
8.130
7.613
0,6
4,3
4,5
4,7
3,5
56
Universitas Sumatera Utara
22.
Kalimantan Selatan
7.066
7.307
7.632
7.990
7.499
2,8
3,4
4,4
4,7
3,8
23.
Kalimantan Timur
32.537
32.689
32.334
33.337
32.974
-1,2
0,5
-1,1
3,1
0,3
24.
Sulawesi Utara
5.945
6.222
6.559
6.988
6.428
5,6
4,7
5,4
6,5
5,6
25.
Sulawesi Tengah
5.083
5.383
5.711
6.057
5.558
4,8
5,9
6,1
6,1
5,7
26.
Sulawesi Selatan
4.863
5.118
5.368
5.708
5.264
4,8
5,2
4,9
6,3
5,3
27.
Sulawesi Tenggara
4.126
4.347
4.594
4.824
4.473
6,1
5,4
5,7
5,0
5,5
28.
Gorontalo
2.166
2.294
2.436
2.593
2.372
2,8
5,9
6,2
6,4
5,3
29.
Sulawesi Barat
3.152
3.317
3.509
3.751
3.432
7,0
5,2
5,8
6,9
6,2
30.
Maluku
2.577
2.680
2.791
2.867
2.729
3,3
4,0
4,1
2,7
3,5
31.
Maluku Utara
2.447
2.540
2.649
2.762
2.599
0,4
3,8
4,3
4,3
3,2
32.
Papua Barat
7.712
7.903
8.288
8.725
8.157
-0,3
2,5
4,9
5,3
3,1
33.
Papua
11.479
9.318
9.526
9.198
9.880
36,4
-17,1
4,3
-1,5
5,25
57
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 3
Hubungan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan IPM Provinsi-Provinsi di Indonesia Periode 2004-2011
58
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 4
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
Null Hypothesis: Unit root (individual unit root process)
Series: PDRB_ACEH, PDRB_BALI, PDRB_BANGKA,PDRB_BANTEN,
PDRB_BENGKULU, PDRB_DKIJAKARTA,PDRB_GORONTALO,
PDRB_JABAR, PDRB_JAMBI, PDRB_JATENG, PDRB_JATIM,
PDRB_KALBAR, PDRB_KALSEL, PDRB_KALTENG, PDRB_KALTIM,
PDRB_KEPRIAU, PDRB_LAMPUNG, PDRB_MALUKU,
PDRB_MALUKUUTARA, PDRB_NTB, PDRB_NTT, PDRB_PAPUA,
PDRB_PAPUABARAT, PDRB_RIAU, PDRB_SULBAR,
PDRB_SULSEL, PDRB_SULTENG, PDRB_SULTENGGARA,
PDRB_SULUT, PDRB_SUMBAR, PDRB_SUMSEL, PDRB_SUMUT,
PDRB_YOGYAKARTA
Date: 02/14/14 Time: 17:38
Sample: 2004 2011
Exogenous variables: Individual effects
Automatic selection of maximum lags
Automatic lag length selection based on AIC: 0
Total (balanced) observations: 100
Cross-sections included: 20 (13 dropped)
Method
ADF - Fisher Chi-square
ADF - Choi Z-stat
Statistic
78.9778
-4.45139
Prob.**
0.0002
0.0000
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi
-square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Intermediate ADF test results D(UNTITLED,2)
Series
D(PDRB_ACEH,
2)
D(PDRB_BALI,2
)
D(PDRB_BANG
KA,2)
D(PDRB_BANT
EN,2)
D(PDRB_BENG
KULU,2)
D(PDRB_DKIJA
KARTA,2)
D(PDRB_GORO
NTALO,2)
D(PDRB_JABA
Prob.
Lag
Max Lag
Obs
0.0787
0
0
5
0.1209
0
0
5
0.2048
0
0
5
0.1105
0
0
5
0.4166
0
0
5
0.1769
0
0
5
0
0
Dropped from Test
5
0.1368
59
Universitas Sumatera Utara
R,2)
D(PDRB_JAMBI
,2)
D(PDRB_JATEN
G,2)
D(PDRB_JATIM
,2)
D(PDRB_KALB
AR,2)
D(PDRB_KALS
EL,2)
D(PDRB_KALT
ENG,2)
D(PDRB_KALTI
M,2)
D(PDRB_KEPRI
AU,2)
D(PDRB_LAMP
UNG,2)
D(PDRB_MALU
KU,2)
D(PDRB_MALU
KUUTARA,2)
D(PDRB_NTB,2)
D(PDRB_NTT,2)
D(PDRB_PAPU
A,2)
0.5404
0
0
5
0.2039
0
0
5
0.3076
0
0
5
0.1584
0
0
5
0.2567
0
0
5
0.2108
0
0
5
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.4151
0
0
5
0.2646
0
0
5
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0
0
5
0.0734
0.0110
D(PDRB_PAPUA
BARAT,2)
D(PDRB_RIAU,2)
D(PDRB_SULB
AR,2)
D(PDRB_SULSE
L,2)
D(PDRB_SULT
ENG,2)
D(PDRB_SULT
ENGGARA,2)
D(PDRB_SULU
T,2)
D(PDRB_SUMB
AR,2)
D(PDRB_SUMS
EL,2)
D(PDRB_SUMU
T,2)
D(PDRB_YOGY
AKARTA,2)
0
0
5
0
5
0
5
0
5
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.0156
0
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.1750
0
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.0465
0
60
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 5
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Null Hypothesis: Unit root (individual unit root process)
Series: IPM_ACEH, IPM_BALI, IPM_BANGKA, IPM_BANTEN,
IPM_BENGKULU, IPM_DKIJAKARTA, IPM_GORONTALO, IPM_JABAR,
IPM_JAMBI, IPM_JATENG, IPM_JATIM, IPM_KALBAR, IPM_KALSEL,
IPM_KALTENG, IPM_KALTIM, IPM_KEPRIAU, IPM_LAMPUNG,
IPM_MALUKU, IPM_MALUKUUTARA, IPM_NTB, IPM_NTT,
IPM_PAPUA, IPM_PAPUABARAT, IPM_RIAU, IPM_SULBAR,
IPM_SULSEL, IPM_SULTENG, IPM_SULTENGGARA, IPM_SULUT,
IPM_SUMBAR, IPM_SUMSEL, IPM_SUMUT, IPM_YOGYAKARTA
Date: 02/14/14 Time: 17:32
Sample: 2004 2011
Exogenous variables: Individual effects
Automatic selection of maximum lags
Automatic lag length selection based on AIC: 0
Total (balanced) observations: 120
Cross-sections included: 20 (13 dropped)
Method
ADF - Fisher Chi-square
ADF - Choi Z-stat
Statistic
147.209
-7.72557
Prob.**
0.0000
0.0000
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi
-square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Intermediate ADF test results D(UNTITLED)
Series
D(IPM_ACEH)
D(IPM_BALI)
D(IPM_BANGK
A)
D(IPM_BANTE
N)
D(IPM_BENGK
ULU)
D(IPM_DKIJAK
ARTA)
D(IPM_GORON
TALO)
D(IPM_JABAR)
D(IPM_JAMBI)
D(IPM_JATENG
)
D(IPM_JATIM)
Prob.
0.0913
0.2043
Lag
0
0
Max Lag
0
0
Obs
6
6
0.0077
0
0
6
0.0097
0
0
6
0.0007
0
0
6
0.2060
0
0
6
0
0
Dropped from Test
0
0
6
0.0003
0.0304
0.0990
0.0000
0
0
0
0
6
6
6
61
Universitas Sumatera Utara
D(IPM_KALBA
R)
D(IPM_KALSEL
)
D(IPM_KALTE
NG)
D(IPM_KALTIM
)
D(IPM_KEPRIA
U)
D(IPM_LAMPU
NG)
D(IPM_MALUK
U)
D(IPM_MALUK
UUTARA)
D(IPM_NTB)
D(IPM_NTT)
D(IPM_PAPUA)
D(IPM_PAPUA
BARAT)
D(IPM_RIAU)
D(IPM_SULBA
R)
D(IPM_SULSEL
)
D(IPM_SULTEN
G)
D(IPM_SULTEN
GGARA)
D(IPM_SULUT)
D(IPM_SUMBA
R)
D(IPM_SUMSE
L)
D(IPM_SUMUT)
D(IPM_YOGYA
KARTA)
0.3169
0
0
6
0.1498
0
0
6
0.0009
0
0
6
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.1465
0
0
6
0.1439
0
0
6
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0
0
0
0
6
6
0.2912
0.0127
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.5605
0
0
6
Dropped from Test
0
0
6
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.0131
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.0771
0
0
6
62
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 6
Uji Kointegrasi antara Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan
`Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Pedroni Residual Cointegration Test
Series: PDRB? IPM?
Date: 02/14/14 Time: 20:42
Sample: 2004 2011
Included observations: 8
Cross-sections included: 2 (31 dropped)
Null Hypothesis: No cointegration
Trend assumption: No deterministic trend
Automatic lag length selection based on AIC with a max lag of 0
Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel
Alternative hypothesis: common AR coefs. (within-dimension)
Weighted
Statistic
Prob.
Statistic
Panel v-Statistic
-0.360784 0.6409 -0.530313
Panel rho-Statistic
-0.555359 0.2893 -0.183390
Panel PP-Statistic
-5.545982 0.0000 -3.932610
Panel ADF-Statistic -3.270017 0.0005 -2.403795
Prob.
0.7021
0.4272
0.0000
0.0081
Alternative hypothesis: individual AR coefs. (between-dimension)
Statistic
Group rho-Statistic
0.500540
Group PP-Statistic
-4.415141
Group ADF-Statistic -2.503192
Prob.
0.6917
0.0000
0.0062
Cross section specific results
Phillips-Peron results (non-parametric)
Cross ID
AR(1) Variance
HAC Bandwidth
_ACEH
Dropped from Test
_SUMUT
Dropped from Test
_SUMBAR
Dropped from Test
_RIAU
Dropped from Test
_JAMBI
Dropped from Test
_SUMSEL
Dropped from Test
_BENGKUL
U
Dropped from Test
_LAMPUNG
Dropped from Test
_BANGKA
Dropped from Test
Obs
63
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_KEPRIAU
Dropped from Test
_DKIJAKAR
TA
Dropped from Test
_JABAR
Dropped from Test
_JATENG
Dropped from Test
_YOGYAKA
RTA
Dropped from Test
_JATIM
Dropped from Test
_BANTEN
Dropped from Test
_BALI
Dropped from Test
_NTB
Dropped from Test
_NTT
Dropped from Test
_KALBAR
Dropped from Test
_KALTENG
Dropped from Test
_KALSEL
Dropped from Test
_KALTIM
Dropped from Test
_SULUT
Dropped from Test
_SULTENG
Dropped from Test
_SULSEL
Dropped from Test
_SULTENGG
Dropped from Test
ARA
_GORONTA
LO
Dropped from Test
_SULBAR
Dropped from Test
_MALUKU -0.134 1102.664 287.5109
_MALUKUU
TARA
Dropped from Test
_PAPUABA
RAT
Dropped from Test
_PAPUA
-0.360 2678050. 788432.8
6.00
7
6.00
7
Max lag
Obs
Augmented Dickey-Fuller results (parametric)
Cross ID
AR(1) Variance
Lag
_ACEH
Dropped from Test
_SUMUT
Dropped from Test
_SUMBAR
Dropped from Test
_RIAU
Dropped from Test
_JAMBI
Dropped from Test
_SUMSEL
Dropped from Test
_BENGKUL
U
Dropped from Test
_LAMPUNG
Dropped from Test
_BANGKA
Dropped from Test
_KEPRIAU
Dropped from Test
_DKIJAKAR
Dropped from Test
64
Universitas Sumatera Utara
TA
_JABAR
Dropped from Test
_JATENG
Dropped from Test
_YOGYAKA
RTA
Dropped from Test
_JATIM
Dropped from Test
_BANTEN
Dropped from Test
_BALI
Dropped from Test
_NTB
Dropped from Test
_NTT
Dropped from Test
_KALBAR
Dropped from Test
_KALTENG
Dropped from Test
_KALSEL
Dropped from Test
_KALTIM
Dropped from Test
_SULUT
Dropped from Test
_SULTENG
Dropped from Test
_SULSEL
Dropped from Test
_SULTENGG
ARA
Dropped from Test
_GORONTA
Dropped from Test
LO
_SULBAR
Dropped from Test
_MALUKU -0.134 1102.664
0
_MALUKUU
TARA
Dropped from Test
_PAPUABA
RAT
Dropped from Test
_PAPUA
-0.360 2678050.
0
0
7
0
7
65
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 Menurut Provinsi, 2004-2011 (Milyar Rupiah)
Provinsi
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011*)
1
Aceh
40 374
36 288
36 854
35 983
34 098
32 219
33 103
34 789
2
Sumatera Utara
83 329
87 898
93 347
99 792
106 172
111 559
118 719
126 588
3
Sumatera Barat
27 578
29 159
30 950
32 913
35 177
36 683
38 862
41 292
4
Riau
75 217
79 288
83 371
86 213
91 085
93 786
97 736
102 666
5
Jambi
11 954
12 620
13 364
14 275
15 298
16 275
17 472
18 964
6
Sumatera
Selatan
47 344
49 634
52 215
55 262
58 065
60 453
63 859
68 008
7
Bengkulu
5 896
6 239
6 611
7 037
7 442
7 860
8 340
8 878
8
Lampung
28 262
29 397
30 861
32 695
34 443
36 256
38 390
40 859
9
Kepulauan
Bangka Belitung
8 415
8 707
9 054
9 465
9 900
10 270
10 885
11 588
10
Kepulauan Riau
28 509
30 382
32 441
34 714
37 015
38 319
41 076
43 810
Sumatera
356 879
369 612
389 067
408 350
428 695
443 681
468 441
497 441
11
DKI Jakarta
278 525
295 271
312 827
332 971
353 723
371 469
395 622
422 237
12
Jawa Barat
230 003
242 884
257 499
274 180
291 206
303 405
322 224
343 111
13
Jawa Tengah
135 790
143 051
150 683
159 110
168 034
176 673
186 993
198 270
14
DI.Yogyakarta
16 146
16 911
17 536
18 292
19 212
20 064
21 044
22 132
15
Jawa Timur
242 229
256 443
271 249
288 404
305 539
320 861
342 281
366 983
16
Banten
54 880
58 107
61 342
75 350
79 701
83 454
88 552
94 207
53
Universitas Sumatera Utara
17
18
19
20
21
Bali
Kalimantan
Barat
Kalimantan
Tengah
Kalimantan
Selatan
Kalimantan
Timur
19 963
21 072
22 185
24 450
25 910
27 291
28 882
30 758
22 483
23 538
24 768
26 020
27 439
28 757
30 329
32 138
13 253
14 035
14 854
15 755
16 726
17 658
18 806
20 078
22 171
23 293
24 452
25 922
27 593
29 052
30 675
32 553
91 050
93 938
96 613
98 386
103 207
105 565
110 953
115 476
22
Sulawesi Utara
12 150
12 745
13 473
14 344
15 902
17 150
18 377
19 735
23
Sulawesi Tengah
10 925
11 752
12 672
13 961
15 047
16 208
17 624
19 237
24
Sulawesi Selatan
34 345
36 422
38 868
41 332
44 550
47 326
51 200
55 099
25
Sulawesi
Tenggara
7 480
8 027
8 643
9 332
10 011
10 769
11 654
12 698
26
Gorontalo
1 892
2 028
2 176
2 339
2 521
2 711
2 917
3 141
27
Sulawesi Barat
2 922
3 121
3 321
3 568
3 999
4 239
4 744
5 233
14 928
15 184
15 604
16 369
16 832
18 874
20 073
19 440
9 537
9 867
10 369
10 902
11 430
11 921
12 547
13 253
28
29
Nusa Tenggara
Barat
Nusa Tenggara
Timur
30
Maluku
3 102
3 259
3 440
3 633
3 787
3 993
4 251
4 509
31
Maluku Utara
2 128
2 237
2 359
2 501
2 651
2 812
3 036
3 230
32
Papua Barat
4 969
5 307
5 549
5 934
6 400
7 287
9 361
11 896
33
Papua
16 283
22 209
18 402
19 200
18 932
23 138
22 400
21 208
1 604 036
1 690 311
1 777 950
1 890 607
1 999 047
2 094 358
2 222 987
2 364 065
Jumlah 33 Provinsi
54
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 2
PDRB Per Kapita dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi 33 Provinsi Indonesia Atas
Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 Tahun 2005-2008
No.
Provinsi
PDRB per Kapita (Ribu Rp)
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (%)
2005
2006
2007
2008
Rata-Rata
2005
2006
2007
2008
RataRata
1.
Aceh
8.886
8.873
8.519
7.938
8.554
-10,0
-0,1
-4,0
-6,8
-5,2
2.
Sumatera Utara
7.078
7.393
7.775
8.141
7.597
3,0
4,5
5,2
4,7
4,3
3.
Sumatera Barat
6.385
6.681
7.006
7.350
6.855
5,0
4,6
4,9
4,9
4,9
4.
Riau
16.396
16.832
17.001
17.553
16.945
-1,5
2,7
1,0
3,2
1,4
5.
JambI
4.762
4.956
5.206
5.486
5.102
4,6
4,1
5,0
5,4
4,8
6.
Sumatera Selatan
7.282
7.548
7.872
8.155
7.714
1,9
3,7
4,3
3,6
3,4
55
Universitas Sumatera Utara
7.
Bengkulu
3.984
4.154
4.335
4.479
16.952
4,7
4,3
4,4
3,3
4,2
8.
Lampung
4.148
4.293
4.485
4.656
4.395
3,7
3,5
4,5
3,8
3,9
9.
Bangka Belitung
8.101
8.300
8.552
8.806
8.440
-1,4
2,5
3,0
3,0
1,8
10.
Kepulauan Riau
23.756
24.304
24.922
25.478
24.615
-0,7
2,3
2,5
-2,2
-1,6
11.
DKI Jakarta
33.205
34.837
36.733
38.654
35.857
4,3
4,9
5,4
5,2
5,0
12.
Jawa Barat
6.204
6.480
6.799
7.091
6.643
4,1
4,4
4,9
4,3
4,5
13.
Jawa Tengah
4.488
4.690
4.914
5.143
4.809
7,5
4,5
4,8
4,7
5,4
14.
Yogyakarta
5.025
5.157
5.326
5.538
5.261
0,3
2,6
3,3
4,0
2,6
15.
Jawa Timur
7.027
7.393
7.801
8.217
7.609
5,8
5,2
5,5
5,3
5,5
16.
Banten
6.406
6.634
6.903
7.168
6.778
6,6
3,6
4,1
3,8
4,5
17.
Bali
6.188
6.444
6.752
7.082
6.616
5,3
4,1
4,8
4,9
4,8
18.
NTT
2.306
2.376
2.451
2.520
2.413
0,5
3,0
3,2
2,8
2,4
19.
NTB
3.660
3.697
3.813
3.850
3.755
0,1
1,0
3,1
1,0
1,3
20.
Kalimantan Barat
5.830
6.030
6.285
6.515
6.165
4,6
3,4
4,2
3,7
4,0
21.
Kalimantan Tengah
7.125
7.431
7.767
8.130
7.613
0,6
4,3
4,5
4,7
3,5
56
Universitas Sumatera Utara
22.
Kalimantan Selatan
7.066
7.307
7.632
7.990
7.499
2,8
3,4
4,4
4,7
3,8
23.
Kalimantan Timur
32.537
32.689
32.334
33.337
32.974
-1,2
0,5
-1,1
3,1
0,3
24.
Sulawesi Utara
5.945
6.222
6.559
6.988
6.428
5,6
4,7
5,4
6,5
5,6
25.
Sulawesi Tengah
5.083
5.383
5.711
6.057
5.558
4,8
5,9
6,1
6,1
5,7
26.
Sulawesi Selatan
4.863
5.118
5.368
5.708
5.264
4,8
5,2
4,9
6,3
5,3
27.
Sulawesi Tenggara
4.126
4.347
4.594
4.824
4.473
6,1
5,4
5,7
5,0
5,5
28.
Gorontalo
2.166
2.294
2.436
2.593
2.372
2,8
5,9
6,2
6,4
5,3
29.
Sulawesi Barat
3.152
3.317
3.509
3.751
3.432
7,0
5,2
5,8
6,9
6,2
30.
Maluku
2.577
2.680
2.791
2.867
2.729
3,3
4,0
4,1
2,7
3,5
31.
Maluku Utara
2.447
2.540
2.649
2.762
2.599
0,4
3,8
4,3
4,3
3,2
32.
Papua Barat
7.712
7.903
8.288
8.725
8.157
-0,3
2,5
4,9
5,3
3,1
33.
Papua
11.479
9.318
9.526
9.198
9.880
36,4
-17,1
4,3
-1,5
5,25
57
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 3
Hubungan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan IPM Provinsi-Provinsi di Indonesia Periode 2004-2011
58
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 4
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
Null Hypothesis: Unit root (individual unit root process)
Series: PDRB_ACEH, PDRB_BALI, PDRB_BANGKA,PDRB_BANTEN,
PDRB_BENGKULU, PDRB_DKIJAKARTA,PDRB_GORONTALO,
PDRB_JABAR, PDRB_JAMBI, PDRB_JATENG, PDRB_JATIM,
PDRB_KALBAR, PDRB_KALSEL, PDRB_KALTENG, PDRB_KALTIM,
PDRB_KEPRIAU, PDRB_LAMPUNG, PDRB_MALUKU,
PDRB_MALUKUUTARA, PDRB_NTB, PDRB_NTT, PDRB_PAPUA,
PDRB_PAPUABARAT, PDRB_RIAU, PDRB_SULBAR,
PDRB_SULSEL, PDRB_SULTENG, PDRB_SULTENGGARA,
PDRB_SULUT, PDRB_SUMBAR, PDRB_SUMSEL, PDRB_SUMUT,
PDRB_YOGYAKARTA
Date: 02/14/14 Time: 17:38
Sample: 2004 2011
Exogenous variables: Individual effects
Automatic selection of maximum lags
Automatic lag length selection based on AIC: 0
Total (balanced) observations: 100
Cross-sections included: 20 (13 dropped)
Method
ADF - Fisher Chi-square
ADF - Choi Z-stat
Statistic
78.9778
-4.45139
Prob.**
0.0002
0.0000
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi
-square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Intermediate ADF test results D(UNTITLED,2)
Series
D(PDRB_ACEH,
2)
D(PDRB_BALI,2
)
D(PDRB_BANG
KA,2)
D(PDRB_BANT
EN,2)
D(PDRB_BENG
KULU,2)
D(PDRB_DKIJA
KARTA,2)
D(PDRB_GORO
NTALO,2)
D(PDRB_JABA
Prob.
Lag
Max Lag
Obs
0.0787
0
0
5
0.1209
0
0
5
0.2048
0
0
5
0.1105
0
0
5
0.4166
0
0
5
0.1769
0
0
5
0
0
Dropped from Test
5
0.1368
59
Universitas Sumatera Utara
R,2)
D(PDRB_JAMBI
,2)
D(PDRB_JATEN
G,2)
D(PDRB_JATIM
,2)
D(PDRB_KALB
AR,2)
D(PDRB_KALS
EL,2)
D(PDRB_KALT
ENG,2)
D(PDRB_KALTI
M,2)
D(PDRB_KEPRI
AU,2)
D(PDRB_LAMP
UNG,2)
D(PDRB_MALU
KU,2)
D(PDRB_MALU
KUUTARA,2)
D(PDRB_NTB,2)
D(PDRB_NTT,2)
D(PDRB_PAPU
A,2)
0.5404
0
0
5
0.2039
0
0
5
0.3076
0
0
5
0.1584
0
0
5
0.2567
0
0
5
0.2108
0
0
5
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.4151
0
0
5
0.2646
0
0
5
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0
0
5
0.0734
0.0110
D(PDRB_PAPUA
BARAT,2)
D(PDRB_RIAU,2)
D(PDRB_SULB
AR,2)
D(PDRB_SULSE
L,2)
D(PDRB_SULT
ENG,2)
D(PDRB_SULT
ENGGARA,2)
D(PDRB_SULU
T,2)
D(PDRB_SUMB
AR,2)
D(PDRB_SUMS
EL,2)
D(PDRB_SUMU
T,2)
D(PDRB_YOGY
AKARTA,2)
0
0
5
0
5
0
5
0
5
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.0156
0
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.1750
0
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.0465
0
60
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 5
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Null Hypothesis: Unit root (individual unit root process)
Series: IPM_ACEH, IPM_BALI, IPM_BANGKA, IPM_BANTEN,
IPM_BENGKULU, IPM_DKIJAKARTA, IPM_GORONTALO, IPM_JABAR,
IPM_JAMBI, IPM_JATENG, IPM_JATIM, IPM_KALBAR, IPM_KALSEL,
IPM_KALTENG, IPM_KALTIM, IPM_KEPRIAU, IPM_LAMPUNG,
IPM_MALUKU, IPM_MALUKUUTARA, IPM_NTB, IPM_NTT,
IPM_PAPUA, IPM_PAPUABARAT, IPM_RIAU, IPM_SULBAR,
IPM_SULSEL, IPM_SULTENG, IPM_SULTENGGARA, IPM_SULUT,
IPM_SUMBAR, IPM_SUMSEL, IPM_SUMUT, IPM_YOGYAKARTA
Date: 02/14/14 Time: 17:32
Sample: 2004 2011
Exogenous variables: Individual effects
Automatic selection of maximum lags
Automatic lag length selection based on AIC: 0
Total (balanced) observations: 120
Cross-sections included: 20 (13 dropped)
Method
ADF - Fisher Chi-square
ADF - Choi Z-stat
Statistic
147.209
-7.72557
Prob.**
0.0000
0.0000
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi
-square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Intermediate ADF test results D(UNTITLED)
Series
D(IPM_ACEH)
D(IPM_BALI)
D(IPM_BANGK
A)
D(IPM_BANTE
N)
D(IPM_BENGK
ULU)
D(IPM_DKIJAK
ARTA)
D(IPM_GORON
TALO)
D(IPM_JABAR)
D(IPM_JAMBI)
D(IPM_JATENG
)
D(IPM_JATIM)
Prob.
0.0913
0.2043
Lag
0
0
Max Lag
0
0
Obs
6
6
0.0077
0
0
6
0.0097
0
0
6
0.0007
0
0
6
0.2060
0
0
6
0
0
Dropped from Test
0
0
6
0.0003
0.0304
0.0990
0.0000
0
0
0
0
6
6
6
61
Universitas Sumatera Utara
D(IPM_KALBA
R)
D(IPM_KALSEL
)
D(IPM_KALTE
NG)
D(IPM_KALTIM
)
D(IPM_KEPRIA
U)
D(IPM_LAMPU
NG)
D(IPM_MALUK
U)
D(IPM_MALUK
UUTARA)
D(IPM_NTB)
D(IPM_NTT)
D(IPM_PAPUA)
D(IPM_PAPUA
BARAT)
D(IPM_RIAU)
D(IPM_SULBA
R)
D(IPM_SULSEL
)
D(IPM_SULTEN
G)
D(IPM_SULTEN
GGARA)
D(IPM_SULUT)
D(IPM_SUMBA
R)
D(IPM_SUMSE
L)
D(IPM_SUMUT)
D(IPM_YOGYA
KARTA)
0.3169
0
0
6
0.1498
0
0
6
0.0009
0
0
6
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.1465
0
0
6
0.1439
0
0
6
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0
0
0
0
6
6
0.2912
0.0127
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.5605
0
0
6
Dropped from Test
0
0
6
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.0131
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0.0771
0
0
6
62
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 6
Uji Kointegrasi antara Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan
`Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Pedroni Residual Cointegration Test
Series: PDRB? IPM?
Date: 02/14/14 Time: 20:42
Sample: 2004 2011
Included observations: 8
Cross-sections included: 2 (31 dropped)
Null Hypothesis: No cointegration
Trend assumption: No deterministic trend
Automatic lag length selection based on AIC with a max lag of 0
Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel
Alternative hypothesis: common AR coefs. (within-dimension)
Weighted
Statistic
Prob.
Statistic
Panel v-Statistic
-0.360784 0.6409 -0.530313
Panel rho-Statistic
-0.555359 0.2893 -0.183390
Panel PP-Statistic
-5.545982 0.0000 -3.932610
Panel ADF-Statistic -3.270017 0.0005 -2.403795
Prob.
0.7021
0.4272
0.0000
0.0081
Alternative hypothesis: individual AR coefs. (between-dimension)
Statistic
Group rho-Statistic
0.500540
Group PP-Statistic
-4.415141
Group ADF-Statistic -2.503192
Prob.
0.6917
0.0000
0.0062
Cross section specific results
Phillips-Peron results (non-parametric)
Cross ID
AR(1) Variance
HAC Bandwidth
_ACEH
Dropped from Test
_SUMUT
Dropped from Test
_SUMBAR
Dropped from Test
_RIAU
Dropped from Test
_JAMBI
Dropped from Test
_SUMSEL
Dropped from Test
_BENGKUL
U
Dropped from Test
_LAMPUNG
Dropped from Test
_BANGKA
Dropped from Test
Obs
63
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_KEPRIAU
Dropped from Test
_DKIJAKAR
TA
Dropped from Test
_JABAR
Dropped from Test
_JATENG
Dropped from Test
_YOGYAKA
RTA
Dropped from Test
_JATIM
Dropped from Test
_BANTEN
Dropped from Test
_BALI
Dropped from Test
_NTB
Dropped from Test
_NTT
Dropped from Test
_KALBAR
Dropped from Test
_KALTENG
Dropped from Test
_KALSEL
Dropped from Test
_KALTIM
Dropped from Test
_SULUT
Dropped from Test
_SULTENG
Dropped from Test
_SULSEL
Dropped from Test
_SULTENGG
Dropped from Test
ARA
_GORONTA
LO
Dropped from Test
_SULBAR
Dropped from Test
_MALUKU -0.134 1102.664 287.5109
_MALUKUU
TARA
Dropped from Test
_PAPUABA
RAT
Dropped from Test
_PAPUA
-0.360 2678050. 788432.8
6.00
7
6.00
7
Max lag
Obs
Augmented Dickey-Fuller results (parametric)
Cross ID
AR(1) Variance
Lag
_ACEH
Dropped from Test
_SUMUT
Dropped from Test
_SUMBAR
Dropped from Test
_RIAU
Dropped from Test
_JAMBI
Dropped from Test
_SUMSEL
Dropped from Test
_BENGKUL
U
Dropped from Test
_LAMPUNG
Dropped from Test
_BANGKA
Dropped from Test
_KEPRIAU
Dropped from Test
_DKIJAKAR
Dropped from Test
64
Universitas Sumatera Utara
TA
_JABAR
Dropped from Test
_JATENG
Dropped from Test
_YOGYAKA
RTA
Dropped from Test
_JATIM
Dropped from Test
_BANTEN
Dropped from Test
_BALI
Dropped from Test
_NTB
Dropped from Test
_NTT
Dropped from Test
_KALBAR
Dropped from Test
_KALTENG
Dropped from Test
_KALSEL
Dropped from Test
_KALTIM
Dropped from Test
_SULUT
Dropped from Test
_SULTENG
Dropped from Test
_SULSEL
Dropped from Test
_SULTENGG
ARA
Dropped from Test
_GORONTA
Dropped from Test
LO
_SULBAR
Dropped from Test
_MALUKU -0.134 1102.664
0
_MALUKUU
TARA
Dropped from Test
_PAPUABA
RAT
Dropped from Test
_PAPUA
-0.360 2678050.
0
0
7
0
7
65
Universitas Sumatera Utara