Totalomzet buah Totalomzet Total omzet kualitas 2

LAMPlRAN

LAMPlRAN KURVA 80-20
Tabell
Kode
buah

1
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
10
11
13
14
16
17

18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

Totalornzet
Totalomzet

107.972.144,50
89.716.353,50
58.1n.502,50
130.295.425,50
40.183.980,00

99.132.655,00
4.713.B75,00
93.925.895,83
7.618.815,00
9.894.194,00
723.630.535,00
15.697.340,00
25.974.501,27
25.636.347,03
925.000,00
8.950.944,70
13.172.180,00
118.478.635,00
222.611.722,00
23.900.450,00
14.479.965,00
44.742.119,50
19.984.856,00
14.346.250,00
31.638.015,00


Total omzet kualitas 2

14.465.015,00
21.866.277,50
21.836.210,00
6.493.855,17
20.891.586,53
1.633.805,17

(
(
(
(

(
(

2.443.098,08
5.884.961,11

56.638.288,11

(

407.500,00
3.376.153,33
9.587.125,00
442.000,00
1.595.070,00
4.507.445,00
1 .523.950,00
743.166,67
2.920.000,00

(
(

(
(


(
(
(
(

(
(
(

3
3
3
9
9
9
9
9
9

29

29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29

)
)

B.S
1.545.412,50
1.187.162,50

)
)

1.907.293,75

381.575,00
1.343.762,50
53.500,00

)

309.000,00

)
)

)
)

)
)

)
)
)


)
)
)
)

10.239.875,00
55.625,00
260.125,00
290.812,50
64.975,00
339.125,00
1.715.500,00
2.418.162,50
48.750,00
79.062,50
282.831,25
246.500,00
312.500,00
594.687,50


Omzet bulanan

Omzet
bulanan

Omzet bulanan
kualitas 2

10.797.214,45
B.971.635,35
5.816.750,25
13.029.542,55
8.036.796,00
9.913.265,50
2.356.937,50
10.436.210,65
1.904.703,75
2.473.548,50
72.363.053,50

1.962.167,50
2.886.055,70
2.563.634,70
231.250,00
1.790.188,94
4.390.726,67
23.695.727,00
27.826.465,25
11.950.225,00
2.895.993,00
4.971.346,61
3.330.809,33
7.173.125,00
5.273.002,50

1.446.501,50
2.186.627,75

B.S
171.713

118.716

2.183.621,00
1.298.771,03
2.089.158,65
816.902,58

190.729
76.315,00
149.306,94
53.500,00

610.774,52
1.471.240,28
5.663.828,81

103.000,00

135.833,33
675.230,67
1.198.390,63
221.000,00
319.014,00
500.827,22
253.991,67
371.583,33
486.666,67

1.023.987,50
13.906,25
6.180,56
29.081,25
12.995,00
113.041,67
343.100,00
302.270,31
24.375,00
19.765,63
35.353,91
49.300,00
156.250,00
99.114,58

Totalomzet
bulanan

12.415.428,45
11.276.979,35
5.816.750,25
15.403.892,93
9.411.882,03
12.151.731,10
3.227.340,08
10.436.210,65
2.618.478,27
3.944.788,78
79.050.869,81
1.976.073,75
2.892.236,25
2.592.715,95
231.250,00
1.803.183,94
4.639.601,67
24.714.057,67
29.327.126,19
12.195.600,00
3.234.772,63
5.507.527,74
3.634.101,00
7.700.958,33
5.858.783,75

29
30
32
33
34
35
339
36
37

40
44
45
46
47
48
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
63
64
65
67
68
69

20.003.585,00
907.830,00
30.760.521,50
6.896.010,00
289.121.121,00
42.874.801,50
37.294.000,00
152.111.765,00
18.157.395,00
181 .016.440,00
93.818.920,00
3.304.005,00
51.224.641,00
34.215.188,83
32.168.592,40
156.039.860,50
24.746.367,50
49.768.169,50
12.218.983,00
13.832.976,25
1.366.537,25
12.174.933,00
56.405.771,25
21.442.644,50
121.717.364,50
21.943.870,00
81.914.812,50
63.021.340,00
2.464.495,00
7.990.100,00
51.516.301,05
37.927.961 ,30
1.927.932,50

6.896.010,00

33

17.531,25
1.170.768,75

42.874.801,50

35

3.691.181,25

18.157.395,00

37

178.812,50
2.125.468,75

3.304.005,00

45

4.942.700,00
1.890.400,00

51

311.237,50
80.487,50
103.187,50
6.917.125,00

24.746.367,50

1.195.371,86
218.781,25
59.546,88
13.637,50
83.543,75
1.227.793,75
164.425,00
3.990.668,75
291.900,00
555.828,13
911.756,25
82.218,75
60.397,78
9.309,00
25.962,50

2.000.358,50
907.830,00
15.380.260,75
3.448.005,00
57.824.224,20
8.574.960,30
12.431.333,33
21.730.252,14
2.593.913,57
20.112.937,78
13.402.702,86
826.001,25
8.537.440,17
6.843.037,77
8.042.148,10
15.603.986,05
2.474.636,75
7.109.738,50
2.036.497,17
4.610.992,08
683.268,63
3.043.733,25
8.343.681,61
5.360.661,13
15.214.670,56
4.388.774,00
11.702.116,07
6.302.134,00
821.498,33
887.788,89
5.151.630,11
3.792.796,13
963.966,25

3.448.005,00

17.531,25
585.384,38

8.574.960,30

738.236,25

2.593.913,57

178.812,50
354.244,79

472.000,71

549.188,89
315.066,67

2.474.636,75

51.872,92
26.829,17
34.395,83
691.712,50
170.767,41
54.695,31
19.848,96
6.618,75
27.847,92
175.399,11
41.106,25
498.833,59
58.380,00
79.404,02
91.175,63
41.109,38
7.549,72
4.654,50
2.884,72

2.000.358,50
925.361,25
19.413.650,13
3.448.005,00
67.137.420,75
8.574.960,30
12.610.145,83
24.678.410,51
2.593.913,57
20.662.126,67
14.169.770,24
826.001,25
8.589.313,08
6.869.666,93
8.076.543,93
18.770.335,30
2.474.636,75
7.280.505,91
2.091.192,48
4.630.841,04
690.087,38
3.071.581,17
8.519.080,71
5.401.767,38
15.713.504,16
4.447.154,00
11.781520,09
6.393.309,63
862.607,71
895.338,61
5.156.284,61
3.795.680,85
963.966,25

70
71
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
83
84
85
66
87
88
990
991
992
993
995
999
94
95
96
98
99
100
101
102
103
107
108

38.437.424,00
3.432.445,00
99.722.221,00
16.814.432,00
60.651.011,00
17 .884.500,00
14.829.286,00
2.850.065,00
76.513.552,36
37.710.647,52
39.843.134,94
967.000,00
26.462.634,42
46.016.782,41
6.672.609,11
25.803.052,57
240.717.399,52
17.318.245,00
6.529.570,00
499.610,00
385.410,00
170.550,00
1.822.045,00
116.190,00
66.580.937,14
49.887.009,42
3.611.375,00
24.368.942,50
2.567.399,46
653.000,00
2.710.500,00
2.758.300,00
28.401.810,00

3.432.445,00

71

724.300,00

16.814.432,00

75

2.847.000,00

17.884.500,00

77

922.800,00

2.850.065,00

79

1.131.125,00
246.225,00
111.300,00
526.968,75
123.037,50
102.193,75
1.242.875,00
41.187,50
13.250,00

37.125,00

185.925,00
2.468,75
180.718,75
9.625,00
15.727,38
15.637,50
1.016.925,00

4.804.678,00
572.074,17
11.080.246,78
2.101.804,00
6.739.001,22
1.987.166,67
4.943.095,33
950.021,67
9.564.194,05
6.285.107,92
3.984.313,49
967.000,00
3.307.829,30
5.752.347,80
667.260,91
2.580.305,26
30.089.674,94
4.329.561,25
3.264.785,00
249.805,00
192.705,00
170.550,00
202.449,44
58.095,00
6.658.093,71
4.988.700,94
1.203.791,67
2.436.894,25
285.266,61
653.000,00
542.100,00
306.477,78
5.680.362,00

429.055,63

103.471,43

1.868.270,22

2.101.804,00

1.987.166,67

2.554.928,57

950.021,67

377.041,67
41.037,50
22.260,00
52.696,88
15.379,69
14.599,11
155.359,38
13.729,17
6.625,00

6.187,50

26.560,71
2.468,75
20.079,86
9.625,00
15.727,38
3.127,50
338.975,00

5.337.205,05
572.074,17
15.050.321,00
2.101.804,00
11.281.096,46
1.987.166,67
6.270.158,67
950.021,67
9.605.231,55
6.307.367,92
4.037.010,37
967.000,00
3.323.208,99
5.752.347,80
681.860,02
2.580.305,26
30.245.034,31
4.343.290,42
3.271.410,00
249.805,00
192.705,00
170.550,00
208.636,94
58.095,00
6.658.093,71
5.015.261,66
1.206.260,42
2.456.974,11
294.891,61
668.727,38
542.100,00
309.605,28
6.019.337,00

109
110
111
112
113
1.131
114
116
117
118
121
122
125
128
130
131
133
134
136
138
139
140
141
672
673
675
831
861
862
961
962
963
964

611.614.480,50
8.318.702,94
102.537.515,92
2.134.600,00
22.314.690,00
877.650,00
241.101.230,68
20.014.500,00
3.219.885,00
1.232.085,00
4.726.558,50
61.159.667,91
232.125,00
688.S00,00
30.957.000,00
157.735.480,50
264.814.827,07
9.099.150,00
6.758.350,00
54.461.852,18
1.391.835,00
31.181.008,66
627.000,00
3.903.876,00
121.200,00
18.441.235,96
12.153.898,00
36.091.510,86
9.215.530,00
35.659.127,71
2.115.825,64
1.232.556,00
8.199.196,00

3.752.231,25
570.080,00

(

1110

)

87.911,25
52.950,00
372.859,38
11.252,88
6.625,00
8.187,50
28.143,75
545.159,38
10.312,50

586.687,50
139.125,00
167.000,00
22.293,75
162.656,25
562,SO

2.280,00
49.000,00
21.125,00
4.500,00
138.159,38
5.437,50
4.250,00
5.400,00

61.161.448,05
1.039.837,87
10.253.751,59
426.920,00
3.187.812,86
877.650,00
24.110.123,07
2.859.214,29
1.609.942,50
410.695,00
1.575.519,50
6.115.966,79
232.125,00
114.750,00
5.159.500,00
22.533.640,07
52.962.965,41
909.915,00
675.835,00
9.076.975,36
347.958,75
3.118.100,87
156.750,00
1 .951 .938,00
60.600,00
1.844.123,60
1.215.389,80
4.511.438,86
1.843.106,00
3.565.912,77
423.165,13
246.511,20
911.021,78

375.223,13
71.260,00
9.767,92
8.825,00
37.285,94
5.626,44
6.625,00
4.093,75
28.143,75
54.515,94
10.312,50

97.781,25
139.125,00
33.400,00
5.573,44
18.072,92
562,50

2.280,00
16.333,33
10.562,50
2.250,00
15.351,04
1.812,50
4.250,00
455.510,89

61.536.671,18
1.111.097,87
10.263.519,51
426.920,00
3.196.637,86
877.650,00
24.147.409,01
2.864.840,72
1.616.567,50
414.788,75
1 .603.663,25
6.170.482,73
242.437,50
114.750,00
5.159.500,00
22.631.421,32
53.102.090,41
943.315,00
675.835,00
9.082.548,80
347.958,75
3.136.173,78
157.312,50
1.951.938,00
60.600,00
1.846.403,60
1.231.723,13
4.522.001,36
1 .845.356,00
3.581.263,81
424.977,63
250.761,20
1.366.532,67

966
968
969
1.021
10.211
1.031
1.041
1.080
1.093
1.094
1.101
1.102
1.110

1.141
1.190

1.222.523,00
3.041.402,00
1.677.924,50
27.001.083,33
888.000,00
3.020.000,00
112.090,00
4.362.500,00
85.300,00
3.869.755,00
3.328.500,00
751.500,00
570.080,00
10.043.825,00
10.702.250,00

22.506,25
13.562,50

24.200,00

75.500,00
110.937,50

244.504,60
608.280,40
838.962,25
5.400.216,67
444.000,00
377.500,00
112.090,00
4.362.500,00
85.300,00
386.975,50
332.850,00
751.500,00
285.040,00
1.434.832,14
1.07,n5~

7.502,08

13.562,50
4.840,00

__

--

-

15.100,00
22.187,50

244.504,60
615.782,48
838.962,25
5.413.779,17
444.000,00
382.340,00
112.090,00
4.362.500,00
85.300,00
386.975,50
332.850,00
751.500.00
285.040,00
1.449.932,14
1.092.412,50

Tabel2
Kode
buah

Totalomzet
bulanan

Prosentase
omzet

Kumulatif
prosentase
omzet

13
34
109
133
990
22
21
36
114
131
40

79.050.869,81
67.137.420,75
61.536.671,18
53.102.090,41
30.245.034,31
29.327.126,19
24.714.057,67
24.678.410,51
24.147.409,01
22.631.421,32
20.662.126,67

8,63
7,33
6,72
5,80
3,30
3,20
2,70
2,69
2,64
2,47
2,26

8,63
15,96
22,68
28,48
31,78
34,98
37,68
40,37
43,01
45,48
47,74

Item
ke-

Prosentase
item

Kode
buah

Totalomzet
bulanan

Prosentase
omzet

Kumulatif
prosentase
omzet

item
ke-

Prosentase
item

1
2
3
4
5

0,79
1,59
2,38
3,17
3,97
4,76
5,56
6,35
7,14
7,94
8,73

113
140
56
16
116
10
17
88
100
53
14

3.196.637,86
3.136.173,78
3.071.581,17
2.892.236,25
2.864.840,72
2.618.478,27
2.592.715,95
2.580.305,26
2.456.974,11
2.091.192,48
1.976.073,75

0,35
0,34
0,34
0,32
0,31
0,29
0,28
0,28
0,27
0,23
0,22

93,18
93.52
93,86
94,18
94,49
94,77
95,06
95,34
95,61
95,84
96,05

65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75

51,59
52,38
53.17
53,97
54,76
55,56
56,35
57,14
57,94
58,73
59,52

6

7
8
9
10
11

32
50
59
4

74
44
339
23

7
61
76
2
111
80
6
138
46
57
48
27
52
47
96
63
81
78
122
108
26
86
25
1.021

19.413.650,13
18.770.335,30
15.713.504,16
15.403.892,93
15.050.321,00
14.189.770,24
12.610.145,83
12.415.428,45
12.195.600,00
12.151.731,10
11.781.520,09
11.281.096,46
11.276.979,35
10.263.519,51
9.605.231,55
9.411.882,03
9.082.548,80
8.589.313,08
8.519.080,71
8.076.543,93
7.700.958,33
7.280.505,91
6.869.866,93
6.658.093,71
6.393.309,63
6.307.367,92
6.270.158,67
6.170.482,73
6.019.337,00
5.858.783,75
5.752.347,80
5.507.527,74
5.413.779,17

2,12
2,05
1,72
1,68
1,64
1,55
1,38
1,36
1,33
1,33
1,29
1,23
1,23
1,12
1,05
1,03
0,99
0,94
0,93
0,88
0,84
0,79
0,75
0,73
0,70
0,69
0,68
0,67
0,66
0,64
0,63
0,60
0,59

49,86
51,90
53,62
55,30
56,94
58,49
59,87
61,23
62,56
63,88
65,17
66,40
67,63
68,75
69,80
70,83
71,82
72,76
73,69
74,57
75,41
76,21
76,96
77,68
78,38
79,07
79,76
80,43
81,09
81,73
82,35
82,95
83,55

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44

9,52
10,32
11 ,11
11,90
12,70
13,49
14,29
15,08
15,87
16,67
17,46
18,25
19,05
19,84
20,63
21,43
22,22
23,02
23,81
24,60
25,40
26,19
26,98
27,78
28,57
29,37
30,16
30,95
31,75
32,54
33,33
34,13
34,92

672
675
862
19
117
121
1.141
964
831
99
110
1.190
84
69
134
30
65
1.131
64
969
1.102
55
87
136
102
968
103
10.211
112
962
118
1.094
1.031

1.951.938,00
1.846.403,60
1.845.356,00
1 .803.183,94
1.616.567,50
1.603.663,25
1.449.932,14
1.366.532,67
1.231.723,13
1.206.260,42
1.111.097,67
1.092.412,50
967.000,00
963.966,25
943.315,00
925.361,25
895.336,61
877.650,00
662.607,71
638.962,25
751.500,00
690.087,36
681.860,02
675.835,00
668.727,38
615.782,48
542.100,00
444.000,00
426.920,00
424.977,63
414.788,75
386.975,50
382.340,00

0,21
0,20
0,20
0,20
0,18
0,18
0,16
0,15
0,13
0,13
0,12
0,12
0,11
0,11
0,10
0,10
0,10
0,10
0,09
0,09
0,08
0,08
0,07
0,07
0,07
0,07
0,06
0,05
0,05
0,05
0,05
0,04
0,04

96,26
96,47
96,67
96,86
97,04
97,22
97,37
97,52
97,66
97,79
97,91
98,03
98,14
98,24
98,34
98,44
98,54
98,64
98,73
98,82
98,91
98,98
99,06
99,13
99,20
99,27
99,33
99,38
99,42
99,47
99,52
99,56
99,60

76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108

60,32
61,11
61,90
62,70
63,49
64,29
65,08
65,87
66,67
67,46
68,25
69,05
69,84
70,63
71,43
72,22
73,02
73,81
74,60
75,40
76,19
76,98
77,78
78,57
79,37
80,16
80,95
81,75
82,54
83,33
84,13
84,92
85,71

58
70
130
67

98
20
54
861
60
1.080
991
83
11
68
26
961
85
992
24

5.401.767,38
5.337.205,05
5.159.500,00
5.156.284,61
5.015.261,66
4.639.601,67
4.630.841,04
4.522.001,36
4.447.154,00
4.362.500,00
4.343.290,42
4.037.010,37
3.944.788,78
3.795.680,85
3.634.101,00
3.581.263,81
3.323.208,99
3.271.410,00
3.234.772,63

0,59
0,58
0,56
0,56
0,55
0,51
0,51
0,49
0,49
0,48
0,47
0,44
0,43
0,41
0,40
0,39
0,36
0,36
0,35

84,14
84,72
85,28
85,84
86,39
86,90
87,40
87,90
88,38
88,86
89,33
89,77
90,21
90,62
91,02
91,41
91,77
92,13
92,48

45
46
47
48
49
50
5t
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63

35,71
36,51
37,30
38,10
38,89
39,68
40,48
41,27
42,06
42,86
43,65
44,44
45,24
46,03
46,83
47,62
48,41
49,21
50,00

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

=
=
=
=
=

139
1.101
107
101
963
993
966
125
18
94
995
999
141
128
1.041
1.093
673
95

347.958,75
332.850,00
309.605,28
294.891,61
250.761,20
249.805,00
244.504,60
242.437,50
231.250,00
208.636,94
192.705,00
170.550,00
157.312,50
114.750,00
112.090,00
85.300,00
60.600,00
58.095,00
915.948.714,63

0,04
0,04
0,03
0,Q3
0,03
0,03
0,03
0,03
0,03
0,02
0,02
0,02
0,02
0,01
0,01
0,01
0,01
0,01
100,00

99,64
99,67
99,71
99,74
99,77
99,79
99,82
99,85
99,87
99,90
99,92
99,94
99,95
99,97
99,98
99,99
99,99
100,00

109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126

86,51
87,30
88,10
88,89
89,68
90,48
91,27
92,06
92,86
93,65
94,44
95,24
96,03
96,83
97,62
98,41
99,21
100,00

Keterangan Kode Buah :
1
2
4
6
7
8
10
11
13
14
15

= APEL BLUE CHELAND
= APEL LENGKENG
=APEL USA
= APEL BEAUTY NZ
= APEL ROYAL GALA
= APEL REDDEL
= APEL FUJI USA
= APEL JUMBO
= APEL FUJI RRT
= APEL JEP ANG KUNING
= APEL FUJI KOREA

=
=

=
=
=
=

APEL MANALAGI
APELBATU
ASAM BANGKOK
ALPUKAT
ANGGUR MERAH
ANGGUR MERAH RG BONZA
ANGGUR R GLOBE
ANGGUR BLACK
ANGGUR R MUTIARA
ANGGUR HIJAU
ANGGUR HIJAU NON BJ

27
28
30
32
34
339
36
38
40
44
46

= ANGGUR MERAH CHILLI
= ANGGUR HIJAU
= KEPROKRRT
= EPROKKINO
= KEPROK LUKAN
= KEPROK LUKAN 2
= KEPROK MURCOT
= KEPROK PlLlHAN
= KEPROK IMPERIAL
= KEPROK MANDARIN
=JERUK SIAM

48
50
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
63
64
65
67
68
69
70
74
76
78
80
81
83
84
85
86
87
88
990
991

= JERUK PUNTEN
=XIANGLIE
=YALIE
=PEAR SEGAR
= SIEHLIE
= SULIE
= PEAR GOLDEN
= PEAR SANTUNG
= PEAR
= PEAR SWEET
= PEAR BANSAKIT
= PEAR SINKAU
=PEARHIJAU
= PEAR NAZHI
= PLUM
= PISANG CAVENDJSH
~PEAY

= PEAR AFRIKA
= ORANGE VALEN
= SUNKIST NAVEL
= SUNKIST ARAB
= ORANGE NAVEL USA
= JERUK JAFFA
= JERUK PACITAN
=JERUKBALI
= JERUK MADIUN
= JERUK VALENSIA
=JAMBU AIR
= JAMBU BANGKOK
= JAGUNG MANIS
= MANGGA HARUM MANIS
= MANGGA MANALAGI

992
993
995
999
94
95
96
98
99
100
101
\02
103
\07
\08
109
110
III
112
113
1131
114
116
117
118
121
122
125
128
130
131

= MANGGA MANALAGI
PILIHAN
= MANGGA GOLEK
= MANGGA LAMBAU
= MANGGA PODANG
= MATHAI
=MARQISA
= MELON
=MANGGIS
= MANGGA THAILAN
= KIWI
= KETELA
=KURMA
= KOPYOR
= LEMON
= LYCHEE
=LENGKENG
= SEMANGKA KUNlNG
= SEMANGKA MERAH
= SIWALAN
= SALAK BALI
= SALAKMADU
=SALAKPONDOH
= STRAWBERRY
= SRIKAYA
=SAWO
= PEAR SlNSEIKI
= BELIMBlNG
=CEMPEDAK
= GRAPE FRUIT
= DURIAN
=DURIAN

133
134
136
138
139
140
141
672
673
675
831
861
862
961
962
963
964
966
968
969
1021
10211
1031
1041
1080
1093
1094
1101
1102
1110
1141
1190

= DUKU
= DRAGON FRUIT
=NANGKA
= RAMBUTAN BlNJAI
= RAMBUT AN RAPIAH
= TOMAT
= TOMAT CHERRY
= PISANG AMBON
= PI SANG RAJA
=PISANGMAS
= JERUK MALAYSIA
= JAMBU AIR MERAH
= JAMBU AIR MUTIARA
= ROCK ORANGE MELON
= GOLDEN MOLEN
= GOLDEN MOLEN 2
= SKY MELON
= HONEY MELON
=HAMlQUA
= MELON HIDROPONIK
= KURMA IMPORT
=KURMA
= KELAP A BANGKOK
=KESEMEK
=NOMACY
= LOTUS ROOT
=LAKCY
= KETELA OVEN
= KURMA
= SEMANGKA PILIHAN
= APEL JEPANG MERAH
= WORTEL AUSTRALl

LAMPIRAN OUTPUT ARIMA
Nol3
BOO
700
600
500
400
300
200

'"

100

OJ

33
17

161

65

49

81

145

113

193
177

225
209

257
241

273

Sequence number

813
1,0

,5

- 5

Confidence Limits

LL

U

«

-1 ,0

,L~-o:"CT'J

13

10

19

25

22

16

31
28

37
34

43
40

49
46

~oefiCnt

55

58

52

Lag Number
Transforms' difference (1)

813
1,0~-

,5

LL

0,~:;E

,-.. -.

U

..:
,~

-,5

Confidence limits

-.:

'"

a...

~oeficnt

-1 ,0 -'~_

19

13

10

16

25

22

28

Lag Number
Transforms difference (1)

Model Description;
Variable:
B13
Regressors; NONE

'37

31
34

4'3
40

49

46

55

52

58

Non-seasonal differencing: 1
Seasonal differencing:
Length of Seasonal Cycle: 7

°

Parameters:
MAl
MA2
SMA1
SMA2

<
<
<
<

value
value
value
value

originating
originating
originating
originating

from
from
from
from

estimation
estimation
estimation
estimation

>
>

>
>

95,00 percent confidence intervals will be generated.

Initial values:
,15507
,28034
-,03495
-,29379

MAl
HA2
SMA1
SMA2

Marquardt constant = ,001
Adjusted sum of squares
878070,87
Iteration History:
Iteration

Adj. Sum of Squares

Harquardt Constant

1

822823,35
806741,58
803604,39
803055,96
802961,41
802945,2;

,00100000
,00010000
,00001000
,00000100
,00000010
,00000001

2

3
4
5
6

FINAL PARAMETERS:
Number of residuals
Standard error
Log likelihood
AIC
SBC

299
51,883635
-1604,6545
3217,3089
3232,1107

Analysis of Variance:

Residuals

DF

Adj. Sum of Squares

Residual Variance

295

802942,50

2691,9116

variables in the Model:

MAl
MA2
SMA1
SMA2

B

SEB

T-RATIO

APPROX. PROB.

,41401806
,47060685
,00563319
-,25284735

,05304929
,05287055
,05956491
,05953908

7,8044041
8,9011157
,0945722
-4,2467461

,00000000
,00000000
,92471881
,00002910

E rro r fo r B 1 3 fro mAR I M A, MOD

14 NO CON

1,0~-

,5

• I,

0,0 ---



-,5
Confldence limits
LL

U

..;::

-1,0 -'-:-_______, -_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _----' .Coefficient

13

10

19

15

25

22

31

28

37

34

43

40

49

46

55

52

58

Lag Number

E rro r fo r B 13 fro mAR I M A, MOD
1,0,----------------------,

14 NO CON

1000,----------------------------------------------------------.
800

600

400

.

200

M

CD

13

61

49

37

25

31

19

73

55

43

85

109

97
91

79

67

103

Sequence number

834
1,0 ~-

,5

,0

1I. . ~.

.. ~.I-r:

_

T ' ••

•. ~. •.I:r~

'_ • • • • • •

-.

r2:-;~'

, 5

Confidence Limits

~oeficnt

-1.0
10

25

19

13
16

31
34

28

22

37

43

49

40

46

55

52

58

Lag Number
Traosforms.

diffefef\Ce {1}

834
"O~-_,

,5

O,+DE~-rU
"-

o

:


1••If• •'

'.

p.-• • ".• ·•..... • • I.

.••

I. I

. -.

.~'

Confidence Limits

'"

a..

-1.0 .L,____~_.

13
10

16

____~-'
37

25

19
22

28

Lag Number
Transforms

~oefic
43

31

difference (1)

Model Description:
Variable:
B34
Regressors: NONE
Non-seasonal differencing: 1
Seasonal differencing: 0
Length of seasonal Cycle: 7

34

40

49

46

55

52

58

ient

Parameters:
AR1

< value originating from estimation >
< value originating from estimation >
< value originating from estimation >

MAl
SARI

95,00 percent confidence intervals will be generated.

Initial values:
ARI

,92554
,91697
,18937

MAl
SAR1

Marquardt constant = ,001
Adjusted sum of squares
1228613,7
Iteration History:
Iteration

Adj. Sum of Squares

Marquardt Constant

1

1047018,3
1031762,3
1025940,5
1023190,8
1021873,2
1021247,9

,10000000
,01000000
,00100000
,00010000
,00001000
,00000100

2

3
4
5
6

FINAL PARAMETERS:
Number of residuals
standard error
Log likelihood
AIC
SEC

112
96,493761
-669,52753
1345,0551
1353,2106

Analysis of Variance:

Residuals

DF

Adj. Sum of Squares

Residual Variance

109

1020953,2

9311,0459

Variables in the Model:

AR1

MAl
SAR1

B

SEB

T-RATIO

APPROX. PROB.

,64708164
,91696811
,20598386

,14114833
,10695745
,09813918

4,5844087
8,5732049
2,0988953

,00001220
,00000000
,03813554

E rro r fa r 834 fro mAR I M A, MOD

80 NO CON

1.0,-------------------------------------,

.5



O.+,~r_

.1.

II

'If

..1 -.: •••

r.-

,- ." ... I I --.,.... or

.

I' •

-.5
Confidence Limits
U
< value originating from estimation >
< value originating from estimation >

MAl
MA2

SAR1

95,00 percent confidence intervals will be generated.

Initial values:
MAl
MA2

SARI

,45676
,19869
,16035

Marquardt constant ~ ,001
Adjusted sum of squares ~ 247418,99

Iteration History:
Iteration

Adj. Sum of Squares

Marquardt Constant

1
2

241908,26
241888,72

,00100000
,00010000

FINAL PARAMETERS:
Number of residuals
Standard error
Log likelihood
AlC
SBC

148
40,692696
-757,53667
1521,0733
1530,065

Analysis of Variance:

Residuals

DF

Adj. Sum of Squares

Residual Variance

145

241888,49

1655,8955

Variables in the Model:

MAl
MA2

SARI

B

SEB

T-RATlO

APPROX. PROB.

,59237198
,18581949
,16918959

,08202607
,08184740
,08433714

7,2217526
2,2703165
2,0061100

,00000000
,02466211
,04670438

E rro r fo r B 1 33 fro mAR I M A. MOD

,,0.--------------------------------------,

4 NO CON

,5

0, 0

+---.•....,..·. . . .




_I ••1 III •
~-I,.
.......


•.... I
.. _
....,...--.Tra"'
...'"'.r'I-....
......,...,1......
.~

.

-,5

Confidence Limits

"-

u

«

-1 ,0 .L,~

_ _ _ _~
__--:__.,~:_o'-=J
13
19
25
31
37
43
49
55
4
10
16
22
28
34
40
46
52
58

Lag Num ber

"CoeffiCient

1,0

Error for 8133 from AR 1M A, MOD 4 NOCON
-

,5

••

0,0

on



_I

I

J II•••

"•• rTI•

I •

.. 01



~p

IL

0


< value originating from estimation >

95,00 percent confidence intervals will be generated.

Initial values:

,05847
,27094

MAl
MA2

Marquardt constant = ,001
Adjusted sum of squares
198541,31
Iteration History:
Iteration

Adj. Sum of Squares

Marquardt Constant

1
2
3
4
5
6

190356,15
187849,86
187390,80
187318,37
187306,10
187303,92

,00100000
,00010000
,00001000
,00000100
,00000010
,00000001

FINAL PARAMETERS:
Number of residuals
Standard error
Log likelihood
AIC
SBC

156
33,992645
-774,48159
1552,9632
1559,0629

Analysis of Variance:

Residuals

DF

Adj. Sum of Squares

Residual Variance

154

187303,52

1155,4999

Variables in the Model:

MAl
MA2

B

SEB

T-RATIO

APPROX. PROB.

,20307459
,53333439

,07l70387
,07069159

2,8321287
7,5445238

,00524254
,00000000

Error for 822 from ARIMA, MOD

21 NOCON

,,0..-------------------...,
,5

II.

r- .••

0,0

I I · ,-

••

"L
~

II" ,

••

,,5
Confidence limits

u.

o

ex::

-1,0

.L,~-:='

13
10

19
16

25
22

31
28

37
34

43
40

49
46

~oefiCnt

55
52

58

Lag Number

Error for 822 from ARIMA, MOD

21 NOCON

1,0 ; - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ,

u.

.1.

..

---,I!..-'__"_'_--,I",I1:...--=
.•,--.•_..__
.~ I.·_-=~

0,0

,1

1 __'

o

«

-,5
Confidence Limits

'"

Q..

-1 ,0

.L,~-_:7'=J

13
10

19
16

Lag Num ber

25
22

31
28

37
43
49
55
3440
46
52
58

~o

eff Ie

18

nt

No21
120

HXl

80

60

40

20

N

'"

65

33

1

"

17

129

97

193

161
145

113

81

225

209

177

241

""

289
273

Sequence number

821
1 .0

.5

,

I

.• I
P-I ,.

0.0

I,

·r

I ..
I

-.5

Confidence limits

u.
U

..:

~oefiCnt

-1,0

19

13
10

16

25
22

31

3'
34

28

49

43
40

46

55
58

52

Lag Number
Transforms

difference (1)

u.
u

..:
Confidence Limits

'"

c....

-1 ,0

.,~-

13
4

10

19
16

25
22

31
28

Lag Number
Transforms

difference (1)

37
34

43
40

......~-'

49
46

55
52

58

~oeficnt

821
1,0 ~-,

-5

Confidence Limits

"-

o

«

-1 ,0

J-,~.:r"1

13

10

19

16

25

22

31

28

37

34

43

40

49

~oef

55

46

52

ic ie n t

58

Lag Number
Transforms difference (1), seasonal difference (1, period 7)

821
1,0 ~-,

,5

..

0,0

"0

«

II

.

--.1

.1

II •

III .•

-,

I

..... ...

"-

-

..

,

-,5

Confidence Limits

.!'!

:::
~

"-

-1,0

J-.,~'

13
4

10

19

16

25

22

31

28

37

34

43

40

49

46

~oefic

55

52

ien t

58

Lag Number
Transforms

dIfference (1), seasonal difference (1. period 7)

Model Description:
Variable:
B2l
Regressors: NONE
Non-seasonal differencing: 1
Seasonal differencing: 1
Length of Seasonal Cycle: 7
Parameters:
AR1
MAl
SMA1

< value originating from estimation >
< value originating from estimation >
< value originating from estimation >

95,00 percent confidence intervals will be generated.
Initial values:
AR1
MAl
SMA1

,85709
,95372
,27444

Marquardt constant ~ ,001
Adjusted sum of squares ~ 35513,115

Iteration History:
Iteration

Adj. Sum of Squares

Marquardt Constant

1

24722,650
24639,678
21478,322
21477,895
21472,881
21459,581
21457,599

,0010000
,0001000
,0000100
100,0000000
10,0000000
1,0000000
,1000000

2

3
4

5
6
7

FINAl PARAMETERS:
97
13,38586
-400,65104
807,30207
815,0262

Number of residuals
Standard error
Log likelihood
AIC
SBC

Analysis of Variance:

Residuals

OF

Adj. Sum of Squares

Residual Variance

94

21457,565

179,18125

Variables in the Model:

AR1
MAl
SMA1

B

SEB

T-RATIO

APPROX. PROB.

,31527227
,84571976
,96506633

,13857000
,08055088
,06407644

2,275184
lO,499200
15,061173

,02516718
,00000000
,00000000

Errorfor 821 from ARIMA, MOD
1,0

39 NOCON

~-,

,5

I.... ,
I

0,0

•.
-,

W.·

L

-,5
Confidence Limits
IL

U