Lampiran 1 Data closed saham DATE BUMI DOID PTBA PTRO MEDC TINS CTTH MITI IHSG

Lampiran 1 Data closed saham DATE BUMI DOID PTBA PTRO MEDC TINS CTTH MITI

IHSG

Jan 1, 2007 1,080.00 3,125.00 5,300.00 3,425.00 7,850.00 35.00 32.00 1,757.26 Feb 1,2007 1,210.00 440.00 3,300.00 5,350.00 3,650.00 9,600.00 38.00 50.00 1,740.97 Mar 1,2007 1,330.00 520.00 3,450.00 5,350.00 3,575.00 11,850. 40.00 76.00 1,830.92 Apr 1,2007 1,380.00 770.00 3,900.00 5,500.00 3,525.00 11,950.0 71.00 129.0 1,999.17 May1,2007 1,750.00 830.00 5,250.00 6,400.00 3,575.00 11,650.0 84.00 220.0 2,084.32 Jun 1, 2007 2,275.00 800.00 6,550.00 6,300.00 3,525.00 12,150.0 90.00 146.0 2,139.28 Jul 1, 2007 2,700.00 1,030.00 6,650.00 6,300.00 4,275.00 14,100.0 89.00 166.0 2,348.67 Aug1,2007 2,550.00 1,040.00 5,750.00 5,500.00 3,900.00 12,300.00 81.00 164.0 2,194.34

Sept3,2007 3,575.00 1,130.00 6,550.00 6,000.00 4,150.00 13,250.00 101.0 159.0 2,359.21

Oct 1,2007 4,800.00 1,100.00 9,050.00 6,400.00 4,675.00 19,500.00 102.0 120.0 2,643.49

Nov1,2007 5,650.00 1,240.00 12,100.0 6,100.00 5,400.00 25,000.00 91.00 107.0 2,688.33 Dec 3,2007 6,000.00 1,170.00 12,000.0 5,700.00 5,150.00 28,700.00 87.00 107.0 2,745.83 Jan 1, 2008 6,400.00 1,150.00 11,400.0 5,300.00 4,050.00 28,800.00 69.00 86.00 2,627.25 Feb 1,2008 7,700.00 1,100.00 11,450.0 5,300.00 4,125.00 32,550.00 73.00 103.0 2,721.94 Mar 3,2008 6,200.00 1,250.00 10,050.0 4,700.00 3,325.00 28,950.00 60.00 95.00 2,447.30 Apr 1,2008 6,650.00 730.00 10,600.0 4,900.00 3,925.00 32,150.00 55.00 80.00 2,304.52 May1,2008 8,050.00 820.00 14,600.0 6,300.00 5,050.00 33,950.00 71.00 89.00 2,444.35 Jun 2, 2008 8,200.00 830.00 16,400.0 6,300.00 4,725.00 37,450.00 64.00 113.0 2,349.10 Jul 1, 2008 6,750.00 780.00 13,650.0 6,100.00 4,600.00 31,950.00 56.00 101.0 2,304.51 Aug1,2008 5,500.00 760.00 14,500.0 5,700.00 4,900.00 2,575.00 55.00 93.00 2,165.94 Sept1,2008 3,200.00 660.00 9,350.00 5,400.00 3,625.00 1,660.00 50.00 67.00 1,832.51 Oct 6,2008 2,175.00 520.00 5,475.00 3,900.00 2,100.00 1,160.00 50.00 50.00 1,256.70 Nov6,2008 1,010.00 620.00 6,900.00 3,700.00 1,850.00 1,050.00 50.00 50.00 1,241.54 Dec 1,2008 910.00 510.00 6,900.00 3,600.00 1,870.00 1,080.00 50.00 50.00 1,355.41 Jan 1, 2009 510.00 510.00 7,400.00 4,000.00 1,700.00 1,090.00 50.00 50.00 1,332.67 Feb 2,2009 770.00 510.00 7,200.00 10,100.0 2,060.00 1,060.00 50.00 50.00 1,285.48 Mar 1,2009 820.00 520.00 6,750.00 10,350. 2,200.00 1,060.00 50.00 50.00 1,434.07 Apr 1,2009 1,480.00 540.00 9,500.00 9,750.00 2,625.00 1,420.00 50.00 53.00 1,722.77 May1,2009 1,960.00 500.00 11,250.0 9,900.00 3,300.00 1,970.00 52.00 61.00 1,916.83 Jun 1, 2009 1,860.00 960.00 11,600.0 9,900.00 3,050.00 2,025.00 62.00 69.00 2,026.78 Jul 1, 2009 2,800.00 1,270.00 13,600.0 10,200.0 3,325.00 2,100.00 69.00 69.00 2,323.24 Aug3,2009 2,900.00 1,980.00 13,000.0 10,100.0 2,925.00 2,075.00 66.00 59.00 2,341.54 Sept1,2009 3,225.00 1,880.00 14,100.0 8,500.00 2,900.00 2,150.00 64.00 62.00 2,467.59 Oct 1,2009 2,375.00 1,830.00 15,200.0 10,400.0 2,725.00 1,950.00 65.00 56.00 2,367.70 Nov1,2009 2,350.00 1,530.00 16,450.0 10,750.0 2,500.00 1,890.00 63.00 54.00 2,415.84

Dec 1,2009 2,425.00 1,690.00 17,250.0 9,000.00 2,450.00 2,000.00 68.00 55.00 2,534.36 Jan 1, 2010 2,475.00 1,790.00 17,200.0 10,200.0 2,400.00 2,225.00 66.00 50.00 2,610.80 Feb 1,2010 2,250.00 1,570.00 15,600.0 8,400.00 2,475.00 2,150.00 69.00 50.00 2,549.03 Mar 1,2010 2,250.00 1,070.00 17,400.0 9,000.00 2,600.00 2,375.00 73.00 51.00 2,777.30 Apr 1,2010 2,375.00 1,050.00 18,600.0 9,000.00 2,950.00 2,700.00 80.00 57.00 2,971.25 May1,2010 2,025.00 800.00 17,450.0 9,000.00 2,850.00 2,225.00 67.00 51.00 2,796.96 Jun 1, 2010 1,880.00 990.00 17,250.0 11,000.0 2,950.00 2,150.00 69.00 59.00 2,913.68 Jul 1, 2010 1,720.00 1,000.00 16,700.0 13,600.0 3,000.00 2,475.00 73.00 60.00 3,069.28 Aug1,2010 1,660.00 800.00 17,500.0 20,000.0 3,075.00 2,375.00 71.00 54.00 3,081.88 Sept1,2010 2,125.00 1,030.00 19,450.0 27,600.0 3,325.00 3,150.00 75.00 57.00 3,501.30 Oct 1,2010 2,225.00 1,070.00 19,650.0 32,000.0 4,075.00 2,850.00 76.00 55.00 3,635.32 Nov1,2010 2,650.00 1,260.00

18,700.0 3,350.00 2,625.00 74.00 55.00 3,531.21 Dec 1,2010 3,025.00 1,610.00 22,950.0 26,100.0 3,375.00 2,750.00 72.00 54.00 3,703.51 Jan 1, 2011 2,725.00 1,280.00 19,750.0 21,000.0 2,750.00 69.00 51.00 3,409.17 2,700.00 76.00 50.00 3,470.35 2011 3,350.00 1,120.00 21,000.0 27,000.0 2,875.00 2,775.00 74.00 51.00 3,678.67 3,425.00 1,300.00 22,300.0 36,000.0 2,750.00 2,875.00

72.00 52.00 3,819.62 3,300.00 1,170.00 21,250.0 40,500.0 2,600.00 2,600.00 74.00 55.00 3,836.97 2,950.00 1,010.00 20,800.0 37,000.0 2,350.00 2,500.00 73.00 53.00 3,888.57 3,050.00 980.00 21,300.0 34,050.0 2,500.00 2,450.00 74.00 61.00 4,130.80 2,525.00 860.00 19,050.0 30,000.0 2,375.00 2,225.00 84.00 54.00 3,841.73 1,950.00 690.00 16,800.0 32,000. 2,150.00 1,770.00 80.00 50.00 3,549.03 2011 2,350.00 630.00 18,350.0 45,000.0 2,325.00 1,990.00 76.00 52.00 3,790.85 Nov1,2011 2,000.00 630.000 31,000.0 2,325.00 1,730.00 67.00 51.00 3,715.08 Dec 1,2011 2,175.00 660.00 34,000.0 2,475.00 1,660.00 69.00 52.00 3,821.99

Lampiran 2 Return saham emiten

DATE RBUMI RDOID RPTBA RPTRO RMEC RTINS RCTH RMITI RIHSG Jan1,07 0.2 -1 -0.11347 -0.1239 -0.03521 0.774011 -0.0857 -0.0267291 Feb 1,2007 0.120370 -1 0.056 0.00943 0.065693 0.222929 0.0857 0.5625

0.00927011
0.020547 945 0.234375
0.013986
0.025104
0.036144
0.01562
0.013986
0.336363

Mar 1, 2007

0.0111
0.055555 556
0.135338
0.12698
0.087719
0.127659
0.0898
0.012048
0.06570952
0.030487
0.026548
0.245283
0.04687
0.1078
0.108333
0.056451
0.008264
0.06557
0.046296 296 0.148
0.0439
0.017094 017 -0.05
0.07017
0.213592
0.2068
0.196261
0.04318548
0.043478
0.194805

024 0.471698

5 0.155080

0.337016 575

0.127272 727

0.177083 333

3 Nov 1, 2007

019 0.12049796

0099

113 0.0099

6667 0.126506

282

389 0.06666

673 0.381679

343

9 Oct 1,2007 0.342657

805 0.07513420

1358

772 0.2469

564 0.077235

214 0.282051

43137

419 0.03604148

321

71014 0.197674

333 0.0579

519 0.130208

965 0.018518

261 0.004385

5 Feb 1, 2008 0.203125

682

96552

233 0.003484

9091 0.064102

5439

667

3 Jan 1, 2008 0.066666

56044 0.02138874

377

463

613

0.061946 903

5 Dec 3, 2007

333 0.01696242

462 0.139130

435 0.09090

0.697368 421

603 0.1830

0.014184 397

0.16363 6364

0.346153 846

0.077922 078

0.268115 942

3 May 1, 2007

0.09189369

014 0.008438 819 0.775

357 0.04259267

0.02803 7383

0.130434 783

0.480769 231

0.037593 985

Apr 1, 2007

0.0526 31579 0.52 0.0516666

545

182 0.045454

5 0.181818

98592 0.705426

6 Jun 1, 2007 0.3

0.099173

11111 0.136986

193

8764

574

298

4127

346

0.009708 738

6 Aug 1, 2007

301 0.09787872

0.160493 827

578 0.247619

0.212765 957

0.015267 176

2 Jul 1, 2007 0.186813 187 0.2875

636 0.02636831

28571

455 0.0714

014 0.042918

048

9 Sept3,2007 0.401960 0.086538

0.122270
0.11320
0.193939
0.110599
0.1780
0.077669
0.10089862
0.0833
0.157894
0.05834184
0.064356
0.0985
0.03896741

0.176829
0.060240
0.167682
0.03174
0.026455
0.146862 483 -0.125
0.106194
0.01898173

0.185185
0.025641
0.06557
0.919405
0.0178
0.079207
0.06012991
0.418181
0.131578
0.355172
0.05263
0.260204
0.355339
0.0909
0.279569
0.15394239
0.320312
0.212121
0.414438
0.27777
0.420689
0.301204
0.253731
0.31421929
0.535632
0.05128
0.119047
0.094827
0.01206334
0.099009
0.177419
0.02702
0.439560
0.090909
0.01677721
0.027027 027 1.525
0.027522
0.03541011
0.05797
0.074074
0.051020
0.075757

1111

0.804878 049

3 Apr 1, 2009

165 0.11559106

2475 0.067961

0.019607 843 -0.0625 0.02475

0.064935 065

7 Mar 1, 2009

936

0.211764 706

0.509803 922

1 Feb 2, 2009

259

091 0.009259

768 0.11111

5 Nov 6, 2008

0.038461 538

9 Jan 1, 2009

429 0.09171673

811 0.028571

7027 0.010810

355

901

Dec 1, 2008

586

619

2051

973

692 0.260273

184 0.192307

44 0.072463

1014 0.193181

0.407407 407

576 0.027918

0.035714 286

6 Aug 3, 2009

03226 0.14627142

037 0.1129

934 0.037037

303 0.090163

793 0.03030

667 0.172413

344 0.322916

9 Jul 1, 2009 0.505376

541 0.05736032

07692 0.131147

782 0.1923

111

818 0.339622

0.92 0.031111

408

2 Jun 1, 2009

396 0.11264417

0.04 0.150943

944

857 0.387323

4615 0.257142

526 0.01538

074 0.184210

0.324324 324

8 May 1, 2009

0.06 0.20131513

642

343

655

819

33333

671

122 0.123287

54 0.012195

0.018633

0.2909 09091 0.1125 0.06067641 Jun 2, 2008

0.055987 558

0.286624 204

0.28571 4286

0.377358 491

0.123287 671

0.210526 316

6 May 1, 2008

737

406

7778

128 0.110535

3191 0.180451

368 0.04255

0.072580 645 -0.416 0.054726

4 Apr 1, 2008

903

82192

078

394

7547

742

636

195 0.136363

Mar 3, 2008

436 0.103092

784

91549 0.269662

921

503

212

9 Oct 6, 2008

892

09091

806

082

1579

414

947

818

9 Sept 1, 2008

57143

921

026

5 Jul 1, 2008

268

964

927

6032

321

8 Aug 1, 2008

185

026 0.062271

062

377 0.065217

391

0.559055 118

0.044117
0.00980
0.120300
0.011904
0.0434
0.144927 0.00787693
0.050505

0.15841
0.008547
0.0303
0.263565
0.026595
0.060344
0.093023
0.096774
0.04048079
0.010526
0.163934
0.082568
0.030769
0.0307
0.035714
0.16279 0698 -0.02

0.002898
0.020408 163 0.1125
0.0294
0.090909

0.090909
0.122905
0.093023
0.17647 0588 0.03125
0.033707
0.02365941
0.318471
0.018691
0.147368
0.238095
0.061827
0.033898
0.175925
0.105263
0.05865881
0.1625
0.071604 938 0.2375
0.011461
0.033707
0.085106
0.031884
0.034883 721 -0.2
0.040404
0.0273 9726 -0.1
0.095238
0.035087
0.048346
0.15156
0.177914
0.078947
0.0263
0.02863846
0.03867
0.0270
0.018181

383 0.010101

7 Sept 1, 2010

0.00410519

0.47058 8235 0.025

0.047904 192

6 Aug 1, 2010

153 0.05340325

71014 0.016949

791 0.0579

153 0.151162

3636 0.016949

058 0.23636

2 Jul 1, 2010

571

745 0.04173102

50746 0.156862

865 0.0298

719

2222 0.035087

318 0.22222

4 Jun 1, 2010

158

926

305

957

238

421

0.280120 482 0.2875 0.111428

0.38 0.081300

818 0.04879347

0.177570 093

27027

048

687 0.047619

4033 0.007462

0.227272 727

0.277777 778

0.141509 434

9 Dec 1, 2010

15789

368

056

0.191011 236

1 May 1, 2010

1 Nov 1, 2010

719 0.03827721

33333

095 0.0133

0.225563

0.15942 029

0.010282 776

0.038834 951

0.047058 824

5 Oct 1, 2010

556 0.13609225

38028 0.055555

789 0.0563

813 0.326315

90411 0.117647

059 0.06983401

9412

286 0.02033196

69231

231

807

3846

842 0.03365

426 0.082236

316

3 Nov 1, 2009

194

256 0.0156

828

184 0.22352

105 0.0958

745 0.078014

891

3 Oct 1, 2009

458 0.05383209

0303 0.050847

578

009 0.036144

5842

385

051 0.084615

966

2009 0.112068

647 3922 752 762 78261 536 Sept 1,

8 Dec 1, 2009

0.031914 894

0.104575 163

0.048632 219

385 0.136842

517 0.134615

589 0.068965

0.055555 556

2 Apr 1, 2010

0.02 0.08955171

71014

163 0.0579

051 0.104651

8571 0.050505

615 0.07142

338 0.115384

5 Mar 1, 2010

54545

865 0.0454

256

028

091

1 Feb 1, 2010

091 0.03016146

11765

3333

551 0.13333

0.059171 598

0.020618 557

0.018518 519 0.04905954 Jan 1, 2010

0.0793 65079

0.058201 058

3 Jan 1, 2011

0.099173
0.204968
0.139433
0.19540
0.044444
0.0416
0.055555
0.07947595
0.093023

0.018181
0.019607
0.034482
0.017094
0.0263
0.043478
0.0270

0.036496 35 -0.1
0.047085 202 0.125
0.054545
0.095652
0.106060
0.136752
0.021176
0.08641
0.096153
0.038461
0.0135
0.036363
0.029702
0.07972
0.172131
0.122448
0.105633
0.11894 2731 -0.05
0.091836
0.114754
0.06997918
0.227722
0.197674
0.118110
0.094736
0.204494
0.0476
0.074074
0.07618963
0.086956
0.148936
0.073569
0.31111
0.130653
0.1184
0.019230
0.01998760
0.040462

19048

382

842

6667

236 0.06666

419

772

1 Sept 1, 2011

098

35135

735 0.1351

803

148

2 Aug 1, 2011

0.06229282

0.150943 396

0.0136 9863

973 0.063829 787 -0.02

074

3 Oct 3, 2011

0.205128 205

769

843 0.02877730

50746 0.019607

428 0.0298

129

4194 0.064516

529 0.09677

048 0.008823

2 Dec 1, 2011 0.0875 0.047619

21053

522 0.092261 905 0.40625

266

1111

482

8 Nov 1, 2011

0.04 0.06813692

0.124293 785 -0.05

0.081395 349

462

305

97 0.024038

0.116666 667

7 Apr 1, 2011

0.02 0.06002852

15789

778

017 0.027777

4286

546 0.28571

759 0.047381

7 Mar 1, 2011

06 0.160714

843 0.01794571

49275

818 0.1014

256

873

0.100917 431 -0.09375 0.015189

7 Feb 1, 2011

554 944 551 2299 444 66667 556

0.022388

286 0.061904

1 Jul 1, 2011 0.033898

7 Jun 1, 2011

636 0.01344811

13514

538

846

9753

471

137

606

308 0.00454233

762 0.33333

77778 0.057692

174 0.0277

455

8 May 1, 2011

843 0.03831547

27027 0.019607

036

261 0.036036

3333

Lampiran 3 Variabel Makro ekonomi DATE INFLASI KURS JUB (M2)

VOLUME EKSPOR SBI

Jan 1, 2007 6.26% 9090 1367956.94 6,651,034

9.00 Apr 1, 2007 6.29% 9083 1385714.84 8,029,015

7.00 Jul 1, 2009 2.71% 9920 1960950.07 40,114,518

9.25 Jan 1, 2009 9.17% 11355 1874145.25 11,307,163

8.75 Feb 2, 2009 8.60% 11980 1900208.32 12,029,550

8.25 Marc1,2009 7.92% 11575 1916752.36 8,905,918

7.75 Apr 1, 2009 7.31% 10713 1912622.97 26,146,697

7.50 May 1,2009 6.04% 10340 1927069.54 38,714,036

7.25 Jun 1, 2009 3.65% 10225 1977532.44 26,332,127

6.75 Aug 3, 2009 2.75% 10060 1995294.18 31,030,892

9.50 Nov 6, 2008 11.68% 12151 1851023.41 11,270,135

6.50 Sept 1, 2009 2.83% 9681 2018510.3 12,388,938

6.50 Oct 1, 2009 2.57% 9545 2021517.32 22,556,890

6.50 Nov 1, 2009 2.41% 9480 2062206.27 25,951,939

6.50 Dec 1, 2009 2.78% 9400 2141383.7 10,949,776

6.50

9.25 Mar 1, 2007 6.52% 9118 1379237.22 9,011,961

9.50 Dec 1, 2008 11.06% 10950 1895838.62 11,607,313

9.25 Oct 6, 2008 11.77% 10995 1812490.13 6,089,029

9.00 May 1,2007 6.01% 8828 1396067.41 6,481,872

8.25 Dec 3, 2007 6.59% 9419 1649661.79 7,755,121

8.75 Jun 1, 2007 5.77% 9054 1454577.15 11,233,164

8.50 Jul 1, 2007 6.06% 9186 1474768.83 10,538,971

8.25 Aug 1, 2007 6.51% 9410 1493049.73 9,844,778

8.25 Sept 3, 2007 6.95% 9137 1516884.35 11,742,222

8.25 Oct 1, 2007 6.88% 9103 1533845.67 14,380,847

8.25 Nov 1, 2007 6.71% 9376 1559569.17 17,625,479

8.00 Jan 1, 2008 7.36% 9291 1596564.53 10,808,266

9.00 Sept 1, 2008 12.14% 9378 1778138.88 15,024,548

8.00 Feb 1, 2008 7.40% 9051 1603750.38 10,351,758

8.00 Mar 3, 2008 8.17% 9217 1594389.68 8,369,632

8.00 Apr 1, 2008 8.96% 9234 1611690.58 21,504,854

8.00 May 1,2008 10.38% 9318 1641732.98 8,591,866

8.25 Jun 2, 2008 11.03% 9225 1703381.42 5,608,948

8.50 Jul 1, 2008 11.90% 9118 1686050.3 8,646,350

9.50 Feb 1, 2007 6.30% 9160 1369242.72 8,646,304

8.75 Aug 1, 2008 11.85% 9153 1682811.45 7,390,544

Jan 1, 2010 3.72% 9365 2073859.77 23,167,004

6.75 Mar 1, 2011 6.65% 8709 2451367 23,574,899

6.00

6.00 Dec 1, 2011 3.79% 9068 2877220 21,492,812

6.50 Nov 1, 2011 4.15% 9170 2729538 21,723,188

6.75 Oct 3, 2011 4.42% 8835 2677787 31,416,359

6.75 Sept 1, 2011 4.61% 8823 2643330 17,457,339

6.75 Aug 1, 2011 4.79% 8578 2621346 28,356,578

6.75 Jul 1, 2011 4.61% 8508 2564556 22,902,185

6.75 Jun 1, 2011 5.54% 8597 2522784 27,909,484

6.75 May 1,2011 5.98% 8537 2475286 36,297,143

6.75 Apr 1, 2011 6.16% 8574 2434478 46,576,697

6.50 Feb 1, 2010 3.81% 9335 2066480.99 26,208,577

6.50 Mar 1, 2010 3.43% 9115 2112082.7 24,479,687

6.50 Jan 1, 2011 7.02% 9057 2436679 17,087,689

6.50 Dec 1, 2010 6.96% 8991 2471205.79 18,719,772

6.50 Nov 1, 2010 6.33% 9013 2347806.86 30,696,908

6.50 Oct 1, 2010 5.67% 8928 2308845.97 23,391,300

6.50 Sept 1, 2010 5.80% 8924 2274954.57 28,323,953

6.50 Aug 1, 2010 6.44% 9041 2236459.45 23,897,930

6.50 Jul 1, 2010 6.22% 8952 2217588.81 18,741,039

6.50 Jun 1, 2010 5.05% 9083 2231144.33 23,383,364

6.50 May 1,2010 4.16% 9180 2143234.05 26,927,201

6.50 Apr 1, 2010 3.91% 9012 2116023.54 21,255,052

6.50 Feb 1, 2011 6.84% 8823 2420191 9,839,194

Lampiran 4 Perubahan Variabel Makroekonomi DATE PINFLASI PKURS

PJUB (M2) PVS PSBI

Jan 1, 2007 - - - - - Feb 1, 2007 0.00639 0.007701 0.00094 0.299994 -0.02631578

March1,2007 0.034921 -0.004585 0.007299 0.042291 -0.02702702

Apr 1, 2007 -0.035276 -0.003839 0.004697 -0.109071

May 1, 2007 -0.044515 -0.028074 0.007471 -0.192694 -0.02777777

Jun 1, 2007 -0.039933 0.0256 0.04191 0.733012 -0.02857142 Jul 1, 2007 0.05026 0.014579 0.013881 -0.061799 -0.02941176 Aug 1, 2007 0.074257 0.024385 0.012396 -0.065869

Sept 3, 2007 0.067588 -0.029012 0.015964 0.192736 Oct 1, 2007 -0.010072 -0.003721 0.011182 0.224713 Nov 1, 2007 -0.024709 0.02999 0.016771 0.225622

Dec 3, 2007 -0.017884 0.004586 0.057768 -0.560005 -0.03030303

Jan 1, 2008 0.116844 -0.01359 -0.032187 0.393694 Feb 1, 2008 0.005435 -0.025831 0.004501 -0.042237 March3,2008 0.104054 0.018341 -0.005837 -0.191477 Apr 1, 2008 0.096695 0.001844 0.010851 1.569391

May 1, 2008 0.158482 0.009097 0.01864 -0.600469 0.03125

Jun 2, 2008 0.06262 -0.009981 0.037551 -0.347179 0.03030303 Jul 1, 2008 0.078876 -0.011599 -0.010175 0.541528 0.029411765

Aug 1, 2008 -0.004202 0.003839 -0.001921 -0.145241 0.028571429

Sept 1, 2008 0.024473 0.024582 0.056648 1.032942 0.027777778

Oct 6, 2008 -0.030478 0.172425 0.019319 -0.594728 0.027027027 Nov 6, 2008 -0.007647 0.105139 0.02126 0.850892

Dec 1, 2008 -0.053082 -0.09884 0.024211 0.029918 -0.02631578

Jan 1, 2009 -0.170886 0.036986 -0.011443 -0.025859 -0.05405405 Feb 2, 2009 -0.062159 0.055042 0.013907 0.063888 -0.05714285

March1,2009 -0.07907 -0.033806 0.008706 -0.259663 -0.06060606

Apr 1, 2009 -0.07702 -0.074471 -0.002154 1.935879 -0.03225806

May 1, 2009 -0.173735 -0.034818 0.007553 0.480647 -0.03333333

Jun 1, 2009 -0.395695 -0.011122 0.026186 -0.31983 -0.0344827 Jul 1, 2009 -0.257534 -0.029829 -0.008385 0.523406 -0.03571428

Aug 3, 2009 0.01476 0.014113 0.017514 -0.226442 -0.03703703

Sept 1, 2009 0.029091 -0.037674 0.011635 -0.600755 Oct 1, 2009 -0.091873 -0.014048 0.00149 0.820728 Nov 1, 2009 -0.062257 -0.00681 0.020128 0.150511 Dec 1, 2009 0.153527 -0.008439 0.038395 -0.578075

Jan 1, 2010 0.338129 -0.003723 -0.031533 1.115751 Feb 1, 2010 0.024194 -0.003203 -0.003558 0.131289 March1,2010 -0.099738 -0.023567 0.022067 -0.065967 Apr 1, 2010 0.139942 -0.0113 0.001866 -0.131727 May 1, 2010 0.063939 0.018642 0.012859 0.266861

Jun 1, 2010 0.213942 -0.010566 0.041018 -0.131608 Jul 1, 2010 0.231683 -0.014423 -0.006076 -0.198531 Aug 1, 2010 0.03537 0.009942 0.00851 0.275166 Sept 1, 2010 -0.099379 -0.012941 0.017213 0.185205

Oct 1, 2010 -0.022414 0.000448 0.014898 -0.174151 Nov 1, 2010 0.116402 0.009521 0.016875 0.312322 Dec 1, 2010 0.099526 -0.002441 0.052559 -0.390174 Jan 1, 2011 0.008621 0.007341 -0.013972 -0.087185

Feb 1, 2011 -0.025641 -0.025836 -0.006767 -0.424194 0.038461538 Mar1, 2011 -0.027778 -0.012921 0.012882 1.396019 Apr 1, 2011 -0.073684 -0.015501 -0.00689 0.97569 May 1, 2011 -0.029221 -0.004315 0.016763 -0.220702

Jun 1, 2011 -0.073579 0.007028 0.019189 -0.231083 Jul 1, 2011 -0.16787 -0.010352 0.016558 -0.179412 Aug 1, 2011 0.039046 0.008228 0.022144 0.23816 Sept 1, 2011 -0.037578 0.028561 0.008387 -0.384364

Oct 3, 2011 -0.041215 0.00136 0.013035 0.799608 -0.03703703

Nov 1, 2011 -0.061086 0.037917 0.019326 -0.308539 -0.07692307

Dec 1, 2011 -0.086747 -0.011123 0.054105 -0.010605

Lampiran 5 Lampiran 5 Pengujian Stasioneritas Data

Null Hypothesis: RBUMI has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 5 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=8) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.090942 0.0022 Test critical values: 1% level -3.560019

5% level -2.917650 10% level -2.596689 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. Null Hypothesis: RDOID has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 1 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=8) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.110901 0.0020 Test critical values: 1% level -3.550396

5% level -2.913549 10% level -2.594521 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Null Hypothesis: RPTBA has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 3 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=8) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.619688 0.0004 Test critical values: 1% level -3.555023

5% level -2.915522 10% level -2.595565 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. Null Hypothesis: RPTRO has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=8) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -6.725386 0.0000 Test critical values: 1% level -3.548208

5% level -2.912631 10% level -2.594027 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Null Hypothesis: RMEDC has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 4 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=8) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.563774 0.0005 Test critical values: 1% level -3.557472

5% level -2.916566 10% level -2.596116 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Null Hypothesis: RTINS has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=8) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -5.004760 0.0001 Test critical values: 1% level -3.548208

5% level -2.912631 10% level -2.594027 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Null Hypothesis: RCTTH has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=8) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -6.645999 0.0000 Test critical values: 1% level -3.548208

5% level -2.912631 10% level -2.594027 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Null Hypothesis: RMITI has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 7 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=8) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -5.898461 0.0000 Test critical values: 1% level -3.565430

5% level -2.919952 10% level -2.597905 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Null Hypothesis: PINFLASI has a unit root Exogenous: None Lag Length: 2 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=2) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -2.888314 0.0046 Test critical values: 1% level -2.606911

5% level -1.946764 10% level -1.613062 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. Null Hypothesis: PKURS has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 1 (Fixed) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -6.250875 0.0000 Test critical values: 1% level -3.550396

5% level -2.913549 10% level -2.594521 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Null Hypothesis: PM2 has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 4 (Fixed) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.600120 0.0004 Test critical values: 1% level -3.557472

5% level -2.916566 10% level -2.596116 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Null Hypothesis: PVPS has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 4 (Fixed) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.559730 0.0005 Test critical values: 1% level -3.557472

5% level -2.916566 10% level -2.596116 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. Null Hypothesis: PSBI has a unit root Exogenous: None Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on AIC, MAXLAG=2) t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -3.322012 0.0013 Test critical values: 1% level -2.605442

5% level -1.946549 10% level -1.613181 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

Lampiran 6 Pengujian Multikorelasi

PINFLASI PKURS PM2 PVPS PSBI

PINFLASI 1.000000 0.063081 -0.098166 -0.000139 0.404452

PKURS 0.063081 1.000000 0.124747 -0.142736 0.096367 PM2 -0.098166 0.124747 1.000000 -0.234511 0.013586

PVPS -0.000139 -0.142736 -0.234511 1.000000 -0.051546 PSBI 0.404452 0.096367 0.013586 -0.051546 1.000000 Lampiran 7 Pengujian Autokorelasi

1. RBUMI

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.149543 Prob. F(1,52) 0.700550 Obs*R-squared 0.169187 Prob. Chi-Square(1) 0.680835

2. RDOID

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.056059 Prob. F(1,52) 0.813768

Obs*R-squared 0.063536 Prob. Chi-Square(1) 0.800991

3. RPTBA 4.

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.220439 Prob. F(1,52) 0.640668 Obs*R-squared 0.249058 Prob. Chi-Square(1) 0.617739

4.RPTRO

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.216903 Prob. F(1,52) 0.643354 Obs*R-squared 0.245080 Prob. Chi-Square(1) 0.620561

5. RMEDC

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.000556 Prob. F(1,52) 0.981270 Obs*R-squared 0.000631 Prob. Chi-Square(1) 0.979954

6. RTINS

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 6.058289 Prob. F(1,52) 0.017196 Obs*R-squared 6.156555 Prob. Chi-Square 0.091323

7. RCTTH

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.827514 Prob. F(1,52) 0.367190 Obs*R-squared 0.924203 Prob. Chi-Square(1) 0.336374

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 9.610127 Prob. F(1,52) 0.003121 Obs*R-squared 9.202992 Prob. Chi-Square(1) 0.059160

Lampiran 8 Hasil Regresi Emiten Saham

Dependent Variable: RBUMI Method: Least Squares Date: 04/03/12 Time: 23:21 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Variable

Coefficie nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.006534 0.036144 0.180788 0.8572 PINFLASI 0.055472 0.259820 0.213502 0.8318 PKURS

2.685407 0.757661 -3.544339 0.0008 PM2 0.603509 1.515398 0.398251 0.6920 PVPS 0.058915 0.051255 1.149449 0.2555 PSBI
2.436642 1.272782 -1.914422 0.0610 R-squared 0.283184 Mean dependent var 0.038781 Adjusted R-squared 0.215560 S.D. dependent var 0.233516 S.E. of regression 0.206822 Akaike info criterion
0.217776 Sum squared resid 2.267084 Schwarz criterion
0.006501 Log likelihood 12.42440 F-statistic 4.187612 Durbin-Watson stat 1.893487 Prob(F-statistic) 0.002793 Dependent Variable: RDOID Method: Least Squares

Date: 04/03/12 Time: 23:32 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Variable

Coefficie nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.031989 0.041788 0.765499 0.4474 PINFLASI

0.170895 0.300391 -0.568909 0.5718 PKURS - 0.875970 -0.159649 0.8738

0.139848

PM2 0.061690 1.752029 -0.035211 0.9720
PVPS 0.059555 0.059258 -1.005011 0.3195
PSBI 2.374028 1.471528 -1.613307 0.1126 R-squared 0.091798 Mean dependent var 0.041131 Adjusted R-squared 0.006119 S.D. dependent var 0.239852 S.E. of regression 0.239117 Akaike info criterion 0.072417 Sum squared resid 3.030378 Schwarz criterion 0.283692

Log likelihood 3.863707 F-statistic 1.071413 Durbin-Watson stat 1.725916 Prob(F-statistic) 0.386715 Dependent Variable: RPTBA Method: Least Squares Date: 04/03/12 Time: 23:34 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Coefficie

Variable nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0.022938 0.026060 0.880216 0.3827

PINFLASI 0.104416 0.187327 -0.557398 0.5796
PKURS 1.370955 0.546264 -2.509694 0.0152 PM2 0.705997 1.092582 0.646173 0.5210 PVPS 0.045150 0.036954 1.221799 0.2272
PSBI 0.503459 0.917659 -0.548633 0.5856 R-squared 0.163901 Mean dependent var 0.041216 Adjusted R-squared 0.085024 S.D. dependent var 0.155890
S.E. of regression 0.149116 Akaike info criterion 0.872044
Sum squared resid 1.178481 Schwarz criterion 0.660769 Log likelihood 31.72531 F-statistic 2.077923 Durbin-Watson stat 1.879358 Prob(F-statistic) 0.082666

Coefficie nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.029783 0.044501 0.669269 0.5062 PINFLASI 0.061395 0.319892 0.191923 0.8485 PKURS 0.248403 0.932838 0.266288 0.7911 PM2

Dependent Variable: RPTRO Method: Least Squares Date: 04/03/12 Time: 23:37 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Variable

0.123249 1.865770 -0.066058 0.9476 PVPS 0.066678 0.063105 1.056615 0.2955 PSBI
2.150359 1.567059 -1.372226 0.1758 R-squared 0.060089 Mean dependent var 0.053322 Adjusted R-squared
0.028581 S.D. dependent var 0.251078 S.E. of regression 0.254640 Akaike info criterion 0.198215 Sum squared resid 3.436611 Schwarz criterion 0.409490 Log likelihood 0.152653 F-statistic 0.677669 Durbin-Watson stat 1.870748 Prob(F-statistic) 0.642239

Dependent Variable: RMEDC Method: Least Squares Date: 04/03/12 Time: 23:38 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Variable

Coefficie nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

0.012099 0.020318 -0.595459 0.5541 PINFLASI 0.081742 0.146056 0.559661 0.5781 PKURS

1.387157 0.425914 -3.256897 0.0020 PM2 0.298000 0.851870 0.349818 0.7279 PVPS 0.016341 0.028813 0.567136 0.5730
1.329402 0.715486 -1.858041 0.0687 R-squared 0.235279 Mean dependent var 0.002927 Adjusted R-squared 0.163135 S.D. dependent var 0.127091 S.E. of regression 0.116263 Akaike info criterion

PSBI

1.369774 Sum squared resid 0.716410 Schwarz criterion
1.158499 Log likelihood 46.40832 F-statistic 3.261262 Durbin-Watson stat 1.999127 Prob(F-statistic) 0.012185 Dependent Variable: RTINS Method: Least Squares

Date: 04/03/12 Time: 23:40 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Variable

Coefficie nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

0.019262 0.031640 -0.608782 0.5453 PINFLASI 0.201932 0.227442 0.887838 0.3786 PKURS

1.650004 0.663245 -2.487775 0.0160 PM2 0.506311 1.326557 0.381673 0.7042 PVPS 0.045521 0.044868 1.014563 0.3149 PSBI
2.646451 1.114175 -2.375257 0.0212 R-squared 0.218997 Mean dependent var 0.011878 Adjusted R-squared 0.145317 S.D. dependent var 0.195836 S.E. of regression 0.181049 Akaike info criterion
0.483959 Sum squared resid 1.737264 Schwarz criterion
0.272684 Log likelihood 20.27679 F-statistic 2.972283 Durbin-Watson stat 1.381165 Prob(F-statistic) 0.019433 Dependent Variable: RCTTH Method: Least Squares

Date: 04/03/12 Time: 23:41 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Coefficie

Variable nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0.031141 0.023829 1.306838 0.1969

PINFLASI 0.214410 0.171294 -1.251711 0.2162
PKURS 0.625907 0.499510 -1.253042 0.2157
PM2 0.096681 0.999069 -0.096771 0.9233
PVPS 0.049349 0.033791 -1.460403 0.1501 PSBI 0.559453 0.839118 0.666715 0.5078 R-squared 0.087633 Mean dependent var 0.019038 Adjusted R-squared 0.001560 S.D. dependent var 0.136460
S.E. of regression 0.136353 Akaike info criterion 1.050994
Sum squared resid 0.985384 Schwarz criterion 0.839719 Log likelihood 37.00433 F-statistic 1.018128 Durbin-Watson stat 1.747262 Prob(F-statistic) 0.416391 Dependent Variable: RMITI Method: Least Squares

Date: 04/03/12 Time: 23:42 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Coefficie

Variable nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0.041525 0.033306 1.246760 0.2180

PINFLASI 0.038504 0.239416 -0.160823 0.8728
PKURS 1.512024 0.698163 -2.165720 0.0349
PVPS 0.047230 -2.068442 0.0435

0.097692

PSBI 1.283064 1.172832 -1.093988 0.2789 R-squared 0.162155 Mean dependent var 0.024728 Adjusted R-squared 0.083113 S.D. dependent var 0.199031
S.E. of regression 0.190580 Akaike info criterion 0.381344
Sum squared resid 1.925002 Schwarz criterion 0.170069 Log likelihood 17.24964 F-statistic 2.051505 Durbin-Watson stat 1.075512 Prob(F-statistic) 0.086247

Lampiran 8 Regres Panel

Dependent Variable: RETURN? Method: Pooled Least Squares Date: 06/09/12 Time: 08:52 Sample (adjusted): 2007M02 2011M12 Included observations: 59 after adjustments Cross-sections included: 8 Total pool (balanced) observations: 472 Coefficie

Variable nt Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0.016569 0.011729 1.412656 0.1584

PINFLASI? 0.015961 0.084311 -0.189305 0.8499
PKURS? 1.140362 0.245859 -4.638277 0.0000 PM2? 0.108360 0.491743 0.220360 0.8257 PVPS? 0.003251 0.016632 0.195472 0.8451
PSBI? 1.520494 0.413015 -3.681453 0.0003 Fixed Effects (Cross) _RBUMI--C 0.009653 _RDOID--C 0.012003 _RPTBA--C 0.012088

_RPTRO--C 0.024194

_RMEDC--C 0.026200
_RTINS--C 0.017249

_RCTTH--C 0.010089
_RMITI--C 0.004400 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables) R-squared 0.092563 Mean dependent var 0.029128 Adjusted R-squared 0.068839 S.D. dependent var 0.196716
S.E. of regression 0.189824 Akaike info criterion 0.458278
Sum squared resid 16.53930 Schwarz criterion 0.343785 Log likelihood 121.1535 F-statistic 3.901671 Durbin-Watson stat 1.703973 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000010 Substituted Coefficients: =====================

RETURN_RBUMI = 0.009653010593 + 0.01656869012 - 0.0159605059*PINFLASI_RBUMI - 1.140362347*PKURS_RBUMI + 0.1083603019*PM2_RBUMI + 0.003251102271*PVPS_RBUMI - 1.520493955*PSBI_RBUMI RETURN_RDOID = 0.0120029089 + 0.01656869012 - 0.0159605059*PINFLASI_RDOID - 1.140362347*PKURS_RDOID + 0.1083603019*PM2_RDOID + 0.003251102271*PVPS_RDOID - 1.520493955*PSBI_RDOID RETURN_RPTBA = 0.01208836653 + 0.01656869012 - 0.0159605059*PINFLASI_RPTBA - 1.140362347*PKURS_RPTBA + 0.1083603019*PM2_RPTBA + 0.003251102271*PVPS_RPTBA - 1.520493955*PSBI_RPTBA RETURN_RPTRO = 0.02419443432 + 0.01656869012 - 0.0159605059*PINFLASI_RPTRO - 1.140362347*PKURS_RPTRO + 0.1083603019*PM2_RPTRO + 0.003251102271*PVPS_RPTRO - 1.520493955*PSBI_RPTRO

RETURN_RMEDC = -0.02620048093 + 0.01656869012 - 0.0159605059*PINFLASI_RMEDC - 1.140362347*PKURS_RMEDC + 0.1083603019*PM2_RMEDC + 0.003251102271*PVPS_RMEDC - 1.520493955*PSBI_RMEDC RETURN_RTINS = -0.0172491589 + 0.01656869012 - 0.0159605059*PINFLASI_RTINS - 1.140362347*PKURS_RTINS + 0.1083603019*PM2_RTINS + 0.003251102271*PVPS_RTINS - 1.520493955*PSBI_RTINS RETURN_RCTTH = -0.01008937924 + 0.01656869012 - 0.0159605059*PINFLASI_RCTTH - 1.140362347*PKURS_RCTTH + 0.1083603019*PM2_RCTTH + 0.003251102271*PVPS_RCTTH - 1.520493955*PSBI_RCTTH RETURN_RMITI = -0.004399701271 + 0.01656869012 - 0.0159605059*PINFLASI_RMITI - 1.140362347*PKURS_RMITI + 0.1083603019*PM2_RMITI + 0.003251102271*PVPS_RMITI - 1.520493955*PSBI_RMITI

Lampiran 1 Data closed saham DATE BUMI DOID PTBA PTRO MEDC TINS CTTH MITI IHSG

IHSG

Lampiran 2 Return saham emiten

VOLUME EKSPOR SBI

Jan 1, 2007 6.26% 9090 1367956.94 6,651,034

Jan 1, 2010 3.72% 9365 2073859.77 23,167,004

PJUB (M2) PVS PSBI

Lampiran 5 Lampiran 5 Pengujian Stasioneritas Data

Lampiran 6 Pengujian Multikorelasi

Lampiran 8 Hasil Regresi Emiten Saham

Lampiran 8 Regres Panel

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Lampiran 2 Return saham emiten

VOLUME EKSPOR SBI

Jan 1, 2007 6.26% 9090 1367956.94 6,651,034

Jan 1, 2010 3.72% 9365 2073859.77 23,167,004

PJUB (M2) PVS PSBI

Lampiran 5 Lampiran 5 Pengujian Stasioneritas Data

Lampiran 6 Pengujian Multikorelasi

Lampiran 8 Hasil Regresi Emiten Saham

Lampiran 8 Regres Panel

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