Variance Decomposition Test ISLAMIC STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY: IS IT A PROBLEM FOR INVESTORS?

ϳϭ Tangjitprom, N. 2012. Macroeconomic Factors of Emerging Stock Market: The Evidence from Thailand. International Journal of Financial Research , 105- 114. Taswan. 2006. Manajemen Perbankan Konsep Teknik Aplikasi Bangking Risk Assessment. Yogyakarta: UUP STIM YKPN. Vejzagic, M., Zarafat, H. 2013. Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Index: Co-integration Evidence From FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Shariah Index. Asian Journal of Management Sciences and Education , 94 - 108. Witjaksono, A. A. 2010. Analisis Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga SBI, Harga Minyak Dunia, Harga Emas Dunia, Kurs Rupiah, Indeks Nikkei 225 dan Indeks Dow Jones terhadap IHSG studi kasus pada IHSG di BEI selama periode 2000-2009. Tesis Magister Manajemen Universitas Diponegoro, Semarang . Yusof, Mohd, R., Majid, M. S. 2007. Stock Market Volatility Transmission in Malaysia: Islamic Versus Conventional Stock Market. Journal of King Abdul Aziz University: Islamic Economics, Vol.20 , 17-35. ϳϮ Appendi x Tab le 4. 7 VECM Estim a tion Result Vector Error Correction Estimates Date: 010615 Time: 21:43 Sample adjusted: 2010M06 2014M12 Included observations: 55 after adjustments Standard errors in t-statistics in [ ] Cointegrating Eq: CointEq1 CointEq2 CointEq3 CointEq4 CointEq5 JII-1 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 DJIM-1 0.000000 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 FHSI-1 0.000000 0.000000 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 LNEXRATE-1 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 1.000000 0.000000 CPI-1 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 1.000000 LNM2-1 4123.169 16046.34 78793.52 11.52909 631.1466 769.558 3742.00 16383.4 2.57737 86.2540 [ 5.35784] [ 4.28817] [ 4.80936] [ 4.47320] [ 7.31730] BIR-1 126.2485 342.9920 2119.406 0.231734 16.32972 21.3507 103.819 454.543 0.07151 2.39305 [ 5.91307] [ 3.30376] [ 4.66272] [ 3.24071] [ 6.82382] TREND10M01 -54.43822 -210.9148 -1067.785 -0.146036 -8.267835 C -61199.28 -237327.9 -1167749. -178.0954 -9389.984 Error Correction: DJII DDJIM DFHSI DLNEXRATE DCPI DLNM2 DBIR CointEq1 -0.729243 2.034162 5.020163 0.000754 4.22E-05 -0.000152 0.001075 0.28311 0.94833 4.95473 0.00040 0.00678 0.00013 0.00121 [-2.57584] [ 2.14499] [ 1.01321] [ 1.87884] [ 0.00622] [-1.19810] [ 0.89120] ϳϯ CointEq2 -0.082468 -0.777978 0.839380 -0.000223 -0.002508 -0.000134 0.000890 0.09369 0.31383 1.63969 0.00013 0.00224 4.2E-05 0.00040 [-0.88021] [-2.47894] [ 0.51191] [-1.67720] [-1.11790] [-3.19713] [ 2.22854] CointEq3 0.049090 0.194928 -0.822120 -5.98E-05 0.001793 1.86E-05 -0.000153 0.02846 0.09532 0.49801 4.0E-05 0.00068 1.3E-05 0.00012 [ 1.72513] [ 2.04502] [-1.65081] [-1.48157] [ 2.63219] [ 1.46243] [-1.26044] CointEq4 -183.6478 -338.1076 7272.966 -0.169685 -7.936923 -0.253692 2.319631 225.302 754.691 3943.03 0.31943 5.39438 0.10078 0.95991 [-0.81512] [-0.44801] [ 1.84451] [-0.53122] [-1.47133] [-2.51729] [ 2.41652] CointEq5 3.351629 -12.68080 -56.26350 0.016720 -0.084817 0.003662 -0.059898 4.07884 13.6629 71.3842 0.00578 0.09766 0.00182 0.01738 [ 0.82171] [-0.92812] [-0.78818] [ 2.89135] [-0.86850] [ 2.00732] [-3.44677] DJII-1 0.113048 -0.056224 -9.427329 -0.001103 -0.001689 -9.87E-05 -0.002396 0.27739 0.92919 4.85472 0.00039 0.00664 0.00012 0.00118 [ 0.40753] [-0.06051] [-1.94189] [-2.80523] [-0.25435] [-0.79527] [-2.02736] DJII-2 0.507798 -1.632214 -7.433803 -0.000484 -0.000393 -0.000142 -0.001183 0.34360 1.15095 6.01336 0.00049 0.00823 0.00015 0.00146 [ 1.47788] [-1.41814] [-1.23621] [-0.99359] [-0.04780] [-0.92552] [-0.80795] DJII-3 0.409688 -1.755734 0.501920 -0.000190 -0.008055 -4.68E-05 -0.001711 0.25869 0.86653 4.52734 0.00037 0.00619 0.00012 0.00110 [ 1.58371] [-2.02617] [ 0.11086] [-0.51904] [-1.30049] [-0.40445] [-1.55239] DJII-4 -0.163479 -2.092590 -4.420700 0.000429 -0.013352 -0.000203 -0.000432 0.25000 0.83742 4.37525 0.00035 0.00599 0.00011 0.00107 [-0.65392] [-2.49886] [-1.01039] [ 1.21081] [-2.23061] [-1.81949] [-0.40541] DDJIM-1 0.073831 0.248856 -1.088002 4.82E-05 0.002027 0.000106 -0.000618 0.07715 0.25841 1.35013 0.00011 0.00185 3.5E-05 0.00033 [ 0.95704] [ 0.96301] [-0.80585] [ 0.44027] [ 1.09740] [ 3.07844] [-1.88104] DDJIM-2 0.162504 0.405537 -0.934890 -0.000113 0.000339 9.63E-05 -0.000612 0.08416 0.28193 1.47298 0.00012 0.00202 3.8E-05 0.00036 [ 1.93078] [ 1.43845] [-0.63469] [-0.94354] [ 0.16815] [ 2.55748] [-1.70708]