Analisis Komoditas Unggulan Sub Sektor Hortikultura Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  Lampiran : 1. Hasil perhitungan Location Quotient (LQ) Sayuran Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  9. Cabe Besar 676,827 695,707 787,433 807,160

  Rata- Rata LQ No Komoditas Nasional/Indonesia Sumatera Utara Produksi (Ton) LQ Sayuran Sumatera Utara

  14. Ketimun 581,205 540,122 583,139 547,141 521,535 511,485 58,000 45,267 39,767 36,426 45,975 43,430 0.989 0.787 0.687 0.625 0.843 0.797 0.788 Jumlah 8,106,144 8,407,243 9,107,113 9,200,828 9,231,611 9,659,449 817,558 895,068 904,557 979,521 965,629 1,028,986

  13. Buncis 266,790 266,551 290,993 336,494 334,659 322,097 32,818 40,997 38,631 55,965 51,046 47,111 1.220 1.445 1.337 1.562 1.458 1.373 1.399

  12. Terung 390,846 427,166 451,564 482,305 519,481 518,787 39,861 34,391 35,009 49,675 67,831 76,010 1.011 0.756 0.781 0.967 1.248 1.375 1.023

  11. Tomat 635,474 725,973 853,061 891,616 954,046 893,463 76,699 69,134 90,147 84,345 93,387 112,390 1.197 0.894 1.064 0.889 0.936 1.181 1.027

  10. Cabe Rawit 451,965 457,353 591,294 521,704 594,227 702,214 17,542 19,438 30,377 41,653 35,446 48,361 0.385 0.399 0.517 0.750 0.570 0.647 0.545

  888,852 954,310 130,385 136,414 154,799 196,347 197,810 197,409 1.910 1.842 1.979 2.285 2.128 1.942 2.014

  8. Kacang Panjang 488,499 455,524 483,793 489,449 458,307 455,562 46,812 41,991 34,627 10,922 47,610 50,593 0.950 0.866 0.721 0.210 0.993 1.043 0.797

  2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

  7. Wortel 350,170 367,111 358,014 403,827 526,917 465,527 40,464 38,733 32,248 44,285 28,178 29,995 1.146 0.991 0.907 1.030 0.511 0.605 0.865

  6. Petsai/Sawi 564,912 565,636 562,838 583,770 580,969 594,911 75,111 77,147 63,911 87,757 60,471 65,215 1.318 1.281 1.143 1.412 0.995 1.029 1.196

  5. Kembang Kol 124,252 109,497 96,038 101,205 113,491 135,824 22,065 22,871 18,695 22,855 19,584 22,823 1.761 1.962 1.960 2.121 1.650 1.577 1.838

  4. Kol/Kubis 1,288,738 1,323,702 1,358,113 1,385,044 1,363,741 1,450,037 157,038 207,640 210,239 196,718 173,565 180,162 1.208 1.473 1.559 1.334 1.217 1.166 1.326

  3. Kentang 1,003,732 1,071,543 1,176,304 1,060,805 955,488 1,094,232 90,634 130,296 129,587 126,203 123,078 128,965 0.895 1.142 1.109 1.117 1.231 1.106 1.100

  2. Bawang Daun 479,924 547,743 549,365 541,374 526,774 596,805 19,124 18,678 13,865 16,957 9,199 12,366 0.395 0.320 0.254 0.294 0.167 0.195 0.271

  1. Bawang Merah 802,810 853,615 965,164 1,048,934 893,124 964,195 11,005 12,071 12,655 9,413 12,449 14,156 0.136 0.133 0.132 0.084 0.133 0.138 0.126

  Universitas Sumatera Utara Lampiran : 2. Hasil perhitungan Location Quotient (LQ) Buah-Buahan Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

  

1. Alpukat 201,635 244,215 257,642 224,278 275,953 294,200 6,808 9,093 7,481 7,644 8,083 7,954 0.293 0.345 0.285 0.262 0.273 0.288 0.291

  

2. Duku 178,026 158,649 195,364 228,816 171,113 258,453 9,157 15,986 15,526 13,258 20,807 32,713 0.447 0.933 0.780 0.445 1.133 1.348 0.848

  

3. Durian 594,842 682,323 797,798 492,139 883,969 888,127 136,940 128,803 102,580 66,206 79,659 102,756 1.998 1.748 1.261 1.034 0.840 1.232 1.352

  

4. Jeruk siam 2,551,635 2,391,011 2,025,840 1,937,773 1,721,880 1,498,394 961,918 856,017 724,828 781,512 573,980 350,354 3.273 3.315 3.510 3.098 3.107 2.490 3.132

  

5. Mangga 1,818,619 2,105,085 2,243,440 1,287,287 2,131,139 2,376,333 34,349 26,365 21,971 28,131 31,742 35,470 0.164 0.116 0.096 0.168 0.139 0.159 0.140

  

6. Manggis 112,722 78,674 105,558 84,538 117,595 190,287 8,613 9,387 9,957 7,750 9,332 13,182 0.663 1.105 0.925 0.704 0.740 0.738 0.813

  

7. Nangka 601,929 675,455 653,444 578,327 654,808 663,930 22,485 24,008 19,401 15,054 14,241 16,443 0.324 0.329 0.291 0.200 0.203 0.264 0.269

  

8. Nenas 2,237,858 1,433,133 1,558,196 1,406,445 1,540,626 1,781,894 119,589 144,266 134,077 102,437 183,213 262,089 0.464 0.932 0.844 0.560 1.108 1.566 0.912

  

9. Pepaya 621,524 717,899 772,844 675,801 958,251 906,305 22,154 23,287 27,659 29,040 36,057 31,658 0.309 0.300 0.351 0.330 0.351 0.372 0.336

  

10. Pisang 5,454,226 6,004,615 6,373,533 5,755,073 6,132,695 6,189,043 211,974 233,124 335,790 403,390 429,628 363,061 0.337 0.360 0.517 0.538 0.653 0.625 0.505

  

11 Rambutan 705,823 978,259 986,841 522,852 811,909 757,336 49,544 67,639 60,153 43,777 30,527 26,908 0.609 0.640 0.598 0.643 0.350 0.378 0.537

  

12. Salak 805,879 862,465 829,014 749,876 1,082,125 1,035,406 247,406 229,511 259,103 328,877 360,813 350,011 2.665 2.464 3.066 3.369 3.107 3.599 3.045

  

13. Markisa 106,788 138,027 120,796 132,011 140,895 134,527 11,197 11,029 6,178 5,032 5,650 1,568 0.910 0.740 0.502 0.293 0.374 0.124 0.490

15,991,506 16,469,810 16,920,311 14,075,216 16,622,958 16,974,235 1,842,134 1,778,515 1,724,704 1,832,108 1,783,732 1,594,166 Total Buah-Buahan Location Quotient (LQ) Rata-Rata LQ No Komoditas Indonesia (Ton) Sumatera Utara (Ton)

  Universitas Sumatera Utara Lampiran : 3. Hasil perhitungan Shift Share Sayuran Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  National Share Proportional Share 2007 2012 2007 2012 E r,i,t-n E r,i,t E N,i,t-n E N,i,t (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (f - a)

  

1 Bawang Merah 11,005 14,156 802,810 964,195 1.1916 13,113.79 2,108.79

  

2 Bawang Daun 19,124 12,366 479,924 596,805 1.1916 22,788.55 3,664.55

  

3 Kentang 90,634 128,965 1,003,732 1,094,232 1.1916 108,001.35 17,367.35

  

4 Kol / Kubis 157,038 180,162 1,288,738 1,450,037 1.1916 187,129.73 30,091.73

  

5 Kembang Kol 22,065 22,823 124,252 135,824 1.1916 26,293.11 4,228.11

  

6 Petsai/ Sawi 75,111 65,215 564,912 594,911 1.1916 89,503.82 14,392.82

  

7 Wortel 40,464 29,995 350,170 465,527 1.1916 48,217.74 7,753.74

  

8 Kacang Panjang 46,812 50,593 488,499 455,562 1.1916 55,782.15 8,970.15

  

9 Cabe Besar 130,385 197,409 676,827 954,310 1.1916 155,369.46 24,984.46

  

10 Cabe Rawit 17,542 48,361 451,965 702,214 1.1916 20,903.41 3,361.41

  

11 Tomat 76,699 112,390 635,474 893,463 1.1916 91,396.12 14,697.12

  

12 Terung 39,861 76,010 390,846 518,787 1.1916 47,499.19 7,638.19

  

13 Buncis 32,818 47,111 266,790 322,097 1.1916 39,106.61 6,288.61

  

14 Ketimun 58,000 43,430 581,205 511,485 1.1916 69,114.00 11,114.00

817,558 1,028,986 8,106,144 9,659,449 156,661.03 Jumlah No Komoditi Sumatera Utara Indonesia ∑E N,i,t / ∑E N,i,t-n (a x e) National Share (Ns)

Proportional Shift (Ps) 2007 E r,i,t-n

N,i,t-n ∑E N,i,t / ∑E N,i,t-n

  (b) (c) (d) (a x d)

  

10 Cabe Rawit 17,542 1.5537 1.1916 0.3621 6,351.44

  No Komoditi Sumatera Utara Nasional/Indonesia b - c

  (a) Jumlah

  

14 Ketimun 58,000 0.8800 1.1916 -0.3116 (18,071.56)

817,558 1,452.86

  

13 Buncis 32,818 1.2073 1.1916 0.0157 514.79

  

12 Terung 39,861 1.3273 1.1916 0.1357 5,410.10

  

11 Tomat 76,699 1.4060 1.1916 0.2144 16,441.00

  

9 Cabe Besar 130,385 1.4100 1.1916 0.2184 28,470.35

  E N,i,t

/E

  

8 Kacang Panjang 46,812 0.9326 1.1916 -0.2590 (12,126.41)

  

7 Wortel 40,464 1.3294 1.1916 0.1378 5,576.36

  

6 Petsai/ Sawi 75,111 1.0531 1.1916 -0.1385 (10,404.18)

  

5 Kembang Kol 22,065 1.0931 1.1916 -0.0985 (2,173.20)

  

4 Kol / Kubis 157,038 1.1252 1.1916 -0.0665 (10,436.77)

  

3 Kentang 90,634 1.0902 1.1916 -0.1015 (9,195.47)

  

2 Bawang Daun 19,124 1.2435 1.1916 0.0519 992.92

  

1 Bawang Merah 11,005 1.2010 1.1916 0.0094 103.49

Differential Share 2012 2012 2007 E r,i,t E N,i,t /E N,i,t-n E r,i,t-n (b x c) (a) (b) (c) (d) (a - d)

  10 Cabe Rawit 48,361 1.5537 17,542 27,254.85 21,106.15 Lampiran : 4. Hasil Perhitungan Shift Share Buah-Buahan Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  (Ds)

   1,028,986 817,558 975,671.89 53,314.11 Jumlah No Komoditi

Sumatera Utara Sumatera Utara

Differential Shift

  14 Ketimun 43,430 0.8800 58,000 51,042.44 (7,612.44)

  13 Buncis 47,111 1.2073 32,818 39,621.40 7,489.60

  12 Terung 76,010 1.3273 39,861 52,909.29 23,100.71

  11 Tomat 112,390 1.4060 76,699 107,837.11 4,552.89

  1 Bawang Merah 14,156 1.2010 11,005 13,217.28 938.72

  2 Bawang Daun 12,366 1.2435 19,124 23,781.48 (11,415.48)

  8 Kacang Panjang 50,593 0.9326 46,812 43,655.73 6,937.27

  7 Wortel 29,995 1.3294 40,464 53,794.10 (23,799.10)

  6 Petsai/ Sawi 65,215 1.0531 75,111 79,099.64 (13,884.64)

  5 Kembang Kol 22,823 1.0931 22,065 24,119.92 (1,296.92)

  4 Kol / Kubis 180,162 1.1252 157,038 176,692.96 3,469.04

  3 Kentang 128,965 1.0902 90,634 98,805.88 30,159.12

  9 Cabe Besar 197,409 1.4100 130,385 183,839.81 13,569.19

  National Share Proportional Share 2007 2012 2007 2012 E r,i,t-n E r,i,t E N,i,t-n E N,i,t (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (f - a)

  1. Alpukat 6,808 7,954 201,635 294,200 1.0615 7,226.37 418.37

  2. Duku 9,157 32,713 178,026 258,453 1.0615 9,719.73 562.73

  3. Durian 136,940 102,756 594,842 888,127 1.0615 145,355.40 8,415.40

  4. Jeruk siam 961,918 350,354 2,551,635 1,498,394 1.0615 1,021,030.95 59,112.95

  5. Mangga 34,349 35,470 1,818,619 2,376,333 1.0615 36,459.86 2,110.86

  6. Manggis 8,613 13,182 112,722 190,287 1.0615 9,142.30 529.30

  7. Nangka 22,485 16,443 601,929 663,930 1.0615 23,866.78 1,381.78

  8. Nenas 119,589 262,089 2,237,858 1,781,894 1.0615 126,938.13 7,349.13

  9. Pepaya 22,154 31,658 621,524 906,305 1.0615 23,515.43 1,361.43

  10. Pisang 211,974 363,061 5,454,226 6,189,043 1.0615 225,000.48 13,026.48

  11. Rambutan 49,544 26,908 705,823 757,336 1.0615 52,588.64 3,044.64

  12. Salak 247,406 350,011 805,879 1,035,406 1.0615 262,609.89 15,203.89

  13. Markisa 11,197 1,568 106,788 134,527 1.0615 11,885.09 688.09

   1,842,134 1,594,166 15,991,506 16,974,235 113,205.05 ∑E N,i,t / ∑E N,i,t-n (a x e) National Share (Ns) Jumlah No Jenis Buah Sumatera Utara Indonesia

E N,i,t /E N,i,t-n ∑E N,i,t / ∑E N,i,t-n (b) (c) (d) (a x d)

  1.4591 1.0615 0.3976 2,707.00

  0.7962 1.0615 -0.2652 (31,715.39)

   1,842,134 (325,368.23) Proportional Share (Ps) 2007 Jumlah No Jenis Buah Sumatera Utara Nasional/Indonesia b - c E r,i,t-n (a)

  1.2598 1.0615 0.1983 2,220.46

  13. Markisa 11,197

  1.2848 1.0615 0.2234 55,261.35

  12. Salak 247,406

  1.0730 1.0615 0.0115 571.19

  11. Rambutan 49,544

  1.1347 1.0615 0.0733 15,531.58

  10. Pisang 211,974

  1.4582 1.0615 0.3967 8,789.48

  9. Pepaya 22,154

  8. Nenas 119,589

  2. Duku 9,157

  1.1030 1.0615 0.0416 934.27

  7. Nangka 22,485

  1.6881 1.0615 0.6267 5,397.38

  6. Manggis 8,613

  1.3067 1.0615 0.2452 8,422.91

  5. Mangga 34,349

  0.5872 1.0615 -0.4742 (456,165.02)

  1. Alpukat 6,808

  1.4930 1.0615 0.4316 59,102.42

  3. Durian 136,940

  1.4518 1.0615 0.3903 3,574.15

  4. Jeruk siam 961,918

  Differential Share

Sumatera Utara Sumatera Utara

Differential Shift

  2012 2012 2007 No Jenis Buah (Ds) E E /E E (b x c) r,i,t N,i,t N,i,t-n r,i,t-n (a) (b) (c) (d) (a - d)

  7,954 6,808

  1. Alpukat 1.4591 9,933.38 (1,979.78) 32,713 9,157

  2. Duku 1.4518 13,293.87 19,419.53 102,756 136,940

  3. Durian 1.4930 204,457.82 (101,702.12) 350,354 961,918

  4. Jeruk siam 0.5872 564,865.93 (214,511.93) 35,470 34,349

  5. Mangga 1.3067 44,882.77 (9,412.37) 13,182 8,613

  6. Manggis 1.6881 14,539.67 (1,357.87) 16,443 22,485

  7. Nangka 1.1030 24,801.04 (8,357.64) 262,089 119,589

  8. Nenas 0.7962 95,222.74 166,865.76 31,658 22,154

  9. Pepaya 1.4582 32,304.92 (647.02) 363,061 211,974

  10. Pisang 1.1347 240,532.07 122,528.63 26,908 49,544

  11. Rambutan 1.0730 53,159.83 (26,252.03) 350,011 247,406

  12. Salak 1.2848 317,871.24 32,139.26 1,568 11,197

  13. Markisa 1.2598 14,105.55 (12,537.55)

  Jumlah 1,594,166 1,842,134.00 1,629,970.82 (35,805.12)

• 5.770 0.353 0.639 - 3.324 - -
• 7.105 1.019 1.585 - 3.589 0.035 5.099
• 7.103 1.201 4.266 0.129 3.392 0.932 3.861

  0.813 0.226 - 0.051

  18 Mandailing Natal 0.165 4.010 0.337 0.121 0.026 1.071 2.817 1.650 1.456 1.287 1.210 0.786 3.116

  19 Padang Sidempuan 0.429 3.264 0.003 0.006 0.169 1.716 0.036 3.424 0.777 0.713 1.419 1.845 1.955 4.239

  20 Humbang Hasundutan 5.330 3.641 1.051 1.026 0.577 0.775 1.447 0.627 0.967 1.940 1.072 0.310 0.390 0.619

  21 Samosir 6.527 0.060 5.151 0.409 - 0.005 - 0.226 0.561 0.391 0.528 0.013 0.001 0.064

  22 Serdang Bedagai - - - - - 3.311 0.001 2.618 0.509 1.914 0.084 4.873 - 5.310

  23 Pakpak Bharat -

  2.985 5.396

  24 Nias selatan - 0.810 - - - 0.137 - 5.980 0.541 1.529 0.027 1.133 0.515 2.171

  1.523

  25 Batu Bara - -

  26 Padang Lawas - 5.721 - - - 0.614 - 4.282 0.817 1.268 1.047 2.349 0.728 2.719

  27 Padang Lawas Utara 0.807 0.055 - - - 0.010 - 4.949 1.272 2.478 0.612 2.772 0.131 3.428

  28 Labuhan Batu Utara - - - - - - - 11.220 0.740 1.398 0.020 0.806 - -

  29 Labuhan Batu Selatan - - - - - - - 3.890 0.745 2.270 - 1.208 - 1.610

  30 Nias Utara - 1.991 - - - - - 3.239 0.522 2.004 - 1.345 0.007 2.356

  31 Nias Barat - 0.176 - - - 0.753 - 4.780 0.552 1.338 - 1.346 0.104 0.959

  32 Gunung Sitoli - - - - - - - 6.618 0.413 1.029 1.380 0.984 1.818 No Kabupaten / Kota

  17 Toba Samosir 8.858 3.025 0.304 0.145 0.181 0.438 2.091 1.278 5.165 0.644 1.750 0.922 1.419

  0.096

  Nilai rata-rata Location Quotient (LQ) Universitas Sumatera Utara

  7 Labuhan Batu - - - - - - - 8.862 1.456 5.271 - 3.135 - 3.879

  Lampiran : 5. Hasil perhitungan Location Quotient (LQ) Sayuran per Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  Bawang Merah Bawang Daun Kentang Kol/ Kubis Kembang Kol Petsai/ Sawi Wortel Kacang Panjang Cabe Besar Cabe Rawit Tomat Terung Buncis Ketimun

  1 Medan - - - - 0.021 5.125

  2 Langkat - - - - 0.720 0.524 - 8.232 1.466 0.767 0.120 4.076 0.012 3.883

  3 Deli Serdang - - - - - 1.051 - 1.147 1.109 0.720 - 1.081 - 0.982

  4 Simalungun 1.651 0.133 1.649 1.641 0.002 0.390 0.096 1.019 0.733 1.650 0.823 0.608 1.072 0.577

  5 Tanah Karo 0.252 1.482 0.897 1.108 2.376 1.484 1.949 0.024 0.720 0.400 1.558 0.399 1.382 0.065

  6 Asahan - - - - -

1.630

  8 Tapanuli Utara 0.744 4.010 0.575 0.549 0.413 0.904 3.859 1.512 0.857 1.795 0.738 1.269 1.281 1.254

  9.975 1.167

  9 Tapanuli Tengah - - - - - - - 8.945 0.970 2.573 0.176 4.811 - 4.216

  10 Tapanuli Selatan 0.262 3.115 0.026 - 0.014 1.447 - 3.511 1.399 0.787 1.479 1.093 1.642 3.712

  11 Nias - 1.436 - - - 0.134

  12 Dairi 3.942 0.032 1.310 1.320 0.092 0.077 0.660 0.117 1.071 3.473 0.798 0.113 1.098 0.051

  13 Tebing Tinggi - - - - - 2.405 - 5.962 0.350 0.725 - 2.807 - 7.760

  14 Tanjung Balai - - - - - 1.662 - 10.148 0.685 1.340 - 3.347 - 4.460

  15 Binjai - - - - - 0.069 - 10.988 1.083 0.311 - 1.863 - 6.871

  16 Pematang Siantar - - - - -

4.412

• - 3.292 -
• 1.327 - - 0.037
• 1.809
• - - - 0.251 - 2.537 2.980 0.582 0.014 1.569 0.085 1.647

Lampiran : 6. Hasil perhitungan Location Quotient (LQ) Buah-Buahan per Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  Alpukat Duku Durian Jeruk Siam Mangga Manggis Nangka Nenas Pepaya Pisang Rambutan Salak Markisa

  16 Pematang Siantar 29.858 1.882 2.618 0.059 8.272 1.734 5.831 0.034 11.484 0.736 4.212 0.108 0.865

  No Kabupaten / Kota Nilai rata-rata Location Quotient (LQ)

  27 Padang Lawas Utara 0.610 2.690 1.890 0.040 19.520 3.330 2.880 0.020 3.340 0.240 3.370 1.130 0.020

  26 Padang Lawas 0.190 27.460 2.630 0.080 3.030 7.420 5.400 0.010 2.660 0.530 2.610 0.080 0.020

  25 Batu Bara 0.890 0.066 0.211 0.021 12.986 1.513 1.729 0.032 0.388 0.657 3.271 0.008 -

  24 Nias selatan 0.311 8.413 1.473 0.038 4.470 2.443 3.383 0.262 3.068 1.385 0.288 0.001 0.013

  23 Pakpak Bharat 1.239 0.962 2.332 1.303 1.946 0.829 6.456 0.896 0.682 1.569 1.768 0.003 -

  22 Serdang Bedagai 7.851 1.112 1.390 0.006 4.122 0.757 8.839 0.002 0.124 1.129 0.914 0.001 0.115

  21 Samosir 46.137 0.272 4.795 0.058 22.011 - 0.206 0.360 1.686 0.358 0.108 0.001 0.134

  20 Humbang Hasundutan 3.578 2.140 2.748 0.329 2.052 0.332 3.887 0.079 0.592 0.695 0.053 3.023 1.728

  19 Padang Sidempuan 3.518 1.996 2.028 0.362 1.366 2.066 7.059 0.017 2.098 0.281 1.732 3.509 4.351

  18 Mandailing Natal 3.204 2.562 3.369 1.233 6.172 12.825 7.181 0.033 1.205 0.446 1.561 0.041 0.683

  17 Toba Samosir 10,330 2.401 7.280 0.789 5.886 0.233 4.661 0.550 2.014 0.631 0.103 0.004 1.773

  15 Binjai 5.924 4.405 0.442 0.053 5.381 4.911 6.688 0.023 1.339 0.290 23.316 0.004 0.089

  1 Medan 11.670 1.980 0.430 0.040 26.320 2.490 9.310 0.040 7.910 0.640 4.910 0.020 2.000

  14 Tanjung Balai 0.374 - - 0.001 12.893 0.772 17.415 0.014 3.378 2.539 0.163 - -

  13 Tebing Tinggi 6.883 0.719 0.977 0.066 6.044 6.565 4.357 0.387 12.785 1.177 9.924 0.007 0.479

  12 Dairi 17.224 1.494 4.335 1.339 0.411 1.826 1.321 0.053 0.550 0.888 0.128 0.003 0.029

  11 Nias 1.540 17.770 2.810 0.240 2.480 5.790 2.070 0.090 4.820 2.270 0.780 0.010 -

  10 Tapanuli Selatan 0.534 0.723 0.467 0.034 0.397 1.141 0.654 0.035 0.419 0.092 1.677 5.448 0.007

  9 Tapanuli Tengah 0.413 3.302 11.628 0.296 3.774 5.329 2.183 0.017 1.958 0.254 2.248 0.012 0.120

  8 Tapanuli Utara 0.760 0.555 0.817 0.167 0.450 0.160 0.589 9.767 0.081 0.450 0.302 0.024 0.014

  7 Labuhan Batu 0.370 10.090 5.030 0.140 2.360 4.020 6.200 0.140 12.440 0.970 4.080 0.010 0.410

  6 Asahan 1.340 0.650 1.330 0.090 5.240 2.110 5.690 0.020 7.920 2.150 8.050 0.100 0.090

  5 Tanah Karo 0.610 0.050 0.040 2.760 0.160 0.010 0.010 0.000 0.010 0.040 0.010 0.000 2.670

  4 Simalungun 1.370 0.240 0.720 0.430 0.800 0.140 0.640 2.490 1.740 3.240 0.150 0.010 1.350

  3 Deli Serdang 0.660 2.640 1.310 0.020 0.960 2.520 1.210 0.040 3.650 3.950 1.510 0.060 0.350

  2 Langkat 0.335 1.259 2.424 0.039 2.094 3.374 5.608 0.041 3.599 2.129 6.143 0.012 0.347

  Universitas Sumatera Utara

  Terung Buncis Cabe Besar Cabe Rawit Tomat Universitas Sumatera Utara

  19. Padang Sidempuan

  25.56 174.75 421.66 416.49 939.35 217.49 1,260.04 (2,045.53) 345.50 276.19

  20. Humbang Hasund 238.49

  58.19 39.81 (53.99)

  67.42 169.00 (205.12)

  6.21 35.96 225.84 194.73 155.67 (818.40)

  1.03 0.11 (5.15) 212.24 209.64 (989.58)

  78.75 53.87 (209.12)

  34.71

  9.31 1.00 (46.31) 364.28 359.81 1,094.31 77.71 450.23 (339.44) 152.86 122.20 378.84 82.75 207.45 (121.20)

  18. Mandailing Natal

  75.72 51.80 (320.32)

  17. Toba Samosir 277.23 29.71 (309.94) 437.67 432.30 (68.37) 164.79 954.69 955.32 170.16 136.03 719.81 144.85 363.09 1,643.96

  43.96 43.42 (233.39) - - 45.00 - - - 42.67 106.96 (269.63) - - -

  16. Pematang Siantar

  22.31

  87.00

  44.77 112.22 (81.08) - - -

  22. Serdang Bedagai - - - 408.11 403.11 (1,249.32) 258.87 1,499.76 (885.63)

  No Kabupaten/ Kota Nilai Rata-Rata Shift Share Bawang Merah

  57.48

  13.92

  14.09

  23. Pakpak Bharat - - -

  18.93 15.13 (107.26) 929.70 2,330.52 (4,981.22) - - -

  2.20 1.50 (12.20)

  17.10

  6.65 16.66 (49.01)

  86.70 335.44

  35.56 206.01 (379.07) 108.46

  19.98 576.56 241.88 238.91 133.91

  21. Samosir 186.46

  80.94 55.37 (292.32)

  15. Binjai - - - 361.59 357.15 (1,526.94) - - 421.00 99.51 249.45 (312.77)

  0.91 5.24 239.35

  Lampiran : 7. Hasil Perhitungan Shift Share Sayuran per Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  86.07 68.80 (232.66) 4,021.48 10,080.81 (18,269.69)

  57.93 335.61 868.46 623.56 1,563.10 (3,111.86)

  6. Asahan - - - 808.21 798.29 (3,532.70)

  68.27 171.14 24,343.58 5,005.64 3,424.35 (2,143.99)

  5. Karo 545.92 58.51 (1,689.43) 8,569.40 8,464.31 563.79 107.84 624.77 23,697.39 12,989.16 10,383.40 (2,836.56)

  4. Simalungun 1,213.71 130.07 (287.02) 5,614.12 5,545.27 14,591.71 2,700.42 15,644.98 (20,188.50) 3,639.98 2,909.76 (362.93) 1,820.61 4,563.80 (4,825.41) 2,166.63 1,482.19 2,044.19

  3.10 2.12 138.77

  14.22 1.52 (70.75) 6,917.15 6,832.32 (29,793.97) 11,383.00

  8. Tapanuli Utara

  3. Deli Serdang

  30.00

  82.50 65.95 (78.44) 641.35 1,607.70 5,855.95

  2. Langkat - - - 705.49 696.83 6,936.68 10,585.00

  1. Medan - - - 140.06 138.35 (308.01) 2,276.00 355.15 890.27 (342.71)

  Ns Ps Ds Ns Ps Ds Ns Ps Ds Ns Ps Ds Ns Ps Ds Ns Ps Ds

  7. Labuhan Batu - - - 228.15 225.35 (1,314.69) 88.21 511.06 (917.37) 118.39 296.78 (849.97)

  98.01 10.50 324.48 1,545.29 1,526.34 6,816.96 422.90 2,450.10 (19.31) 665.71 532.16 1,711.93 329.03 824.79 2,062.88 573.93 392.63 (349.86)

  46.56

  13. Tebing Tinggi - - -

  24.37

  24.67

  14. Tanjung Balai - - -

  18.02 92.99 - - -

  7.19

  4.68 4.62 (16.40) - - 146.00 - - -

  10.34 25.93 1,298.72 232.54 159.08 1,157.18

  9. Tapanuli Tengah - - - 307.38 303.61 (1,357.60) 112.08 649.35 (699.83)

  26.16 1,349.71 327.40 323.38 11,358.22 164.99 955.89 (383.88) 386.62 309.06 3,971.32

  12. Dairi 244.13

  23.25 15.90 (126.05)

  11. Nias - - - 123.69 122.18 (689.17) 77.19 447.23 (792.93) - - - 77.07 193.18 (538.25)

  43.45 251.71 719.85 972.50 777.41 (3,137.41) 381.11 955.35 (1,627.16) 186.22 127.40 (63.72)

  17.59 1.88 (73.47) 1,361.03 1,344.34 (4,793.28)

  14.22 11.37 (23.59) 401.80 1,007.21 (2,467.71) - - - 10, Tapanuli Selatan

• 6.00 - - - - - -

Lampiran : 8. Perhitungan Shift Share Buah-Buahan per Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

  Nilai RataRata Shift Share Buah-buahan No Kabupaten/ Kota Duku Pisang Salak Ns Ps Ds Ns Ps Ds Ns Ps Ds

  1. Medan (4.80)

  96.57 5.06 (29.77) 187.38 (51.95) (0.40)

  1.65

  19.16

  2. Langkat (34.38) 691.39 1,376.79 (882.41) 5,554.82 74,255.93 (6.46)

  26.36 437.92

  3. Deli Serdang (231.28) 4,651.32 2,258.57 (17,303.44) 108,925.76 (177,936.83) (25.88) 105.63 2,494.97

  4. Simalungun (16.47) 331.24 249.78 (4,818.59) 30,333.18 102,240.75 (20.53)

  83.78

  39.33

  5. Karo (48.74) 980.18 (878.62) (803.00) 5,054.91 (5,625.81) (4.04)

  16.48

  17.16

  6. Asahan (12.80) 28.81 (0.71) (737.35) 4,641.66 (787.63) (5.18)

  21.14 571.15

  7. Labuhan Batu (137.45) 2,764.31 (3,538.09) (170.87) 1,075.61 (1,760.10) - - -

  8. Tapanuli Utara (50.98) 1,025.30 (243.36) (1,158.88) 7,295.16 7,402.13 (106.82) 435.94 (148.40)

  9. Tapanuli Tengah (235.37) 4,733.59 (4,692.09) (353.96) 2,228.16 (2,703.91) (25.58) 104.37 (208.40) 10, Tapanuli Selatan (139.74) 2,810.35 (2,670.60) (251.34) 1,582.19 (1,330.85) (31,897.73) 130,172.28 5,601.09

  11. Nias (118.06) 2,374.22 (3,000.39) (76.10) 479.04 612.83 - -

  4.20

  12. Dairi (13.68) 275.13 1,139.81 (251.80) 1,585.09 3,015.41 (1.23) 5.00 (0.68)

  13. Tebing Tinggi (11.47) 72.23 (105.49) - - -

  14. Tanjung Balai (61.32) 385.98 (627.58) - - -

  15. Binjai (19.07) 383.53 (415.43) (23.01) 144.83 (75.45) - -

  1.10

  16. Pematang Siantar (0.75) 15.13 (13.77) - - 23.00 (0.54) 2.20 (3.06)

  227.40 168.06

  17. Toba Samosir (15.40) 309.69 (130.29) (36.12) 2.70 - -

  685.17 1,191.78

  18. Mandailing Natal (42.18) 848.30 (1,095.18) (108.84) (10.23) 41.75 (48.72)

  19. Padang Sidempuan (15.52) 312.10 (257.37) (26.03) 163.89 (144.76) (371.56) 1,516.30 (3,745.52)

  20. Humbang Hasundutan (23.96) 481.80 (544.21) (167.25) 1,052.84 (393.67) (827.78) 3,378.12 (5,054.76)

  21. Samosir 66.25 (87.42) 117.40 - - (3.29)

  1.80

  22. Serdang Bedagai 270.30 - (11.50) -

  72.42 2,895.51

  2.40

  23. Pakpak Bharat (64.93) 1,305.84 (1,723.28) (1,150.02) 7,239.39 (14,632.75) (3.28) 13.39 (34.47)

  24. Nias selatan 199.86 1,307.85 (100.57) - 633.12 214.90 (9.94)

• 25. Batu Bara

  2.60

  1.50 221.80 - - - - - -

  2.40

  26. Padang Lawas - -

• 9,268.70 232.60

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