Analisis Pengaruh Pengeluaran Pemerintah Sektor Pendidikan Dan Kesehatan, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Dan Kemiskinan Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Di Sumatera Utara

109

Lampiran 1. Variabel Penelitian

No

Tahun

Pengeluaran
bidang
pendidikan
(Rupiah)

Pengeluaran
bidang
kesehatan
(Rupiah)

Pengeluaran
pemerintah
bidang

pendidikan dan
kesehatan
(Rupiah)

IPM
(Index)

Kemiskinan
(Jiwa)

PDRB
(Rupiah)

1

1996

6.555.197

5.801.194

12.356.391

70,5

1.234.194

23714,74

2

1997

4.979.376

5.454.058

10.433.434

67,6

1.836.203

25065,41

3

1998

2.760.503

4.592.236

7.352.739

64,6

3.550.642

22332,69

4

1999

14.588.922

18.982.286

33.571.208

66,6

1.972.700

22910,09

5

2000

17.291.732

27.561.696

44.853.428

68,3

1.836.203

24016,6

6

2001

15.695.573

40.093.081

55.788.654

69,5

1.875.607

24911,05

7

2002

14.977.820

27.022.157

41.999.977

68,8

1.883.890

25925,36

8

2003

27.591.860

46.303.579

73.895.439

68,9

1.889.400

78805,61

9

2004

49.512.206

90.335.234

139.847.440

71,4

1.800.100

83328,95

10

2005

60.654.108

93.990.049

154.644.157

72,03

1.760.228

87897,79

11

2006

117.187.552

116.293.166

233.480.718

72,46

1.979.702

93347,4

12

2007

135.731.623

131.559.877

267.291.500

72,78

1.768.500

99792,27

13

2008

120.857.464

156.819.306

277.676.770

73,29

1.613.800

106172,4

14

2009

183.290.078

178.492.294

361.782.372

73,58

1.499.700

111559,2

15

2010

266.944.299

205.418.941

472.363.240

74,19

1.490.900

118640,9

16

2011

313.552.957

179.600.106

493.153.063

74,65

1.481.300

126450,6

110

Lampiran 2. Hasil Regresi

Dependent Variable: IPM
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/04/13 Time: 08:35
Sample: 1996 2011
Included observations: 16
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LPPK
LPE
LK

112.5568
1.913623
3.345649
-11.66940

17.50253
0.932002
1.674046
2.537298

6.430891
2.053240
1.998541
-4.599145

0.0000
0.0625
0.0688
0.0006

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.934786
0.918482
0.840312
8.473495
-17.61785
57.33619
0.000000

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

70.57375
2.943161
2.702231
2.895379
2.712122
1.953320

111

Lampiran 3. Uji Multikolinearitas

Dependent Variable: LPPK
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/04/13 Time: 08:36
Sample: 1996 2011
Included observations: 16
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LPE
LK

5.437769
1.614950
-0.822381

4.985366
0.218070
0.719789

1.090746
7.405641
-1.142530

0.2952
0.0000
0.2738

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.849019
0.825791
0.250065
0.812920
1.134673
36.55180
0.000005

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

7.930776
0.599125
0.233166
0.378026
0.240584
0.769096

Dependent Variable: LPE
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/04/13 Time: 08:37
Sample: 1996 2011
Included observations: 16
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LPPK
LK

-0.314585
0.500562
0.171591

2.898445
0.067592
0.417668

-0.108536
7.405641
0.410830

0.9152
0.0000
0.6879

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.835988
0.810755
0.139220
0.251969
10.50530
33.13124
0.000008

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

4.728368
0.320029
-0.938162
-0.793302
-0.930744
0.936035

112

Dependent Variable: LK
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/04/13 Time: 08:44
Sample: 1996 2011
Included observations: 16
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LPPK
LPE

6.780695
-0.110959
0.074694

0.351471
0.097117
0.181812

19.29233
-1.142530
0.410830

0.0000
0.2738
0.6879

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.222170
0.102503
0.091854
0.109683
17.15900
1.856578
0.195322

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

6.253883
0.096957
-1.769875
-1.625014
-1.762457
1.316825

113

Lampiran 4. Uji Autokorelasi

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared

1.739122
3.843830

Prob. F(2,11)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)

0.2207
0.1463

Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/04/13 Time: 08:44
Sample: 1996 2011
Included observations: 16
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LPPK
LPE
RESID(-1)
RESID(-2)

-0.079221
0.084839
-0.125181
0.025314
-0.557205

0.336248
0.122334
0.213902
0.311860
0.307377

-0.235603
0.693499
-0.585229
0.081171
-1.812775

0.8181
0.5024
0.5702
0.9368
0.0972

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.240239
-0.036037
0.087038
0.083333
19.35701
0.869561
0.512220

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

6.83E-16
0.085511
-1.794627
-1.553193
-1.782263
1.369186

114

Lampiran 5. Uji Normality

115

Lampiran 6. Uji Linearitas

Ramsey RESET Test
Equation: UNTITLED
Specification: LK C LPPK LPE
Omitted Variables: Squares of fitted values
Value
0.187370
0.035108
0.046742

df
12
(1, 12)
1

Probability
0.8545
0.8545
0.8288

Sum of Sq.
0.000320
0.109683
0.109363
0.109363

df
1
13
12
12

Mean
Squares
0.000320
0.008437
0.009114
0.009114

Value
17.15900
17.18237

df
13
12

t-statistic
F-statistic
Likelihood ratio
F-test summary:

Test SSR
Restricted SSR
Unrestricted SSR
Unrestricted SSR
LR test summary:
Restricted LogL
Unrestricted LogL

Unrestricted Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: LK
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/05/13 Time: 09:13
Sample: 1996 2011
Included observations: 16
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
LPPK
LPE
FITTED^2

-108.9968
3.419518
-2.313181
2.532886

617.9070
18.84250
12.74554
13.51807

-0.176397
0.181479
-0.181489
0.187370

0.8629
0.8590
0.8590
0.8545

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.224439
0.030548
0.095465
0.109363
17.18237
1.157555
0.366122

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

6.253883
0.096957
-1.647796
-1.454649
-1.637905
1.256657