Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Masyarakat Terhadap Tekstil Impor Di Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1
Y
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
1247,00
1348,00
1463,00
1557,00
1895,00
2082,00
2460,00
2510,00
2834,00
3045,00
3507,00
3869,00
4003,00
4552,00
4745,00
5195,00
5393,00
5926,00
6184,00
6062,00
X1
504561,00
593649,00
630007,00
698094,00
1830005,00
1960537,00
2108670,00
2189128,00
1996987,00
2024927,00
6006103,00
6175689,00
6385069,00
6609292,00
6873420,00
7130695,00
7475629,00
8095635,00
8409813,00
8947196,00
X2
1463,00
1857,00
2895,00
3582,00
3860,00
1310,00
1134,00
1445,00
1137,00
3269,00
3003,00
3452,00
6645,00
12895,00
12393,00
19226,00
19784,00
26062,00
35045,00
37275,00
X
1930,00
2029,00
2047,00
2160,00
2228,00
2342,00
2909,00
10013,00
6755,00
9421,00
10210,00
8301,00
8777,00
8518,00
8488,00
8335,00
8213,00
10920,00
9700,00
8991,00
Keterangan:
Y
= Jumlah Konsumsi Barang Impor (Ton)
X1
= PDRB /Kapita Sumatera Utara (Rupiah)
X2
= Harga ($/Ton)
X3
= Kurs ($/Rp)
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2
Descriptive Statistics
Mean
IMPOR TEKSTIL
Std. Deviation
N
3493,8500
1687,19017
20
4,3323E6
3,07450E6
20
HARGA
9886,6000
11577,38545
20
KURS
6614,3500
3411,67244
20
PDRB/KAPITA
Correlations
IMPOR
TEKSTIL
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (1-tailed)
N
IMPOR TEKSTIL
PDRB/KAPITA
HARGA
KURS
1,000
,970
,875
,799
PDRB/KAPITA
,970
1,000
,813
,781
HARGA
,875
,813
1,000
,527
KURS
,799
,781
,527
1,000
,000
,000
,000
,000
,000
IMPOR TEKSTIL
.
PDRB/KAPITA
,000 .
HARGA
,000
,000 .
KURS
,000
,000
IMPOR TEKSTIL
20
20
20
20
PDRB/KAPITA
20
20
20
20
HARGA
20
20
20
20
KURS
20
20
20
20
,008
,008 .
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Variables Entered/Removedb
Model
Variables
Variables
Entered
Removed
1
KURS, HARGA, .
PDRB/KAPITAa
a. All requested variables entered.
b. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Method
Enter
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Model Summaryb
Model
Change Statistics
R
1
,988a
R Square
,976
Adjusted R
Std. Error of the
R Square
Square
Estimate
Change
,971
286,68361
F Change
,976
214,025
df1
df2
3
Sig. F Change
16
,000
Durbin-Watson
1,751
a. Predictors: (Constant), KURS, HARGA, PDRB/KAPITA
b. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
ANOVAb
Model
1
Sum of Squares
Regression
Residual
df
Mean Square
5,277E7
3
1,759E7
1314999,911
16
82187,494
5,409E7
19
Total
F
Sig.
,000a
214,025
a. Predictors: (Constant), KURS, HARGA, PDRB/KAPITA
b. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
B
1
(Constant)
Std. Error
1068,013
143,318
PDRB/KAPITA
,000
,000
HARGA
,046
KURS
,097
Standardized
95,0% Confidence Interval for
Coefficients
B
Beta
t
Sig.
Lower Bound
Correlations
Upper Bound
Zero-order
Partial
Collinearity Statistics
Part
Tolerance
VIF
7,452
,000
764,192
1371,835
,559
5,848
,000
,000
,000
,970
,825
,228
,166
6,011
,010
,317
4,516
,000
,025
,068
,875
,749
,176
,308
3,243
,032
,196
2,992
,009
,028
,165
,799
,599
,117
,355
2,817
a. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Coefficient Correlationsa
Model
1
KURS
Correlations
KURS
HARGA
PDRB/KAPITA
Covariances
KURS
HARGA
PDRB/KAPITA
HARGA
PDRB/KAPITA
1,000
,299
-,713
,299
1,000
-,757
-,713
-,757
1,000
,001
9,885E-5
-1,210E-6
9,885E-5
,000
-4,062E-7
-1,210E-6
-4,062E-7
2,751E-9
a. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Collinearity Diagnosticsa
Model
Dimension
Eigenvalue
1
3,489
2
,374
3
,105
4
,033
a. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
1
dimension1
Condition Index
1,000
3,054
5,775
10,357
(Constant)
,01
,21
,71
,07
Variance Proportions
PDRB/KAPITA
HARGA
,00
,01
,00
,24
,07
,28
,92
,46
KURS
,01
,01
,22
,76
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Residuals Statisticsa
Minimum
Predicted Value
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviation
N
1477,2079
6404,5679
3493,8500
1666,55337
20
-530,38739
446,95911
,00000
263,07893
20
Std. Predicted Value
-1,210
1,747
,000
1,000
20
Std. Residual
-1,850
1,559
,000
,918
20
Residual
a. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 1
Y
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
1247,00
1348,00
1463,00
1557,00
1895,00
2082,00
2460,00
2510,00
2834,00
3045,00
3507,00
3869,00
4003,00
4552,00
4745,00
5195,00
5393,00
5926,00
6184,00
6062,00
X1
504561,00
593649,00
630007,00
698094,00
1830005,00
1960537,00
2108670,00
2189128,00
1996987,00
2024927,00
6006103,00
6175689,00
6385069,00
6609292,00
6873420,00
7130695,00
7475629,00
8095635,00
8409813,00
8947196,00
X2
1463,00
1857,00
2895,00
3582,00
3860,00
1310,00
1134,00
1445,00
1137,00
3269,00
3003,00
3452,00
6645,00
12895,00
12393,00
19226,00
19784,00
26062,00
35045,00
37275,00
X
1930,00
2029,00
2047,00
2160,00
2228,00
2342,00
2909,00
10013,00
6755,00
9421,00
10210,00
8301,00
8777,00
8518,00
8488,00
8335,00
8213,00
10920,00
9700,00
8991,00
Keterangan:
Y
= Jumlah Konsumsi Barang Impor (Ton)
X1
= PDRB /Kapita Sumatera Utara (Rupiah)
X2
= Harga ($/Ton)
X3
= Kurs ($/Rp)
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2
Descriptive Statistics
Mean
IMPOR TEKSTIL
Std. Deviation
N
3493,8500
1687,19017
20
4,3323E6
3,07450E6
20
HARGA
9886,6000
11577,38545
20
KURS
6614,3500
3411,67244
20
PDRB/KAPITA
Correlations
IMPOR
TEKSTIL
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (1-tailed)
N
IMPOR TEKSTIL
PDRB/KAPITA
HARGA
KURS
1,000
,970
,875
,799
PDRB/KAPITA
,970
1,000
,813
,781
HARGA
,875
,813
1,000
,527
KURS
,799
,781
,527
1,000
,000
,000
,000
,000
,000
IMPOR TEKSTIL
.
PDRB/KAPITA
,000 .
HARGA
,000
,000 .
KURS
,000
,000
IMPOR TEKSTIL
20
20
20
20
PDRB/KAPITA
20
20
20
20
HARGA
20
20
20
20
KURS
20
20
20
20
,008
,008 .
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Variables Entered/Removedb
Model
Variables
Variables
Entered
Removed
1
KURS, HARGA, .
PDRB/KAPITAa
a. All requested variables entered.
b. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Method
Enter
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Model Summaryb
Model
Change Statistics
R
1
,988a
R Square
,976
Adjusted R
Std. Error of the
R Square
Square
Estimate
Change
,971
286,68361
F Change
,976
214,025
df1
df2
3
Sig. F Change
16
,000
Durbin-Watson
1,751
a. Predictors: (Constant), KURS, HARGA, PDRB/KAPITA
b. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
ANOVAb
Model
1
Sum of Squares
Regression
Residual
df
Mean Square
5,277E7
3
1,759E7
1314999,911
16
82187,494
5,409E7
19
Total
F
Sig.
,000a
214,025
a. Predictors: (Constant), KURS, HARGA, PDRB/KAPITA
b. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
B
1
(Constant)
Std. Error
1068,013
143,318
PDRB/KAPITA
,000
,000
HARGA
,046
KURS
,097
Standardized
95,0% Confidence Interval for
Coefficients
B
Beta
t
Sig.
Lower Bound
Correlations
Upper Bound
Zero-order
Partial
Collinearity Statistics
Part
Tolerance
VIF
7,452
,000
764,192
1371,835
,559
5,848
,000
,000
,000
,970
,825
,228
,166
6,011
,010
,317
4,516
,000
,025
,068
,875
,749
,176
,308
3,243
,032
,196
2,992
,009
,028
,165
,799
,599
,117
,355
2,817
a. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Coefficient Correlationsa
Model
1
KURS
Correlations
KURS
HARGA
PDRB/KAPITA
Covariances
KURS
HARGA
PDRB/KAPITA
HARGA
PDRB/KAPITA
1,000
,299
-,713
,299
1,000
-,757
-,713
-,757
1,000
,001
9,885E-5
-1,210E-6
9,885E-5
,000
-4,062E-7
-1,210E-6
-4,062E-7
2,751E-9
a. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Collinearity Diagnosticsa
Model
Dimension
Eigenvalue
1
3,489
2
,374
3
,105
4
,033
a. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
1
dimension1
Condition Index
1,000
3,054
5,775
10,357
(Constant)
,01
,21
,71
,07
Variance Proportions
PDRB/KAPITA
HARGA
,00
,01
,00
,24
,07
,28
,92
,46
KURS
,01
,01
,22
,76
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Residuals Statisticsa
Minimum
Predicted Value
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviation
N
1477,2079
6404,5679
3493,8500
1666,55337
20
-530,38739
446,95911
,00000
263,07893
20
Std. Predicted Value
-1,210
1,747
,000
1,000
20
Std. Residual
-1,850
1,559
,000
,918
20
Residual
a. Dependent Variable: IMPOR TEKSTIL
Universitas Sumatera Utara