Analisis Rasio-Rasio Cael Terhadap Prediksi Kondisi Bermasalah Bank Perkreditan Rakyat Dengan Komisaris Independen Sebagai Variabel Moderating Di Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 1
REKAPITULASI RASIO CAR, KAP, PPAP Terhadap Total Asst BPR, ROA, BOPOTahun 2011
PPAP Terhadap
CAR
KAP
ROA
BOPO
Total aset
No
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
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SEM 1 SEM 2
9,92%
9,92%
8,96%
7,80%
29,05% 21,74%
49,76% 51,88%
7,04% -26,25%
8,00%
7,87%
10,24%
9,24%
17,13% 12,71%
16,26% 17,04%
7,31% 13,13%
21,15% 20,45%
9,42%
8,53%
10,04% 27,40%
23,80% 21,20%
24,68% 26,99%
51,98% 56,93%
14,51% 16,85%
8,99%
9,00%
29,66% 14,22%
9,51%
9,53%
9,38%
9,38%
10,49%
9,49%
19,87% 18,81%
9,30% 10,18%
10,60% 10,53%
23,87% 24,81%
11,00% 10,99%
15,16% 20,05%
15,47% 17,50%
13,86% 13,86%
29,66% 14,22%
8,85%
9,41%
25,87% 28,08%
13,27% 21,21%
8,31% 11,65%
18,77% 16,76%
9,58%
8,82%
14,27% 14,58%
9,97% 12,22%
11,87% 10,93%
10,06%
9,61%
8,14%
9,12%
11,59% 11,59%
16,42% 13,71%
10,59% 10,59%
8,95%
7,88%
25,54% 26,75%
23,12% 19,54%
9,63%
3,51%
38,65% 38,22%
47,42% 47,42%
SEM 1
1,00%
12,01%
3,53%
1,36%
29,99%
7,53%
21,00%
7,57%
3,07%
11,32%
6,42%
6,32%
3,73%
1,00%
1,13%
2,95%
2,13%
3,59%
3,88%
4,50%
1,58%
10,85%
29,99%
10,81%
1,33%
2,05%
2,88%
0,24%
4,61%
1,02%
3,88%
1,47%
1,47%
2,10%
1,47%
1,47%
3,82%
7,28%
1,47%
2,93%
1,47%
25,15%
1,30%
31,20%
0,95%
35,03%
2,90%
1,47%
1,30%
29,99%
0,93%
SEM 2
1,00%
18,03%
3,32%
1,39%
33,97%
19,38%
30,00%
3,52%
11,41%
10,18%
4,67%
9,08%
3,84%
2,09%
2,53%
1,29%
1,68%
2,83%
0,44%
1,71%
1,58%
10,00%
2,90%
2,72%
8,20%
7,06%
2,80%
0,24%
2,61%
1,02%
0,44%
2,27%
3,04%
0,52%
1,32%
1,94%
4,77%
0,57%
5,54%
3,48%
1,47%
24,70%
1,30%
35,33%
0,95%
10,00%
1,10%
2,00%
26,97%
4,68%
0,93%
SEM 1
1,00%
8,05%
2,41%
0,81%
13,02%
10,22%
30,45%
1,29%
5,11%
0,56%
0,97%
4,46%
1,21%
0,89%
1,21%
1,05%
0,78%
1,11%
1,11%
2,02%
1,01%
1,59%
1,68%
21,64%
4,04%
5,95%
0,17%
0,61%
1,69%
0,91%
1,11%
1,30%
1,02%
0,63%
1,08%
1,58%
2,27%
2,23%
2,95%
1,40%
0,76%
6,19%
1,54%
10,56%
1,33%
2,44%
1,70%
2,63%
5,13%
5,61%
0,78%
SEM 2
1,00%
6,49%
1,47%
0,72%
23,28%
10,22%
10,45%
1,05%
5,32%
1,58%
0,75%
3,88%
1,32%
1,08%
1,75%
1,14%
1,52%
1,11%
0,88%
2,02%
1,01%
21,59%
0,73%
1,95%
5,83%
5,93%
0,17%
0,58%
0,14%
0,91%
0,88%
1,27%
1,09%
0,63%
0,99%
1,43%
2,85%
1,17%
3,71%
2,00%
0,76%
6,19%
1,54%
10,56%
1,33%
5,54%
1,76%
2,17%
15,21%
4,82%
0,78%
SEM 1
-3,10%
-1,07%
4,78%
4,99%
-25,98%
-10,54%
-19,71%
3,39%
2,52%
1,89%
4,49%
0,83%
11,25%
3,93%
6,35%
4,53%
9,56%
2,24%
2,05%
2,28%
1,41%
2,38%
1,54%
3,66%
0,84%
7,87%
1,43%
9,75%
2,19%
4,79%
2,05%
4,86%
1,45%
9,48%
3,58%
1,70%
1,42%
2,02%
2,65%
2,90%
3,09%
1,44%
1,46%
1,06%
4,55%
1,67%
3,37%
1,50%
1,90%
2,62%
4,95%
SEM 2
-3,10%
-10,93%
9,09%
7,66%
-31,61%
-10,54%
-19,71%
4,73%
5,05%
0,27%
6,34%
-10,44%
12,80%
4,06%
11,56%
5,46%
9,89%
2,24%
1,75%
2,28%
1,41%
2,38%
2,74%
5,05%
0,04%
13,49%
1,43%
17,56%
2,91%
4,79%
1,75%
7,02%
4,42%
18,13%
4,58%
1,78%
0,15%
1,40%
3,82%
2,90%
3,26%
1,44%
1,46%
2,28%
4,55%
-20,75%
6,82%
1,35%
-9,52%
8,04%
4,95%
SEM 1
148,40%
113,32%
70,01%
68,05%
122,69%
107,18%
323,49%
90,15%
82,77%
84,12%
78,71%
97,03%
70,82%
72,33%
64,73%
75,01%
57,26%
87,41%
70,22%
92,04%
89,87%
74,83%
87,83%
67,92%
93,61%
60,22%
91,20%
58,18%
87,18%
81,43%
70,22%
69,21%
76,32%
45,22%
76,12%
91,23%
99,31%
87,09%
82,76%
83,27%
77,12%
89,92%
93,69%
90,11%
86,96%
92,50%
73,87%
86,82%
93,69%
79,85%
83,66%
SEM 2
148,40%
107,70%
72,17%
73,87%
179,17%
107,18%
323,49%
84,98%
83,10%
98,97%
83,05%
104,14%
64,82%
82,53%
67,83%
85,24%
57,26%
87,41%
90,97%
92,04%
89,87%
174,83%
87,99%
175,49%
99,79%
63,83%
91,20%
60,39%
86,75%
81,43%
90,97%
73,88%
68,78%
49,87%
82,51%
94,19%
106,40%
95,30%
87,15%
90,43%
85,20%
189,92%
93,69%
191,04%
86,96%
111,54%
74,72%
93,81%
143,76%
68,14%
83,66%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 1
NO
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REKAPITULASI RASIO LDR, CR, RASIO KI TAHUN 2011 DAN KONDISI BPR Tahun 2011
KOMISARIS
LDR
CR
KONDISI BPR
INDEPENDEN
2011
2011
2011
2012
SEM 1
61,78%
82,30%
94,90%
89,98%
95,30%
51,59%
60,39%
84,53%
75,35%
81,88%
94,12%
56,01%
106,82%
80,35%
95,67%
91,63%
109,95%
106,60%
58,13%
89,64%
94,07%
61,67%
91,72%
91,29%
92,72%
97,76%
83,47%
104,13%
109,08%
113,39%
58,13%
105,47%
47,87%
80,85%
94,16%
103,10%
42,39%
73,48%
91,81%
94,41%
90,99%
82,94%
92,56%
88,63%
106,48%
76,06%
81,75%
87,54%
81,91%
64,99%
74,60%
SEM 2
61,78%
82,56%
97,26%
75,68%
116,77%
51,59%
60,39%
92,34%
79,83%
89,22%
87,19%
71,60%
84,04%
67,26%
94,78%
83,60%
94,97%
106,60%
64,13%
89,64%
94,07%
61,67%
89,56%
93,86%
94,25%
90,97%
83,47%
93,15%
73,40%
113,39%
64,13%
100,76%
48,93%
77,37%
86,86%
89,62%
49,75%
87,99%
77,47%
117,92%
98,37%
82,94%
92,56%
91,51%
106,48%
74,07%
80,63%
97,03%
79,64%
77,31%
74,60%
SEM 1
53,08%
16,57%
18,75%
29,23%
12,80%
16,47%
46,55%
18,06%
32,77%
24,65%
10,27%
29,90%
16,42%
24,93%
19,90%
20,99%
16,20%
13,36%
52,45%
30,27%
28,98%
20,02%
8,70%
12,33%
13,02%
18,21%
30,14%
18,13%
22,99%
58,18%
52,45%
18,81%
62,16%
39,59%
27,46%
14,34%
62,06%
43,18%
19,46%
23,09%
37,23%
28,27%
35,20%
12,09%
20,46%
54,15%
26,52%
66,17%
20,31%
87,32%
54,97%
SEM 2
53,08%
15,84%
22,75%
68,69%
20,95%
16,47%
46,55%
18,04%
30,49%
11,31%
22,18%
23,18%
26,97%
40,44%
22,69%
33,58%
28,29%
13,36%
41,52%
30,27%
28,98%
20,02%
20,65%
11,22%
12,56%
27,82%
30,14%
16,36%
72,97%
58,18%
41,52%
27,86%
63,38%
37,10%
25,18%
52,35%
53,64%
20,30%
32,69%
30,23%
41,46%
28,27%
35,20%
9,01%
20,46%
51,38%
34,07%
41,38%
35,00%
78,10%
54,97%
SEM 1
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
50,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
100,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
50,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
50,00%
0,00%
50,00%
100,00%
100,00%
50,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
0,00%
100,00%
50,00%
100,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
33,33%
100,00%
50,00%
50,00%
100,00%
SEM 2
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
50,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
100,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
50,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
50,00%
0,00%
50,00%
100,00%
100,00%
50,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
0,00%
100,00%
50,00%
100,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
33,33%
100,00%
50,00%
50,00%
100,00%
SEM 1
SEM 2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Universitas Sumatera Utara
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Lampiran 2
Distribusi Sampel Berdasarkan Kondisi
Jumlah Sampel
f
(%)
10
19,61
41
80,39
51
100,00
Kategori Sampel
BPR Bermasalah
BPRTidak Bermasalah
Total sampel
N
Deskriptif Data
Minimum
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviasi
CAR
102
-26,25
56,93
16,61
11,83
KAP
102
0,24
35,33
6,80
9,16
PPAP
102
0,14
30,45
3,57
5,18
ROA
102
-31,61
18,13
1,95
7,57
BOPO
102
45,22
323,49
94,75
42,59
LDR
102
42,39
117,92
84,52
16,55
CR
102
8,70
87,32
31,75
17,15
KI
102
0,00
100,00
43,30
43,06
Valid N (listwise)
102
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Logistic Regression
Case Processing Summary
a
Unweighted Cases
N
Percent
Selected Cases
Included in Analysis
102
100.0
Missing Cases
0 .0
Total
102
100.0
Unselected Cases
0 .0
Total
102
100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of
cases.
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value
Internal Value
.00000
0
1.00000
1
Block 0: Beginning Block
Iteration Historya,b,c
Coefficients
-2 Log
Iteration
likelihood
Constant
Step 0
1
101.601
-1.216
2
100.965
-1.401
3
100.963
-1.411
4
100.963
-1.411
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4
because parameter estimates changed by less than
.001.
Classification Tablea,b
Predicted
Y
Step 0
Observed
Y
.00000
1.00000
Overall Percentage
.00000
82
20
1.00000
0
0 .0
Percentage
Correct
100.0
80.4
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B
Step 0
Constant
S.E.
-1.411 .249
Wald
32.010
df
Sig.
1 .000
Exp(B)
.244
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Variables not in the Equation
Step 0
Score
14.187
45.894
44.161
34.758
31.441
5.675
4.368
64.562
Variables
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
X6
X7
Overall Statistics
df
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
Sig.
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.017
.037
.000
Block 1: Method = Enter
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
-2 Log
Iteration
Step 1
likelihood
Constant
1
51.954 .764
2
35.889
3
X1
X2
X3
X4
-.009 .062
.072
-.026
2.594
-.024 .088
.100
-.049
29.640
4.736
-.051 .108
.114
-.069
4
27.113
7.029
-.107 .125
.121
-.081
5
26.074
9.164
-.201 .139
.109
-.085
6
25.869
10.306
-.265 .150
.100
-.090
7
25.863
10.518
-.277 .152
.100
-.091
8
25.863
10.525
-.277 .152
.100
-.091
9
25.863
10.525
-.277 .152
.100
-.091
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 9 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
X6
X7
-.024
-.022
-.049
-.046
-.077
-.070
-.101
-.092
-.113
-.110
-.118
-.121
-.120
-.124
-.120
-.124
-.120
-.124
Iteration
X5
Step 1
1
.003
2
.007
3
.014
4
.019
5
.021
6
.023
7
.023
8
.023
9
.023
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 9 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Step 1
Chi-square
75.100
75.100
75.100
Step
Block
Model
df
Sig.
7 .000
7 .000
7 .000
Model Summary
Step
-2 Log
Cox & Snell R
Nagelkerke R
likelihood
Square
Square
1
25.863a .521
.829
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 9 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step
Chi-square
1
df
12.994
Sig.
8 .112
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Y = .00000
Observed
Step 1
Y = 1.00000
Expected
Observed
Expected
Total
1
10
10.000
0 .000
10
2
10
9.999
0 .001
10
3
10
9.998
0 .002
10
4
10
9.990
0 .010
10
5
10
9.967
0 .033
10
6
11
10.865
0 .135
11
7
10
9.761
0 .239
10
8
9
8.050
1
1.950
10
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Y = .00000
Observed
Step 1 9
Expected
1
10
Y = 1.00000
Observed
3.284
1 .087
Expected
Total
9
6.716
10
10
10.913
11
Classification Tablea
Predicted
Y
Step 1
Observed
Y
.00000
1.00000
Overall Percentage
.00000
81
3
Percentage
Correct
98.8
85.0
96.1
1.00000
1
17
a. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B
S.E.
Wald
X1
-.277 .196
1.999
X2
.152
.057
7.185
X3
.100
.116
.736
X4
-.091 .093
.960
X5
.023
.021
1.215
X6
-.120 .054
4.948
X7
-.124 .053
5.447
Constant
10.525
6.141
2.938
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6, X7.
df
Step 1a
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Sig.
.157
.007
.391
.327
.270
.026
.020
.087
Exp(B)
.758
1.165
1.105
.913
1.023
.887
.884
37217.858
Correlation Matrix
Constant
Step 1
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
Constant
1.000
-.492
.243
-.296
-.164
-.283
X1
-.492
1.000
-.374
.311
-.065
.068
X2
.243
-.374
1.000
-.130
-.030
.227
X3
-.296
.311
-.130
1.000
.102
.255
X4
-.164
-.065
-.030
.102
1.000
.085
X5
-.283
.068
.227
.255
.085
1.000
X6
-.786
.080
-.312
-.039
.118
-.164
X7
-.794
.374
-.339
.240
.314
-.093
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Correlation Matrix
X6
Step 1
Constant
X7
-.786
-.794
X1
.080
.374
X2
-.312
-.339
X3
-.039
.240
X4
.118
.314
X5
-.164
-.093
X6
1.000
.697
X7
.697
1.000
Step number: 1
Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities
80 +
+
|
|
|
|
F
|
R
+
E
|
Q
|
U
|
E
+
N
|
C
|
Y
|
|
60 +
|0
|0
|0
40 +0
|0
|0
|0
20 +0
Universitas Sumatera Utara
+
|0
|
|00
1|
|000
1|
Predicted ---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+--------+---------+---------+---------+---------Prob:
0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1
Group:
000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001111111111111111
1111111111111111111111111111111111
Predicted Probability is of Membership for 1.00000
The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: 0 - .00000
1 - 1.00000
Each Symbol Represents 5 Cases.
Logistic Regression
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Cases
Selected Cases
a
N
Included in Analysis
Missing Cases
Total
Percent
102
0 .0
102
0 .0
102
Unselected Cases
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of
cases.
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value
Internal Value
.00000
0
1.00000
1
Block 0: Beginning Block
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Iteration Historya,b,c
Coefficients
-2 Log
Iteration
likelihood
Constant
Step 0
1
101.601
-1.216
2
100.965
-1.401
3
100.963
-1.411
4
100.963
-1.411
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4
because parameter estimates changed by less than
.001.
Classification Tablea,b
Predicted
Y
Step 0
Observed
Y
.00000
1.00000
Overall Percentage
.00000
82
20
1.00000
0
0 .0
Percentage
Correct
100.0
80.4
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
Step 0
B
S.E.
-1.411 .249
Constant
Wald
32.010
df
Sig.
1 .000
Exp(B)
.244
Variables not in the Equation
Step 0
Variables
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
X6
X7
Z
X1Z
X2Z
X3Z
X4Z
X5Z
X6Z
X7Z
Overall Statistics
Score
14.187
45.894
44.161
34.758
31.441
5.675
4.368
7.358
8.005
5.557
1.711
10.018
3.047
8.329
4.416
71.276
df
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
15
Sig.
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.017
.037
.007
.005
.018
.191
.002
.081
.004
.036
.000
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Block 1: Method = Enter
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
-2 Log
Iteration
likelihood
Constant
X1
X2
X3
X4
Step 1
1
46.466
2.944
-.001
.026
.098
-.019
2
26.249
7.047
-.022
.014
.188
-.006
3
16.002
13.256
-.037
.001
.310
.003
4
9.873
21.417
-.032
.001
.483
.017
5
6.017
35.444
-.073
.017
.704
.069
6
3.004
62.578
-.245
.063
1.019
.212
7
1.206
97.547
-.403
.134
1.577
.401
8
.446
138.672
-.546
.224
2.363
.660
9
.164
180.003
-.682
.309
3.163
.915
10
.061
220.930
-.811
.391
3.968
1.167
11
.022
261.638
-.935
.472
4.785
1.420
12
.008
302.222
-1.053
.553
5.614
1.674
13
.003
342.730
-1.168
.634
6.455
1.932
14
.001
383.194
-1.281
.715
7.302
2.191
15
.000
423.632
-1.392
.796
8.154
2.451
16
.000
464.059
-1.502
.877
9.007
2.711
17
.000
504.478
-1.612
.958
9.862
2.972
18
.000
544.894
-1.722
1.040
10.717
3.233
19
.000
585.308
-1.832
1.121
11.572
3.494
20
.000
625.720
-1.942
1.202
12.428
3.755
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 20 because maximum iterations has been reached.
Final solution cannot be found.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
Iteration
X5
X6
X7
Z
X1Z
X2Z
Step 1
1
.006
-.042
-.061
-.040 .000
.001
2
.017
-.090
-.125
-.068 .000
.002
3
.031
-.166
-.207
-.100 .000
.003
4
.055
-.280
-.316
-.129 .000
.004
5
.084
-.456
-.485
-.183 .001
.006
6
.112
-.749
-.777
-.278 .002
.009
7
.151
-1.143
-1.170
-.409 .004
.012
8
.195
-1.614
-1.634
-.709 .005
.016
9
.240
-2.089
-2.102
-1.023 .006
.020
10
.286
-2.563
-2.566
-1.329 .008
.024
11
.332
-3.036
-3.028
-1.631 .009
.028
12
.379
-3.511
-3.489
-1.932 .010
.032
13
.426
-3.986
-3.949
-2.232 .011
.036
14
.473
-4.462
-4.410
-2.532 .012
.040
15
.521
-4.938
-4.870
-2.832 .014
.044
16
.569
-5.414
-5.331
-3.132 .015
.048
17
.616
-5.891
-5.791
-3.432 .016
.052
18
.664
-6.367
-6.251
-3.732 .017
.056
19
.712
-6.843
-6.711
-4.032 .018
.060
20
.760
-7.320
-7.171
-4.332 .019
.064
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 20 because maximum iterations has been reached.
Final solution cannot be found.
X3Z
-.001
-.004
-.008
-.014
-.021
-.032
-.048
-.069
-.090
-.111
-.132
-.153
-.175
-.197
-.218
-.240
-.262
-.284
-.306
-.328
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
Iteration
X4Z
X5Z
X6Z
X7Z
Step 1
1
.000
.000
.000
.001
2
-.001 .000
.001
.001
3
-.002 .000
.001
.002
4
-.003
-.001 .002
.003
5
-.004
-.001 .003
.004
6
-.008
-.002 .004
.005
7
-.012
-.003 .007
.008
8
-.018
-.003 .011
.012
9
-.023
-.004 .015
.016
10
-.029
-.005 .019
.019
11
-.034
-.006 .023
.023
12
-.040
-.007 .028
.027
13
-.045
-.008 .032
.031
14
-.051
-.009 .036
.035
15
-.057
-.010 .040
.039
16
-.062
-.011 .044
.042
17
-.068
-.011 .048
.046
18
-.073
-.012 .053
.050
19
-.079
-.013 .057
.054
20
-.085
-.014 .061
.058
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 20 because maximum iterations has been reached.
Final solution cannot be found.
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Step 1
Step
Block
Model
Chi-square
100.963
100.963
100.963
df
Sig.
15 .000
15 .000
15 .000
Model Summary
-2 Log
Cox & Snell R
Nagelkerke R
Step
likelihood
Square
Square
1
.000a
.628
1.000
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 20 because
maximum iterations has been reached. Final solution cannot
be found.
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step
1
Chi-square
.000
df
Sig.
8
1.000
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Step 1
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Y = .00000
Y = 1.00000
Observed
Expected
Observed
Expected
1
10
10.000
0 .000
2
10
10.000
0 .000
3
10
10.000
0 .000
4
10
10.000
0 .000
5
11
11.000
0 .000
6
10
10.000
0 .000
7
10
10.000
0 .000
8
10
10.000
0 .000
9
1
1.000
9
9.000
10
0 .000
11
11.000
Total
10
10
10
10
11
10
10
10
10
11
Classification Tablea
Predicted
Y
Step 1
Observed
Y
.00000
1.00000
Overall Percentage
.00000
82
0
1.00000
0
20
Percentage
Correct
100.0
100.0
100.0
a. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B)
X1
-1.942
870.795 .000
1 .998
.143
X2
1.202
321.166 .000
1 .997
3.326
X3
12.428
2255.897 .000
1 .996
249656.955
X4
3.755
692.328 .000
1 .996
42.735
X5
.760
139.505 .000
1 .996
2.137
X6
-7.320
709.769 .000
1 .992
.001
X7
-7.171
706.663 .000
1 .992
.001
Z
-4.332
1782.298 .000
1 .998
.013
X1Z
.019
12.172 .000
1 .999
1.019
X2Z
.064
10.197 .000
1 .995
1.066
X3Z
-.328
39.893 .000
1 .993
.720
X4Z
-.085
9.348 .000
1 .993
.919
X5Z
-.014
2.985 .000
1 .996
.986
X6Z
.061
19.924 .000
1 .998
1.063
X7Z
.058
12.043 .000
1 .996
1.059
Constant
625.720
70022.234 .000
1 .993
5.584E271
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6, X7, Z, X1Z, X2Z, X3Z, X4Z, X5Z, X6Z, X7Z.
Step 1a
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Correlation Matrix
Constant
Step 1
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
Constant
1.000
-.458
.211
.307
.385
-.083
X1
-.458
1.000
-.335
.549
.251
.476
X2
.211
-.335
1.000
.060
.430
.131
X3
.307
.549
.060
1.000
.880
.403
X4
.385
.251
.430
.880
1.000
.403
X5
-.083
.476
.131
.403
.403
1.000
X6
-.907
.112
-.255
-.614
-.641
-.270
X7
-.952
.309
-.165
-.402
-.451
-.132
Z
-.867
.235
-.205
-.482
-.548
-.003
X1Z
.261
-.704
.168
-.463
-.271
-.397
X2Z
-.092
.414
-.705
.138
-.190
.110
X3Z
-.279
-.540
-.042
-.966
-.831
-.399
X4Z
-.165
-.366
-.348
-.793
-.852
-.510
X5Z
.093
-.471
-.111
-.387
-.379
-.943
X6Z
.791
-.070
.259
.618
.673
.220
X7Z
.877
-.162
.147
.521
.562
.121
Correlation Matrix
X6
X7
Z
-.907
-.952
-.867
.261
-.092
-.279
-.165
.093
X1
.112
.309
.235
-.704
.414
-.540
-.366
-.471
X2
-.255
-.165
-.205
.168
-.705
-.042
-.348
-.111
X3
-.614
-.402
-.482
-.463
.138
-.966
-.793
-.387
X4
-.641
-.451
-.548
-.271
-.190
-.831
-.852
-.379
X5
-.270
-.132
-.003
-.397
.110
-.399
-.510
-.943
X6
1.000
.933
.857
.009
.027
.582
.463
.244
X7
.933
1.000
.855
-.146
.001
.366
.253
.111
Z
.857
.855
1.000
-.071
.260
.359
.191
-.031
X1Z
.009
-.146
-.071
1.000
.040
.449
.177
.381
X2Z
.027
.001
.260
.040
1.000
-.250
-.095
-.115
X3Z
.582
.366
.359
.449
-.250
1.000
.824
.353
X4Z
.463
.253
.191
.177
-.095
.824
1.000
.510
X5Z
.244
.111
-.031
.381
-.115
.353
.510
1.000
X6Z
-.883
-.823
-.961
-.132
-.297
-.492
-.339
-.192
X7Z
-.898
-.914
-.965
.032
-.115
-.415
-.233
-.092
Step 1 Constant
X1Z
X2Z
X3Z
X4Z
X5Z
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Correlation Matrix
X6Z
Step 1
Constant
X7Z
.791
.877
X1
-.070
-.162
X2
.259
.147
X3
.618
.521
X4
.673
.562
X5
.220
.121
X6
-.883
-.898
X7
-.823
-.914
Z
-.961
-.965
X1Z
-.132
.032
X2Z
-.297
-.115
X3Z
-.492
-.415
X4Z
-.339
-.233
X5Z
-.192
-.092
X6Z
1.000
.937
X7Z
.937
1.000
Step number: 1
Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities
160 +
+
|
|
|
|
F
|
R
+
E
|
Q
|
U
|
E
+
N
|
|
120 +
|
|
|
80 +0
|0
Universitas Sumatera Utara
C
|
Y
|
|0
|0
40 +0
+
|0
|
|0
1|
|0
1|
Predicted ---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+--------+---------+---------+---------+---------Prob:
0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1
Group:
000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001111111111111111
1111111111111111111111111111111111
Predicted Probability is of Membership for 1.00000
The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: 0 - .00000
1 - 1.00000
Each Symbol Represents 10 Cases.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
REKAPITULASI RASIO CAR, KAP, PPAP Terhadap Total Asst BPR, ROA, BOPOTahun 2011
PPAP Terhadap
CAR
KAP
ROA
BOPO
Total aset
No
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
SEM 1 SEM 2
9,92%
9,92%
8,96%
7,80%
29,05% 21,74%
49,76% 51,88%
7,04% -26,25%
8,00%
7,87%
10,24%
9,24%
17,13% 12,71%
16,26% 17,04%
7,31% 13,13%
21,15% 20,45%
9,42%
8,53%
10,04% 27,40%
23,80% 21,20%
24,68% 26,99%
51,98% 56,93%
14,51% 16,85%
8,99%
9,00%
29,66% 14,22%
9,51%
9,53%
9,38%
9,38%
10,49%
9,49%
19,87% 18,81%
9,30% 10,18%
10,60% 10,53%
23,87% 24,81%
11,00% 10,99%
15,16% 20,05%
15,47% 17,50%
13,86% 13,86%
29,66% 14,22%
8,85%
9,41%
25,87% 28,08%
13,27% 21,21%
8,31% 11,65%
18,77% 16,76%
9,58%
8,82%
14,27% 14,58%
9,97% 12,22%
11,87% 10,93%
10,06%
9,61%
8,14%
9,12%
11,59% 11,59%
16,42% 13,71%
10,59% 10,59%
8,95%
7,88%
25,54% 26,75%
23,12% 19,54%
9,63%
3,51%
38,65% 38,22%
47,42% 47,42%
SEM 1
1,00%
12,01%
3,53%
1,36%
29,99%
7,53%
21,00%
7,57%
3,07%
11,32%
6,42%
6,32%
3,73%
1,00%
1,13%
2,95%
2,13%
3,59%
3,88%
4,50%
1,58%
10,85%
29,99%
10,81%
1,33%
2,05%
2,88%
0,24%
4,61%
1,02%
3,88%
1,47%
1,47%
2,10%
1,47%
1,47%
3,82%
7,28%
1,47%
2,93%
1,47%
25,15%
1,30%
31,20%
0,95%
35,03%
2,90%
1,47%
1,30%
29,99%
0,93%
SEM 2
1,00%
18,03%
3,32%
1,39%
33,97%
19,38%
30,00%
3,52%
11,41%
10,18%
4,67%
9,08%
3,84%
2,09%
2,53%
1,29%
1,68%
2,83%
0,44%
1,71%
1,58%
10,00%
2,90%
2,72%
8,20%
7,06%
2,80%
0,24%
2,61%
1,02%
0,44%
2,27%
3,04%
0,52%
1,32%
1,94%
4,77%
0,57%
5,54%
3,48%
1,47%
24,70%
1,30%
35,33%
0,95%
10,00%
1,10%
2,00%
26,97%
4,68%
0,93%
SEM 1
1,00%
8,05%
2,41%
0,81%
13,02%
10,22%
30,45%
1,29%
5,11%
0,56%
0,97%
4,46%
1,21%
0,89%
1,21%
1,05%
0,78%
1,11%
1,11%
2,02%
1,01%
1,59%
1,68%
21,64%
4,04%
5,95%
0,17%
0,61%
1,69%
0,91%
1,11%
1,30%
1,02%
0,63%
1,08%
1,58%
2,27%
2,23%
2,95%
1,40%
0,76%
6,19%
1,54%
10,56%
1,33%
2,44%
1,70%
2,63%
5,13%
5,61%
0,78%
SEM 2
1,00%
6,49%
1,47%
0,72%
23,28%
10,22%
10,45%
1,05%
5,32%
1,58%
0,75%
3,88%
1,32%
1,08%
1,75%
1,14%
1,52%
1,11%
0,88%
2,02%
1,01%
21,59%
0,73%
1,95%
5,83%
5,93%
0,17%
0,58%
0,14%
0,91%
0,88%
1,27%
1,09%
0,63%
0,99%
1,43%
2,85%
1,17%
3,71%
2,00%
0,76%
6,19%
1,54%
10,56%
1,33%
5,54%
1,76%
2,17%
15,21%
4,82%
0,78%
SEM 1
-3,10%
-1,07%
4,78%
4,99%
-25,98%
-10,54%
-19,71%
3,39%
2,52%
1,89%
4,49%
0,83%
11,25%
3,93%
6,35%
4,53%
9,56%
2,24%
2,05%
2,28%
1,41%
2,38%
1,54%
3,66%
0,84%
7,87%
1,43%
9,75%
2,19%
4,79%
2,05%
4,86%
1,45%
9,48%
3,58%
1,70%
1,42%
2,02%
2,65%
2,90%
3,09%
1,44%
1,46%
1,06%
4,55%
1,67%
3,37%
1,50%
1,90%
2,62%
4,95%
SEM 2
-3,10%
-10,93%
9,09%
7,66%
-31,61%
-10,54%
-19,71%
4,73%
5,05%
0,27%
6,34%
-10,44%
12,80%
4,06%
11,56%
5,46%
9,89%
2,24%
1,75%
2,28%
1,41%
2,38%
2,74%
5,05%
0,04%
13,49%
1,43%
17,56%
2,91%
4,79%
1,75%
7,02%
4,42%
18,13%
4,58%
1,78%
0,15%
1,40%
3,82%
2,90%
3,26%
1,44%
1,46%
2,28%
4,55%
-20,75%
6,82%
1,35%
-9,52%
8,04%
4,95%
SEM 1
148,40%
113,32%
70,01%
68,05%
122,69%
107,18%
323,49%
90,15%
82,77%
84,12%
78,71%
97,03%
70,82%
72,33%
64,73%
75,01%
57,26%
87,41%
70,22%
92,04%
89,87%
74,83%
87,83%
67,92%
93,61%
60,22%
91,20%
58,18%
87,18%
81,43%
70,22%
69,21%
76,32%
45,22%
76,12%
91,23%
99,31%
87,09%
82,76%
83,27%
77,12%
89,92%
93,69%
90,11%
86,96%
92,50%
73,87%
86,82%
93,69%
79,85%
83,66%
SEM 2
148,40%
107,70%
72,17%
73,87%
179,17%
107,18%
323,49%
84,98%
83,10%
98,97%
83,05%
104,14%
64,82%
82,53%
67,83%
85,24%
57,26%
87,41%
90,97%
92,04%
89,87%
174,83%
87,99%
175,49%
99,79%
63,83%
91,20%
60,39%
86,75%
81,43%
90,97%
73,88%
68,78%
49,87%
82,51%
94,19%
106,40%
95,30%
87,15%
90,43%
85,20%
189,92%
93,69%
191,04%
86,96%
111,54%
74,72%
93,81%
143,76%
68,14%
83,66%
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 1
NO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
REKAPITULASI RASIO LDR, CR, RASIO KI TAHUN 2011 DAN KONDISI BPR Tahun 2011
KOMISARIS
LDR
CR
KONDISI BPR
INDEPENDEN
2011
2011
2011
2012
SEM 1
61,78%
82,30%
94,90%
89,98%
95,30%
51,59%
60,39%
84,53%
75,35%
81,88%
94,12%
56,01%
106,82%
80,35%
95,67%
91,63%
109,95%
106,60%
58,13%
89,64%
94,07%
61,67%
91,72%
91,29%
92,72%
97,76%
83,47%
104,13%
109,08%
113,39%
58,13%
105,47%
47,87%
80,85%
94,16%
103,10%
42,39%
73,48%
91,81%
94,41%
90,99%
82,94%
92,56%
88,63%
106,48%
76,06%
81,75%
87,54%
81,91%
64,99%
74,60%
SEM 2
61,78%
82,56%
97,26%
75,68%
116,77%
51,59%
60,39%
92,34%
79,83%
89,22%
87,19%
71,60%
84,04%
67,26%
94,78%
83,60%
94,97%
106,60%
64,13%
89,64%
94,07%
61,67%
89,56%
93,86%
94,25%
90,97%
83,47%
93,15%
73,40%
113,39%
64,13%
100,76%
48,93%
77,37%
86,86%
89,62%
49,75%
87,99%
77,47%
117,92%
98,37%
82,94%
92,56%
91,51%
106,48%
74,07%
80,63%
97,03%
79,64%
77,31%
74,60%
SEM 1
53,08%
16,57%
18,75%
29,23%
12,80%
16,47%
46,55%
18,06%
32,77%
24,65%
10,27%
29,90%
16,42%
24,93%
19,90%
20,99%
16,20%
13,36%
52,45%
30,27%
28,98%
20,02%
8,70%
12,33%
13,02%
18,21%
30,14%
18,13%
22,99%
58,18%
52,45%
18,81%
62,16%
39,59%
27,46%
14,34%
62,06%
43,18%
19,46%
23,09%
37,23%
28,27%
35,20%
12,09%
20,46%
54,15%
26,52%
66,17%
20,31%
87,32%
54,97%
SEM 2
53,08%
15,84%
22,75%
68,69%
20,95%
16,47%
46,55%
18,04%
30,49%
11,31%
22,18%
23,18%
26,97%
40,44%
22,69%
33,58%
28,29%
13,36%
41,52%
30,27%
28,98%
20,02%
20,65%
11,22%
12,56%
27,82%
30,14%
16,36%
72,97%
58,18%
41,52%
27,86%
63,38%
37,10%
25,18%
52,35%
53,64%
20,30%
32,69%
30,23%
41,46%
28,27%
35,20%
9,01%
20,46%
51,38%
34,07%
41,38%
35,00%
78,10%
54,97%
SEM 1
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
50,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
100,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
50,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
50,00%
0,00%
50,00%
100,00%
100,00%
50,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
0,00%
100,00%
50,00%
100,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
33,33%
100,00%
50,00%
50,00%
100,00%
SEM 2
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
50,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
100,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
50,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
50,00%
0,00%
50,00%
100,00%
100,00%
50,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
0,00%
100,00%
50,00%
100,00%
0,00%
100,00%
100,00%
33,33%
100,00%
50,00%
50,00%
100,00%
SEM 1
SEM 2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Universitas Sumatera Utara
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Lampiran 2
Distribusi Sampel Berdasarkan Kondisi
Jumlah Sampel
f
(%)
10
19,61
41
80,39
51
100,00
Kategori Sampel
BPR Bermasalah
BPRTidak Bermasalah
Total sampel
N
Deskriptif Data
Minimum
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviasi
CAR
102
-26,25
56,93
16,61
11,83
KAP
102
0,24
35,33
6,80
9,16
PPAP
102
0,14
30,45
3,57
5,18
ROA
102
-31,61
18,13
1,95
7,57
BOPO
102
45,22
323,49
94,75
42,59
LDR
102
42,39
117,92
84,52
16,55
CR
102
8,70
87,32
31,75
17,15
KI
102
0,00
100,00
43,30
43,06
Valid N (listwise)
102
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Logistic Regression
Case Processing Summary
a
Unweighted Cases
N
Percent
Selected Cases
Included in Analysis
102
100.0
Missing Cases
0 .0
Total
102
100.0
Unselected Cases
0 .0
Total
102
100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of
cases.
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value
Internal Value
.00000
0
1.00000
1
Block 0: Beginning Block
Iteration Historya,b,c
Coefficients
-2 Log
Iteration
likelihood
Constant
Step 0
1
101.601
-1.216
2
100.965
-1.401
3
100.963
-1.411
4
100.963
-1.411
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4
because parameter estimates changed by less than
.001.
Classification Tablea,b
Predicted
Y
Step 0
Observed
Y
.00000
1.00000
Overall Percentage
.00000
82
20
1.00000
0
0 .0
Percentage
Correct
100.0
80.4
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B
Step 0
Constant
S.E.
-1.411 .249
Wald
32.010
df
Sig.
1 .000
Exp(B)
.244
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Variables not in the Equation
Step 0
Score
14.187
45.894
44.161
34.758
31.441
5.675
4.368
64.562
Variables
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
X6
X7
Overall Statistics
df
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
Sig.
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.017
.037
.000
Block 1: Method = Enter
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
-2 Log
Iteration
Step 1
likelihood
Constant
1
51.954 .764
2
35.889
3
X1
X2
X3
X4
-.009 .062
.072
-.026
2.594
-.024 .088
.100
-.049
29.640
4.736
-.051 .108
.114
-.069
4
27.113
7.029
-.107 .125
.121
-.081
5
26.074
9.164
-.201 .139
.109
-.085
6
25.869
10.306
-.265 .150
.100
-.090
7
25.863
10.518
-.277 .152
.100
-.091
8
25.863
10.525
-.277 .152
.100
-.091
9
25.863
10.525
-.277 .152
.100
-.091
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 9 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
X6
X7
-.024
-.022
-.049
-.046
-.077
-.070
-.101
-.092
-.113
-.110
-.118
-.121
-.120
-.124
-.120
-.124
-.120
-.124
Iteration
X5
Step 1
1
.003
2
.007
3
.014
4
.019
5
.021
6
.023
7
.023
8
.023
9
.023
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 9 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Step 1
Chi-square
75.100
75.100
75.100
Step
Block
Model
df
Sig.
7 .000
7 .000
7 .000
Model Summary
Step
-2 Log
Cox & Snell R
Nagelkerke R
likelihood
Square
Square
1
25.863a .521
.829
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 9 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step
Chi-square
1
df
12.994
Sig.
8 .112
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Y = .00000
Observed
Step 1
Y = 1.00000
Expected
Observed
Expected
Total
1
10
10.000
0 .000
10
2
10
9.999
0 .001
10
3
10
9.998
0 .002
10
4
10
9.990
0 .010
10
5
10
9.967
0 .033
10
6
11
10.865
0 .135
11
7
10
9.761
0 .239
10
8
9
8.050
1
1.950
10
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Y = .00000
Observed
Step 1 9
Expected
1
10
Y = 1.00000
Observed
3.284
1 .087
Expected
Total
9
6.716
10
10
10.913
11
Classification Tablea
Predicted
Y
Step 1
Observed
Y
.00000
1.00000
Overall Percentage
.00000
81
3
Percentage
Correct
98.8
85.0
96.1
1.00000
1
17
a. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B
S.E.
Wald
X1
-.277 .196
1.999
X2
.152
.057
7.185
X3
.100
.116
.736
X4
-.091 .093
.960
X5
.023
.021
1.215
X6
-.120 .054
4.948
X7
-.124 .053
5.447
Constant
10.525
6.141
2.938
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6, X7.
df
Step 1a
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Sig.
.157
.007
.391
.327
.270
.026
.020
.087
Exp(B)
.758
1.165
1.105
.913
1.023
.887
.884
37217.858
Correlation Matrix
Constant
Step 1
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
Constant
1.000
-.492
.243
-.296
-.164
-.283
X1
-.492
1.000
-.374
.311
-.065
.068
X2
.243
-.374
1.000
-.130
-.030
.227
X3
-.296
.311
-.130
1.000
.102
.255
X4
-.164
-.065
-.030
.102
1.000
.085
X5
-.283
.068
.227
.255
.085
1.000
X6
-.786
.080
-.312
-.039
.118
-.164
X7
-.794
.374
-.339
.240
.314
-.093
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Correlation Matrix
X6
Step 1
Constant
X7
-.786
-.794
X1
.080
.374
X2
-.312
-.339
X3
-.039
.240
X4
.118
.314
X5
-.164
-.093
X6
1.000
.697
X7
.697
1.000
Step number: 1
Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities
80 +
+
|
|
|
|
F
|
R
+
E
|
Q
|
U
|
E
+
N
|
C
|
Y
|
|
60 +
|0
|0
|0
40 +0
|0
|0
|0
20 +0
Universitas Sumatera Utara
+
|0
|
|00
1|
|000
1|
Predicted ---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+--------+---------+---------+---------+---------Prob:
0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1
Group:
000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001111111111111111
1111111111111111111111111111111111
Predicted Probability is of Membership for 1.00000
The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: 0 - .00000
1 - 1.00000
Each Symbol Represents 5 Cases.
Logistic Regression
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Cases
Selected Cases
a
N
Included in Analysis
Missing Cases
Total
Percent
102
0 .0
102
0 .0
102
Unselected Cases
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of
cases.
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value
Internal Value
.00000
0
1.00000
1
Block 0: Beginning Block
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Iteration Historya,b,c
Coefficients
-2 Log
Iteration
likelihood
Constant
Step 0
1
101.601
-1.216
2
100.965
-1.401
3
100.963
-1.411
4
100.963
-1.411
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4
because parameter estimates changed by less than
.001.
Classification Tablea,b
Predicted
Y
Step 0
Observed
Y
.00000
1.00000
Overall Percentage
.00000
82
20
1.00000
0
0 .0
Percentage
Correct
100.0
80.4
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
Step 0
B
S.E.
-1.411 .249
Constant
Wald
32.010
df
Sig.
1 .000
Exp(B)
.244
Variables not in the Equation
Step 0
Variables
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
X6
X7
Z
X1Z
X2Z
X3Z
X4Z
X5Z
X6Z
X7Z
Overall Statistics
Score
14.187
45.894
44.161
34.758
31.441
5.675
4.368
7.358
8.005
5.557
1.711
10.018
3.047
8.329
4.416
71.276
df
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
15
Sig.
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.017
.037
.007
.005
.018
.191
.002
.081
.004
.036
.000
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Block 1: Method = Enter
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
-2 Log
Iteration
likelihood
Constant
X1
X2
X3
X4
Step 1
1
46.466
2.944
-.001
.026
.098
-.019
2
26.249
7.047
-.022
.014
.188
-.006
3
16.002
13.256
-.037
.001
.310
.003
4
9.873
21.417
-.032
.001
.483
.017
5
6.017
35.444
-.073
.017
.704
.069
6
3.004
62.578
-.245
.063
1.019
.212
7
1.206
97.547
-.403
.134
1.577
.401
8
.446
138.672
-.546
.224
2.363
.660
9
.164
180.003
-.682
.309
3.163
.915
10
.061
220.930
-.811
.391
3.968
1.167
11
.022
261.638
-.935
.472
4.785
1.420
12
.008
302.222
-1.053
.553
5.614
1.674
13
.003
342.730
-1.168
.634
6.455
1.932
14
.001
383.194
-1.281
.715
7.302
2.191
15
.000
423.632
-1.392
.796
8.154
2.451
16
.000
464.059
-1.502
.877
9.007
2.711
17
.000
504.478
-1.612
.958
9.862
2.972
18
.000
544.894
-1.722
1.040
10.717
3.233
19
.000
585.308
-1.832
1.121
11.572
3.494
20
.000
625.720
-1.942
1.202
12.428
3.755
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 20 because maximum iterations has been reached.
Final solution cannot be found.
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Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
Iteration
X5
X6
X7
Z
X1Z
X2Z
Step 1
1
.006
-.042
-.061
-.040 .000
.001
2
.017
-.090
-.125
-.068 .000
.002
3
.031
-.166
-.207
-.100 .000
.003
4
.055
-.280
-.316
-.129 .000
.004
5
.084
-.456
-.485
-.183 .001
.006
6
.112
-.749
-.777
-.278 .002
.009
7
.151
-1.143
-1.170
-.409 .004
.012
8
.195
-1.614
-1.634
-.709 .005
.016
9
.240
-2.089
-2.102
-1.023 .006
.020
10
.286
-2.563
-2.566
-1.329 .008
.024
11
.332
-3.036
-3.028
-1.631 .009
.028
12
.379
-3.511
-3.489
-1.932 .010
.032
13
.426
-3.986
-3.949
-2.232 .011
.036
14
.473
-4.462
-4.410
-2.532 .012
.040
15
.521
-4.938
-4.870
-2.832 .014
.044
16
.569
-5.414
-5.331
-3.132 .015
.048
17
.616
-5.891
-5.791
-3.432 .016
.052
18
.664
-6.367
-6.251
-3.732 .017
.056
19
.712
-6.843
-6.711
-4.032 .018
.060
20
.760
-7.320
-7.171
-4.332 .019
.064
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 20 because maximum iterations has been reached.
Final solution cannot be found.
X3Z
-.001
-.004
-.008
-.014
-.021
-.032
-.048
-.069
-.090
-.111
-.132
-.153
-.175
-.197
-.218
-.240
-.262
-.284
-.306
-.328
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Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Coefficients
Iteration
X4Z
X5Z
X6Z
X7Z
Step 1
1
.000
.000
.000
.001
2
-.001 .000
.001
.001
3
-.002 .000
.001
.002
4
-.003
-.001 .002
.003
5
-.004
-.001 .003
.004
6
-.008
-.002 .004
.005
7
-.012
-.003 .007
.008
8
-.018
-.003 .011
.012
9
-.023
-.004 .015
.016
10
-.029
-.005 .019
.019
11
-.034
-.006 .023
.023
12
-.040
-.007 .028
.027
13
-.045
-.008 .032
.031
14
-.051
-.009 .036
.035
15
-.057
-.010 .040
.039
16
-.062
-.011 .044
.042
17
-.068
-.011 .048
.046
18
-.073
-.012 .053
.050
19
-.079
-.013 .057
.054
20
-.085
-.014 .061
.058
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 100.963
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 20 because maximum iterations has been reached.
Final solution cannot be found.
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Step 1
Step
Block
Model
Chi-square
100.963
100.963
100.963
df
Sig.
15 .000
15 .000
15 .000
Model Summary
-2 Log
Cox & Snell R
Nagelkerke R
Step
likelihood
Square
Square
1
.000a
.628
1.000
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 20 because
maximum iterations has been reached. Final solution cannot
be found.
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step
1
Chi-square
.000
df
Sig.
8
1.000
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Step 1
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Y = .00000
Y = 1.00000
Observed
Expected
Observed
Expected
1
10
10.000
0 .000
2
10
10.000
0 .000
3
10
10.000
0 .000
4
10
10.000
0 .000
5
11
11.000
0 .000
6
10
10.000
0 .000
7
10
10.000
0 .000
8
10
10.000
0 .000
9
1
1.000
9
9.000
10
0 .000
11
11.000
Total
10
10
10
10
11
10
10
10
10
11
Classification Tablea
Predicted
Y
Step 1
Observed
Y
.00000
1.00000
Overall Percentage
.00000
82
0
1.00000
0
20
Percentage
Correct
100.0
100.0
100.0
a. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B)
X1
-1.942
870.795 .000
1 .998
.143
X2
1.202
321.166 .000
1 .997
3.326
X3
12.428
2255.897 .000
1 .996
249656.955
X4
3.755
692.328 .000
1 .996
42.735
X5
.760
139.505 .000
1 .996
2.137
X6
-7.320
709.769 .000
1 .992
.001
X7
-7.171
706.663 .000
1 .992
.001
Z
-4.332
1782.298 .000
1 .998
.013
X1Z
.019
12.172 .000
1 .999
1.019
X2Z
.064
10.197 .000
1 .995
1.066
X3Z
-.328
39.893 .000
1 .993
.720
X4Z
-.085
9.348 .000
1 .993
.919
X5Z
-.014
2.985 .000
1 .996
.986
X6Z
.061
19.924 .000
1 .998
1.063
X7Z
.058
12.043 .000
1 .996
1.059
Constant
625.720
70022.234 .000
1 .993
5.584E271
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6, X7, Z, X1Z, X2Z, X3Z, X4Z, X5Z, X6Z, X7Z.
Step 1a
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Correlation Matrix
Constant
Step 1
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
Constant
1.000
-.458
.211
.307
.385
-.083
X1
-.458
1.000
-.335
.549
.251
.476
X2
.211
-.335
1.000
.060
.430
.131
X3
.307
.549
.060
1.000
.880
.403
X4
.385
.251
.430
.880
1.000
.403
X5
-.083
.476
.131
.403
.403
1.000
X6
-.907
.112
-.255
-.614
-.641
-.270
X7
-.952
.309
-.165
-.402
-.451
-.132
Z
-.867
.235
-.205
-.482
-.548
-.003
X1Z
.261
-.704
.168
-.463
-.271
-.397
X2Z
-.092
.414
-.705
.138
-.190
.110
X3Z
-.279
-.540
-.042
-.966
-.831
-.399
X4Z
-.165
-.366
-.348
-.793
-.852
-.510
X5Z
.093
-.471
-.111
-.387
-.379
-.943
X6Z
.791
-.070
.259
.618
.673
.220
X7Z
.877
-.162
.147
.521
.562
.121
Correlation Matrix
X6
X7
Z
-.907
-.952
-.867
.261
-.092
-.279
-.165
.093
X1
.112
.309
.235
-.704
.414
-.540
-.366
-.471
X2
-.255
-.165
-.205
.168
-.705
-.042
-.348
-.111
X3
-.614
-.402
-.482
-.463
.138
-.966
-.793
-.387
X4
-.641
-.451
-.548
-.271
-.190
-.831
-.852
-.379
X5
-.270
-.132
-.003
-.397
.110
-.399
-.510
-.943
X6
1.000
.933
.857
.009
.027
.582
.463
.244
X7
.933
1.000
.855
-.146
.001
.366
.253
.111
Z
.857
.855
1.000
-.071
.260
.359
.191
-.031
X1Z
.009
-.146
-.071
1.000
.040
.449
.177
.381
X2Z
.027
.001
.260
.040
1.000
-.250
-.095
-.115
X3Z
.582
.366
.359
.449
-.250
1.000
.824
.353
X4Z
.463
.253
.191
.177
-.095
.824
1.000
.510
X5Z
.244
.111
-.031
.381
-.115
.353
.510
1.000
X6Z
-.883
-.823
-.961
-.132
-.297
-.492
-.339
-.192
X7Z
-.898
-.914
-.965
.032
-.115
-.415
-.233
-.092
Step 1 Constant
X1Z
X2Z
X3Z
X4Z
X5Z
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Correlation Matrix
X6Z
Step 1
Constant
X7Z
.791
.877
X1
-.070
-.162
X2
.259
.147
X3
.618
.521
X4
.673
.562
X5
.220
.121
X6
-.883
-.898
X7
-.823
-.914
Z
-.961
-.965
X1Z
-.132
.032
X2Z
-.297
-.115
X3Z
-.492
-.415
X4Z
-.339
-.233
X5Z
-.192
-.092
X6Z
1.000
.937
X7Z
.937
1.000
Step number: 1
Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities
160 +
+
|
|
|
|
F
|
R
+
E
|
Q
|
U
|
E
+
N
|
|
120 +
|
|
|
80 +0
|0
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C
|
Y
|
|0
|0
40 +0
+
|0
|
|0
1|
|0
1|
Predicted ---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+--------+---------+---------+---------+---------Prob:
0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1
Group:
000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001111111111111111
1111111111111111111111111111111111
Predicted Probability is of Membership for 1.00000
The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: 0 - .00000
1 - 1.00000
Each Symbol Represents 10 Cases.
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