Hasil Pemodelan Epidemi HIV DKI Jakarta dr Fahmi KPAP 2
Hasil Pemodelan Epidemi HIV
DKI Jakarta
Prevalensi HIV di DKI Jakarta
70
Clients
Male IDU
MSM
TG
FSW1
FSW2
Total adults (15+)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
Estimasi ODHA di DKI Jakarta
250.000
200.000
Low-risk Adults
Female IDU
FSW
TG
MSM
MSW
Male IDU
Clients
Total adults (15+)
150.000
100.000
50.000
0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
25.000
20.000
15.000
10.000
5.000
0
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
Low-risk females
Low-risk males
Female IDU
ISW
FSW2
FSW1
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
TG
1993
MSM
1992
MSW
1991
Male IDU
1990
Clients
1989
Total adults (15+)
1988
Infeksi Baru HIV di DKI Jakarta
1986
1987
Jalur Penularan HIV di DKI Jakarta
25.000
External infections
20.000
Needle sharing
Male-male sex
Casual sex
15.000
Wife to husband
Husband to wife
Sex Work
10.000
5.000
0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
DKI Jakarta
Prevalensi HIV di DKI Jakarta
70
Clients
Male IDU
MSM
TG
FSW1
FSW2
Total adults (15+)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
Estimasi ODHA di DKI Jakarta
250.000
200.000
Low-risk Adults
Female IDU
FSW
TG
MSM
MSW
Male IDU
Clients
Total adults (15+)
150.000
100.000
50.000
0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
25.000
20.000
15.000
10.000
5.000
0
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
Low-risk females
Low-risk males
Female IDU
ISW
FSW2
FSW1
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
TG
1993
MSM
1992
MSW
1991
Male IDU
1990
Clients
1989
Total adults (15+)
1988
Infeksi Baru HIV di DKI Jakarta
1986
1987
Jalur Penularan HIV di DKI Jakarta
25.000
External infections
20.000
Needle sharing
Male-male sex
Casual sex
15.000
Wife to husband
Husband to wife
Sex Work
10.000
5.000
0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030