Analisis Peramalan Harga Saham Dalam Keputusan Investasi Pada Perusahaan Perkebunan Di PT Bursa Efek Indonesia

Lampiran 1. Hasil Peramalan Harga Saham Perkebunan AALI, GZCO, JAWA,
LSIP, SGRO, dan SIMP

AALI

GZCO

Forecasts from period 24

Forecasts from period 24

Period
Actual
25
26
27
28
29
30

95% Limits

Lower
Upper

Forecast
17910,4
20892,8
19685,6
19895,5
19859,0
19865,4

14231,0
16191,9
14840,3
15046,0
15009,3
15015,7

21589,8
25593,6

24530,8
24745,1
24708,7
24715,0

Period
Actual
25
26
27
28
29
30

95% Limits
Lower
Upper

Forecast
103,870

96,812
85,929
78,177
67,863
59,646

58,767
38,182
23,828
7,197
-6,750
-21,662

JAWA

SGRO

Forecasts from period 24

Forecasts from period 24

Period
Actual
25
26
27
28
29
30

Forecast
359,587
355,407
359,530
366,748
372,407
374,416

95% Limits
Lower

Upper
322,517
317,847
318,566
323,181
328,309
330,298

396,657
392,966
400,495
410,315
416,506
418,534

Forecast
1583,82
1534,23
1472,20
1403,45

1331,09
1256,77

95% Limits
Lower
Upper
1186,91
1052,46
983,44
914,27
836,02
750,45

1980,73
2015,99
1960,95
1892,64
1826,17
1763,09

SIMP

LSIP

Forecasts from period 24

Forecasts from period 24

Period
Actual
25
26
27
28
29
30

Period
Actual
25

26
27
28
29
30

148,972
155,442
148,030
149,158
142,476
140,954

Forecast
1074,66
1052,04
990,45
950,17
898,24
852,68

95% Limits
Lower
Upper
570,38
332,15
191,45
38,98
-92,14
-221,28

1578,94
1771,92
1789,46
1861,36
1888,63
1926,65

Period
Actual

25
26
27
28
29
30

Forecast
719,32
548,61
628,16
582,52
490,99
596,29

95% Limits
Lower
Upper
508,55
243,45

282,07
158,20
33,77
93,24

930,08
853,77
974,25
1006,84
948,20
1099,35

Universitas Sumatera Utara

Lampiran 2. Hasil Peramalan Harga Saham Perkebunan SMAR, TBLA dan UNSP

SMAR

TBLA

Forecasts from period 24

Forecasts from period 24

Period
Actual
25
26
27
28
29
30

Forecast
6925,22
6888,84
6856,88
6828,80
6804,13
6782,45

95% Limits
Lower
Upper
5760,06
5695,36
5641,99
5597,63
5560,55
5529,37

8090,38
8082,32
8071,78
8059,97
8047,71
8035,54

Period
Actual
25
26
27
28
29
30

Forecast
440,938
448,594
444,013
439,431
434,850
430,268

95% Limits
Lower
Upper
318,020
321,165
311,092
301,237
291,575
282,088

563,856
576,024
576,934
577,626
578,124
578,448

UNSP
Forecasts from period 24

Period
Actual
25
26
27
28
29
30

Forecast
26,063
-2,191
-26,015
-44,096
-58,529
-71,749

95% Limits
Lower
Upper
-20,643
-63,298
-88,472
-107,182
-124,435
-140,706

72,770
58,916
36,443
18,989
7,377
-2,791

Universitas Sumatera Utara