Lampiran 12 Cash flow sensitivitas kenaikan harga TDL 21.5 persen per tahun pada usaha tambak skala menengah 2 500 m2
URAIAN 1
2 3
4 5
6 7
8 9
Siklus INFLOW
Produksi TOTAL INFLOW
6,481,331,500 12,322,342,000
12,322,342,000 12,322,342,000
12,322,342,000 12,359,092,000
12,322,342,000 12,322,342,000
12,337,842,000 OUTFLOW
1. BIAYA INVESTASI
TOTAL BIAYA INVESTASI
6,481,331,500 955,000
8,319,000 955,000
380,407,000 9,274,000
- 893,143,000
2. BIAYA PRODUKSI
A. Biaya Tetap Pajak Bumi dan Bangunan PBB
7,026,300 7,026,300
7,026,300 7,026,300
7,026,300 7,026,300
7,026,300 7,026,300
Gaji Teknisi 24,000,000
24,000,000 24,000,000
24,000,000 24,000,000
24,000,000 24,000,000
24,000,000 Gaji Operator Tambak
21,600,000 21,600,000
21,600,000 21,600,000
21,600,000 21,600,000
21,600,000 21,600,000
Gaji Ibu Dapur 6,000,000
6,000,000 6,000,000
6,000,000 6,000,000
6,000,000 6,000,000
6,000,000 Fixed Listrik
2,055,102 2,055,102
2,055,102 2,055,102
2,055,102 2,055,102
2,055,102 2,055,102
Saluran TV Berlangganan 1,200,000
1,200,000 1,200,000
1,200,000 1,200,000
1,200,000 1,200,000
1,200,000 Biaya Konsumsi
10,800,000 10,800,000
10,800,000 10,800,000
10,800,000 10,800,000
10,800,000 10,800,000
Biaya Pulsa 2,400,000
2,400,000 2,400,000
2,400,000 2,400,000
2,400,000 2,400,000
2,400,000 Pemeliharaan Bangunan
12,000,000 12,000,000
12,000,000 12,000,000
12,000,000 12,000,000
12,000,000 12,000,000
Tunjangan Hari Raya 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 Pajak Penghasilan 25
1,426,483,927 1,426,483,927
1,426,483,927 1,426,483,927
1,426,483,927 1,426,483,927
1,426,483,927 1,426,483,927
Total Biaya tetap 1,516,565,329
1,516,565,329 1,516,565,329
1,516,565,329 1,516,565,329
1,516,565,329 1,516,565,329
1,516,565,329
B. Biaya variabel
Biaya Perbaikan Pengeringan 4,500,000
4,500,000 4,500,000
4,500,000 4,500,000
4,500,000 4,500,000
4,500,000 Kaporit
15,795,000 15,795,000
15,795,000 15,795,000
15,795,000 15,795,000
15,795,000 15,795,000
Benur 570,000,000
570,000,000 570,000,000
570,000,000 570,000,000
570,000,000 570,000,000
570,000,000 Transportasi Benur
57,000,000 57,000,000
57,000,000 57,000,000
57,000,000 57,000,000
57,000,000 57,000,000
Biaya Pakan 3,664,361,635
3,664,361,635 3,664,361,635
3,664,361,635 3,664,361,635
3,664,361,635 3,664,361,635
3,664,361,635 Transportasi Pakan
366,436,163 366,436,163
366,436,163 366,436,163
366,436,163 366,436,163
366,436,163 366,436,163
Probiotik -BactoGrow
2,925,000 2,925,000
2,925,000 2,925,000
2,925,000 2,925,000
2,925,000 2,925,000
-SoilGrow 4,425,000
4,425,000 4,425,000
4,425,000 4,425,000
4,425,000 4,425,000
4,425,000 -Fitogrow
900,000 900,000
900,000 900,000
900,000 900,000
900,000 900,000
-MinGrow 600,000
600,000 600,000
600,000 600,000
600,000 600,000
600,000 Transportasi Probiotik
885,000 885,000
885,000 885,000
885,000 885,000
885,000 885,000
Pelumas Blower 1,080,000
1,080,000 1,080,000
1,080,000 1,080,000
1,080,000 1,080,000
1,080,000 Pelumas Dinamo Kincir
4,320,000 4,320,000
4,320,000 4,320,000
4,320,000 4,320,000
4,320,000 4,320,000
Panen Parsial -Borongan Pekerja
15,000,000 15,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000
-Konsumsi Pekerja 7,500,000
7,500,000 7,500,000
7,500,000 7,500,000
7,500,000 7,500,000
7,500,000 Panen Total
-Borongan Pekerja 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 -Konsumsi Pekerja
1,500,000 1,500,000
1,500,000 1,500,000
1,500,000 1,500,000
1,500,000 1,500,000
Variabel Listrik 1,338,183,802
1,338,183,802 1,338,183,802
1,338,183,802 1,338,183,802
1,338,183,802 1,338,183,802
1,338,183,802 Thiosulfat
1,930,500 1,930,500
1,930,500 1,930,500
1,930,500 1,930,500
1,930,500 1,930,500
Solar Genset 118,125,000
118,125,000 118,125,000
118,125,000 118,125,000
118,125,000 118,125,000
118,125,000
Total Biaya variabel 6,178,467,100
6,178,467,100 6,178,467,100
6,178,467,100 6,178,467,100
6,178,467,100 6,178,467,100
6,178,467,100 TOTAL BIAYA PRODUKSI
7,695,032,429 7,695,032,429
7,695,032,429 7,695,032,429
7,695,032,429 7,695,032,429
7,695,032,429 7,695,032,429
TOTAL OUTFLOW 6,481,331,500
7,695,032,429 7,695,987,429
7,703,351,429 7,695,987,429
8,075,439,429 7,704,306,429
7,695,032,429 8,588,175,429
NET BENEFIT -6481331500
4,627,309,571 4,626,354,571
4,618,990,571 4,626,354,571
4,283,652,571 4,618,035,571
4,627,309,571 3,749,666,571
DISCOUNT FACTOR 12.72 0.89
0.787 0.698
0.619 0.550
0.488 0.433
0.384 0.340
PV COSTTAHUN 5,749,939,230
6,056,315,539 5,373,551,424
4,771,729,216 4,229,211,935
3,936,953,483 3,332,166,449
2,952,586,390 2,923,425,873
PV BENEFITTAHUN -
9,698,203,617 8,603,800,228
7,632,895,873 6,771,554,181
6,025,327,875 5,329,499,153
4,728,086,545 4,199,817,157
PV BERSIH TAHUN 5,749,939,230
3,641,888,078 3,230,248,804
2,861,166,657 2,542,342,246
2,088,374,392 1,997,332,704
1,775,500,154 1,276,391,284
JUMLAH PV positif 19,413,244,320
JUMLAH PV negatif 5,749,939,230
NPV 13,663,305,090
IRR 70
NET BC 3.38
PAYBACK PERIOD 2.40
Tahun
URAIAN 1
2 3
4 5
6 7
8 9
Siklus INFLOW
Produksi TOTAL INFLOW
3,152,623,500 5,759,501,000
5,759,501,000 5,759,501,000
5,759,501,000 5,779,251,000
5,759,501,000 5,759,501,000
5,771,701,000 OUTFLOW
1. BIAYA INVESTASI
Total Biaya tetap 85,899,942
85,899,942 85,899,942
85,899,942 85,899,942
85,899,942 85,899,942
85,899,942 Total Biaya variabel
4,960,024,435 4,960,024,435
4,960,024,435 4,960,024,435
4,960,024,435 4,960,024,435
4,960,024,435 4,960,024,435
TOTAL BIAYA PRODUKSI 5,045,924,377
5,045,924,377 5,045,924,377
5,045,924,377 5,045,924,377
5,045,924,377 5,045,924,377
5,045,924,377 TOTAL OUTFLOW
3,152,623,500 5,045,924,377
5,046,879,377 5,049,251,377
5,046,879,377 5,321,454,377
5,050,206,377 5,045,924,377
5,471,023,377 NET BENEFIT
-3152623500 713,576,623
712,621,623 710,249,623
712,621,623 457,796,623
709,294,623 713,576,623
300,677,623 DISCOUNT FACTOR 12.72
0.89 0.787
0.698 0.619
0.550 0.488
0.433 0.384
0.340 PV COSTTAHUN
2,796,862,580 3,971,355,611
3,523,870,862 3,127,685,467
2,773,435,208 2,594,325,488
2,184,249,602 1,936,122,788
1,862,343,337 PV BENEFITTAHUN
- 4,532,970,553
4,021,443,003 3,567,639,286
3,165,045,498 2,817,511,363
2,491,024,490 2,209,922,366
1,964,694,384 PV BERSIH TAHUN
2,796,862,580 561,614,942
497,572,141 439,953,819
391,610,291 223,185,875
306,774,889 273,799,577
102,351,047 JUMLAH PV positif
2,796,862,580 JUMLAH PV negatif
2,796,862,580 NPV
IRR 12.72
NET BC 1.00
PAYBACK PERIOD 5.66
Tahun
Lampiran 13 Cash flow switching value harga pakan pada usaha tambak skala kecil 1 000 m
2
URAIAN 1
2 3
4 5
6 7
8 9
Siklus INFLOW
TOTAL INFLOW 3,152,623,500
5,759,501,000 5,759,501,000
5,759,501,000 5,759,501,000
5,779,251,000 5,759,501,000
5,759,501,000 5,771,701,000
OUTFLOW
1. BIAYA INVESTASI
TOTAL BIAYA INVESTASI
3,152,623,500 955,000
3,327,000 955,000
275,530,000 4,282,000
- 425,099,000
2. BIAYA PRODUKSI
A. Biaya Tetap
Total Biaya tetap 85,899,942
85,899,942 85,899,942
85,899,942 85,899,942
85,899,942 85,899,942
85,899,942
B. Biaya variabel
Total Biaya variabel 4,960,024,435
4,960,024,435 4,960,024,435
4,960,024,435 4,960,024,435
4,960,024,435 4,960,024,435
4,960,024,435 TOTAL BIAYA PRODUKSI
5,045,924,377 5,045,924,377
5,045,924,377 5,045,924,377
5,045,924,377 5,045,924,377
5,045,924,377 5,045,924,377
TOTAL OUTFLOW 3,152,623,500
5,045,924,377 5,046,879,377
5,049,251,377 5,046,879,377
5,321,454,377 5,050,206,377
5,045,924,377 5,471,023,377
NET BENEFIT -3152623500
713,576,623 712,621,623
710,249,623 712,621,623
457,796,623 709,294,623
713,576,623 300,677,623
DISCOUNT FACTOR 12.72 0.89
0.787 0.698
0.619 0.550
0.488 0.433
0.384 0.340
PV COSTTAHUN 2,796,862,580
3,971,355,611 3,523,870,862
3,127,685,467 2,773,435,208
2,594,325,488 2,184,249,602
1,936,122,788 1,862,343,337
PV BENEFITTAHUN -
4,532,970,553 4,021,443,003
3,567,639,286 3,165,045,498
2,817,511,363 2,491,024,490
2,209,922,366 1,964,694,384
PV BERSIH TAHUN 2,796,862,580
561,614,942 497,572,141
439,953,819 391,610,291
223,185,875 306,774,889
273,799,577 102,351,047
JUMLAH PV positif 2,796,862,580
JUMLAH PV negatif 2,796,862,580
NPV IRR
12.72 NET BC
1.00 PAYBACK PERIOD
5.66
Tahun
Lampiran 14 Cash flow switching value harga benur pada usaha tambak skala kecil 1 000 m
2
URAIAN 1
2 3
4 5
6 7
8 9
Siklus INFLOW
Produksi
Tambak 2500m2 Siklus 1
953,930,000 953,930,000
953,930,000 953,930,000
953,930,000 953,930,000
953,930,000 953,930,000
Siklus 2 947,514,000
947,514,000 947,514,000
947,514,000 947,514,000
947,514,000 947,514,000
947,514,000 Siklus 3
949,314,000 949,314,000
949,314,000 949,314,000
949,314,000 949,314,000
949,314,000 949,314,000
Tambak 2500m2 Siklus 1
940,204,000 940,204,000
940,204,000 940,204,000
940,204,000 940,204,000
940,204,000 940,204,000
Siklus 2 976,335,000
976,335,000 976,335,000
976,335,000 976,335,000
976,335,000 976,335,000
976,335,000 Siklus 3
992,204,000 992,204,000
992,204,000 992,204,000
992,204,000 992,204,000
992,204,000 992,204,000
Modal Investasi 3,152,623,500
Nilai Sisa 19,750,000
12,200,000 TOTAL INFLOW
3,152,623,500 5,759,501,000
5,759,501,000 5,759,501,000
5,759,501,000 5,779,251,000
5,759,501,000 5,759,501,000
5,771,701,000 OUTFLOW
1. BIAYA INVESTASI
TOTAL BIAYA INVESTASI
3,152,608,500 955,000
3,327,000 955,000
275,530,000 4,282,000
- 425,099,000
2. BIAYA PRODUKSI
A. Biaya Tetap
Pajak Bumi dan Bangunan PBB 3,208,500
3,208,500 3,208,500
3,208,500 3,208,500
3,208,500 3,208,500
3,208,500 Gaji Teknisi
24,000,000 24,000,000
24,000,000 24,000,000
24,000,000 24,000,000
24,000,000 24,000,000
Gaji Operator Tambak 21,600,000
21,600,000 21,600,000
21,600,000 21,600,000
21,600,000 21,600,000
21,600,000 Gaji Ibu Dapur
6,000,000 6,000,000
6,000,000 6,000,000
6,000,000 6,000,000
6,000,000 6,000,000
Fixed Listrik 11,666,084
11,666,084 11,666,084
11,666,084 11,666,084
11,666,084 11,666,084
11,666,084 Saluran TV Berlangganan
1,200,000 1,200,000
1,200,000 1,200,000
1,200,000 1,200,000
1,200,000 1,200,000
Biaya Konsumsi 10,800,000
10,800,000 10,800,000
10,800,000 10,800,000
10,800,000 10,800,000
10,800,000 Biaya Pulsa
2,400,000 2,400,000
2,400,000 2,400,000
2,400,000 2,400,000
2,400,000 2,400,000
Pemeliharaan Bangunan 12,000,000
12,000,000 12,000,000
12,000,000 12,000,000
12,000,000 12,000,000
12,000,000 Tunjangan Hari Raya
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
Total Biaya tetap 95,874,584
95,874,584 95,874,584
95,874,584 95,874,584
95,874,584 95,874,584
95,874,584
B. Biaya variabel
Biaya Perbaikan Pengeringan 4,500,000
4,500,000 4,500,000
4,500,000 4,500,000
4,500,000 4,500,000
4,500,000 Kaporit
7,209,000 7,209,000
7,209,000 7,209,000
7,209,000 7,209,000
7,209,000 7,209,000
Benur 250,800,000
250,800,000 250,800,000
250,800,000 250,800,000
250,800,000 250,800,000
250,800,000 Transportasi Benur
25,080,000 25,080,000
25,080,000 25,080,000
25,080,000 25,080,000
25,080,000 25,080,000
Biaya Pakan 1,465,744,654
1,465,744,654 1,465,744,654
1,465,744,654 1,465,744,654
1,465,744,654 1,465,744,654
1,465,744,654 Transportasi Pakan
146,574,465 146,574,465
146,574,465 146,574,465
146,574,465 146,574,465
146,574,465 146,574,465
Probiotik -BactoGrow
2,925,000 2,925,000
2,925,000 2,925,000
2,925,000 2,925,000
2,925,000 2,925,000
-SoilGrow 4,425,000
4,425,000 4,425,000
4,425,000 4,425,000
4,425,000 4,425,000
4,425,000 -Fitogrow
900,000 900,000
900,000 900,000
900,000 900,000
900,000 900,000
-MinGrow 600,000
600,000 600,000
600,000 600,000
600,000 600,000
600,000 Transportasi Probiotik
885,000 885,000
885,000 885,000
885,000 885,000
885,000 885,000
Pelumas Blower 1,080,000
1,080,000 1,080,000
1,080,000 1,080,000
1,080,000 1,080,000
1,080,000 Pelumas Dinamo Kincir
4,320,000 4,320,000
4,320,000 4,320,000
4,320,000 4,320,000
4,320,000 4,320,000
Panen Parsial -Borongan Pekerja
15,000,000 15,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000
-Konsumsi Pekerja 7,500,000
7,500,000 7,500,000
7,500,000 7,500,000
7,500,000 7,500,000
7,500,000 Panen Total
-Borongan Pekerja 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 3,000,000
3,000,000 -Konsumsi Pekerja
1,500,000 1,500,000
1,500,000 1,500,000
1,500,000 1,500,000
1,500,000 1,500,000
Variabel Listrik 2,770,007,061
2,770,007,061 2,770,007,061
2,770,007,061 2,770,007,061
2,770,007,061 2,770,007,061
2,770,007,061 Thiosulfat
772,200 772,200
772,200 772,200
772,200 772,200
772,200 772,200
Solar Genset 47,250,000
47,250,000 47,250,000
47,250,000 47,250,000
47,250,000 47,250,000
47,250,000 Pajak Penghasilan 25
787,199,217 787,199,217
787,199,217 787,199,217
787,199,217 787,199,217
787,199,217 787,199,217
Total Biaya variabel 5,547,271,597
5,547,271,597 5,547,271,597
5,547,271,597 5,547,271,597
5,547,271,597 5,547,271,597
5,547,271,597 TOTAL BIAYA PRODUKSI
5,643,146,181 5,643,146,181
5,643,146,181 5,643,146,181
5,643,146,181 5,643,146,181
5,643,146,181 5,643,146,181
TOTAL OUTFLOW 3,152,608,500
5,643,146,181 5,644,101,181
5,646,473,181 5,644,101,181
5,918,676,181 5,647,428,181
5,643,146,181 6,068,245,181
NET BENEFIT -3152608500
116,354,819 115,399,819
113,027,819 115,399,819
139,425,181 112,072,819
116,354,819 296,544,181
DISCOUNT FACTOR 12.72 0.07
0.787 0.698
0.619 0.550
0.488 0.433
0.384 0.340
PV COSTTAHUN 229,781,961
4,441,394,396 3,940,867,656
3,497,625,844 3,101,629,297
2,885,484,191 2,442,552,212
2,165,276,985 2,065,638,401
PV BENEFITTAHUN -
4,532,970,553 4,021,443,003
3,567,639,286 3,165,045,498
2,817,511,363 2,491,024,490
2,209,922,366 1,964,694,384
PV BERSIH TAHUN 229,781,961
91,576,157 80,575,347
70,013,441 63,416,202
67,972,828 48,472,278
44,645,381 100,944,018
NPV IRR
12.72 JUMLAH PV positif
229,781,961 Rp
JUMLAH PV negatif 229,781,961
Rp NET BC
1.00 JUMLAH PV BENEFIT
24,770,250,943 Rp
JUMLAH PV COST 24,770,250,943
Rp GROSS BC
1.00 PAYBACK PERIOD
5.66
Tahun
Lampiran 15 Cash flow switching value harga TDL pada usaha tambak skala kecil 1 000 m
2
