Tests of H1 Margin of Safety: Life History Strategies and the Effects of Socioeconomic Status and Macroeconomic Conditions on Self-Selection into Accounting

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3. Tests of H1

—Life History Strategies of College Attendees versus Non-Attendees 3.1. Data Data for testing H1 are from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth NLSY. 7 The NLSY is a survey of roughly 10,000 randomly-selected Americans born between 1957 and 1964. It begins in 1979 and has been updated 24 times through 2012 to track participants ’ ongoing labor market activities and other significant life events. This dataset captures educational and career activities, as well as self-reported lifestyle attributes and choices. It is an ideal dataset for testing H1, because it allows linkage between indicators of early childhood SES, adolescent and adult lifestyle attributes, and educational and career choices. 3.2. Variables College attendee is our proxy for a person’s choice to pursue a college degree. We define a college attendee as a respondent in the NLSY who had completed at least four years of college by the age of 26. 8 To proxy for low SES , we identified respondents whose parents had not attended any college when the survey began in 1979. Parental education level is a widely-accepted proxy of SES, as it is positively associated with income and negatively associated with student loan debt and full-time work as a source of tuition assistance DeAngelo et al. 2011. To find proxies for life history strategy speed, we search for variables that are both available during the appropriate time in participants’ lives late adolescence and early adulthood when people also make career decisions and relevant to our theory. We find five variables from the NLSY that are available in relevant years and that theory suggests will be sensitive to the speed 7 See http:www.bls.govnlsnlsy79.htm and Appendix B for more information about the NLSY. We use the NLSY in tests of H1 but not in other tests, because the NLSY does not measure the degrees pursued by respondents attending college and graduating from college. 8 We repeated our tests with college attendee defined as anyone who completed one year of college by the age of 22, to proxy some college attendance as opposed to attendance and completion. We choose to emphasize the standard of completing four years by age 26, as it seems more relevant to our labor market self-selection theory to focus on those who complete college, but our inferences are the same using either proxy. 16 of a life history strategy . We use average age at first marriage , with older ages signifying a slower strategy Chisholm 1993, 9; average age at birth of first child , with older ages signifying a slower strategy Griskevicius et al. 2011b, Nettle 2010; average number of children , with fewer children signifying a slower strategy Nettle 2010; whether the respondent has smoked daily at any time in their life, with not smoking signifying a slower strategy Petridou et al. 1997; Hill and Chow 2002; and the age at which the respondent began smoking daily, with older ages signifying a slower strategy Petridou et al. 1997; Hill and Chow 2002. 3.3. Results We use a difference in difference analysis to test H1. Using the variables above, we partition the sample into four groups: 1 college non-attendees who are low SES , 2 college attendees who are low SES , 3 college non-attendees who are high SES , and 4 college attendees who are high SES . H1 is supported by larger differences between college attendee and non- attendee differences when socioeconomic status is low than when it is high, i.e., the difference between groups 1 and 2 is greater than the difference between groups 3 and 4. Table 1 shows that all five slower life history strategy proxies are consistent with low SES college attendees being significantly more likely than low SES college non-attendees to have made choices consistent with a slow life history strategy all p ≤ 0.02. 9 Further, there are five difference in differences in Table 1 to test whether the difference between college attendees and non- attendees is greater for low SES than for high SES. The difference between college attendees and college non-attendees is significantly greater for low SES respondents than for high SES respondents on four of the five measures p ≤ 0.09. The result for smoked daily is directionally consistent with our predictions but not statistically significant p = 0.13. 9 Hypothesis test p-values are one-tailed, because our predictions are directional. 17 Our results support H1 that college attendees from low SES backgrounds have especially slow life history strategies. Further, among college attendees, our results are consistent with low SES individuals exhibiting even slower strategies than high SES individuals on average number of children p = 0.03 and smoked daily 0.07. Thus, the pool of low SES people minimally eligible to select into accounting are predominately those with slow life history strategies. This point is critical in examining determinants of entry into accounting, as we theorize that distinguishing features of accounting likely make it appealing to people pursuing slower strategies.

4. Experimental Tests of H2 and H3