Study of Cattle Population Spatial Distribution of Jembrana Disease

IV. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

4.1 Study of Cattle Population

South Kalimantan province is one of the regions with the number of beef cattle is quite high in the Kalimantan Island. The population of cattle in this area was 218,065 animals in 2009 with the density of cattle were 5.83 animals per kilometer square. The highest cattle population is Tanah Laut that is equal to 80,533 animals or approximately 36.93 of total population, followed by Tanah Bumbu district with a population of 30,556 14.01 and Banjar district with a population of 18,413 8.44. There are 13 sub districts with a cattle density more than 30 heads per kilometer square, 9 sub districts with a cattle density between 20 – 30 headskm 2 , 17 sub districts with a cattle density between 10 – 20 headskm 2 , 9 sub districts with a cattle density between 5 – 10 headskm 2 , and 93 sub districts with cattle density less than 5 headskm 2 Figure 6. Figure 6. Cattle Population in South Kalimantan Province

4.2 Spatial Distribution of Jembrana Disease

During 2008 to 2010, 1714 samples were collected from 46 villages, covered 31 sub districts and 10 districts in South Kalimantan province. JD sample were not collected in 120 sub districts. Sample collection focused on the endemic area and in the area with higher of Bali cattle population. The distribution of JD sample location during this period is shown in Figure 7. The sample collection mainly conducted at district of Barito Kuala, Tanah Bumbu, Tabalong, Kotabaru, and Tanah Laut. There were no any sample collection in district of Hulu Sungai Tengah, Hulu Sungai Utara, and Banjarmasin. Figure 7. The Distribution of JD Sample Location during 2008 – 2010 There are 571 samples 33.31 were screened by ELISA, 122 samples 7.12 were screened by PCR, and 1021 samples 59.57 were screened by ELISA followed by PCR. Among the total of 1143 samples which were screened by PCR or ELISA and followed by PCR, 57 samples 4.99 were positive to JD based on the PCR assay. The results of the sample testing are shown in Table 2. The JD prevalence in South Kalimantan province tends to decrease in this period. Table 2. The Number of JD Seropositive and Seroprevalence based on the PCR in South Kalimantan Province during 2008 – 2010 Year Sample Positive Negative Prevalence 2008 54 11 43 20.37 2009 293 15 278 5.12 2010 796 31 765 3.89 There are eight districts had been reported at least one positive serological result to JD. The highest JD seropositive was in Barito Kuala, followed by Tanah Laut and Tabalong, while the lowest JD seropositive was in Tapin and Kotabaru. There are five districts that are no samples tested by PCR or ELISA followed by PCR, i.e. Hulu Sungai Selatan, Hulu Sungai Tengah, Hulu Sungai Utara, Balangan, and Banjarmasin. Table 3. The Number of JD Seropositive and Seroprevalence at District Level in South Kalimantan Province during 2008 – 2010. District Sample Positive Negative Prevalence Tanah Laut 149 14 135 9.40 Barito Kuala 492 17 475 3.46 Tapin 4 2 2 50.0 Tanah Bumbu 263 3 260 1.14 Kotabaru 6 1 5 16.67 Banjar 22 3 19 13.64 Tabalong 193 12 181 6.22 Banjarbaru 14 4 10 28.57 Kalimantan Selatan 1143 57 1086 4.99 The seroprevalence of JD at district level ranged from 1.14 to 50.00 Table 3. However, due to the limitation of sample, the JD seroprevalence in Tapin and Kotabaru was excluded in this analysis. The number of samples in this area was not representative. The highest JD seroprevalence was located at Banjarbaru, followed by Banjar and Tanah Laut, while the lowest JD seroprevalence was Tanah Bumbu. The overall prevalence of JD in South Kalimantan was 4.99. Figure 8. The Jembrana Disease Seropositive in South Kalimantan Province Among the total 13 districts in South Kalimantan Province, 8 districts 61.54 had at least one positive serological result to JD Figure 8. There are 5 districts that were not classified as endemic area occupied by 16.12 of the total cattle population, 5 districts were low endemic area occupied by 36.72 of the total cattle population, and 3 districts were medium endemic area occupied by 47.15 of the total cattle population. Sample testing positive to JD mostly located in the southern, western, and northern parts of the province Figure 8. Based on the risk area, there are 5 districts were not classified occupied by 16.12 of the total cattle population, 6 districts were low risk area occupied by 73.87 of the total cattle population, 1 district was medium risk area occupied by 8.45 of the total cattle population, and 1 district were high risk area occupied by 1.57 of the total cattle population Figure 9. District of Tapin and Kotabaru were assumed to be classified as low risk area due to limited sample. Figure 9. The Jembrana Disease Seroprevalence in South Kalimantan Province JD is endemic in several districts in South Kalimantan province since the first outbreak. Based on the clinical, pathologic, and virologic, JD was found in district of Tanah Laut and Tanah Bumbu. The results of this study showed that JD serologically found throughout the district which have taken samples both blood and tissue sample. It is allow that JD seropositive was also found in all districts in South Kalimantan province. During this period, JD has spread to other districts especially Barito Kuala, Banjarbaru, Banjar, Tapin, and Tabalong Figure 9. Uncontrolled movement of cattle was probably a factor in the spread of JD. Ditjennak 2005 explained that regional autonomy and cattle trading played a role in the spread of JD in South Kalimantan province. There are several livestock check-points on the border that was not functioning properly. The suspected cattle allow entering new area that free from JD due to the infected cattle was not usually show the clinical signs of JD. The JD virus was transmitted by suspected or carrier cattle to healthy cattle in non endemic area. ELISA is a common diagnostic method for JD serological test but can lead to false positive results of vaccination. Vaccination activities that have not been implemented uniformly in all areas make it difficult to distinguish JD cases. Confirmation by PCR test must be implemented to test the causative agent of JD with better accuracy. PCR can be used to confirm both field and laboratory diagnosis of JD in Bali cattle with good accuracy Tenaya and Hartaningsih 2005. Therefore, the analysis of JD spatial distribution in this study used PCR technique to determine JD seropositive. This spatial analysis was limited to the described endemic area based on the active and passive surveillance. From a total of 1714 samples, 64 samples 3.73 come from active surveillance. However, the understanding of the spatial distribution of JD would be enhanced if the non endemic area were also included in the active and passive surveillance. It is also important to consider the sample size is proportional to its cattle population in the next investigation.

4.3 Jembrana Disease Mapping