Benefits and Return BENEFIT OF INVESTMENTS

Country Investment Plan for Food Fortification in Indonesia lvi

CHAPTER 8 BENEFIT OF INVESTMENTS

AND COMMITMENTS TO GOVERNMENT

8.1. Benefits and Return

Several common measures of the financial analysis, such as Benefits- Cost BC analysis, Net Present Value NPV, and Internal Rate of Return IRR, are applied in this study. Applying these measures in the field of food fortification program is not easy since some impacts of food fortification are difficult to measure quantitatively in terms of economic. Therefore, some assumptions are made, as shown in Appendix 1. The computer program of PROFILES spreadsheet, developed by ADB- Keystone Center Consultants, was used for financial analysis. The analysis was done based on additional cost and the additional benefits for each cost and benefits components. The components of the additional cost and benefits identified are presented in the following table Table 8.1. Table 8.1 Components of Cost and Benefits in the Financial Analysis of Food Fortification Programs. No. Nutrients to be fortified Additional cost Additional benefits 1. Iron for wheat flour Fortificant Equipment QAQC Training Monitoring surveillance Improving cognitive Increasing productivity 2. Vitamin A for palm oil Fortificant Equipment QAQC Training Monitoring surveillance Lives saved Health care cost saving 3. Iodine for salt n.a n.a 4. Folic acid for wheat flour Fortificant Equipment QAQC Training Monitoring Lives saved Health care cost saving Country Investment Plan for Food Fortification in Indonesia lvii surveillance The financial analysis was not applied to iodine fortification because no consensus on the method for calculating the cost and the financial benefit of iodine fortification had been made by the Regional Study Team and Consultant of ADB-Keystone Center. Therefore the computer program of PROFILES for that analysis was not available. The results of the financial analysis for the iron, vitamin A and folic acid fortification showed that the benefit-cost ratio of the iron – folic acid and vitamin A is 10.7 and 7.0 respectively. While the Net Present Values of each of the fortification programs are US 135.526 and 214.529 million respectively with a very high the internal rate of return Table 8.2. These evidences indicate that each of the fortification programs is very feasible financially. Table 8.2. Results of the Financial Analysis of Food Fortification in Indonesia No Nutrients to be fortified Vehicles BC Ratio NPV 10-yr USD 1000 r = 5 IRR 10-yr 1. Iron and folic acid Wheat flour 10.7 135,526 402 2. Vitamin A Palm cooking oil 7.0 214,529 521 3. Iron, folic acid vitamin A Wheat flour palm cooking oil 7.8 350,055 469 4. Iodine Salt n.a n.a n.a r = discount rate For the detail see appendix 1.

8.2 Risk Analysis