INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND 25
Table 5. Sensitivity Analysis-Effect of Changes in Selected Assumptions in FY 2015 –2016
in millions of SDRs
1 Implicit returns on GRA interest-free resources. 2 Assumes May 1 transaction with full drawing of SDR 10 billion, access of 1,000 percent of quota and no change in current
quotas. Includes service charges, margin on the basic rate of charge and level based surcharges commitment fees are excluded.
28. Burden sharing adjustments are expected to remain low in FY 2015 see Table 6 below.
Given current levels of overdue obligations, sharply higher lending and the prevailing low interest rate environment, burden sharing adjustments remain at very low levels. The Board amended the decision
on burden sharing in FY 2010 to take account of the low burden sharing adjustments and allow for a “carry-forward” of excess amounts generated from a minimum adjustment of one basis point to the
rate of charge and the rate of remuneration.
30
If the amounts brought forward are sufficient to offset deferred charges in subsequent quarters, no adjustments are necessary for such quarters. This was
the case for the third quarter of FY 2014. Going forward, burden sharing adjustments are expected to remain low, with adjustments projected for the second and fourth quarter of FY 2015.
Table 6. Recent Burden Sharing Adjustment Rates and FY 2015 Quarterly Rates in basis points, unless otherwise stated
1 The average rates have been calculated using the quarterly burden sharing rates and SDR interest rates. 2 The SDR interest rates are projected to average 0.1 percent in FY 2014.
3 Less than 0.5 basis points.
30
See The Fund’s Income Position for FY 2010—Midyear Review 1282009, paragraphs 8–10. SDR interest rate by 50 basis points
Implicit returns 1 32
Credit tranche purchases non-FCL by SDR 10 billion 2 290
U.S. dollar exchange vis-à-vis SDR by five percent 33
Investment income margin by 50 basis points 74
Change in:
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 Q1
Q2 Q3
Q4 Q1
Q2 Q3
Q4 Rate of Remuneration 1
Total average adjustment 23
14 5
1 –
3
–
3
–
3
– –
1 –
– 1
– 1
Deferred charges 13
14 5
1 –
3
–
3
–
3
– –
1 –
– 1
– 1
SCA-1 10
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
Rate of Charge 1 Total average adjustment
23 16
5 1
–
3
–
3
–
3
– –
1 –
– 1
– 1
Deferred charges 13
16 5
1 –
3
–
3
–
3
– –
1 –
– 1
– 1
SCA-1 10
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
Average SDR interest rate in percent 2 3.96 3.64 1.79 0.29 0.35
0.30 0.09
0.07 0.07
0.11 0.14
0.18 0.21
0.26 0.31
Average basic rate of charge in percent 5.04 4.72 2.79 1.29 1.35
1.30 1.09
1.07 1.07
1.11 1.14
1.18 1.21
1.26 1.31
FY15 Projected
FY14
CORRECTED: 42514 REVIEW OF THE
FUND’S INCOME POSITION FOR FY 2014 AND FY 2015-2016
26 INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
REVIEW OF SPECIAL CHARGES
29. The decision on special charges on overdue financial obligations in the GRA and the
