Company Presentation FY 2015
1
PT Toba Bara Sejahtra Tbk (
䇾
Toba
䇿
)
Company Presentation
Full Year 2015
(2)
Disclaimer
These materials have been prepared by PT Toba Bara Sejahtra (the “Company”).
These materials may contain statements that constitute forward-looking statements. These statements include descriptions regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the Company or its officers with respect to the consolidated results of operations and financial condition of the Company. These statements can be recognized by the use of words such as “expects,”“plan,”“will,”“estimates,”“projects,”“intends,” or words of similar meaning. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors and assumptions. The Company has no obligation and does not undertake to revise forward-looking statements to reflect future events or circumstances.
These materials are for information purposes only and do not constitute or form part of an offer, solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for any securities of the Company, in any jurisdiction, nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied upon in any connection with, any contract, commitment or investment decision whatsoever. Any decision to purchase or subscribe for any securities of the Company should be made after seeking appropriate professional advice.
(3)
Table of Contents
2
5
Company Profile
4
2015 Operational Highlights
3
2015 Marketing Highlights
Guidance for 2016
1
2015 Financial Highlights
(4)
4
Company Profile
(5)
JORC-compliant proved and probable reserves of 147 MM tons and measured, indicated and inferred resources of 236 MM tons
Coal brands with mid to upper range calorific
values (CV) of 4,700-5,800 kcal/kg GAR
Strong production growth profile, registering
~34% CAGR between 2008 and 2015. Produced 6.5 MM tons in 2013 and grew ~25% to 8.1 MM tons in 2014
Prime location near Capital of East Kalimantan
and proximity to waterways provides
operational cost edge to grow as logistical & operational center for the area
Strong Growth
Profile
Toba specializes in thermal coal production and comprises of three mining subsidiaries: Adimitra
Baratama Nusantara (ABN), Indomining (IM) and Trisensa Mineral Utama (TMU)
Toba Bara Sejahtra in Brief
Diversified Thermal Coal
Reserves and Resources
(6)
Strategic Mine Locations
Muara Berau
Muara Jawa Makassar Strait
~55 km (total ~120 km)
Balikpapan Samarinda
~65 km
Major
City Jetty Transhipment Point
TMU – IM Hauling Road
Kutai Energi
TMU
ABN IM
Major city to north is less than
50 km
Adjacent locations for all
3 mines
Close proximity to jetty and transhipment point of Muara
Jawa Distance from pit to
jetty, with closest one ~5 km and furthest ~25 km ~5 km
IM jetty ABN jetty
Toba owns all infrastructures (coal processing plant, overland conveyors, and jetties), giving significant operating leverage vs other concessions in surrounding areas
25 km
(7)
TMU
IMABN
TMU
Underpass Infrastructure
Loading Speed of 1,800 TPH High Built CPP Cap
up to 10 Mn TPA Short Coal Hauling
Distance < 5km
~16 km Hauling Road to Connect with ABN
Mine Ops Commenced at Block 4
CPP Capacity (cap) Ramped Up to 6 Mn Tons/Annum (TPA)
IM Conveyor for TMU usage &
Others
Short Coal Hauling Distance ~4km
Infrastructure & Operational Capabilities
Toba’s Concessions
Integrated CPP and
Jetty Ops with IM 7
Note: PT Adimitra Baratama Nusantara (ABN) PT Indomining (IM)
(8)
20-year Production Operation Mining Permit (䇾IUP-OP䇿) expiring in December 2029
IUP-OP was converted from
Kuasa Pertambangan (䇾KP䇿) in 2009
IUP-OP expires in June 2013
IUP-OP was converted from KP in 2010
IUP-OP extension was
completed in March 2013 (First out of 2 extensions: in 2023, with tenor of 10 years each)
13-year IUP-OP expires in December 2023
IUP-OP was converted from a KP in 2010
Plantation permit of PT Perkebunan Kaltim Utama I (PKU) expires in 2036
2,990 ha 683 ha 3,414 ha 8,633 ha (Right to Use Land)
Reserves: 117 MT- JORC
Resources: 156 MT- JORC
Reserve: 22 MT- JORC
Resources: 37 MT- JORC
Reserves : 8 MT - JORC
Resources: 43 MT- JORC Planted Area: 2,896 ha
Ownership Structure
Note:
1. Figures are rounded off
License
Area
Davit Togar Pandjaitan PT Bara Makmur Abadi
PT Toba Sejahtra PT Sinergi Sukses Utama Roby Budi Prakoso
71.8% 0.8% 6.2% 5.1%
PT Toba Bumi Energi (䇾TBE䇿)
99.99% (1) 99.99% (1)
3.6%
ABN Minorities
49.0%
51.00% 99.99% (1)
Public
12.5%
Reserve
90.00%
(9)
9
2015 Operational Highlights
(10)
Realization
2015
“Strengthening Resilience for Sustainable Growth”
Operational 2014(2) 2015 Δ
%
Production Vol 8.1 6.1 (24.7)%
Sales Vol 7.9 6.4 (19.0)%
Stripping Ratio 13.3 12.3 (7.5)%
Sales 500.0 348.7 (30.3)%
EBITDA 67.0 53.7 (19.9)%
Net Profit 35.5 25.7 (27.6)%
Financial 2014 2015
63.7
NEWC Index 70.8 59.2 (16.4)%
ASP 54.8 (14.0)%
mn ton mn ton x
US$/ton US$/ton
US$ mn US$ mn US$ mn
Δ%
EBITDA/Ton US$/ton 8.5 8.4 (1.1)% Focused on profitable production output
through optimization of :
Infrastructure and connectivity sharing
(hauling road, coal processing plants (CPP), & jetties)
Joint mine plan between three adjacent
operating mines
Competitive & premium coal pricing
driven by strong coal branding from
consistency in scheduled delivery/product quality and established customer
relationship with diversified customer base
Average Selling Price (ASP)
outperformance relative to benchmark
Newcastle due to sale executions based on well-timed predictions in market trends
Note:
(1) EBITDA = Gross Profit – selling expenses – G&A + depreciation and amortization (2) Restated due to compliance on PSAK 24R implementation
(11)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ABN IM TMU
G u id a n c e
Annual Coal Production
Mt : In Million Tons
5.6
6.5
5.0 - 7.0
8.1
Production volume rose from only 800K tons in 2008 to 6.1 mn tons in 2015, booking CAGR growth of 33.6% over 8 years
With strategy to sustain certain margin, while preserving life-of-mine (LoM) reserves, 2015 production reached 6.1 mn, in line with 2015 target of 6.0-8.0 mn tons and mine plan
Stripping Ratio (SR) stabilized
at 12.3x, or at higher end of 2015 target range of 11x-12x, but lower than 13.3x in 2014
2015 overall results from subsidiaries came in line with 2015 annual guidance
Cumulative production achievement >10 Mt
Cumulative production achievement >20 Mt 5.2
4.1
0.8
2.0
2015 Production
2008 2009
ABN (Mt) IM (Mt)
0.1 1.1
0.7 0.9
0.8 2.0
Production Vol. (Mt)
2010 2011
3.1 3.8
1.0 1.4
4.1 5.2
2012
4.4 1.0 5.6
2013 2014
4.2 4.4
1.4 2.3
6.5 8.1
TMU (Mt) SR (x)
- -
11.9x 10.5x
- -
9.9x 12.7x
0.2 14.9x
0.9 1.4
13.4x 13.3x
2015E
4.0-5.0 1.1-1.5 6.0-8.0
0.9-1.5
11x-12x 11
2015 6.1 3.9 1.2 1.0 12.3x 6.1
(12)
2015 Operational Performance
Quarterly Production & Stripping Ratio (SR)
Production in Thousand Tons
Production Summary
MT: Million Ton
2014 2015 Change Comment
Sales Volume
SR (x)
7.9 6.4
13.3 12.3
(19.0)%
(7.5)%
Sales volume decreased by 19.0% in line with production adjustment
SR contracted resulting in lower mining cost
8.1 6.1 Production volume declined y-o-y to 6.1 mn tons in 2015 in line with mine plan, while ensuring certain margin and optimizing reserve preservation
(24.7)%
Production Volume
Production Summary
MT: Million Ton
Q-o-q production volume of 1.5 mn tons in 4Q15 came in line with 2015 quarterly guidance of 1.5 -2.0 mn tons
2015 SR and quarterly SR
stabilized at 12x level, in line with annual and quarterly SR guidance of 11x - 12x
Quarterly SR decreased y-o-y by 12.3% from 13.8x in 4Q14 to 12.1x in 4Q15
12
1,950 1,911 2,160 2,330 1,653 1,505 1,469 1,565 1,529 12.7x 13.5x 13.8x 12.5x 13.8x 12.4x 12.5x 12.0x 12.1x
0.0x 5.0x 10.0x 15.0x 20.0x 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
TOBA
(13)
ABN Operational Performance
ABN
TMU
IM
PT Kutai Energi
Quarterly Production & Stripping Ratio Production in Thousand Tons
Key Highlights
4Q15 quarterly production increased y-o-y and q-o-q from 4Q14 and 3Q15 respectively, both in line with
2015 internal guidance
SR in 4Q15 edged down q-o-q to 12.6x level from 13.0x in 3Q15, and by 11.3% y-o-y from 14.2x in 4Q14
13
930 904 969 987 994
14.2x
13.1x 13.3x 13.0x 12.6x
0x 5x 10x 15x 20x
840 860 880 900 920 940 960 980 1,000 1,020
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
ABN
(14)
IM Operational Performance
TMU
ABN
PT Kutai Energi
Quarterly Production & Stripping Ratio Production in Thousand Tons
Key Highlights
Production increase of 288K tons in 4Q15 came in line with 2015 internal quarterly guidance of 275K -
375K tons
SR in 4Q15 edged up q-o-q and y-o-y respectively
14
493 388 231 319 288 13.3x
12.0x 12.7x 12.2x 13.6x
0x 5x 10x 15x
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
IM
(15)
TMU Operational Performance
ABN IM
PT Kutai Energi
Note:
- - -
Hauling roadKey Highlights
Quarterly Production & Stripping Ratio Production in Thousand Tons
4Q15 production volume came in at 247K tons, in line with 2015 internal quarterly production guidance of
225K-375K tons
4Q15 SR on q-o-q and y-o-y basis stabilized at 8.3x and declined by 35.7% from 12.9x respectively due
to operational improvement
15
231 213 269 259 247 12.9x
10.4x
9.4x
8.3x 8.3x
0x 5x 10x 15x
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
TMU
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16
2015 Financial Highlights
(17)
Evolution of Quarterly FOB Cash Cost from 3Q12-4Q15
Quarterly FOB Cash Cost
In US$/ton
Notes:
(1) FOB Cash Cost = COGS including royalty and selling & marketing expense – depreciation and amortization
(2) Adj. FOB cash costs = COGS, including selling & marketing expense and royalty – depreciation & amortization of deferred exploration & development costs and excluding deferred stripping cost
Constant convergence between FOB cash cost and adjusted FOB cash cost underline
normalization of SR over quarterly period resulting from more efficient mine operations
17
60 57 55 55 53 49 49 53 51 50 47 43 41 38
63
52
59
56
51 52 51 54 50 51
46
42 41
38 14.2x
12.1x
15.1x
13.6x
12.7x 12.7x 13.5x
13.8x
12.5x
13.8x
12.4x 12.5x 12.0x 12.1x
0x 3x 6x 9x 12x 15x 18x 21x
0 20 40 60 80 100
3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
(18)
51.5 40.7 12.4 10.3 4.3 4.8 2014 2015 TMU IM ABN
54.9 44.9
48.4 42.5 46.9 35.0 2014 2015 TMU IM ABN
4.4 3.9
2.3 1.2 1.4 1.0 2014 2015 TMU IM ABN 6.1
Operational & Financial Highlights
Production (mn tons)
8.1
24.7%
FOB Cash Cost (US$/ton)
51.3 42.2
17.7%
EBITDA (US$ mn)
67.0 53.7
19.9%
1
2
3
In line with the mine plan,
production volume decreased 24.7% y-o-y to 6.1 mn tons in 2015. Sales volume decreased 19.0% to 6.4 mn tons over the same period, following the production adjustment
FOB cash cost fell by 17.7% y-o-y,
resulting from continuous cost
management initiatives, better
execution of mine plan, and lower fuel costs
EBITDA declined by 19.9% y-o-y to US$ 53.7 mn in 2015, yet EBITDA margin increased from 13.4% to
15.4% over the same period due to
the same reasons above
Notes:
(1) FOB Cash Cost = COGS including royalty and selling &marketing expense – depreciation and amortization
(2) EBITDA = Gross Profit – selling expenses – G&A + depreciation and amortization
(19)
Financial and Operational Highlights
All figures are in million US$ unless
otherwise stated 2014
3)
2015 Changes
Operation
Sales Volume mn ton 7.9 6.4 (19.0)%
Production Volume mn ton 8.1 6.1 (24.7)%
Stripping Ratio (SR) X 13.3 12.3 (7.5)%
FOB Cash Cost1)
US$/ton 51.3 42.2 (17.7)%
NEWC Index Price US$/ton 70.8 59.2 (16.4)%
Average Selling Price (ASP) US$/ton 63.7 54.8 (14.0)%
Financial Performance
Profit (Loss) 2014 2015 Changes
Sales US$ mn 500.0 348.7 (30.3)%
Cost of Goods Sold US$ mn 413.8 278.1 (32.8)%
Gross Profit US$ mn 86.2 70.5 (18.2)%
Operating Profit US$ mn 55.7 42.3 (24.1)%
EBITDA2)
US$ mn 67.0 53.7 (19.9)%
Profit for the Period US$ mn 35.5 25.7 (27.6)%
Total Comprehensive Income for the
Period US$ mn 31.7 29.8 (6.0)%
EBITDA/ton US$/ton 8.5 8.4 (1.1)%
Operating cash flows US$ mn 18.9 19.7 4.2%
Capex US$ mn 15.4 12.1 (21.4)%
Balance Sheet 2014 2015 Changes
Interest Bearing Debt US$ mn 58.1 64.0 10.2%
Cash and Cash Equivalents US$ mn 47.8 45.5 (4.8)%
Net Debt US$ mn 10.3 18.5 79.6%
Total Assets US$ mn 300.7 282.4 (6.1)%
Total Liabilities US$ mn 158.8 127.3 (19.8)%
Total Equity US$ mn 141.9 155.1 9.3%
Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin % 17.2% 20.2%
EBITDA Margin % 13.4% 15.4%
Operating Profit Margin % 11.1% 12.1%
Financial Performance
Notes: (1) FOB Cash Cost = COGS including royalty and selling expense – depreciation and amortization (2) EBITDA = Gross Profit – selling expenses – G&A + depreciation and amortization (3) Restated due to compliance on PSAK 24R implementation
16.4% weaker y-o-y NEWC Index price caused decline in ASP at lower pace of 14.0% due to marketing initiative of predicting market downtrend and securing contracts at fixed price
Financial position remains solid as
cash preservation is maintained with
cash and cash equivalents at US$ 45.5 million as of Dec 2015
Stabilization of annual SR to 11x-12x
level is shown by y-o-y decline by 7.5% to 12.3x in 2015
19
Gross profit margin, EBITDA margin, and operating margin each rose y-o-y
to 2015 resulting from better
operational performance, disciplined cost management initiatives, and effective marketing strategy
3)
(20)
Balance Sheet
Consolidated Balance SheetIn Million US$
Net Debt to EBITDA2)
In Million US$
Total assets moderated 6.1% to US$ 282.4 mn at end-2015 from US$ 300.7 mn as per end 2014,
while liabilities dropped much more by 19.8% to US$ 127.3 mn over the same period
Total equity value increased 9.3% to US$ 155.1 mn from US$ 141.9 mn, attributable to additional
profit for the period booked in unappropriated retained earnings
Net Debt to EBITDA ratio has constantly recorded stability from quarter to quarter at way below 2x
Note:
(1) Restated due to compliance on PSAK 24R implementation
(2) EBITDA = Gross Profit – selling expenses – G&A + depreciation and amortization
20
282.4
Total Assets 300.7 (6.1)%
Interest Bearing Debt 58.1 64.0 10.2%
Total Liabilities 158.8 127.3 (19.8)%
Shareholders Equity 141.9 155.1 9.3%
Balance Sheet Dec ’141) Dec ‘15 Changes
Cash and Cash Equivalent 47.8 45.5 (4.8)%
10.3
9.2
8.9
13.3
18.5
9.5
17.7
12.1 12.2 11.7
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
Net Debt (Cash) (US$ Mn) EBITDA (US$ Mn)
(21)
21
2015 Marketing Highlights
(22)
Overall Marketing Performance
Covergence of NEWC Index & ASP (in US$/ton) Sales by Product Mainly Contributed by 5600 (GAR)
Average NEWC Index declined by 16.4% from US$ 70.8/ton 2014 to US$ 59.2/ton in 2015, while ASP
contracted less by 14.0% from US$ 63.7/ton to US$ 54.8/ton over the same period
at ~66%, the 5,600 GAR products account for the largest portion of 2015 total sales volume
22 US$/ ton 98.5 121.1 96.9 85.3 70.8 59.2 65.5 91.3 72.2
66.6 63.7
54.8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
NEWC
ASP 12.1%
35.6%
30.0%
10.1%
8.2%
4.0%
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
4800 5600 HS 5600 RS 5800 5900 LS Others Million Tons Notes:
- HS is High Sulphur, max 2.0%
- RS is Regular Sulphur, max 1.0%
(23)
More Diversified Market Base & Customer Base
Initiatives Undertaken:
Total Sales by Customer Type Sales Destinations by Country
Building well-diversified export destination base and customer base backed by positive demand
prospects and quality customers respectively: In 2015, Korea replaced China as main export
destination, while the customer base consisted of mainly reputable international traders with growing composition of notable regional end-users, increasing from 3.6% in 2014 to 36.8% in 2015
Maintaining product brand with customers by making good on delivery with specifications ensured
Achieving tighter discount to even premium to Newcastle adjusted reference price
23 32.4%
13.9%
12.8%
10.1%
8.9%
8.7%
4.3%
4.1%
3.2%
1.7%
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Korea Taiwan Malaysia India China Japan Vietnam Thailand Bang'desh Others
Million Tons
2.1 Mt
63.2% 36.8%
Traders End-Users
(24)
24
Guidance for 2016
(25)
Snapshot of 2016F
Operation
Prod Vol (mn ton)
SR (x) 12.3x
6.1 2014
13.3x 8.1
NEWC Coal Price (US$/ton) 70.8 59.2
Objective is to execute disciplined mine plan that generates certain margin without compromising long
term reserves
After 17.7% y-o-y reduction in FOB cash cost in 2015, joint mine plan and infrastructure sharing are to be better streamlined among 3 operating subsidiaries, with initiatives to lower costs throughout value chain from mining to logistics costs
Marketing is to focus on better diversification of export destination base and customer base (ideal mix between traders and end-users) and maintaining product branding
2016 CAPEX is estimated at US$ 5 - 8 mn to support mainly mining facilities and equipment, and to
lesser extent, plantation operation of PKU. Currently, PKU is in final stage of constructing palm oil mill with capacity of 30 fresh fruit bunch (FFB) / hour to be completed by first semester 2016
To maintain sustainable business growth by having more stable revenue stream, Toba is currently
evaluating prospects of undergoing downstream integration in energy-related sector
25
11x - 12x 5 - 7 2016 F
50 - 55 2015
(26)
(1)
21
2015 Marketing Highlights
4
(2)
Overall Marketing Performance
Covergence of NEWC Index & ASP (in US$/ton) Sales by Product Mainly Contributed by 5600 (GAR)
Average NEWC Index declined by 16.4% from US$ 70.8/ton 2014 to US$ 59.2/ton in 2015, while ASP contracted less by 14.0% from US$ 63.7/ton to US$ 54.8/ton over the same period
at ~66%, the 5,600 GAR products account for the largest portion of 2015 total sales volume
22 US$/ ton 98.5 121.1 96.9 85.3 70.8 59.2 65.5 91.3 72.2
66.6 63.7
54.8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 NEWC
ASP 12.1%
35.6%
30.0%
10.1%
8.2%
4.0%
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
4800 5600 HS 5600 RS 5800 5900 LS Others Million Tons Notes:
- HS is High Sulphur, max 2.0% - RS is Regular Sulphur, max 1.0% - LS is Low Sulphur, max 0.6%
(3)
More Diversified Market Base & Customer Base
Initiatives Undertaken:
Total Sales by Customer Type Sales Destinations by Country
Building well-diversified export destination base and customer base backed by positive demand prospects and quality customers respectively: In 2015, Korea replaced China as main export
destination, while the customer base consisted of mainly reputable international traders with growing composition of notable regional end-users, increasing from 3.6% in 2014 to 36.8% in 2015
Maintaining product brand with customers by making good on delivery with specifications ensured Achieving tighter discount to even premium to Newcastle adjusted reference price
23 32.4% 13.9% 12.8% 10.1% 8.9% 8.7% 4.3% 4.1% 3.2% 1.7%
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Korea Taiwan Malaysia India China Japan Vietnam Thailand Bang'desh Others Million Tons 2.1 Mt 63.2% 36.8% Traders End-Users
(4)
24
Guidance for 2016
5
(5)
Snapshot of 2016F
Operation
Prod Vol (mn ton)
SR (x) 12.3x
6.1
2014
13.3x 8.1
NEWC Coal Price (US$/ton) 70.8 59.2
Objective is to execute disciplined mine plan that generates certain margin without compromising long term reserves
After 17.7% y-o-y reduction in FOB cash cost in 2015, joint mine plan and infrastructure sharing are to be better streamlined among 3 operating subsidiaries, with initiatives to lower costs throughout value chain from mining to logistics costs
Marketing is to focus on better diversification of export destination base and customer base (ideal mix between traders and end-users) and maintaining product branding
2016 CAPEX is estimated at US$ 5 - 8 mn to support mainly mining facilities and equipment, and to lesser extent, plantation operation of PKU. Currently, PKU is in final stage of constructing palm oil mill with capacity of 30 fresh fruit bunch (FFB) / hour to be completed by first semester 2016
To maintain sustainable business growth by having more stable revenue stream, Toba is currently evaluating prospects of undergoing downstream integration in energy-related sector
25
11x - 12x 5 - 7
2016 F
50 - 55
(6)