Land Subsidence Sea Level Change and Its Impact To The Coastal Area of Semarang City, Central Java

term is not restricted on the basis of size of area affected, rate of displacement, or causal mechanism. Land subsidence in Semarang city had been occurring with northern part of its city as the main region of subsided. There are three major factors that causing land subsidence in Semarang City i.e.; geological structure of soil, groundwater withdrawal, and buildingconstruction load. Geologically, Semarang has three main lithologies, namely, volcanic rock, sedimentary rock, and alluvial deposits. According to Sukhyar 2003, the basement of Semarang consists of Tertiary Claystone of the Kalibiuk Formation. Overlying this Formation is the Notopuro Formation, which consists of Quaternary volcanic material. Those two formations crop out in the southern part of the Semarang area. The northern part of the Semarang area is covered by Kali Garang deltaic alluvium up to a depth of 80 to 100 m in the coastal area. Aquifers are found at depths ranging from 30 to 80 m in this alluvium. Van Bemmelen 1949 reported that the shoreline of Semarang progresses relatively quick toward the sea, namely about 2 km in 2.5 centuries or about 8 myear. That “new” land area is located in northern part of Semarang City deltaic area is composed by very young alluvium with high compressibility. Alluvium, as the upset soil layer in coastal area of Semarang City is not stabile and its density can be easily changed. The instability of soil layers in deltaic area will easily change the pattern of soil layer and without human factor it can causing land subsidence. As development started to continue, there are some impacts that occur in Semarang City, one of them is land conversion. Swamp forest, agriculture area and human non-infrastructure use had been converting into houses, building and infrastructure. In 1660, the first area that was converted into human uses building and infrastructure is the area that nowadays known as Tanjung Mas harbor area. Around 600 years ago, Tanjung Mas harbor area is not land area but it known as the area that covered by seawater completely. Deltaic sedimentation, river deposit, and sediment cover from tides process formed this land area so that the soil layer in that area is still young. To supported Tanjung Mas harbor area as the central area of development, the buffer area of Tanjung Mas also converted and becomes houses, building and infrastructure. In 1741, the conversion reach around 44.69 Ha and it increased to 109.78 Ha 44.70 in 1880. In 1927, the building area expanded toward southern part of Semarang City with the increasing to348.14 Ha and in 2009, building and infrastructure has covered all part of coastal area with total area reach 37,984.41 Ha more than 100 times than in 1927. Semarang City especially coastal area, with very young unstable alluvium soil layer and can be decrease without human factor, since 1660 started experience land subsidence which also caused by building load as the impact of development. The illustration of building and construction distribution increased over Semarang city, especially coastal area, can be seen in Figure 2.5. a b Source: Interpretation of ALOS AVNIR-2 images and Helmi 2010 Figure 2.5. Building and construction distribution over Semarang city in a red in 1600, green is increasing until 1741, violet is increasing until 1880, blue is increasing until 1927 and b yellow is increasing until 2009 Development with the expansion in number and area of building and infrastructure has been encouraged the increasing of population through urbanization. Peoples started moved to the area near facilities office building, hospital, road, school, etc. where all of facilities were centralized built in deltaic area had been knowing also as Semarang Bawah. As the effect of increasing population, the needs of water also increase. Groundwater is one of the water source that can be easily access by peoples and cheaper than other sources. Peoples and industries started utilize ground water as their main water source. When groundwater in the upper layer was not enough to supply human and industries need, deeper groundwater has been drilled and pumped as the alternative. It can fulfill human and industries need of groundwater but in contrary the side effect of groundwater pumping in instable soil layer like Semarang City especially Semarang Bawah costly the decreasing of ground water level and increasing the speed of subsided. Marsudi 2001 also found the similar things on his research where tremendous amount of groundwater pumping in Semarang City that exceed it aquifer capacity has led the occurrence of land subsidence. Figure 2.6. below shows the increasing amount of groundwater pumping in Semarang city where it amount is increasing sharply since early 1990s, the era that has been known as early industrial era in Semarang City Abidin et.al., 2011. Source: Murdohardono in Abidin et.al. 2011 Figure 2.6. Ground water abstraction and registered drilled wells development in Semarang City There area several former land subsidence research in Semarang i.e.; I. Marsudi 2001 conducted land subsidence prediction research in Semarang from geological point of view. Based on the 1-D consolidation model, the result of land subsidence prediction from his research conclude that for the year of 2013 the ranges of subsidence will be between 87 to 190 cm from annual condition. He also concluded that the amounts of land subsidence become larger toward north-northeast direction and increases toward coastal area. II. Kuehn et.al in 2009 conducted land subsidence research in Semarang using Persistent Interferometery Scattered PSI technique. Persistent Scatterer Interferometry technique PSI has been applied to improve land subsidence mapping because former maps show an overall distribution of land subsidence, but are inaccurate in detail. PSI measures ground motion using SAR satellite images. For the PSI processing, 35 radar satellite images acquired between 2002 and 2006 have been selected. Derived land subsidence rates vary from fractions of 1 mm per year to values of 10 cm per year and even beyond. Classification and visualization of the ground motion data illustrate the boundary between mainly stable ground in the south of Semarang and increasingly land-subsidence-affected land towards the coast Kuehn et.al, 2009. III. Abidin et.al in 2008 and 2009 conducted land subsidence investigation using GPS survey method. By studying the characteristics and rate of change in the height components of the coordinates from survey to survey, the land subsidence characteristics can be derived. In order to achieve level of accuracy the GPS static survey method based on dual-frequency carrier phase data processing should be implemented, with stringent measurement and data processing strategies. GPS surveys for studying land subsidence in Semarang have been conducted on 7-13 July 2008 and 5-11 June 2009. The number of observed points was 48 at first survey and 52 points at second survey. Results from GPS show that land subsidence in Semarang has spatial variations, ranging from 0.8 to 13.5 cmyear with the mean of 5.9 cmyear. Northern region of Semarang city exhibits higher rates of subsidence compare to its southern region Abidin et.al, 2010. I I I . M A T E R I A L S A N D M E T H O D

3.1 Research Location and Time

Semarang city is the capital city of Central Java Province, which located in North Coast of Java lane and connecting two biggest cities in Indonesia, Jakarta and Surabaya. Geographically, Semarang city is located between 109 35’ to 110 50’ E and 6 50’ to 7 10’ S with total area around 373.70 km 2 BAPPEDA, 2005. The borders of Semarang city administratively are: North part: Java Sea South part: Semarang region East part: Demak region and Grobogan region West part: Kendal region Semarang is a coastal urban area situated on the lowland partcoastal area of Central Java province. As a provincial capital city, Semarang has developed and grown as a big city on Central Java. The residential growth and industrial expanses in Semarang City contribute to the land subsidence and flooding. Semarang has three different types of flooding. These are referred to as: banjir lokal locally flooding, banjir kiriman river flooding and banjir rob tidal flooding. Local and river flooding occur due to high rainfall intensity combined with insufficient urban drainage system. Local flooding in particular places, like in Tawang and Kaligawe, have been identified to be due to the drainage malfunction and stoppage, as well as improper places for waste disposal. Subsidences, which occur in Semarang, also increase the effect of flood that seasonally happened in this city. This research was conducted in IT Information and Technology for NRM Natural Resources Management Research Laboratory SEAMEO-BIOTROP Bogor, Geomathics Research Geospatial Information Agency Cibinong, Bogor, and coastal area of Semarang City itself. The research was ran on October 2011 until March 2012. Research location can be seen in Figure 3.1, where the study area is highlighted by blue-red gradation colors. Figure 3.1. Research location

3.2 Data Used

This research used several different data. Those data are consisting of landcover data, satellite images, sea level data, and bathymetry data. Each data has different function and by combining the result of all data analysis, the goal of the research can be achieve. Complete main and supporting data that used in this research are: a Coastline data from National Geophysical Data Center NGDC-NOAA which can be accessed at http:www.ngdc.noaa.govmggshorelines shorelines.html. This coastline data has been accessed in October 2011. b Bathymetry data as the projection of TOPEX with 30arcsecond of spatial resolution around 1 km that has been accessed in October 2011. This data can be accessed at http:topex.ucsd.eduWWW_htmlsrtm30_ plus.html. c Height points as the result of topographic and terrestrial survey from Semarang Pubic Work Agency. d Topographic map RBI in scale of 1:25.000, produced by the National Mapping and Coordination Survey Agency BAKOSURTANAL. The RBI map is map that released in 2002. e Multispectral image ALOS AVNIR-2, on June 17, 2009. f BMKG’s tidal gauge annual report data of Semarang city. g Data of global sea level rise from 1880 to 2009. This data has obtained from CSIRO http:www.cmar.csiro.ausea levelsl_data_cmar.html in December 2011. h Regional sea level time series data in Indonesian area. This data has obtained in December 2011 from http:sealevel.colorado.edu contentregional-sea-level-time-series. i Result of observation at the potential inundation areas and interview to the local resident. The interview has been conducted in February 2012.

3.3 Material Used

In order to fulfill the data required for purposes analysis, firstly must be conducted a data acquiring work to collect the ready available spatial data and other data needed from various sources. These data might be in descriptive, tabular and spatial data type. Interpretation must be done for descriptive data, tabular data need to query to filter it, while spatial data should be aggregate because it’s might be in various format before stored it in personal GIS Geodatabase. While all of the data has been collected, there are several software and hardware that needed to analyze it to become information. Personal computer, printer, global positioning system GPS, and digital camera is the example of hardware that used in this research while software that used to for data collecting, processing, and analyzing is divided into opensource and licensed software.

3.4 General Method

The research has been conducted using combination of spatial and numerical modeling, remote sensing, and geographic information system. There are several steps of data processing and analysis that must be done.