Availability of services, estimated cost
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Per year VND millions
Wage individual basis 6 869 483
17 664 904 29 743 101
44 303 829 49 897 860
56 579 130 64 161 194
72 775 070 82 651 114
94 050 467 Wage household basis
3 434 742 8 832 452
14 871 551 22 151 915
24 948 930 28 289 565
32 080 597 36 387 535
41 325 557 47 025 233
Social assistance for the disabled 5 345 283
11 614 307 12 533 273
13 434 981 14 352 900
15 283 780 16 258 530
17 276 141 18 328 893
19 417 315 Benefits in kind
95 338 210 016
232 010 257 069
285 659 318 592
356 668 400 866
452 380 512 678
Benefit amount on individual basis for wage component
12 310 103 29 489 226
42 508 384 57 995 879
64 536 420 72 181 501
80 776 393 90 452 077
101 432 386 113 980 459
Benefit amount on household basis for wage component
8 875 362 20 656 774
27 636 834 35 843 965
39 587 490 43 891 936
48 695 796 54 064 542
60 106 829 66 955 226
Costs
Administrative costs 15
15 15
15 15
15 15
15 15
15 15
Total annual cost including administrative costs VND millions
Wage individual basis 7 899 906
20 314 639 34 204 566
50 949 404 57 382 539
65 065 999 73 785 374
83 691 331 95 048 781
108 158 037 Wage household basis
3 949 953 10 157 320
17 102 283 25 474 702
28 691 270 32 532 999
36 892 687 41 845 666
47 524 391 54 079 018
Social assistance for the disabled 6 147 075
13 356 453 14 413 264
15 450 228 16 505 835
17 576 346 18 697 310
19 867 562 21 078 227
22 329 913 Benefits in kind
109 638 241 518
266 811 295 629
328 508 366 381
410 169 460 996
520 237 589 579
Total cost on individual basis for wage component 14 156 619
33 912 610 48 884 642
66 695 261 74 216 883
83 008 726 92 892 852
104 019 889 116 647 244
131 077 528 Total cost on household basis for wage component
10 206 666 23 755 290
31 782 359 41 220 559
45 525 613 50 475 727
56 000 165 62 174 223
69 122 854 76 998 510
Annual cost of GDP
Wage individual basis 0.00
0.33 0.74
1.08 1.41
1.39 1.39
1.39 1.39
1.39 1.40
Wage household basis 0.00
0.16 0.37
0.54 0.70
0.69 0.69
0.69 0.69
0.70 0.70
Social assistance for the disabled 0.00
0.26 0.48
0.46 0.43
0.40 0.37
0.35 0.33
0.31 0.29
Benefits in kind 0.00
0.00 0.01
0.01 0.01
0.01 .01
0.01 0.01
0.01 0.01
Benefit amount on individual basis for wage component
0.00 0.59
1.23 1.55
1.84 1.80
1.77 1.75
1.73 1.71
1.69 Benefit amount on household basis for wage
component 0.00
0.42 0.86
1.00 1.14
1.10 1.08
1.05 1.03
1.01 0.99
Annual cost of government expenditure
2010 2011
2012 2013
2014 2015
2016 2017
2018 2019
2020
Wage individual basis 0.00
1.03 2.32
3.41 4.45
4.41 4.43
4.44 4.47
4.49 4.53
Wage household basis 0.00
0.52 1.16
1.71 2.23
2.21 2.21
2.22 2.23
2.25 2.27
Social assistance for the disabled 0.00
0.80 1.52
1.44 1.35
1.27 1.20
1.13 1.06
1.00 0.94
Benefits in kind 0.00
0.01 0.03
0.03 0.03
0.03 0.02
0.02 0.02
0.02 0.02
Benefit amount on individual basis for wage component
0.00 1.85
3.87 4.88
5.83 5.71
5.65 5.59
5.55 5.52
5.49 Benefit amount on household basis for wage
component 0.00
1.34 2.71
3.17 3.60
3.50 3.43
3.37 3.32
3.27 3.23
Sources: Population data: General Statistics Office of Viet Nam and World Population Prospects: the 2008 revision used only for annual rate of increase
http:www.socialsecurityextension.orggimigessRessFileDownload.do?ressourceId=20140
. Labour force, employment and unemployment for the baseline: General Statistics Office of Viet Nam. Labour force rate of increase to 2020: ILO, 2011. Other parameters based on ILSSA calculations for the Social Protection Strategy 2011–2020 ILSSA, 2010. Detailed sources and references are indicated in the Excel file, available on request.
Viet Nam-EES Paper N 32.doc
63
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