Basic model Directory UMM :Data Elmu:jurnal:S:Structural Change and Economic Dynamics:Vol12.Issue1.Mar2001:

of motion expressing next period’s capital as a sum of current capital and the difference between current production and consumption, the latter of which in- cludes retirees’ consumption out of wages from the previous period. The accumula- tion process in thus described by a second order relation. Of course, in the standard model, retirees consume all of their previous savings and all of capital’s share of the national product, which they receive as interest payments. The result is that capital formation is due entirely to the savings of young workers, who must replace the entire past capital stock and then some, if they are to see growth in capital intensity. There are behavioral assumptions that could lead to accumulation from one period to the next, even if retirees hold all assets. One possibility is that retirees refrain from spending all of savings and interest, as a consequence of either altruistic bequests or uncertainty regarding lifespan, then at least some of capital could remain in the economy as unconsumed capital e.g. as savings of the young out of bequests. OLG models with altruism have received much attention in the literature. For an overview see Smetters 1999. Other recent models include Michel and Pestieau 1998, Pecchenino and Pollard 1997, Hori 1997. A recent study of the effects of uncertain lifespan are in Fuster 1999. All of these references assume, however, that next period’s capital stock depends entirely on current savings an exception is Lines, 1999. A second assumption, that retirees are not endowed with the entire capital stock, could also lead to capital accumulation. The following is a study of the dynamics of capital accumulation under the latter hypothesis. In Section 2 an OLG model is developed. Existence and stability of steady states, and the dynamics in general, are studied in Section 3. Concluding remarks are provided in Section 4.

2. Basic model

2 . 1 . Worker-capitalists The problem facing the representative agent is: max c 1t U = uc 1t + 1 + u − 1 uc 2t + 1 subject to c 1t + s t 5 w t c 2t + 1 5 1 + E t r t + 1 s t c·, w·, u·, r· R + , s· R + 0 5 u 5 E t r t + 1 = r t + 1 1 and variables are defined as follows: c 1t is consumption in the working period at time t, c 2t + 1 is consumption in the retired period at time t + 1, w t is the wage in period t, s t is savings in period t, r t + 1 is the interest rate on one-period loans at time t + 1. The last line in Eq. 1 represents the assumption that individuals have perfect foresight. The single parameter is u where 1 + u − 1 is the subjective discount factor for future utility. The instantaneous utility function assumed for consumption is the strictly concave, isoelastic function u· = ln·, which meets the usual requirements of a utility function and guarantees that forward dynamics can be determined because substitution and income effects cancel each other exactly. The first order condition determines the optimal amount of consumption and savings in the first period asc 1t = 1 + u 2 + u w t s t w t = w t − c 1t = w t 2 + u , 2 which is simply Keynes’ hypothesis that savings is a constant proportion of the individual’s income. Note that if the individual values utility in the retirement period as much as current utility u = 0, he saves half of his wages for the second period. If the future has no weight at all, u “ and s t “ 0. Each member of the labor force N is characterized by the same utility function and subjective discount factor so that total savings in any period is simply the product S t = N t s t . It is assumed that the labor force grows according to N t = N 1 + n t − 1 B n B 1 3 where n is given exogeneously. 2 . 2 . Technology Total output Y t is produced by capital K t and labor N t with function F that is homogeneous to the first degree, permitting output to be expressed in per capita terms lower case variables Y t = FK t , N t = K t a N t 1 − a 0 B a B 1 N t R + K t R + Y t N t = y t = k t a . 4 The per capita production function is well-behaved and satisfies the Inada conditions. 2 . 3 . Firms While production technology is well-defined in the standard model, the organiza- tion of production is typically somewhat ambiguous. Diamond’s entrepreneurs in the competitive setup 1 become, in later analyses, profit-maximizing firms. The 1 ‘Capital demanders are entrepreneurs who wish to employ capital for production in period t + 1.’ Diamond, 1965, p. 1130 former approach seems to indicate a second type of agent, although no other characteristics are offered. In the latter case alternative interpretations can be considered. If firms are simply set up by retirees there are, at time t, N t − 1 of them, and their growth rate is the same as that of the work force. If, instead, firms are merely managed by retirees see, e.g. Boldrin, 1992 their number and growth rate are irrelevant. In either case, the profit-maximizing behavior of retirees may need to be cast in the utility maximization problem. Would these owners or managers seek to maximize profits, or maximize the return to their own capital? Essentially, in the standard OLG model, production is operated by a profit- maximizing algorithm which solves the problem: max N t , K t V = Y t − w t N t − r t K t subject to Y t 5 FK t , N t . 5 First order conditions for problem 5 give optimal levels of labor and capital as those for which respective prices are equivalent to respective marginal prod- ucts. Given the production function in Eq. 4 these are: MP N = w t = 1 − ak t a MP K = r t = a k t a − 1 . 6 The algorithm employs the optimal factor levels and distributes wages and interest. Under the hypothesis that capital is entirely owned by retirees, the firm algorithm is the mechanism by which output is distributed between the young worker and the retired capitalist generations. Thus is the classical antagonistic framework of heterogeneous cohorts workers and capitalists transformed into that of homogeneous cohorts, heterogeneous generations. This formal description is particularly useful for the study of transactions between generations for it focuses exactly on their opposing interests. It is less useful for studying the timepath of genuine capital accumulation from one period to the next, and is certainly in great difficulty to explain the emergence of capitalism in a context of few retirees, high discount rates andor subsistence wages. Suppose, instead, that in the initial periods a portion of the capital stock is not assigned to retirees. Potential recipients of the unassigned part can be grouped as: i pure capitalists, entrepreneurs, speculators, or any other agents whose consumption patterns can be ignored in a first approximation the extreme of the classical savings hypothesis; or ii the firm algorithm which, in addition to its other tasks, reinvests any of capital’s share remaining after distribution to re- tirees. The homogeneous cohorts vision is maintained by the latter assumption, but violated by the former. In either case, no further assumptions are necessary, as long as the other owners of capital refrain from consuming. 2 . 4 . Equilibrium conditions The equilibrium condition in the single good market, investment equals savings, is K t + 1 − K t = Y t − C 1t − C 2t = r t K t + w t N t − N t s t − 1 + r t N t − 1 s t − 1 = N t s t + r t K t − 1 + r t N t − 1 s t − 1 7 where the second line makes use of Euler’s theorem for a first-degree homogeneous production function. Notice that the dissavings of the retired generation is given by the last term on the RHS. If all of capital’s share of production goes to retirees N t − 1 s t − 1 K t S t − 1 and the model reduces to the standard version. The initial conditions permitting the relaxation of this hypothesis are studied in Section 3.4. The labor market follows the standard model. Labor supply is inelastic, and the market is in equilibrium when w t in Eq. 6 induces firms to hire N t . The demand for capital is given by the marginal product function KD t = N t a r t 11 − a . Under the hypotheses the supply of capital available at t, rearranging Eq. 7 is: KS t = S t − 1 + 1 + r t − 1 K t − 1 − S t − 2 . The equilibrium rate of rental for capital services is that which satisfies Eq. 6 and induces firms to hire the capital services available and fixed at time t.

3. The dynamics of accumulation

Dokumen yang terkait

Analisis Komparasi Internet Financial Local Government Reporting Pada Website Resmi Kabupaten dan Kota di Jawa Timur The Comparison Analysis of Internet Financial Local Government Reporting on Official Website of Regency and City in East Java

19 819 7

Analisis Pengendalian Persediaan Bahan Baku Tembakau Dengan Metode Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) Pada PT Mangli Djaya Raya

3 126 8

FAKTOR-FAKTOR PENYEBAB KESULITAN BELAJAR BAHASA ARAB PADA MAHASISWA MA’HAD ABDURRAHMAN BIN AUF UMM

9 176 2

ANTARA IDEALISME DAN KENYATAAN: KEBIJAKAN PENDIDIKAN TIONGHOA PERANAKAN DI SURABAYA PADA MASA PENDUDUKAN JEPANG TAHUN 1942-1945 Between Idealism and Reality: Education Policy of Chinese in Surabaya in the Japanese Era at 1942-1945)

1 29 9

Improving the Eighth Year Students' Tense Achievement and Active Participation by Giving Positive Reinforcement at SMPN 1 Silo in the 2013/2014 Academic Year

7 202 3

Improving the VIII-B Students' listening comprehension ability through note taking and partial dictation techniques at SMPN 3 Jember in the 2006/2007 Academic Year -

0 63 87

The Correlation between students vocabulary master and reading comprehension

16 145 49

Improping student's reading comprehension of descriptive text through textual teaching and learning (CTL)

8 140 133

The correlation between listening skill and pronunciation accuracy : a case study in the firt year of smk vocation higt school pupita bangsa ciputat school year 2005-2006

9 128 37

Transmission of Greek and Arabic Veteri

0 1 22