Evaluasi Kelayakan Pembangunan Jalan Jembatan Merah – Ranjau Batu
HDM Manager - Deterioration
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
Cale 2-Way 2-Way 2-Way 2-Way 2-Way
ndar ADT ADT ADT ADT
ADT
Yr Year (vpd) (vpd) (vpd) (vpd) (vpd)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
3284
3708
4196
4756
5402
6147
7007
8001
9151
10484
3284
3708
4196
4756
5402
6147
7007
8001
9151
10484
3284 3284 3284
3708 3708 3708
4196 4196 4196
4756 4756 4756
5402 5402 5402
6147 6147 6147
7007 7007 7007
8001 8001 8001
9151 9151 9151
10484 10484 10484
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
HDM Manager - Deterioration
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
Rough Rough Rough Rough Rough
Cale ness ness ness ness ness
ndar (IRI) (IRI) (IRI) (IRI) (IRI)
Yr Year m/km m/km m/km m/km m/km
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
10.2
10.7
11.2
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.5
10.2 10.2
10.7 10.7
11.2 11.2
11.5 11.5
10.9 10.9
4.5 11.4
4.8
4.5
5.0
4.8
5.3
5.0
5.5
5.3
10.2
10.7
11.2
11.5
10.9
11.4
11.5
4.5
4.8
5.0
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
4.5
4.9
5.4
5.8
6.2
6.7
7.3
7.8
8.5
9.4
HDM Manager - User Impacts
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
Cale
ndar Vehicle
Yr Year Type
Road Road
Road
Road
Road
User
User
User
User
User
Costs Costs Costs Costs Costs
1 2010 Car
2 2011 Car
3 2012 Car
4 2013 Car
5 2014 Car
6 2015 Car
7 2016 Car
8 2017 Car
9 2018 Car
10 2019 Car
0.37
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.37
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.42
0.32
0.32
0.33
0.33
0.37
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.42
0.43
0.32
0.32
0.33
Currency: (Dollars)
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
0.37
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.32
0.32
0.37
0.32
0.32
0.33
0.33
0.34
0.35
0.35
0.36
0.38
HDM Manager - Economic Analysis
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Benefit Cost Ratios and Incremental Benefit Cost Ratios
First
Second Third
Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
==================== ========== ========== ==========
========== ==========
-Decrease in
User Costs (B)
0.00
-Increase in
Agency Costs (C)
32.57
0.00
25.18
27.27
17.38
28.90
-Net Present Value
(B-C)
0.00
5.31
-3.72
-12.55
-Benefit Cost Ratio
(B/C)
0.00
1.20
0.87
0.58
-Incremental
Strategies: 1 -> 5 = 4.27
Benefit Cost Ratio
5 -> 2 = -1.32
(dB/dC)
2 -> 3 = -4.52
3 -> 4 = -7.64
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
52.41
29.92
40.13
4.27
12.28
HDM Manager - Economic Analysis
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Net Present Value per Initial Financial Capital Investment
First
Second Third
Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
==================== ========== ========== ==========
========== ==========
-Net Present Value
(M Dollars)
0.00
5.31
-3.72
-12.55
-Present Value of
Initial Financial
Capital Investment
(M Dollars)
0.00
0.19
0.19
0.19
27.28
-19.12
-64.52
-Net Present Value /
Initial Financial
0.00
Capital Investment
12.0% Discount Rate
Initial = First
Five Years
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
40.13
8.96
4.48
HDM Manager - Economic Analysis
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Present Values and Internal Rate of Return
First
Second Third
Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
==================== ========== ========== ==========
========== ==========
-Present Values at
12.0% Discount Rate
(million Dollars)
Society
356.64 351.33 360.36 369.19 316.51
Agency
0.00
27.27
28.90
29.92
12.28
Capital
0.00
23.05
24.69
25.71
8.06
Recurrent
0.00
4.22
4.22
4.22
4.22
Road Users
356.63 324.06 331.45 339.26 304.23
Vehicle Operation 323.28 291.36 298.59 306.24 272.11
Travel Time
33.35
32.70
32.86
33.02
32.12
Exogenous Cst-Bnf
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Net Present Value
(Net Benefits)
-Rate of Return (%)
0.00
NA
5.31
19.7
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
-3.72
-12.55
40.13
5.4
-18.5
85.4
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
Cale 2-Way 2-Way 2-Way 2-Way 2-Way
ndar ADT ADT ADT ADT
ADT
Yr Year (vpd) (vpd) (vpd) (vpd) (vpd)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
3284
3708
4196
4756
5402
6147
7007
8001
9151
10484
3284
3708
4196
4756
5402
6147
7007
8001
9151
10484
3284 3284 3284
3708 3708 3708
4196 4196 4196
4756 4756 4756
5402 5402 5402
6147 6147 6147
7007 7007 7007
8001 8001 8001
9151 9151 9151
10484 10484 10484
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
HDM Manager - Deterioration
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
Rough Rough Rough Rough Rough
Cale ness ness ness ness ness
ndar (IRI) (IRI) (IRI) (IRI) (IRI)
Yr Year m/km m/km m/km m/km m/km
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
10.2
10.7
11.2
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.5
10.2 10.2
10.7 10.7
11.2 11.2
11.5 11.5
10.9 10.9
4.5 11.4
4.8
4.5
5.0
4.8
5.3
5.0
5.5
5.3
10.2
10.7
11.2
11.5
10.9
11.4
11.5
4.5
4.8
5.0
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
4.5
4.9
5.4
5.8
6.2
6.7
7.3
7.8
8.5
9.4
HDM Manager - User Impacts
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
Cale
ndar Vehicle
Yr Year Type
Road Road
Road
Road
Road
User
User
User
User
User
Costs Costs Costs Costs Costs
1 2010 Car
2 2011 Car
3 2012 Car
4 2013 Car
5 2014 Car
6 2015 Car
7 2016 Car
8 2017 Car
9 2018 Car
10 2019 Car
0.37
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.37
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.42
0.32
0.32
0.33
0.33
0.37
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.42
0.43
0.32
0.32
0.33
Currency: (Dollars)
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
0.37
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.32
0.32
0.37
0.32
0.32
0.33
0.33
0.34
0.35
0.35
0.36
0.38
HDM Manager - Economic Analysis
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Benefit Cost Ratios and Incremental Benefit Cost Ratios
First
Second Third
Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
==================== ========== ========== ==========
========== ==========
-Decrease in
User Costs (B)
0.00
-Increase in
Agency Costs (C)
32.57
0.00
25.18
27.27
17.38
28.90
-Net Present Value
(B-C)
0.00
5.31
-3.72
-12.55
-Benefit Cost Ratio
(B/C)
0.00
1.20
0.87
0.58
-Incremental
Strategies: 1 -> 5 = 4.27
Benefit Cost Ratio
5 -> 2 = -1.32
(dB/dC)
2 -> 3 = -4.52
3 -> 4 = -7.64
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
52.41
29.92
40.13
4.27
12.28
HDM Manager - Economic Analysis
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Net Present Value per Initial Financial Capital Investment
First
Second Third
Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
==================== ========== ========== ==========
========== ==========
-Net Present Value
(M Dollars)
0.00
5.31
-3.72
-12.55
-Present Value of
Initial Financial
Capital Investment
(M Dollars)
0.00
0.19
0.19
0.19
27.28
-19.12
-64.52
-Net Present Value /
Initial Financial
0.00
Capital Investment
12.0% Discount Rate
Initial = First
Five Years
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
40.13
8.96
4.48
HDM Manager - Economic Analysis
Run Name : ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Run Date : 16/05/12
Road Name: ruas j merah - ranjau batu
Present Values and Internal Rate of Return
First
Second Third
Fourth Fifth
Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy
==================== ========== ========== ==========
========== ==========
-Present Values at
12.0% Discount Rate
(million Dollars)
Society
356.64 351.33 360.36 369.19 316.51
Agency
0.00
27.27
28.90
29.92
12.28
Capital
0.00
23.05
24.69
25.71
8.06
Recurrent
0.00
4.22
4.22
4.22
4.22
Road Users
356.63 324.06 331.45 339.26 304.23
Vehicle Operation 323.28 291.36 298.59 306.24 272.11
Travel Time
33.35
32.70
32.86
33.02
32.12
Exogenous Cst-Bnf
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Net Present Value
(Net Benefits)
-Rate of Return (%)
0.00
NA
5.31
19.7
First Strategy: do nothing
Second Strategy: Pave the Road in 2010
Third Strategy: Used
Fourth Strategy: used
Fifth Strategy: Used
-3.72
-12.55
40.13
5.4
-18.5
85.4