Analisis Faktor faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pengunjung Wisata Brastagi kabupaten Karo Provinsi Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 1. Tabel Hasil regresi dengan lograitma
Tabel Hasil regresi dengan logaritma
Dependent Variable: LN_Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/15/12 Time: 10:26
Sample (adjusted): 1 100
Included observations: 100
Coefficie
nt
LN_X1
LN_X2
LN_X3
LN_X4
C
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
0.092192
0.077730
0.060402
-0.346747
6.064727
2.804041
0.7296
0.0000
0.0061
0.051851
-0.113252
0.9101
0.864768
-7.459683
0.0000
0.031967
0.471410
0.169368
0.005872
6.450896
0.583004
0.565068
0.279382
7.259051
11.52277
32.50587
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
0.386214
0.423631
0.337199
0.469086
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
0.390545
2.365910
***
***
Ket. ***) significance at 99% level.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2. Tabel Serial correlation LM test
Tabel Serial correlation LM test
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
4.535260
8.882845
Prob. F(2,91)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
0.0133
0.0118
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/24/12 Time: 12:36
Sample: 1 100
Included observations: 100
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Coefficie
nt
LN_X1
LN_X2
LN_X3
LN_X4
C
RESID(-1)
RESID(-2)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
0.001567
0.031119
0.001469
0.010600
0.371272
0.236985
0.244280
0.088896
0.075941
0.017628
0.409779
0.9860
0.6829
0.058233
-0.025230
0.9799
0.050278
-0.210820
0.8335
0.843397
-0.440210
0.6608
0.102359
-2.315219
0.0228
0.104446
-2.338821
0.0215
0.090641
0.030684
0.269331
6.601081
6.867009
1.511753
0.183156
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
1.21E-15
0.273561
0.283000
0.467641
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
0.357683
2.022974
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3. Tabel Heteroskedasticity test
Tabel Heteroskedasticity test
Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS
2.038230
7.898794
14.66632
Prob. F(4,93)
Prob. Chi-Square(4)
Prob. Chi-Square(4)
0.0954
0.0954
0.0054
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
0.046946
0.132315
0.079769
0.013041
0.030230
0.458265
0.048855
0.102442
2.708315
0.9186
0.0080
0.041191
-1.936563
0.0558
0.032009
-0.407432
0.6846
0.027478
-1.100164
0.2741
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
0.080600
0.041056
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression
0.148053
Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid
2.038519
Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
50.70848
2.038230
0.095381
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/24/12 Time: 12:38
Sample: 1 100
Included observations: 100
Coefficie
nt
C
LN_X1
LN_X2
LN_X3
LN_X4
0.074072
0.151189
0.932826
0.800940
0.879481
1.890010
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 4. Gambar Histogram Normality Test
12
10
8
6
4
2
Series: Residuals
Sample 1 100
Observations 100
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
1.21e-15
0.022875
1.163713
-0.720843
0.273561
0.414078
5.123601
Jarque-Bera 21.21506
Probability 0.000025
0
-0.75 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
Gambar Histogram Normality Test
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 5. Gambar Actual Fitted Residual
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.0
1.2
-0.4
0.8
0.4
0.0
-0.4
-0.8
10
20
30
40
Residual
50
60
Actual
70
80
90
Fitted
Gambar Actual Fitted Residual
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
1
500,000
5,000,000
2
500,000
2
2
300,000
4,000,000
3
100,000
1
3
150,000
10,000,000
2
70,000
3
4
300,000
4,000,000
3
150,000
2
5
400,000
6,000,000
1
200,000
2
6
300,000
5,000,000
4
300,000
2
7
250.000
4,500,000
4
150,000
1
8
300,000
8,000,000
2
150,000
2
9
400,000
9,000,000
3
200,000
3
10
200,000
5,000,000
3
300,000
2
11
100,000
4,000,000
2
75,000
1
12
150,000
3,000,000
2
100,000
1
13
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
14
250.000
7,000,000
4
150,000
3
15
200,000
5,000,000
3
100,0000
2
16
300,000
3,000,000
2
30,000
1
17
150,000
4,000,000
2
25,000
1
Universitas Sumatera Utara
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
18
200,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
3
19
100,000
4,000,000
1
35,000
1
20
200,000
6,000,000
3
300,000
2
21
75,000
1,000,000
2
35,000
1
22
100,000
5,000,000
3
100,000
2
23
500,000
10,000,000
4
100,000
3
24
100,000
4,000,000
1
30,000
1
25
150,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
26
300,000
9,000,000
2
150,000
2
27
200,000
8,000,000
3
100,000
2
28
200,000
7,000,000
3
100,000
2
29
100,000
5,000,000
1
35,000
2
30
100,000
4,000,000
1
30,000
1
31
200,000
3,000,000
1
50,000
1
32
200,000
5,000,000
2
100,000
2
33
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
34
500,000
15,000,000
5
200,000
3
35
300,000
9,000,000
1
Universitas Sumatera Utara
100,000
2
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
36
200,000
6,000,000
1
100,000
2
37
300,000
10,000,000
4
100,000
3
38
250.000
7,000,000
2
100,000
2
39
300,000
8,000,000
2
100,000
2
40
100,000
6,000,000
4
50,000
3
41
200,000
4,000,000
1
100,000
1
42
500,000
10,000,000
3
150,000
2
43
50,000
1,000,000
1
30,000
1
44
300,000
5,000,000
1
200,000
2
45
100,000
3,000,000
1
50,000
1
46
100,000
4,000,000
1
100,000
1
47
300,000
12,000,000
4
100,000
3
48
200,000
4,000,000
1
200,000
1
49
100,000
2,800,000
1
75,000
1
50
110,000
2,100,000
1
70,000
1
51
100,000
1,800,000
1
50,000
1
52
175,000
3,000,000
1
125,000
1
53
150,000
4,000,000
2
Universitas Sumatera Utara
100,000
1
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
54
200,000
5,000,000
1
150,000
2
55
250.000
10,000,000
3
100,000
3
56
200,000
4,500,000
4
50,000
1
57
150,000
4,000,000
2
50,000
1
58
100,000
2,000,000
3
50,000
1
59
150,000
3,300,000
1
50,000
1
60
500,000
12,000,000
4
1,200,000
3
61
600,000
15,000,000
5
1,200,000
3
62
500,000
12,000,000
1
300,000
3
63
700,000
12,000,000
1
1,200,000
1
64
200,000
5,000,000
1
75,000
2
65
300,000
6,000,000
5
300,000
2
66
100,000
3,000,000
4
50,000
2
67
250.000
5,000,000
1
250,000
2
68
200,000
4,000,000
2
300,000
1
69
100,000
3,000,000
1
30,000
1
70
200,000
5,000,000
2
150,000
2
71
100,000
3,000,000
1
Universitas Sumatera Utara
100,000
1
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
72
50,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
73
100,000
1,800,000
1
50,000
1
74
200,000
3,000,000
1
200,000
1
75
300,000
3,000,000
3
300,000
1
76
300,000
6,000,000
1
500,000
2
77
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
78
300,000
4,500,000
2
100,000
1
79
200,000
3,000,000
1
100,000
1
80
250,000
4,000,000
2
500,000
1
81
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
82
75,000
1,500,000
1
50,000
1
83
100,000
3,000,000
1
75,000
1
84
150,000
5,000,000
2
100,000
2
85
150,000
3,500,000
1
50,000
1
86
150,000
6,000,000
2
100,000
2
87
250,000
5,000,000
2
100,000
2
88
150,000
3,000,000
1
75,000
1
89
75,000
1,000,000
1
Universitas Sumatera Utara
50,000
1
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
90
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
91
150,000
10,000,000
3
75,000
2
92
100,000
2,500,000
1
100,000
1
93
200,000
7,000,000
4
150,000
2
94
250.000
4,000,000
1
150,000
1
95
100,000
6,000,000
3
100,000
2
96
200,000
4,000,000
1
75,000
1
97
150,000
5,000,000
2
100,000
2
98
100,000
3,000,000
1
50,000
1
99
100,000
4,000,000
1
100,000
1
100
100,000
5,000,000
2
50,000
2
No
Y
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Tabel Hasil regresi dengan logaritma
Dependent Variable: LN_Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/15/12 Time: 10:26
Sample (adjusted): 1 100
Included observations: 100
Coefficie
nt
LN_X1
LN_X2
LN_X3
LN_X4
C
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
0.092192
0.077730
0.060402
-0.346747
6.064727
2.804041
0.7296
0.0000
0.0061
0.051851
-0.113252
0.9101
0.864768
-7.459683
0.0000
0.031967
0.471410
0.169368
0.005872
6.450896
0.583004
0.565068
0.279382
7.259051
11.52277
32.50587
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
0.386214
0.423631
0.337199
0.469086
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
0.390545
2.365910
***
***
Ket. ***) significance at 99% level.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2. Tabel Serial correlation LM test
Tabel Serial correlation LM test
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
4.535260
8.882845
Prob. F(2,91)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
0.0133
0.0118
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/24/12 Time: 12:36
Sample: 1 100
Included observations: 100
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Coefficie
nt
LN_X1
LN_X2
LN_X3
LN_X4
C
RESID(-1)
RESID(-2)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
0.001567
0.031119
0.001469
0.010600
0.371272
0.236985
0.244280
0.088896
0.075941
0.017628
0.409779
0.9860
0.6829
0.058233
-0.025230
0.9799
0.050278
-0.210820
0.8335
0.843397
-0.440210
0.6608
0.102359
-2.315219
0.0228
0.104446
-2.338821
0.0215
0.090641
0.030684
0.269331
6.601081
6.867009
1.511753
0.183156
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
1.21E-15
0.273561
0.283000
0.467641
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
0.357683
2.022974
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3. Tabel Heteroskedasticity test
Tabel Heteroskedasticity test
Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS
2.038230
7.898794
14.66632
Prob. F(4,93)
Prob. Chi-Square(4)
Prob. Chi-Square(4)
0.0954
0.0954
0.0054
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
0.046946
0.132315
0.079769
0.013041
0.030230
0.458265
0.048855
0.102442
2.708315
0.9186
0.0080
0.041191
-1.936563
0.0558
0.032009
-0.407432
0.6846
0.027478
-1.100164
0.2741
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
0.080600
0.041056
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression
0.148053
Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid
2.038519
Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
50.70848
2.038230
0.095381
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/24/12 Time: 12:38
Sample: 1 100
Included observations: 100
Coefficie
nt
C
LN_X1
LN_X2
LN_X3
LN_X4
0.074072
0.151189
0.932826
0.800940
0.879481
1.890010
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 4. Gambar Histogram Normality Test
12
10
8
6
4
2
Series: Residuals
Sample 1 100
Observations 100
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
1.21e-15
0.022875
1.163713
-0.720843
0.273561
0.414078
5.123601
Jarque-Bera 21.21506
Probability 0.000025
0
-0.75 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
Gambar Histogram Normality Test
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 5. Gambar Actual Fitted Residual
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.0
1.2
-0.4
0.8
0.4
0.0
-0.4
-0.8
10
20
30
40
Residual
50
60
Actual
70
80
90
Fitted
Gambar Actual Fitted Residual
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
1
500,000
5,000,000
2
500,000
2
2
300,000
4,000,000
3
100,000
1
3
150,000
10,000,000
2
70,000
3
4
300,000
4,000,000
3
150,000
2
5
400,000
6,000,000
1
200,000
2
6
300,000
5,000,000
4
300,000
2
7
250.000
4,500,000
4
150,000
1
8
300,000
8,000,000
2
150,000
2
9
400,000
9,000,000
3
200,000
3
10
200,000
5,000,000
3
300,000
2
11
100,000
4,000,000
2
75,000
1
12
150,000
3,000,000
2
100,000
1
13
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
14
250.000
7,000,000
4
150,000
3
15
200,000
5,000,000
3
100,0000
2
16
300,000
3,000,000
2
30,000
1
17
150,000
4,000,000
2
25,000
1
Universitas Sumatera Utara
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
18
200,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
3
19
100,000
4,000,000
1
35,000
1
20
200,000
6,000,000
3
300,000
2
21
75,000
1,000,000
2
35,000
1
22
100,000
5,000,000
3
100,000
2
23
500,000
10,000,000
4
100,000
3
24
100,000
4,000,000
1
30,000
1
25
150,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
26
300,000
9,000,000
2
150,000
2
27
200,000
8,000,000
3
100,000
2
28
200,000
7,000,000
3
100,000
2
29
100,000
5,000,000
1
35,000
2
30
100,000
4,000,000
1
30,000
1
31
200,000
3,000,000
1
50,000
1
32
200,000
5,000,000
2
100,000
2
33
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
34
500,000
15,000,000
5
200,000
3
35
300,000
9,000,000
1
Universitas Sumatera Utara
100,000
2
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
36
200,000
6,000,000
1
100,000
2
37
300,000
10,000,000
4
100,000
3
38
250.000
7,000,000
2
100,000
2
39
300,000
8,000,000
2
100,000
2
40
100,000
6,000,000
4
50,000
3
41
200,000
4,000,000
1
100,000
1
42
500,000
10,000,000
3
150,000
2
43
50,000
1,000,000
1
30,000
1
44
300,000
5,000,000
1
200,000
2
45
100,000
3,000,000
1
50,000
1
46
100,000
4,000,000
1
100,000
1
47
300,000
12,000,000
4
100,000
3
48
200,000
4,000,000
1
200,000
1
49
100,000
2,800,000
1
75,000
1
50
110,000
2,100,000
1
70,000
1
51
100,000
1,800,000
1
50,000
1
52
175,000
3,000,000
1
125,000
1
53
150,000
4,000,000
2
Universitas Sumatera Utara
100,000
1
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
54
200,000
5,000,000
1
150,000
2
55
250.000
10,000,000
3
100,000
3
56
200,000
4,500,000
4
50,000
1
57
150,000
4,000,000
2
50,000
1
58
100,000
2,000,000
3
50,000
1
59
150,000
3,300,000
1
50,000
1
60
500,000
12,000,000
4
1,200,000
3
61
600,000
15,000,000
5
1,200,000
3
62
500,000
12,000,000
1
300,000
3
63
700,000
12,000,000
1
1,200,000
1
64
200,000
5,000,000
1
75,000
2
65
300,000
6,000,000
5
300,000
2
66
100,000
3,000,000
4
50,000
2
67
250.000
5,000,000
1
250,000
2
68
200,000
4,000,000
2
300,000
1
69
100,000
3,000,000
1
30,000
1
70
200,000
5,000,000
2
150,000
2
71
100,000
3,000,000
1
Universitas Sumatera Utara
100,000
1
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
72
50,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
73
100,000
1,800,000
1
50,000
1
74
200,000
3,000,000
1
200,000
1
75
300,000
3,000,000
3
300,000
1
76
300,000
6,000,000
1
500,000
2
77
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
78
300,000
4,500,000
2
100,000
1
79
200,000
3,000,000
1
100,000
1
80
250,000
4,000,000
2
500,000
1
81
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
82
75,000
1,500,000
1
50,000
1
83
100,000
3,000,000
1
75,000
1
84
150,000
5,000,000
2
100,000
2
85
150,000
3,500,000
1
50,000
1
86
150,000
6,000,000
2
100,000
2
87
250,000
5,000,000
2
100,000
2
88
150,000
3,000,000
1
75,000
1
89
75,000
1,000,000
1
Universitas Sumatera Utara
50,000
1
No
Y
Lampiran Data Primer
Data Primer
Jumlah Anngota
Keluara
Biaya Perjalanan
Wisatawan
X3
X4
Intensitas
Kunjungan Wisata
ke Brastagi
Pengeluaran
Wisatawan
Pendapatan
Wisatawan
X1
X2
90
100,000
2,000,000
1
50,000
1
91
150,000
10,000,000
3
75,000
2
92
100,000
2,500,000
1
100,000
1
93
200,000
7,000,000
4
150,000
2
94
250.000
4,000,000
1
150,000
1
95
100,000
6,000,000
3
100,000
2
96
200,000
4,000,000
1
75,000
1
97
150,000
5,000,000
2
100,000
2
98
100,000
3,000,000
1
50,000
1
99
100,000
4,000,000
1
100,000
1
100
100,000
5,000,000
2
50,000
2
No
Y
Universitas Sumatera Utara