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Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan

  Daily Price Action th

  Monday, 21 January 2019 Market Review

  Pada pergerakan akhir pekan lalu. IHSG (+0.38%) menguat 24.38 poin kelevel 6448.16 dengan Aksi beli investor asing yang terus terasa sejak awal tahun. Investor asing tercatat net buy 928.25 Miliar rupiah dimana Saham BBCA, ASII, BBRI dan TLKM yang menjadi top net buy value investor asing. Indeks LQ45 dan IDX30 mengalami rebalancing dimana 4 saham baru masuk pada Indeks LQ45 dan 2 saham baru masuk pada Indeks IDX30. Saham CPIN, ERAA, PWON dan TKIM masuk menggantikan saham BJBR, BKSL, LPKR dan SSMS di Indeks LQ45 sedangkan saham CPIN dan ITMG masuk menggantikan saham BSDE dan WSBP di IDX30. Leader: BBCA, ASII, TLKM, BBNI, TOWR Laggard: HMSP, CPIN, INKP, TPIA, BYAN Secara teknikal IHSG membentuk pola hanging man dengan indikasi terkoreksi jangka pendek cukup kuat. Support Moving Average 5 hari akan menjadi support konfirmasi pelemahan jika IHSG break out level tersebut yang berada pada kisaran 6400. Indikator Stochastic dead-cross pada area overbought dengan kondisi momentum secara indikator RSI yang terlihat cukup mahal di level 86 oscillator. sehingga diperkirakan IHSG akan bergerak cenderung tertekan diawarnai aksi profit taking dengan support resistance 6400-6480. Ekuitas Asia membuka pekan dengan penguatan. Indeks Nikkei (+0.74%), TOPIX (+0.85%) dan KOSPI (+0.22%) gap up optimis. Indeks saham Berjangka di Hongkong dibuka lebih tinggi memberikan signal optimis pada perdagangan bursa saham Asia diawal pekan ini. Tanda terbaru muncul dari tensi perdagangan AS-China yang dimana kedua belah pihak sangat menginginkan kesepakatan. China menawarkan jalan untuk menghilangkan ketidakseimbangan perdagangannya dengan meningkatkan pembelian barang- barang buatan AS. Harga minyak WTI (-0.8%) tergelincir kelevel $53.39 perbarrel setelah mengalami minggu optimis pasca stok persediaan minyak di AS menurun cukup signifikan.

  Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Analyst:

  Lanjar Nafi lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com

  • +62 21 5790 5455 ext. 214

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  1

  • Pola pergerakan saham
  • Stop-loss
  • Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
  • Support
  • Resistance

  • Stop-loss
  • Target Price
  • Pergerakan harga saham telah
  • Stop-loss jika harga saham break
  • Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
  • Support : 10900-12350
  • Resistance : 14100-16000
  • Stop-loss : 12175
  • Target Price

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  Analisis :

  membentuk pola Flag pattern dengan indikasi melanjutkan trend penguatan jika berhasil break out upper bound.

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out MA20

  area oversold dengan pola golden- cross.

  : 1215-1310

  : 1455-1560

  : 1300

  : 1455 SPECULATIVE BUY LSIP Analisis :

  menjenuh meskipun masih memiliki target resistance hingga kisaran level 14000

  out MA5

  area jenuh beli dengan pola dead- cross.

  : 14000 SELL ON STRENGTH TKIM

  ITMG Analisis :

  • Pola pergerakan membentuk
  • Stop-loss jika harga terkonfirmasi
  • Indikator stochastic bergerak
  • Support
  • Resistance
  • Stop-loss
  • Target Price
  • Pergerakan harga saham menguat
  • Stop-loss jika harga terkonfirmasi
  • Indikator stochastic bergerak
  • Support
  • Resistance
  • Stop-loss
  • Target Price

  : 2410 SELL ON STRENGTH

  : 2100

  : 2320-2510

  : 1945-2130

  terkonsolidasi positif dengan RSI yang cenderung mahal

  break out support

  optimis. Setelah berhasil tutup break out MA50 dan bearish trend. Target penguatan selanjutnya berada dikisaran FR161,8%

  : 24900 SPECULATIVE BUY

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  : 21750

  : 23000-24700

  : 20550-21850

  bearish mendekati level oversold dengan RSI yang terlihat rebound meskipun terbatas pada oscillator cukup tinggi

  break out support MA5

  rectangle dengan indikasi menguat jika break out upper bound dan bearish trend line.

  Analisis :

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  INDY

  Daily Price Action LS-27 Index

  Support Support Resist ance Resist ance Target Ticker Last Price Not e Rat ing St op-loss

  2

  1

  1

  

2

Price Agricult ure TBLA 800 870 895 950 1,020 Consolidations W 860 AALI 11,450 12,000 12,100 12,750 13,575 Double top PS 12,100 SSMS 1,115 1,180 1,205 1,255 1,340 Consolidations TB 1,200 1,280 Basic Indust ry TKIM 10,850 12,350 12,875 14,150 16,100 Overbought H 12,350 14,150

  INKP 10,750 11,700 12,300 13,000 14,400 Consolidations H 12,500 13,000 CPIN 7,200 8,000 8,250 8,850 10,000 Bearish harami PS 8,200 Consumer GGRM 77,000 80,700 83,900 84,500 88,000 Overbought H 83,000 84,500 HOKI 675 720 730 765 830 Break out support W 710

  ICBP 9,425 9,800 10,150 10,250 10,800 Stoch golden-cross SB 10,000 10,800 UNVR 47,100 49,000 48,925 51,400 54,000 Consolidations PS 48,500 Finance BBRI 3,550 3,750 3,820 3,940 4,210 Bearish meeting line PS 3,800 BBNI 8,650 9,100 9,400 9,525 10,000 Hanging man PS 9,200 BBCA 25,800 26,800 27,125 28,000 29,750 Break out resistance H 26,700 28,000 Infrast ruct ure TOWR 660 700 730 770 850 Consolidations H 690 770 PGAS 2,150 2,250 2,430 2,440 2,600 Overbought H 2,400 2,440 Misc. Indust ry SRIL 325 340 342 350 374 Consolidations TB 336 374 ASII 7,825 8,400 8,475 9,100 10,000 Wedges formations SB 8,100 8,400 Mining PTBA 3,850 4,170 4,470 4,480 4,800 Consolidations H 4,200 4,800

  ITMG 21,000 22,000 23,100 23,000 24,650 Rectangle H 22,500 24,650 ADRO 1,310 1,400 1,485 1,500 1,575 Consolidations H 1,420 1,575 Propert y LPCK 1,900 2,030 2,090 2,200 2,370 Bearish momentum PS 2,020 WSKT 1,850 2,070 2,070 2,300 2,400 Consolidations H 2,050 2,300 PWON 625 660 660 700 750 Break out support H 650 700 Trading UNTR 24,000 25,425 26,925 27,000 28,200 Bullish momentum H 26,500 28,500 SCMA 1,700 1,900 1,945 2,100 2,320 Stoch dead-cross PS 1,920 LPPF 5,325 6,000 6,000 7,000 8,225 Consolidations TB 6,000 7,000 ERAA 1,860 2,110 2,310 2,420 2,820 Break out support TB 2,250 2,420 Monday, 21 January 2019 Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com Disclaimer on

  Analyst Conclusions: The Index has reached the wave 3. Legend :B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability)SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability)W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability)S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).

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  LIN K.JK 4,710 4,420 4,410 4,690 4,430 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  ICBP.JK 10,250 10,150 9,925 10,250 10,100 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IMAS.JK 3,040 2,930 2,110 3,040 2,610 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IMJS.jk 720 690 635 720 700 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IN CO.JK 3,290 3,700 3,050 3,770 3,490 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IN DF.JK 7,650 7,500 7,325 7,550 7,450 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IN DY.JK 1,970 2,180 1,875 2,210 1,955 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  IN KP.JK 12,975 12,300 11,150 12,975 12,650 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  IN TP.JK 18,250 18,800 17,600 18,825 18,125 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper

  ITMG.JK 22,900 23,100 21,700 23,200 22,200 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under JPFA.JK 2,240 2,160 2,140 2,240 2,210 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  JRPT.JK 740 660 645 680 665 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  JSMR.JK 4,980 4,900 4,800 5,150 4,930 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  KLBF.JK 1,635 1,615 1,540 1,635 1,625 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  LPCK.JK 2,440 2,090 1,450 2,440 1,900 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper LPKR.JK 304 274 258 304 270 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  3,900 3,730 3,760 3,900 3,840 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under H OKI.JK

  LPPF.JK 6,475 6,000 5,625 6,475 6,075 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  LSIP.JK 1,395 1,335 1,300 1,365 1,330 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MAIN .JK 1,570 1,495 1,355 1,570 1,420 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MAPI.JK 925 930 765 985 915 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MCAS.JK 3,180 2,880 2,980 3,110 3,030 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under MDIA.JK 137 134 128 137 134 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  MEDC.JK 850 835 815 865 830 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  META.JK 234 216 212 224 222 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  MIKA.JK 1,760 1,555 1,450 1,750 1,605 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

  MN CN .JK 775 860 675 890 820 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  MYOR.JK 2,750 2,610 2,600 2,750 2,670 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

  PBID.JK 1,110 1,105 1,080 1,125 1,105 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  PGAS.JK 2,180 2,430 2,070 2,450 2,320 Overbought Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  Source : Reliance Research T icke r

  810 730 710 810 765 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under H RUM.JK 1,780 1,820 1,610 1,880 1,685 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  84,425 83,900 80,525 84,425 83,625 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper GMFI.JK 256 246 234 256 242 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under H MSP.JK

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  288 530 266 545 500 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBCA.JK 26,625 27,125 25,750 27,125 26,175 Overbought Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BBN I.JK

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

  18/01/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  B. Band

  20 Days

  50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK

  12,675 12,100 12,200 12,675 12,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under ACES.JK 1,760 1,760 1,620 1,815 1,700 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACST.JK

  1,665 1,575 1,545 1,620 1,605 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under ADH I.JK

  1,785 1,710 1,720 1,840 1,745 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ADRO.JK 1,435 1,485 1,215 1,510 1,415 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Under AGII.JK

  680 660 635 665 645 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AKRA.JK

  4,690 4,750 4,390 4,750 4,490 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper AMRT.JK 900 855 840 900 875 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper AN TM.JK

  805 850 775 885 795 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ARN A.JK

  430 414 408 420 414 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ASII.JK 8,300 8,475 8,050 8,475 8,150 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper ASRI.JK

  354 338 332 354 346 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ASSA.JK

  8,825 9,400 8,850 9,400 8,975 Overbought Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BBRI.JK

  370 356 320 370 356 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper GGRM.JK

  3,680 3,820 3,580 3,850 3,790 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBTN .JK 2,760 2,760 2,650 2,820 2,770 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BDMN .JK

  8,375 8,350 8,125 8,550 8,275 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BEST.JK

  218 246 204 264 236 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BFIN .JK 700 670 665 690 670 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under BIRD.JK

  2,930 2,780 2,860 2,900 2,850 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper BISI.JK

  1,675 1,470 1,470 1,500 1,470 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK 2,140 2,160 2,100 2,160 2,140 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BMRI.JK

  7,450 7,875 7,650 8,050 7,750 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN GA.JK

  1,150 1,095 1,045 1,140 1,115 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN LI.JK 695 705 595 710 670 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BRPT.JK

  2,440 2,370 2,280 2,440 2,380 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BSDE.JK

  1,510 1,400 1,370 1,510 1,430 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BTPN .JK 3,730 3,650 3,630 3,730 3,650 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper CPIN .JK

  8,825 8,250 6,900 8,825 8,000 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper CTRA.JK

  1,070 980 1,035 1,070 1,020 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper DILD.JK 312 328 324 338 330 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper DMAS.JK

  172 185 155 197 190 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper DOID.JK

  545 605 550 645 570 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under ERAA.JK 2,320 2,310 2,350 2,590 2,390 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ESSA.JK

  Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic

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  1,985 1,855 1,825 1,900 1,855 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SMGR.JK 11,925 12,700 11,000 12,700 11,675 Overbought Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper SMRA.JK 1,055 970 765 1,055 1,000 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SRIL.JK

  Source : Reliance Research T icke r

  404 394 382 412 390 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WSKT.JK 2,050 2,070 1,945 2,140 2,010 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WTON .JK 418 408 402 422 410 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  49,850 48,925 46,000 49,850 48,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WIKA.JK 1,975 1,900 1,650 1,975 1,875 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WOOD.JK 625 585 565 625 590 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper WSBP.JK

  5,925 5,450 5,475 5,925 5,625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper ULTJ.JK 1,240 1,210 1,210 1,240 1,225 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper UN TR.JK 28,375 26,925 25,525 27,825 26,350 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under UN V R.JK

  3,790 4,020 3,730 4,020 3,850 Overbought Bearish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper TOTL.JK 570 565 570 590 575 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under TOWR.JK 715 730 660 750 690 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper TPIA.JK

  925 895 880 915 900 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TIN S.JK 890 970 700 990 885 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TKIM.JK 11,325 12,875 10,850 13,100 12,425 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TLKM.JK

  354 342 322 354 344 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SSMS.JK 1,235 1,205 1,190 1,225 1,210 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TBIG.JK 4,980 4,720 3,490 4,980 4,570 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TBLA.JK

  3,830 3,390 3,400 3,510 3,430 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under SIMP.JK 466 494 480 500 490 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under SMBR.JK 1,725 1,650 1,650 1,725 1,675 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMCB.JK

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  1,615 1,525 1,490 1,605 1,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ROTI.JK 1,235 1,205 1,190 1,235 1,210 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper SCMA.JK 1,960 1,945 1,895 2,030 1,925 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under SGRO.JK 2,440 2,350 2,350 2,430 2,410 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SIDO.jk 865 815 840 860 840 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper SILO.JK

  4,450 4,470 4,260 4,510 4,390 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper PTPP.JK 2,450 2,390 2,140 2,450 2,250 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper PWON .JK 650 660 655 680 670 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper RALS.JK

  50 Days 200 Days PN BN .JK 1,345 1,265 1,040 1,345 1,215 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper PTBA.JK

  20 Days

  B. Band

  18/01/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

  Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic

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  FakultasEkonomiGedung BT Lt. 2 Jl. A. P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru Makassar 90222 T. +62 411 889464, 881244

  F. +62 411 887604

  

Universitas Muhammadiyah Pontianak

  Jl. Ahmad Yani, No. 111 Pontianak 78124 T. +62 561 743465

  F. +62 341 460782

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