Analisis Korelasi Ekspor Dan Impor Beberapa Komoditi Sektor Pertanian Terhadap Perekonomian Sumatera Utara

74

Lampiran 1
Perkembangan Ekspor Sektor Pertanian Sumatera Utara, 1996-2013
Tahun

Ekspor
Berat Bersih (Ton)

1996

938.492

1997

885.801

1998

1.088.026


1999

981.148

2000

824.352

2001

1.035.361

2002

885.245

2003

838.057


2004

1.024.946

2005

1.044.992

2006

1.077.964

2007

1.107.505

2008

1.042.468


2009

976.542

2010

1.077.691

2011

1.050.217

2012

1.020.007

2013

1.104.842


Nilai FOB
(US)
998.290.000
891.707.000
746.359.000
625.157.000
551.295.000
665.936.000
600.529.000
686.911.000
1.029.559.000
1.222.394.000
1.705.921.000
1.850.403.000
2.187.775.000
1.444.088.000
2.677.304.000
3.951.429.000
2.740.148.000


2.403.011.000
Sumber : Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sumatera Utara

75

Lampiran 2
Perkembangan Ekspor Sumatera Utara menurut Komoditi Utama Sektor
Pertanian, 1996-2013
Tahun

Lemak & minyak
nabati
Berat
Nilai
Bersih
FOB
(Ton)
(US)
1.142.665
613.595

1.946.593
984.519
1.054.740
563.340
2.112.536
834.837
2.265.318
675.643
2.401.562
547.738
3.336.693 1.120.638
2.469.693
973.270
3.709.439
279.814
4.119.519
297.409
4.312.395
364.695
4.272.582

251.472
4.677.449
213.651
4.312.082 2.726.016
4.239.155 3.615.016
3.911.979 4.287.987
4.139.611 3.921.228
4.648.700 3.644.406

Getah karet alam
Berat
Bersih
(Ton)
533.757
550.661
603.967
533.760
500.113
570.145
526.555

526.809
645.469
665.354
696.763
685.925
641.998
567.639
663.468
681.213
625.998
693.878

Nilai
FOB
(US)
734.381
589.411
411.393
314.985
323.850

306.520
364.477
472.233
754.167
875.225
1.319.259
1.392.113
1.678.064
943.011
2.077.953
3.141.416
2.006.267
1.779.322

1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001

2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Sumber : Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sumatera Utara

Kopi
Berat
Bersih
(Ton)
36.346
31.819

45.148
56.288
49.784
58.061
55.692
41.440
53.245
58.965
63.269
71.443
62.888
67.318
78.814
78.504
78.471
75.676

Nilai
FOB
(US)
72.887
87.054
105.836
99.218
87.783
77.290
83.653
73.065
99.107
164.129
176.500
216.665
211.007
203.646
262.597
455.218
441.060
301.900

Coklat
Berat
Bersih
(Ton)
81.674
38.468
38.299
31.090
28.426
28.053
34.014
25.797
33.622
34.417
39.523
51.990
52.859
55.453
58.051
40.348
37.777
30.023

Nilai
FOB
(US)
41.904
51.795
53.700
29.639
18.705
22.616
41.585
36.937
44.891
43.762
47.060
82.918
119.043
140.374
163.908
123.828
91.988
69.434

76

Lampiran 3
Perkembangan Impor Sektor Pertanian Sumatera Utara, 1996-2013
Tahun

Impor

1996

Berat Bersih (Ton)
73.497

Nilai FOB (US)
50.812.000

1997

155.710

67.680.000

1998

62.358

26.522.000

1999

163.886

39.416.000

2000

207.066

65.482.000

2001

165.400

40.861.000

2002

245.142

54.188.000

2003

230.807

52.496.000

2004

197.687

62.026.000

2005

121.405

75.394.000

2006

278.291

118.536.000

2007

294.244

158.740.000

2008

271.704

200.628.000

2009

311.415

163.972.000

2010

335.684

197.537.000

2011

544.531

298.482.000

2012

587.835

343.038.000

2013

783.484

408.375.000

Sumber : Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sumatera Utara

77

Lampiran 4
Perkembangan Impor Sumatera Utara menurut Komoditi Utama Sektor
Pertanian, 1996-2013
Tahun

Biji dan Buah
mengandung Minyak

Tepung Gandum dan Meslin

1996

Berat Bersih
(Ton)
5.511

Nilai FOB
(US)
3.474

Berat Bersih
(Ton)
1.536

Nilai FOB
(US)
360

1997

10.222

6.055

4.417

1.062

1998

13.642

2.571

11.648

3.265

1999

49.867

9.462

147.862

25.448

2000

33.217

7.213

83.979

14.198

2001

13.466

3.696

89.797

14.926

2002

7.794

2.327

61.123

12.536

2003

30.135

7.657

37.725

81.118

2004

12.274

4.575

50.790

12.432

2005

45.752

13.095

68.869

17.103

2006

34.445

9.243

69.190

17.390

2007

97.100

33.125

106.056

30.134

2008

90.957

47.057

103.247

43.930

2009

90.533

51.721

128.198

41.409

2010

97.992

53.876

136.826

45.165

2011

118.229

73.555

123.441

46.487

2012

121.458

77.845

104.929

38.504

2013

130.222

87.541

41.873

15.232

Sumber : Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sumatera Utara

78

Lampiran 5
Tabel PDRB Sumatera Utara Atas Dasar Harga Konstan Menurut
Lapangan Usaha, 1996-2013
Sumatera Utara
PDRB

Tahun
1996

ADHB
28.173,1

ADHK
23.714,73

1997

34.006,27

25,065,4

1998

50.705,97

22.332,69

1999

61.957,56

22.910,08

2000

67.659,89

69.154,11

2001

79.331,33

71.908,35

2002

89.670,14

75.189,14

2003

103.401,3

78.805,6

2004

118.101,6

83.329,23

2005

139.618,3

87.897,8

2006

160.376,8

93.347,4

2007

181.819,7

99.792,3

2008

213.931,7

106.172,3

2009

236.353,6

111.559,2

2010

275.056,5

118.718,9

2011

314.372,4

126.587,6

2012

351.090,4

134.461,5

2013

403.933,1

142.537,1

Sumber : Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sumatera Utara

79

Lampiran 6
Tabel PDB Indonesia Atas Dasar Harga Konstan Menurut Lapangan Usaha,
1996-2013
Tahun

PDB

1996

ADHB
532,567,98

ADHK
413.797,91

1997

627.695,51

433.245,87

1998

955.753,47

376.374,85

1999

1.099.731,5

379.352,47

2000

1.282.017,5

379.934,25

2001

1.684.280,4

1.442.984,5

2002

1.863.274,6

1.506.124,3

2003

2.013,674,6

1.577.171,3

2004

2.083.077,9

1.506.296,6

2005

2.774.281,1

1.750.815,2

2006

3.339,216,8

1.847.126,7

2007

3.949.321,4

1.963.091,8

2008

4.954.028,9

2.082.103,7

2009

5.606.203,4

2.178.850,4

2010

6.446.851,9

2.314.458,8

2011

7.422.781,2

2.464.566,1

2012

8.241.864,3

2.618.938,4

2013

8.416.039,5

2.770.345,1

Sumber : Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sumatera Utara

80

Lampiran 7. Output Korelasi Ekspor Sektor Pertanian Dengan Produk
Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB)

CORRELATIONS
/VARIABLES=y x
/PRINT=TWOTAIL NOSIG
/STATISTICS DESCRIPTIVES XPROD
/MISSING=PAIRWISE.

Correlations

Descriptive Statistics
Mean

Std. Deviation

N

PDRB

82971.0000

38874.07872

18

ekspor

1498789777.7778

961297182.06241

18

Correlations
PDRB
Pearson Correlation

ekspor
1

Sig. (2-tailed)
Sum of Squares and CrossPDRB

products
Covariance

25690297936.000

1511193996.235

Pearson Correlation

0.000
28436773382529.
410
18

**

1

.000
48342514750300

15709568628099

0.000

109000.000

28436773382529.

92409227224112

410

4100.000

18

18

products
Covariance

48342514750300

18
.761

Sig. (2-tailed)

ekspor

**

.000

N

Sum of Squares and Cross-

.761

N
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

81

Lampiran 8. Output Korelasi Ekspor Komoditi Utama Sektor Pertanian Dengan
Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB)
1. Lemak dan Minyak Nabati
CORRELATIONS
/VARIABLES=Y X
/PRINT=TWOTAIL NOSIG
/STATISTICS DESCRIPTIVES XPROD
/MISSING=PAIRWISE.

Correlations

Descriptive Statistics
Mean
PDRB
lemak &minyak nabati

Std. Deviation

N

82971.0000

38874.07872

18

2037062.3889

1389615.69423

18

Correlations
PDRB

lemak &minyak
nabati

Pearson Correlation

1

Sig. (2-tailed)
PDRB

Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance
N
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
Sum of Squares and Cross-

lemak &minyak nabati

products
Covariance
N

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

.851

**

.000
25690297936.000

781331668481.00
0

1511193996.235 45960686381.235
18

18

**

1

.851

.000
781331668481.00 32827540219992.
0
45960686381.235
18

277
1931031777646.6
05
18

82

2. Getah Karet Alam

CORRELATIONS
/VARIABLES=Y X
/PRINT=TWOTAIL NOSIG
/STATISTICS DESCRIPTIVES XPROD
/MISSING=PAIRWISE.

Correlations

Descriptive Statistics
Mean
PDRB
Getah karet alam

Std. Deviation

N

82971.0000

38874.07872

18

1082447.0556

793920.55355

18

Correlations
PDRB
Pearson Correlation

Getah karet alam
1

Sig. (2-tailed)
PDRB

Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance
N
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
Sum of Squares and Cross-

Getah karet alam

products
Covariance
N

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

.751

**

.000
25690297936.000

393985825635.00
0

1511193996.235 23175636802.059
18

18

**

1

.751

.000
393985825635.00 10715267370836.
0
23175636802.059
18

943
630309845343.35
0
18

83

3. Kopi

CORRELATIONS
/VARIABLES=Y X
/PRINT=TWOTAIL NOSIG
/STATISTICS DESCRIPTIVES XPROD
/MISSING=PAIRWISE.

Correlations

Descriptive Statistics
Mean
PDRB
kopi

Std. Deviation

N

82971.0000

38874.07872

18

178811.9444

120571.13755

18

Correlations
PDRB
Pearson Correlation

kopi
1

Sig. (2-tailed)
PDRB

Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance

25690297936.000 62212426951.000
1511193996.235

3659554526.529

18

18

**

1

Pearson Correlation

.781

Sig. (2-tailed)
Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance

**

.000

N

kopi

.781

.000
62212426951.000

247135786572.94
4

3659554526.529 14537399210.173

N
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

18

18

84

4. Coklat

CORRELATIONS
/VARIABLES=Y X
/PRINT=TWOTAIL NOSIG
/STATISTICS DESCRIPTIVES XPROD
/MISSING=PAIRWISE.

Correlations

Descriptive Statistics
Mean

Std. Deviation

N

PDRB

82971.0000

38874.07872

18

coklat

68004.8333

42902.44538

18

Correlations
PDRB
Pearson Correlation

coklat
1

Sig. (2-tailed)
PDRB

Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance

25690297936.000 17517355459.000
1511193996.235

1030432674.059

18

18

**

1

Pearson Correlation

.618

Sig. (2-tailed)
Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance

**

.006

N

coklat

.618

.006
17517355459.000 31290536938.500
1030432674.059

1840619819.912

18

18

N
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

85

Lampiran 9. Output Korelasi Impor Sektor Pertanian Dengan Produk Domestik
Regional Bruto (PDRB)

CORRELATIONS
/VARIABLES=Y X
/PRINT=TWOTAIL NOSIG
/STATISTICS DESCRIPTIVES XPROD
/MISSING=PAIRWISE.

Correlations

Descriptive Statistics
Mean

Std. Deviation

N

PDRB

82971.0000

38874.07872

18

impor

134676944.4444

114548724.91625

18

Correlations
PDRB
Pearson Correlation

impor
1

Sig. (2-tailed)
Sum of Squares and CrossPDRB

products
Covariance

25690297936.000

1511193996.235

Pearson Correlation

016
3694219279823.5
30
18

**

1

.000
62801727757000.

22306397645894

016

4448.000

3694219279823.5

13121410379937

30

908.000

18

18

products
Covariance

62801727757000.

18
.830

Sig. (2-tailed)

impor

**

.000

N

Sum of Squares and Cross-

.830

N
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

86

Lampiran 10. Output Korelasi Impor Komoditi Utama Sektor Pertanian Dengan
Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB)
1. Biji dan Buah mengandung Minyak

CORRELATIONS
/VARIABLES=Y X
/PRINT=TWOTAIL NOSIG
/STATISTICS DESCRIPTIVES XPROD
/MISSING=PAIRWISE.

Correlations

Descriptive Statistics
Mean

Std. Deviation

N

PDRB

82971.0000

38874.07872

18

biji & buah meng. minyak

27449.3333

29717.27648

18

Correlations
PDRB

biji & buah meng.
minyak

Pearson Correlation

1

Sig. (2-tailed)
PDRB

Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance
N
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)

biji & buah meng. minyak

Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance
N

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

.824

**

.000
25690297936.000 16175229353.000
1511193996.235

951484079.588

18

18

**

1

.824

.000
16175229353.000 15012980862.000
951484079.588

883116521.294

18

18

87

2. Tepung gandum & meslin
CORRELATIONS
/VARIABLES=Y X
/PRINT=TWOTAIL NOSIG
/STATISTICS DESCRIPTIVES XPROD
/MISSING=PAIRWISE.

Correlations

Descriptive Statistics
Mean

Std. Deviation

N

PDRB

82971.0000

38874.07872

18

gandum

25594.3889

20647.51318

18

Correlations
PDRB
Pearson Correlation

gandum
1

Sig. (2-tailed)
PDRB

Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance

25690297936.000

6905035698.000

1511193996.235

406178570.471

18

18

*

1

Pearson Correlation

.506

Sig. (2-tailed)

.032

Sum of Squares and Crossproducts
Covariance

*

.032

N

gandum

.506

6905035698.000

7247436610.278

406178570.471

426319800.605

18

18

N
*. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).