Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan
Daily Price Action th
Wednesday, 13 February 2019 Market Review
IHSG (-1.06%) ditutup melemah 68.68 poin kelevel 6426.32 dengan sektor keuangan (- 1.09%) dan infrastruktur (-2.31%) menjadi penekan pelemahan. Saham ASII (-4.38%) menjadi pemimpin kontributor pelemahan menjelang rilis data penjualan mobil yang akan rilis pada hari Kamis. Dimana data penjualan mobil awal tahun ini dikhawatirkan melanjutkan trend penurunan yang terjadi sejak bulan Oktober tahun lalu. Investor asing tercatat net sell 566.24 miliar rupiah. Pemangkasan bobot saham-saham Indonesia oleh Credit Suisse hingga 10% menjadi kambing hitam seiring kekhawatiran bahwa pertumbuhan Indonesia terrevisi turun dan rupiah menghadapi kembali tekanannya melihat perdagangan yang telah signifikan sejak awal tahun 2019. Rupiah telah naik sekitar 2.2% tahun ini. Pada perdagangan terakhir rupiah tercatat melemah 0.24% kelevel Rp14.068 per USD. Leader: HMSP, UNVR, BRPT, RMBA, BUMI Laggard: ASII, TLKM, BMRI, BBCA, BYAN Pergerakan IHSG secara teknikal break out support MA20 sehingga potensi pergerakan bearish masih akan terasa hingga menuju support MA50 dikisaran level 6292. Koreksi wajar ini secara teknikal karena indikator stochastic bearish dan momentum RSI yang menukik cukup tajam membuat sebagian besar trader beranggapan IHSG perlu koreksi jangka pendek. Sehingga diperkirakan IHSG masih akan tertekan dengan rentang pergerakan 6355-6473. Saham-saham yang masih dapat dicermati diantaranya TBLA,
JPFA, MAIN, GGRM, HOKI, ASII, DOID, MEDC, INCO.
Ekuitas Jepang kembali dibuka optimis. Indeks Nikkei (+0.92%) dan TOPIX (+0.66%) naik lebih dari setengah persen serta Indeks KOSPI (+0.34%) di Korea Selatan menguat. Kenaikan ini didorong dengan pelemahan nilai tukar Yen yang diperpanjang serta optimisme pada tanda-tanda kesepakatan tentatif diantara anggota parlemen Amerika untuk mencegah penutupan pemerintahan yang lebih lama. Dimana Anggota parlemen AS menyatakan telah mencapai kesepakatan prinsip tentang pendanaan keamanan perbatasan. Yuan mempertahankan kenaikannya setelah menguat untuk pertama kalinya dalam lima hari akan menjadi katalis positif bursa saham Asia. Harga minyak WTI (+0.8%) rebound kelevel $53.51 perbarrel setelah Arab Saudi bersepakat untuk kembali memangkas produksi. Sedangkan harga tambang energy lain seperti Harga Batubara NC (-1.05%) melemah cukup signifikan memperpanjang pelemahan sejak awal pekan kelevel $95.65 per mton.
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Analyst:
Lanjar Nafi lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com
- +62 21 5790 5455 ext. 214
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1
- Pergerakan harga terkonsolidasi pada area support dan MA200.
- Stop-loss
- Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
- Support
- Resistance
- Stop-loss
- Target Price
- Pergerakan harga saham rebound
: 3650
: 570
: 650-700
: 545-590
membentuk pola golden-cross dengan indicator RSI yang bullish reversal momentum.
out support MA50
tepat pada level support MA50 dengan potensi menguat menuji resistance dan kembali pada trend positif jangka menengah.
: 3880-4070 TRADING BUY HMSP Analisis :
: 3880-4070
: 3500-3680
area pada area oversold dengan pola golden-cross
jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support
Indikasi positif jika berhasil kuat diatas MA200 dengan potensi menguat menuji resistance.
Analisis :
- Stop-loss jika harga saham break
- Indikator Stochastic berpotensi
- Support
- Resistance
- Stop-loss
- Target Price
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: 650 TRADING BUY DOID
BUY MEDC
Analisis :
- Harga saham rebound pada level
- Stop-loss
- Indikator stochastic golden-cross
- Support : 850-910
- Resistance : 985-1075
- Stop-loss : 920
- Target Price : 1075
- Pelemahan harga saham tertahan
- Stop-loss
- Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
- Support
- Resistance
- Stop-loss
- Target Price
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support MA200 dengan membentuk pola candlestick bullish engulfing. Berindikasi kuat bergerak rebound menguji resistance hingga upper Bollinger bands
jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support MA200
pada area oversold dengan momentum RSI yang cukup rendah.
Analisis :
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jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support MA200
area oversold dengan indikasi pola golden-cross dan RSI yang bergerak bullish mendekati area overbought
: 3200-3520
: 3890-4220
: 3460
: 3890 SPECULATIVE BUY
INCO
pada level support MA200 indikasi kuat rebound dan menguat menguji resistance level.
Daily Price Action LS-27 Index
Support Support Resist ance Resist ance Target Ticker Last Price Not e Rat ing St op-loss
2
1
1
2
Price Agricult ure TBLA 750 810 865 870 950 Break out MA50 W 840 AALI 12,000 12,750 13,200 13,575 14,500 Break out MA20 PS 13,000 SSMS 1,050 1,115 1,165 1,180 2,250 Break out support W 1,250 Basic Indust ry TKIM 10,850 12,350 12,325 14,150 16,100 Break out MA200 W 12,000INKP 10,700 11,700 12,450 13,000 14,400 Oversold W 12,000 CPIN 6,700 7,200 7,400 8,000 8,850 Arrived at MA50 TB 7,000 8,000 Consumer GGRM 77,000 80,700 80,775 84,500 88,000 Rectangle TB 80,500 84,500 HOKI 620 675 705 720 765 Stoch golden-cross TB 700 790
ICBP 9,800 10,450 10,450 11,400 12,300 Break out MA20 W 10,400 UNVR 47,100 49,000 49,100 51,400 53,000 Bearish momentum PS 49,000 Finance BBRI 3,550 3,750 3,850 3,940 4,100 Bearish momentum PS 3,800 BBNI 8,200 8,650 8,900 9,100 9,525 Oversold W 8,700 BBCA 25,800 26,800 27,300 28,275 29,750 Bearish momentum PS 27,000 Infrast ruct ure TOWR 700 770 805 850 930 Break out support PS 800 PGAS 2,250 2,410 2,410 2,600 2,800 Break out support W 2,400 Misc. Indust ry SRIL 322 340 342 350 372 Stoch golden-cross TB 338 350 ASII 7,200 7,500 7,650 7,800 8,100 Break out lower bound PS 7,450 Mining PTBA 3,850 4,170 4,190 4,480 4,800 Whipsaw at MA200 TB 4,150 4,480
ITMG 19,350 20,500 21,400 22,000 23,000 Consolidations TB 21,000 22,200 ADRO 1,215 1,310 1,275 1,400 1,500 Bullish harami cross TB 1,250 1,400 Propert y LPCK 2,400 2,650 2,740 2,880 3,000 Stoch dead-cross PS 2,600 WSKT 1,680 1,850 1,910 2,070 2,200 Bearish momentum W 1,900 PWON 595 625 635 660 700 Break out support MA50 W 620 Trading UNTR 23,000 24,000 24,825 25,425 27,000 Bearish momentum W 24,200 SCMA 1,600 1,700 1,745 1,800 1,900 Bearish momentum W 1,710 LPPF 5,325 6,000 6,750 7,000 8,000 Oversold TB 6,500 7,000 ERAA 1,600 1,875 2,090 2,100 2,400 Bearish momentum W 2,080 Wednesday, 13 February 2019 Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com Disclaimer on
Analyst Conclusions: The Index has reached the wave 3. Legend : B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary) H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute) PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability) TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
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JPFA.JK 3,100 2,780 2,150 3,050 2,830 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper JRPT.JK 675 615 550 640 590 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper
296 258 234 296 278 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under H MSP.JK 3,850 3,760 3,690 3,760 3,750 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper H OKI.JK
770 705 725 735 710 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under H RUM.JK
1,860 1,545 1,700 1,745 1,565 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under
ICBP.JK 10,725 10,450 10,375 10,725 10,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IMAS.JK 3,360 3,250 3,120 3,350 3,250 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
IMJS.jk 915 735 765 890 785 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IN CO.JK 4,020 3,580 3,450 4,020 3,650 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IN DF.JK 7,900 7,600 7,525 7,800 7,675 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IN DY.JK 2,240 1,940 2,110 2,240 1,995 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Under
IN KP.JK 13,300 12,450 12,500 13,300 12,700 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under
IN TP.JK 20,200 18,700 19,000 19,725 18,950 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper
ITMG.JK 22,400 21,400 21,425 22,400 21,525 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Under
JSMR.JK 5,175 5,025 4,810 5,175 5,050 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
2,410 2,090 2,260 2,330 2,170 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under ESSA.JK 434 366 392 434 388 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper GGRM.JK
KLBF.JK 1,625 1,570 1,590 1,610 1,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper LIN K.JK 4,520 4,350 4,310 4,520 4,380 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
LPCK.JK 2,600 2,740 2,300 2,910 2,550 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
LPKR.JK 318 286 276 318 294 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under LPPF.JK 7,325 6,750 6,550 7,050 6,750 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under
LSIP.JK 1,460 1,350 1,400 1,460 1,405 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper MAIN .JK 1,920 1,680 1,635 1,875 1,710 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
MAPI.JK 1,070 1,020 960 1,040 1,000 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
MCAS.JK 3,440 3,510 3,310 3,610 3,350 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MDIA.JK 144 156 120 158 127 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Under
MEDC.JK 1,060 960 815 1,045 955 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
META.JK 220 212 210 216 212 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under MIKA.JK 1,575 1,860 1,500 1,920 1,535 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper
MN CN .JK 920 825 815 885 850 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under
MYOR.JK 2,700 2,650 2,570 2,710 2,660 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under PBID.JK 1,110 1,060 1,070 1,130 1,075 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under
PGAS.JK 2,640 2,410 2,440 2,560 2,500 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
Source : Reliance Research T icke r
83,800 80,775 80,175 82,250 81,300 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper GMFI.JK
670 600 620 650 600 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under ERAA.JK
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8,500 7,650 8,225 8,350 8,000 Oversold Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Upper ASRI.JK
Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal
12/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI
B. Band
20 Days
50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK
14,200 13,200 12,100 14,100 13,500 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ACES.JK
1,880 1,780 1,730 1,840 1,755 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACST.JK
1,605 1,700 1,510 1,800 1,600 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ADH I.JK 1,840 1,600 1,625 1,690 1,665 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ADRO.JK
1,415 1,275 1,335 1,380 1,290 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under AGII.JK
680 655 635 680 660 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AKRA.JK 4,800 5,350 4,450 5,600 5,425 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AMRT.JK
830 820 795 830 825 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper AN TM.JK
1,150 960 820 1,150 995 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ARN A.JK 490 484 430 494 470 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ASII.JK
376 342 346 376 356 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASSA.JK 755 720 665 735 700 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBCA.JK
334 328 312 338 332 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper DMAS.JK 224 204 200 220 208 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper DOID.JK
28,750 27,300 27,475 27,700 27,650 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BBN I.JK
9,325 8,900 8,900 9,225 9,050 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper BBRI.JK 3,950 3,850 3,650 3,940 3,900 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBTN .JK
2,860 2,600 2,620 2,790 2,680 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under BDMN .JK
9,200 9,150 9,100 9,200 9,150 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BEST.JK 264 252 250 276 266 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BFIN .JK
710 660 675 695 675 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under BIRD.JK
3,250 3,190 2,620 3,250 2,890 Overbought Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BISI.JK 1,480 1,435 1,425 1,480 1,455 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK
2,450 2,050 2,130 2,270 2,150 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper BMRI.JK
7,625 7,425 7,050 7,675 7,525 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BN GA.JK 1,200 1,190 1,145 1,280 1,170 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN LI.JK
1,185 1,065 980 1,165 1,125 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BRPT.JK
2,600 2,540 2,470 2,600 2,500 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BSDE.JK 1,445 1,335 1,325 1,445 1,365 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BTPN .JK
4,000 3,810 3,710 3,900 3,780 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper CPIN .JK
8,400 7,400 7,275 8,000 7,500 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper CTRA.JK
1,000 910 865 995 935 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under DILD.JK
Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic
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1,995 2,010 1,980 2,020 1,990 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SMGR.JK 13,200 12,300 12,250 13,025 12,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper SMRA.JK 1,070 920 950 1,000 965 Oversold Bullish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper SRIL.JK
505 466 402 505 460 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper Source : Reliance Research
625 690 580 735 640 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WSBP.JK 420 392 384 420 404 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper WSKT.JK 2,040 1,910 1,830 2,050 1,975 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper WTON .JK
26,775 24,825 25,625 26,775 25,625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under UN V R.JK 50,050 49,100 48,500 49,900 49,700 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WIKA.JK 1,945 1,750 1,835 1,890 1,830 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper WOOD.JK
860 805 720 860 830 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TPIA.JK 5,925 5,400 5,375 5,850 5,550 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ULTJ.JK 1,270 1,205 1,190 1,225 1,220 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper UN TR.JK
990 865 945 990 930 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper TIN S.JK 1,430 1,310 1,265 1,400 1,340 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TKIM.JK 13,950 12,325 13,000 13,600 12,850 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Under TLKM.JK 3,930 3,820 3,780 3,940 3,850 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TOTL.JK 650 615 610 650 625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOWR.JK
350 342 336 350 340 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under SSMS.JK 1,200 1,165 1,165 1,200 1,185 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under TBIG.JK 4,830 4,620 4,610 4,830 4,720 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TBLA.JK
3,400 3,990 3,160 4,150 3,290 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Under SIMP.JK 530 490 505 530 510 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Under SMBR.JK 1,680 1,560 1,500 1,660 1,590 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMCB.JK
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1,855 1,745 1,790 1,855 1,835 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SGRO.JK 2,420 2,340 2,320 2,340 2,250 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SIDO.jk 840 830 805 840 835 Neutral Bearish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Under Upper SILO.JK
650 635 650 695 660 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper RALS.JK 1,710 1,775 1,615 1,855 1,685 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper ROTI.JK 1,240 1,200 1,205 1,240 1,230 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper SCMA.JK
50 Days 200 Days PN BN .JK 1,450 1,385 1,315 1,435 1,355 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper PTBA.JK 4,470 4,190 4,220 4,340 4,290 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper PTPP.JK 2,370 2,150 2,210 2,330 2,270 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper PWON .JK
20 Days
B. Band
12/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI
Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal
T icke r Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic
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