See important disclaimer at the end of this report

Friday, September 28, 2018
ID X Statistics

7,000

Volume

JCI Index

20,000

6,000

15,000

5,000

10,000

4,000


5,000

C lo sing

JCI

5,929.22

Transaction Value Regular M arket (IDR tn)

5.195

Transaction Volume Regular M arket (mn shares)

5,977

Foreign Net Buy (Sell) (IDR bn)

(114)


Foreign Net Buy (Sell)

(3.75)

Total M arket Capitalization (IDR tn)

6,707.83

0

3,000

Other Indices

I HSG n a ik se b a n ya k 5 6 p o in (0 .9 5 % ) ke le ve l 5 9 2 9 .2 2 .
Se m e n t a ra LQ4 5 n a ik se b a n ya k 1 2 .7 p o in (1 .3 7 % ) ke le ve l
9 3 8 .2 2 . Fo re ig n n e t se ll se b e sa r Rp 1 1 3 .7 3 m ilia r.

C lo sing


1-D ay C hg (%)

YT D
C hg (%)

LQ45

938.22

1.37

(13.08)

EIDO

22.84

0.66

(19.66)


IDX

20.71

1.02

(16.63)

26,439.93

0.21

6.96

DOW JONES
S&P 500

2,914.00


0.28

8.99

NASDAQ

8,041.97

0.65

16.49

Toda y’s M a r k e t :

FTSE

7,545.44

0.45


(1.85)



NIKKEI

23,796.74

(0.99)

4.53

HANG SENG

I HSG diperkirakan bergerak m ixed dengan kecenderungan
m enguat . Bursa AS dit ut up m enguat pada perdagangan
Kam is ( 27/ 09) . Harga crude oil st abil di level USD 72.17
per barrel. Harga bat ubara st abil di level USD 113.70 per
Mt . Rupiah bergerak m enguat t erhadap Dollar AS ke level
Rp 14.921. 10Yr Governm ent Bonds Yield st abil di level

8.18% .











Dari dalam negeri, Bank I ndonesia ( BI ) kem bali m enaikkan BI 7- Day Reverse Repo Rat e ( BI 7DRRR) sebesar 25
bps ke level 5,75% di Sept em ber 2018. Kenaikan ini sej alan dengan kenaikan bunga acuan Bank Sent ral Am erika
Serikat ( The Fed) m enj adi 2% hingga 2,25% .
Dari dalam negeri, Ot orit as Jasa Keuangan ( OJK) m encat at hingga Agust us 2018, pert um buhan kredit indust ri
perbankan sebesar 12,12% yoy. Pert um buhan t ersebut
lebih t inggi dibandingkan dengan pert um buhan kredit
pada Juli 2018 yang t um buh 11,34%


27,715.67

(0.36)

(7.36)

STRAITS TIM ES

3,236.26

(0.09)

(4.90)

KLSE

1,798.64

0.00


0.10

C urrency Spo t R ate

Sehubungan dengan em it en, Sum m arecon Agung ( SMRA)
m encat at kan pendapat an 1H18 sebesar I DR 2.6 t n ( 1.26% YoY) dan laba t ahun berj alan sebesar I DR 78.4 bn
( + 29.6% YoY) .

1-D ay C hg (%)

YT D
C hg (%)

USD/IDR

14,921.00

0.00

9.17


EUR/IDR

17,372.62

(0.88)

6.67

JPY/IDR

131.55

(0.48)

8.50

SGD/IDR

10,909.64


(0.16)

7.03

AUD/IDR

10,762.69

(0.60)

1.69

GBP/IDR

19,515.76

(0.66)

6.23

C o mmo dities
Crude Oil (USD/barrel)

Natural Gas (USD/mmBtu)
Gold (USD/ounce)

Last
T ransactio n

P rice

Coal (USD/mn tons)

Sehubungan dengan em it en, Waskit a Karya ( WSKT)
m enerim a pem bayaran t ahap keem pat proyek LRT palem bang senilai I DR 3,9 t n. Sebelum nya t ot al pem bayaran 3
t ahap t elah dit erim a sebesar I DR 1,9 t n pada 2017.

R ate (ID R )

YT D
C hg (%)

72.17

8:00:16 AM

19.45

113.70

9/27/2018

12.80

3.06

7:57:45 AM

3.59

1,183.76

8:10:19 AM

(9.13)

Nickel (USD/mn tons)

12,610.00

8:10:16 AM

(1.18)

Tins (USD/mn tons)

18,965.00

8:10:00 AM

(5.29)

2,117.00

9/27/2018

(13.38)

CPO (M YR/mn tons)
Rubber (JPY/kg)

139.70

7:36:51AM

(31.99)

Wheat (USD/bushel)

513.50

7:59:02 AM

20.26

Corn (USD/bushel)

365.25

7:59:45 AM

4.13

Secara t eknikal indeks hari Jum at ( 28/ 09) , I HSG diprediksi
bergerak di kisaran 5883 - 5971.

Top BUY: ROTI , GGRM , AN TM
w w w .sina r m a sse k ur it a s.co.id

BoW : SCM A

Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

Se e im por t a n t discla im e r a t t he e nd of t his r e por t

1

D a ily Cor por a t e a nd I n du st r y N e w s
Bank I ndonesia ( BI ) kem bali m enaikkan BI 7 - Day Reverse Repo Rat e ( BI 7DRRR) sebesar 25 bps ke level 5,75% di
Sept em ber 2018. Kenaikan ini sej alan dengan kenaikan bunga acuan Bank Sent ral Am erika Serikat ( The Fed) m enj adi 2% hingga 2,25% . Source: Kont an
Harga BBM solar bersubsidi dan BBM khusus penugasan prem ium yang t idak dinaikkan hingga 2019 m erupakan
keput usan bisnis ( business decision) Pert am ina, m eski harga m inyak m enguat . BUMN ini m em ang rugi dalam m enj ual prem ium unt uk m asyarakat berpenghasilan rendah, nam un nilainya kecil sehingga bisa dit ut up dengan subsidi
silang dari penj ualan yang lain. Source: I nvest or Daily
PT I ndonesia Asahan Alum unium / I nalum ( Persero) resm i m enguasai 51% saham Freeport I ndonesia, m enyusul dit andat anganinya perj anj ian j ual beli ( sales and repurchase agreem ent / SPA) saham Freeport I ndonesia oleh m anaj em en I nalum dan Freeport Mcm oran, I nalum segera m elunasi pem belian 51% saham Freeport I ndonesia senilai US$
3,85 m iliar pada Novem ber m endat ang. Source: I nvest or Daily
Ment eri Perhubungan Budi Karya Sum adi m engat akan bahwa t iga proyek keret a ringan ( light rail t ransit / LRT) yang
dit awarkan unt uk dikerj asam akan dengan perusahaan asing yakni LRT Medan, LRT Surabaya, dan LRT Bandung dengan nilai invest asi per proyek sekit ar I DR 5 - 10 t riliun. Pada proyek bandara, ada dua proyek perluasan bandara
yang dit awarkan dengan perkiraan nilai invest asi t iap - t iap proyek Rp3 t riliun—Rp5 t riliun yait u bandar a Kualanam u
di Sum at era Ut ara dan Zainudin Abdul Madj id ( Praya) di Lom bok. Source: Bisnis I ndonesia
Pem erint ah akan m enam bah insent if perpaj akan bagi pengusaha dalam program m ini t ax holiday yang m erupakan
insent if pem bebasan paj ak penghasilan ( PPh) badan sepert i t ax holiday, t api unt uk penanam an m odal senilai Rp 100
m iliar - Rp 500 m iliar. Source: Kont an
Asosiasi Sem en I ndonesia ( ASI ) m encat at , volum e ekspor sem en pada Januari - Agust us t ahun ini m eningkat t aj am
hingga dua kali lipat m enj adi 3,7 j ut a t on. Di periode yang sam a t ahun lalu, penj ualan ekspor sem en nasional hanya
sebesar 1,8 j ut a t on. Source: Kont an
Kondisi fiskal I ndonesia yang kuat t elah m em beri sent im en posit if t erhadap penerbit an Surat Berharga Negara
( SBN) , di ant aranya t ergam bar dari im bal hasil ( yield) yang m asih cukup m asuk akal ( reasonable) . Penerim aan negara yang sam pai akhir Agust us lalu t um buh 18,5% yoy sert a penerim aan paj ak t um buh 16,5% yoy adalah di
ant ara indikat or kondisi fiskal yang kuat . Source: I nvest or Daily
Bank I ndonesia ( BI ) akan m eluncurkan at uran m engenai t ransaksi non - deliverable forward di pasar dom est ik at au
dom est ic non- deliverable forward ( DNDF) yang diharapkan m em perdalam pasar valut a asing ( valas) sehingga dapat
m engurangi t ekanan t erhadap nilai t ukar rupiah. Source: I nvest or Daily
Ot orit as Jasa Keuangan ( OJK) m encat at hingga Agust us 2018, pert um buhan kredit indust ri perbankan sebesar
12,12% yoy. Pert um buhan t ersebut lebih t inggi dibandingkan dengan pert um buhan kredit pada Juli 2018 yang t um buh 11,34% . Source: I nvest or Daily
Waskit a Karya ( WSKT) m enerim a pem bayaran t ahap keem pat proyek LRT palem bang senilai I DR 3,9 t n. Sebelum nya t ot al pem bayaran 3 t ahap t elah dit erim a sebesar I DR 1,9 t n pada 2017. Source: Bisnis I ndonesia
Sum m arecon Agung ( SMRA) m encat at kan pendapat an 1H18 sebesar I DR 2.6 t n ( - 1.26% YoY) dan laba t ahun berj alan sebesar I DR 78.4 bn ( + 29.6% YoY) . Source: Bisnis I ndonesia
Ult ra Jaya Milk ( ULTJ) opt im ist is kinerj a t um buh m elalui penam bahan produk. Tahun ini, pendapat an dit arget kan
naik 13% - 15% dengan laba dibidik t um buh 5% - 10% . Source: Kont an

w w w .sina r m a sse k ur it a s.co.id

Se e im por t a n t discla im e r a t t he e nd of t his r e por t

2

D a ily Cor por a t e a nd I n du st r y N e w s
Golden Eagle Energy ( SMMT) m encat at kan volum e produksi 900.000 t on bat ubara selam a Januari hingga Agust us
2018. Pencapaian t ersebut separuh dari t arget sepanj ang t ahun ini yang sebesar 1,8 j ut a t on bat ubara. Source:
Kont an
Provident Agro ( PALM) m elalui ent it as anak PT Suwarna Art a Mandiri ( SAM) m em beli saham Merdeka Copper Gold
( MDKA) sej um lah 293.294.900 unit saham . Nilai t ransaksi pem belian t ersebut sebesar Rp 698,67 m iliar, dengan kisaran harga Rp 2250- 2400 per saham . Source: I nvest or Daily
Hanson I nt ernat ional ( MYRX) m eraih perset uj uan pem egang saham t erkait rencana penam bahan m odal dengan hak
m em esan efek t erlebih dahulu ( HMETD) at au right s issue. Perseroan berharap m eraup dana sebesar Rp 12 - 16 t riliun. Sour ce: I nvest or Daily
Zurich I nsurance Group, grup asuransi asal Swiss, akan fokus m engem bangkan segm en rit el di I ndonesia, set elah
m engakuisisi 80% kepem ilikan saham PT Asuransi Adira Dinam ika ( Asuransi Adira) dari Danam on Group dan invest or m inorit as. Dari penj ualan t ersebut , Bank Danam on akan m eraih dana sekit ar Rp 3,9 t riliun. Source: Bisnis I ndonesia
PT Sat ria Ant aran Prim a ( SAP) dan PT Super Energy t elah m eram pungkan penawaran awal ( bookbuilding) t erkait
penawaran um um perdana ( I nit ial Public Offering/ I PO) saham . SAP m enet apkan
harga I PO Rp 250 per saham , sedangkan Super Energy Rp 155 per saham . Pencat at an saham ( list ing)
di BEI dij adwalkan pada awal Okt ober 2018. Source: I nvest or Daily

w w w .sina r m a sse k ur it a s.co.id

Se e im por t a n t discla im e r a t t he e nd of t his r e por t

3

W or ld Equ it y I n dices
W O R L D E Q U IT Y IN D IC E S
NO

T IC K E R

A m e ric a

52-WEEK
H IG H

26,769.16

C H A N GE YTD

LO W

22,288.97

P O IN T

1,720.71

%

P E R ( x)
2 0 17

16.92

2 0 17

3.88

2 0 18 E

3.97

D o m a in
C urre nc y
7,374.59

US D

IN D U Index

2

SP X Index

2,940.91

2,502.93

240.39

8.99

22.51

18.07

3.30

3.31

25,541.71

25,541.71

3

C C M P Index

8,133.30

6,427.66

1,138.58

16.49

40.71

24.07

3.80

3.74

12,578.04

12,578.04

4

SP T SX Index

16,586.46

14,785.78

(0.03)

19.81

15.71

1.91

1.90

2,492.42

1,913.72

5

M EXB O L Index

51,121.23

44,429.36

0.59

19.72

16.85

2.65

2.67

5,955.70

316.73

292.49

20.69

2 0 18 E

M A R KE T C A P (B n)

1

(4.51)

6.96

P B V ( x)

7,374.59

E uro pe
6

SX5E Index

3,708.82

3,261.86

(54.17)

(1.55)

18.41

14.29

1.67

1.79

2,962.91

3,458.61

7

UKX Index

7,903.50

6,866.94

(142.33)

(1.85)

23.26

13.57

1.97

2.01

2,103.56

2,755.87

8

C A C Index

5,657.44

5,038.12

227.85

4.29

18.43

14.82

1.67

1.71

1,636.86

1,910.71

9

D A X Index

13,596.89

11,726.62

(482.05)

(3.73)

19.19

13.56

1.86

1.93

1,150.74

1,343.25

10

IB EX Index

10,643.40

9,111.10

(516.40)

(5.14)

15.07

12.48

1.47

1.49

594.88

694.40

(342.27)

(1.57)

11

F T SEM IB Index

24,544.26

20,236.27

12

A EX Index

576.90

515.96

13

SM I Index

9,616.38

8,372.90

(269.65)

9.17

559.35

11.79

1.18

1.24

509.69

594.96

1.68

18.84

14.93

1.91

1.88

678.75

792.31

(2.87)

24.52

15.93

2.59

2.60

1,103.03

1,128.19

A s ia / P a c if ic
14

A S51 Index

6,373.50

5,650.90

116.09

1.91

17.95

15.89

2.08

2.05

1,850.15

1,336.00

15

A S30 Index

6,481.30

5,715.40

132.04

2.14

18.90

15.96

2.00

1.96

2,007.10

1,449.33

16

SH SZ 300 Index

4,403.34

3,191.40

(627.27)

(15.56)

16.47

11.65

2.05

2.08

27,078.15

3,929.89

17

SH A SH R Index

3,757.20

2,769.10

(539.75)

(15.58)

16.86

11.36

1.80

1.84

29,697.18

4,310.00

18

SZ A SH R Index

2,140.56

1,438.39

(491.79)

(24.76)

29.07

16.45

3.12

3.10

18,284.98

2,653.73

19

H SI Index

33,484.08

26,219.56

(2,203.48)

(7.36)

13.71

11.34

1.39

1.41

17,998.93

2,303.51

20

H SC EI Index

13,962.53

10,196.71

(770.33)

(6.58)

9.18

8.21

1.05

1.10

11,483.91

1,469.71

21

SEN SEX Index

38,989.65

31,081.83

2,267.34

6.66

24.56

19.47

3.12

2.96

66,022.16

909.58

22

N IF T Y Index

11,760.20

9,687.55

446.85

4.24

23.85

18.98

3.12

2.94

80,771.30

1,112.78

6,693.47

5,557.56

(426.44)

(6.71)

24.38

15.51

2.58

2.54

6,707,832.32

450.31

1,132.92

871.91

(141.17)

(13.08)

21.16

16.14

3.39

3.35

4,274,291.97

286.94

23

J C I Index

24

LQ 45 Index

25

KSE100 Index

47,144.12

37,736.73

380.32

0.94

8.99

8.51

1.46

1.42

7,191.90

57.92

26

N KY Index

24,129.34

20,285.06

1,031.80

4.53

19.37

16.68

1.89

1.97

403,437.73

3,556.40

27

N EY Index

376.09

323.31

0.97

0.27

16.06

12.67

1.38

1.33

455,241.12

4,013.06

28

T P X Index

1,911.31

1,645.16

(17.45)

(0.96)

16.34

13.92

1.41

1.46

676,759.23

5,965.79

29

F B M KLC I Index

1,896.03

1,657.78

1.83

0.10

16.69

17.38

1.67

1.65

1,120.79

270.94

30

N Z SE Index

1,652.90

1,424.15

114.52

7.58

19.27

21.67

2.03

2.02

133.62

88.52

31

P C O M P Index

9,078.37

6,923.67

(1,237.83)

(14.46)

22.98

16.98

2.51

2.37

9,215.41

170.49

32

F SST I Index

3,641.65

3,102.73

(166.66)

(4.90)

11.07

13.14

1.22

1.24

559.82

409.61

33

KO SP I Index

2,607.10

2,218.09

(112.06)

(4.54)

12.69

9.41

1.05

1.07

1,523,409.41

1,367.33

34

T WSE Index

11,270.18

10,189.04

391.33

3.68

15.55

14.21

1.75

1.76

32,695.83

1,071.50

35

SET Index

1,852.51

1,584.68

(0.76)

(0.04)

18.90

16.30

2.08

2.12

17,678.20

545.59

36

SET 50 Index

1,223.67

1,043.32

23.40

2.06

17.52

16.06

2.26

2.30

12,176.86

375.81

37

VN IN D EX Index

1,211.34

795.05

31.13

3.16

19.00

17.35

2.81

2.90

3,248,510.46

139.18

Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

w w w .sina r m a sse k ur it a s.co.id

Se e im por t a n t discla im e r a t t he e nd of t his r e por t

4

LQ4 5
L Q 4 5 In d e x
5 2 -W E E K
L Q 4 5 In d e x

C H A N G E Y TD

P E R (x )

P B V (x )

2 7 -S e p -1 8
H IG H

LOW

P O IN T

%

2017

2018E

2017

2018E

M A R K ET C A P
(B n )

1

A D H I IJ

1 ,3 9 0

2 ,5 1 0

1 ,3 2 0

(4 9 5 )

(2 6 . 2 6 )

1 3 .0 2

6 .1 5

1 .1 5

0 .7 6

4 ,9 4 9 .5 8

2

A D R O IJ

1 ,8 2 5

2 ,6 5 0

1 ,5 7 5

(3 5 )

(1 . 8 8 )

9 .0 6

8 .1 7

1 .2 6

1 .0 5

5 8 ,3 7 4 .3 8

3

A K R A IJ

3 ,6 4 0

8 ,0 2 5

3 ,2 2 0

(2 , 7 1 0 )

(4 2 . 6 8 )

2 8 .1 1

1 3 .5 6

3 .3 7

1 .7 1

1 4 ,6 1 3 .4 9

4

A N TM IJ

835

1 ,0 1 5

600

2 7 .0 4

0 .8 1

1 .0 8

2 0 ,0 6 5 .6 9

5

A S II IJ

7 ,3 7 5

8 ,7 5 0

6 ,1 0 0

1 7 .8 3

1 4 .1 6

2 .7 2

2 .1 8

2 9 8 ,5 6 6 .2 0

210

3 3 .6 0

(9 2 5 )

(1 1 . 1 4 )

-

6

B B C A IJ

2 4 ,0 0 0

2 5 ,4 7 5

1 9 ,6 5 0

2 ,1 0 0

9 .5 9

2 3 .1 7

2 2 .9 1

4 .1 1

3 .9 3

5 9 1 ,7 2 0 .2 2

7

B B N I IJ

7 ,3 5 0

1 0 ,1 7 5

6 ,7 5 0

(2 , 5 5 0 )

(2 5 . 7 6 )

1 3 .5 6

8 .9 2

1 .8 7

1 .2 7

1 3 7 ,0 6 7 .6 2

8

B B R I IJ

3 ,0 7 0

3 ,9 2 0

2 ,7 2 0

(5 7 0 )

(1 5 . 6 6 )

1 5 .3 4

1 1 .6 5

2 .6 7

2 .0 3

3 7 8 ,6 7 1 .6 4

9

B B TN IJ

2 ,6 5 0

3 ,8 9 0

2 ,1 1 0

(9 2 0 )

(2 5 . 7 7 )

1 2 .4 9

8 .2 4

1 .7 5

1 .1 3

2 8 ,0 6 3 .5 0

10

B J B R IJ

2 ,0 5 0

2 ,7 5 0

1 ,7 9 5

(3 5 0 )

(1 4 . 5 8 )

1 9 .2 0

1 3 .1 3

2 .3 1

1 .9 0

1 9 ,8 7 7 .4 0

11

B M R I IJ

6 ,6 2 5

9 ,0 5 0

6 ,2 0 0

(1 , 3 7 5 )

(1 7 . 1 9 )

1 8 .0 9

1 2 .1 7

2 .2 4

1 .7 1

3 0 9 ,1 6 6 .6 7

12

B M TR IJ

410

755

378

(1 8 0 )

(3 0 . 5 1 )

0 .8 8

-

13

B R P T IJ

1 ,8 4 0

2 ,7 2 0

1 ,5 1 0

(4 2 0 )

(1 8 . 5 8 )

3 0 .0 0

1 7 .6 5

2 .1 6

1 .2 2

3 2 ,7 3 6 .5 2

14

B S D E IJ

1 ,1 5 5

1 ,9 6 5

1 ,0 8 0

(5 4 5 )

(3 2 . 0 6 )

6 .6 1

8 .3 9

1 .2 9

0 .7 9

2 2 ,2 2 9 .9 3

15

B U M I IJ

214

356

1 4 ,0 1 1 .7 3

16

EX C L IJ

17

G G R M IJ

7 5 ,0 0 0

18

H M S P IJ

19

IC B P IJ

20

IN C O IJ

-

-

5 ,8 2 1 .4 3

166

(5 6 )

(2 0 . 7 4 )

2 .5 7

2 .3 9

-

-

1 ,7 1 0

(1 4 0 )

(4 . 7 3 )

8 5 .1 6

7 3 .2 1

1 .4 6

1 .3 7

3 0 ,1 4 0 .0 5

8 6 ,4 0 0

6 1 ,9 2 5

(8 , 8 0 0 )

(1 0 . 5 0 )

2 0 .8 0

1 7 .1 0

3 .8 2

3 .1 3

1 4 4 ,3 0 6 .6 0

3 ,8 4 0

5 ,5 5 0

3 ,2 3 0

(8 9 0 )

(1 8 . 8 2 )

4 3 .5 4

3 3 .9 3

1 6 .1 3

1 2 .6 9

4 4 6 ,6 6 1 .4 2

8 ,8 2 5

9 ,2 7 5

7 ,9 0 0

(7 5 )

(0 . 8 4 )

2 7 .3 1

2 4 .4 9

5 .3 1

4 .7 4

1 0 2 ,9 1 6 .3 4

3 ,7 0 0

4 ,7 2 0

2 ,5 1 0

3 1 .0 5

1 .1 6

1 .2 9

3 6 ,7 6 4 .4 5

2 ,8 2 0

810

2 8 .0 3

-

21

IN D F IJ

5 ,9 7 5

8 ,6 7 5

5 ,8 5 0

(1 , 6 5 0 )

(2 1 . 6 4 )

1 6 .1 8

1 1 .9 4

2 .1 5

1 .5 4

5 2 ,4 6 3 .0 5

22

IN D Y IJ

2 ,7 4 0

4 ,6 3 0

1 ,8 3 0

(3 2 0 )

(1 0 . 4 6 )

3 .5 0

4 .8 4

1 .2 7

0 .9 7

1 4 ,2 7 5 .9 3

23

IN TP IJ

1 7 ,8 5 0

2 3 ,9 5 0

1 2 ,5 0 0

(4 , 1 0 0 )

(1 8 . 6 8 )

4 3 .4 5

4 7 .9 8

3 .2 9

2 .6 8

6 5 ,7 0 9 .9 9

24

J S M R IJ

4 ,4 7 0

6 ,7 7 5

3 ,9 2 0

(1 , 9 3 0 )

(3 0 . 1 6 )

2 1 .1 1

1 6 .7 9

3 .0 8

1 .9 4

3 2 ,4 4 2 .6 8

25

K L B F IJ

1 ,3 5 5

1 ,7 8 5

1 ,1 5 5

(3 3 5 )

(1 9 . 8 2 )

3 2 .9 6

2 5 .6 6

5 .9 6

4 .3 6

6 3 ,5 1 5 .7 9

26

L P K R IJ

340

745

314

(1 4 8 )

(3 0 . 3 3 )

1 8 .0 9

9 .9 0

0 .4 9

0 .3 6

7 ,8 4 9 .6 4

27

L P P F IJ

6 ,9 0 0

1 1 ,9 7 5

5 ,5 2 5

(3 , 1 0 0 )

(3 1 . 0 0 )

1 5 .2 9

1 0 .1 4

1 2 .5 3

5 .4 7

2 0 ,1 3 3 .6 3

28

M N C N IJ

820

1 ,6 9 0

805

(4 6 5 )

(3 6 . 1 9 )

1 1 .7 8

7 .5 0

1 .8 6

1 .1 3

1 1 ,7 0 6 .4 0

29

M YR X IJ

128

198

101

18

1 6 .3 6

-

-

1 1 ,0 9 8 .0 1

30

P G A S IJ

2 ,1 8 0

2 ,8 6 0

1 ,3 6 5

430

2 4 .5 7

2 0 .7 7

1 4 .6 4

0 .9 9

1 .1 1

5 2 ,8 4 6 .4 9

31

P TB A IJ

4 ,1 6 0

4 ,9 4 0

1 ,8 1 0

1 ,7 0 0

6 9 .1 1

5 .7 9

9 .0 0

1 .9 1

2 .7 6

4 7 ,9 2 5 .9 4

1 ,5 3 5

3 ,2 8 0

1 ,4 6 5

(1 , 1 0 5 )

(4 1 . 8 6 )

1 1 .2 6

5 .5 1

1 .4 3

0 .7 3

9 ,5 1 6 .8 4

500

725

490

(1 8 5 )

(2 7 . 0 1 )

1 7 .6 2

1 0 .9 6

3 .2 0

1 .9 8

2 4 ,0 7 9 .8 0

(2 5 . 0 0 )

2 7 .2 4

1 6 .6 2

9 .3 0

5 .3 2

2 7 ,1 9 6 .1 8

2 8 .0 1

2 .0 3

1 .8 5

5 5 ,9 0 4 .5 8

1 .1 8

-

-

-

32

P TP P IJ

33

P W O N IJ

34

S C M A IJ

1 ,8 6 0

2 ,9 8 0

1 ,7 6 5

(6 2 0 )

35

S M G R IJ

9 ,4 2 5

1 1 ,7 7 5

6 ,5 0 0

(4 7 5 )

(4 . 8 0 )

2 9 .1 4

36

S R IL IJ

344

414

302

(3 6 )

(9 . 4 7 )

7 .2 6

37

S S M S IJ

1 ,2 1 0

1 ,5 5 0

1 ,0 0 5

(2 9 0 )

(1 9 . 3 3 )

1 7 .9 2

1 3 .5 2

3 .5 4

2 .5 3

1 1 ,5 2 5 .2 5

38

TL K M IJ

3 ,5 8 0

4 ,7 0 7

3 ,2 5 0

(8 1 9 )

(1 8 . 6 2 )

1 9 .6 8

1 6 .6 9

4 .7 0

3 .5 2

3 5 4 ,6 4 2 .7 4

39

TP IA IJ

4 ,8 8 0

6 ,6 7 5

4 ,6 4 0

(1 , 1 2 0 )

(1 8 . 6 7 )

2 3 .8 1

2 7 .3 0

4 .7 4

3 .3 0

8 7 ,0 2 7 .5 8

40

TR A M IJ

216

432

122

-

-

1 0 ,7 2 0 .8 8

41

U N TR IJ

3 2 ,1 7 5

4 0 ,5 0 0

3 0 ,4 2 5

(3 , 2 2 5 )

(9 . 1 1 )

1 7 .8 4

1 1 .7 0

2 .9 1

2 .3 0

1 2 0 ,0 1 7 .1 0

42

U N V R IJ

4 7 ,1 5 0

5 8 ,1 0 0

4 0 ,4 0 0

(8 , 7 5 0 )

(1 5 . 6 5 )

6 0 .8 9

4 6 .7 6

8 2 .4 4

5 9 .3 8

3 5 9 ,7 5 4 .5 0

43

W IK A IJ

1 ,3 6 0

2 ,1 9 0

1 ,2 1 0

(1 9 0 )

(1 2 . 2 6 )

1 1 .5 5

8 .2 2

1 .1 0

0 .8 6

1 2 ,1 9 9 .1 3

44

W S B P IJ

356

510

336

(5 2 )

(1 2 . 7 5 )

1 0 .5 6

7 .5 2

1 .4 7

1 .0 3

9 ,3 8 4 .5 7

W S K T IJ

1 ,6 9 5

3 ,1 5 0

1 ,6 8 0

(5 1 5 )

(2 3 . 3 0 )

7 .3 8

5 .3 2

2 .1 4

1 .3 2

2 3 ,0 0 7 .7 6

45

18

9 .0 9

-

-

-

7 ,0 3 5 .5 5

Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

w w w .sina r m a sse k ur it a s.co.id

Se e im por t a n t discla im e r a t t he e nd of t his r e por t

5

M a cr o da t a
S e c t o rs
D e s c ript io n

1- D a y ( %)

5 - D a ys ( %)

1- M o nt h ( %)

Y T D ( %)

P ro perty

0.54

(0.62)

(7.77)

(15.38)

B asic Industry

1.40

(0.29)

(2.75)

17.28

Trade

0.60

(0.48)

(3.64)

(11.24)

Finance

0.31

(0.15)

(3.58)

(6.54)

M iscellaneo us Industry

0.37

(1.35)

0.08

(9.11)

Co nsumer

2.20

0.76

3.43

(12.76)

Infrastructure
A griculture
M ining

0.88

(0.18)

(1.90)

(13.18)

(0.27)

(1.08)

(2.38)

(3.05)

1.08

1.17

(2.37)

22.89

A ug- 18

J ul- 18

E c o no m ic Indic a t o rs
E c o no m ic P a ra m e t e rs
Inflatio n YTD (in %)

2.13

3.61

Inflatio n Yo Y (in %)

3.20

3.18

-0.05

0.28

117.90

118.31

Inflatio n M o M (in %)
Fo reign Reserves (in USD bn)

F OR EX

S po t R a t e

USD/IDR

1- D a y ( %) 1- M o nt h ( %)

Y T D ( %)

14,946.00

-

(2.14)

(9.31)

USD/CNY

6.89

(0.17)

(1.08)

(5.57)

USD/EUR

0.86

(0.02)

0.43

3.10

USD/JP Y

113.47

(0.08)

(2.01)

(0.69)

USD/SGD

1.37

0.01

(0.29)

(2.33)

USD/A UD

1.39

(0.09)

1.73

8.21

USD/GB P

0.76

(0.03)

(1.58)

3.28

Le nding a nd D e po s it R a t e s

( in %)

JIB OR (in IDR)

7.40

LIB OR (in GB P )

1.06

SIB OR ( in USD)

1.46

Indo nesia 5-Year Go vernment B o nds Yield

8.18

Indo nesia 10-Year Go vernment B o nds Yield

8.18

Indo nesia 15-Year Go vernment B o nds Yield

8.38

Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research

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Se e im por t a n t discla im e r a t t he e nd of t his r e por t

6

St a t e Budge t
I NDI CAT OR

2016

2017

2018

LKPP

APBNP

RAPBN

GDP Gr owth ( % , YoY)

5,0%

5,2%

5,4%

Ex change r ate ( USD/ I DR)

13307

13300

13500

I nflation ( % , YoY)

3%

4,3%

3,5%

3 Months SPN ( % )

5,7%

5,2%

5,3%

40

45

48

I ndonesian Cr ude Oil ( USD/ bar r el)
Oil Lifting ( thousands bar r el/ day )

829

815

800

Gas Lifting ( thousands, BOE/ day )

1.18

1.15

1.2

Total State Budget ( in I DR tr illion)

1556

1714

1878

Upcom ing I PO
Co m p a n y

I PO
Pr ice
( Rp )

Bu sin e ss

I ssu e d
Sh a r e s
( Mn )

Madusar i Mur ni I ndah
Tr im itr a Pr oper tindo Tbk

Of f e r in g Da t e ( 2 0 1 7 )

List in g

495.9

23/ 08/ 2018 - 27/ 08/ 2018

30- Aug- 18

773.3

10/ 07/ 2018 - 14/ 08/ 2018

23- Aug- 18

1981.0

25/ 07/ 2018 - 31/ 07/ 2018

07- Aug- 18

Mahk ota Gr oup Tbk

703.7

03/ 07/ 2018 - 09/ 07/ 2018

12- Jul- 18

NFC I ndonesia Tbk

166.7

03/ 07/ 2018 - 05/ 07/ 2018

12- Jul- 18

MD Pictur es Tbk

Un d e r w r it e r

D ivide nd
St o ck

D PS ( Rp )

Cu m D a t e

Ex D a t e

Re co r d in g

Pa y m e n t

XC I D

1.46

St a t u s

01/ 08/ 2018

02/ 08/ 2018

06/ 08/ 2018

21/ 08/ 2018

AKRA

120

11/ 07/ 2018

12/ 07/ 2018

16/ 07/ 2018

03/ 08/ 2018

XI SB

1.99

11/ 07/ 2018

12/ 07/ 2018

16/ 07/ 2018

18/ 07/ 2018

BMAS

8

06/ 07/ 2018

09/ 07/ 2018

11/ 07/ 2018

02/ 08/ 2018

C ASS

15.65

06/ 07/ 2018

09/ 07/ 2018

11/ 07/ 2018

02/ 08/ 2018

I NAI

30

06/ 07/ 2018

09/ 07/ 2018

11/ 07/ 2018

02/ 08/ 2018

ULTJ

10

06/ 07/ 2018

09/ 07/ 2018

11/ 07/ 2018

01/ 08/ 2018

BATA

5.55

05/ 07/ 2018

06/ 07/ 2018

10/ 07/ 2018

27/ 07/ 2018

C SAP

4

05/ 07/ 2018

06/ 07/ 2018

10/ 07/ 2018

01/ 08/ 2018

Right s I ssu e
T ick e r
MAYA

Ra t io
1

:

6

Pr ice ( Rp )

Cu m Da t e

EX Da t e

T r a d in g

2,200

24/ 09/ 2018

25/ 09/ 2018

01/ 10/ 2018 - 05/ 10/ 2018

BBKP

3

:

10

570

06/ 07/ 2018

09/ 07/ 2018

13/ 07/ 2018 - 25/ 07/ 2018

PEGE

3

:

1

100

06/ 07/ 2018

09/ 07/ 2018

13/ 07/ 2018 - 19/ 07/ 2018

www.sinarmassekuritas.co.id

See important disclaimer at the end of this report

Pick s of Th e D a y
ROTI - Daily 9/27/2018 4:05:00 PM Open 1050, Hi 1075, Lo 1030, Clos e 1075 (2.4%) MA(Clos e,50) = 969.10
1,350

1,300

1,250

1,200

1,150

1115
1105
1095

1,100
1,075

1070
1060
1050

1,050

1035
1015
1,000
995
969.1
950

Dec

2018

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

ROTI - MACD(12,26) = 26.41, Signal(12,26,9) = 19.52

26.4108
20
19.5201
0
-20
-40

Dec
2018
Feb
ROTI - Stoch %K(15,3) = 88.17, Stoch %D(15,3,3) = 87.06

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
88.172
80
87.0609

20
ROTI - RSI(15) = 69.53

69.5334
70

ROTI : TRAD I N G BUY
ROTI berhasil break Resist ance Trendline 1.070, ROTI berpeluang m elanj ut kan penguatan dengan m enguj i Resist ance 1.095,
1.105 dan 1.115. Nam un, j ika ROTI gagal break Resist ance 1.095, m aka ROTI akan m encoba Support 1.060, 1.050 dan 1.035.
ROTI dilihat I ndikat or MACD m engindikasikan pola Upt rend dan St oc osc m engindikasikan pola Reversal.
Ent ry point
Exit point
St op Loss

: 1.070 — 1.075
: 1.095 ( 2.3% ) , 1.115 ( 4.2% )
: 1.050 ( - 1.9% )

SCMA - Daily 9/27/2018 4:08:00 PM Open 1820, Hi 1870, Lo 1820, Clos e 1860 (2.2%) MA(Clos e,50) = 1,986.30

3,000
2,900
2,800
2,700
2,600
2,500
2,400
2,300

2,200
2,100
2080
2030
2000
1965
1920
1880
1850
1795
1765
Dec
2018
Feb
SCMA - MACD(12,26) = -49.40, Signal(12,26,9) = -50.32

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

2,000
1,986.3
1,900
1,860
1,800

Sep
100
50

Dec
2018
Feb
SCMA - Stoch %K(15,3) = 28.23, Stoch %D(15,3,3) = 22.55

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

0
-49.4015
-50
-50.3234
-100

80

28.2261
20
22.5521
SCMA - RSI(15) = 44.68

SCM A : BUY ON W EAKN ESS
SCM A belum berhasil break Resist ance Trendline 1.880, SCM A berpeluang m enguj i Support 1.850, 1.820 dan 1.795. Nam un, j ika
SCM A berhasil break Resist ance 1.880, m aka SCM A akan m encoba Resist ance 1.900, 1.920 dan 1.965. SCM A dilihat I ndikator
St oc osc m engindikasikan pola Reversal.
Ent ry point
Exit point
St op Loss

: 1.850 — 1.860
: 1.900 ( 2.7% ) , 1.920 ( 3.8% )
: 1.820 ( - 1.6% )

w w w .sina r m a sse k u r it a s.co.id

Se e im por t a nt discla im e r a t t he e nd of t his r e por t

Pick s of Th e D a y
GGRM - Daily 9/27/2018 4:05:00 PM Open 73800, Hi 75000, Lo 73500, Clos e 75000 (3.1%) MA(Clos e,50) = 73,374.00
86,000

84,000

82,000

80,000

78,000
77500
77000
76550
75750
75250
74500
73625
72500
72025

76,000
75,000
74,000
73,374
72,000

71000
69925

70,000

68,000

66,000
Dec
2018
Feb
Mar
GGRM - MACD(12,26) = 255.16, Signal(12,26,9) = 228.20

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2,000
255.161 0
228.197
-2,000

Dec

2018

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

GGRM - Stoch %K(15,3) = 68.65, Stoch %D(15,3,3) = 64.59
80
68.6503
64.5862
20
70

GGRM - RSI(15) = 54.14

GGRM : TRAD I N G BUY
GGRM m encoba break Resistance Trendline 75.250 . Jika berhasil break 75.250, m aka GGRM berpeluang m elanj ut kan penguat an
m enguj i Resist ance 75.750 dan 76.550. Nam un, j ika GGRM gagal break Resist ance Trendline 75.250, m aka GGRM akan m encoba
Support 74.500, 74.000 dan 73.500. GGRM dilihat I ndikator MACD dan St oc osc m engindikasikan pola Golden Cross.
Ent ry point
Exit point
St op Loss

: 75.000 — 75.250
: 75.750 ( 1.0% ) , 76.550 ( 2.1% )
: 74.500 ( - 0.7% )

ANTM - Daily 9/27/2018 4:13:00 PM Open 805, Hi 845, Lo 805, Clos e 835 (3.7%) MA(Clos e,50) = 855.80
1,000

950

915
900

900

880
860

855.8

840

835

820
805
795
780
765
755

850

800

750

735
700

650

600
Dec

2018

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

ANTM - MACD(12,26) = -11.87, Signal(12,26,9) = -17.30

Dec
2018
Feb
ANTM - Stoch %K(15,3) = 72.22, Stoch %D(15,3,3) = 61.17

60

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

40
20
0
-11.8681
-20
-17.3042
80
72.2222
61.1744
20

ANTM - RSI(15) = 52.66

AN TM : TRAD I N G BUY
AN TM berhasil break Resist ance Trendline 845. AN TM berpeluang m elanj ut kan penguat an dengan m enguj i Resist ance 860, 880
dan 900. Nam un, j ika AN TM gagal break Resist ance 860, m aka AN TM akan m encoba Support 830, 820 dan 805. AN TM dilihat
I ndikator St oc osc dan MACD m engindikasikan pola Upt rend.
Ent ry point
Exit point
St op Loss

: 835 — 840
: 860 ( 3.0% ) , 880 ( 5.4% )
: 820 ( - 1.8% )

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Se e im por t a nt discla im e r a t t he e nd of t his r e por t

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research@sinarmassekuritas.co.id

paulina@sinarmassekuritas.co.id

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RESEARCH ASSOCIATE

Equity Research Team

Anthony Angkawijaya

HEAD OF RESEARCH

Construction, Petrochemical, Healthcare

Evan Lie Hadiwidjaja

Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 611

Banking, Automotive

anthony.angkawijaya@sinarmassekuritas.co.id

Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 615
evan.hadiwidjaja@sinarmassekuritas.co.id

RESEARCH ASSOCIATE
Kenji Fanata

DEPUTY HEAD OF RESEARCH

Telecommunication, Tobacco, Poultry, Media

Wilbert

Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 611

Consumer Goods, Plantation, Pulp and Paper

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wilbert@sinarmassekuritas.co.id

TECHNICAL ANALYST
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EQUITY ANALYST

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Commodities
Tel: +62 21 3925550 Ext: 610
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Richardson Raymond
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DISCLAIMER
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expressly disclaim any and all liability for representation or warranties, expressed or implied, here in or omission there from or for any loss how so ever
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