Analisis Pengaruh Keterbukaan Ekonomi Terhadap Produktivitas Tenaga Kerja di Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN-LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1
Data Penelitian
Tahun
Produktivitas
Tenaga Kerja
(juta rupiah)
Keterbukaan
Perdagangan
(US$)
PMA
(US$)
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
16296315,83
17520517,96
17014238,12
19208679,15
19633337,71
19163776,16
19348964,2
19368137,27
21411566,15
23377770,19
24160635,71
3367688000
5192768000
5741081000
6980888000
9192778000
12958042000
9184353000
12724026000
16836731000
15558687000
14706518000
184828310
199190680
131764940
606802640
931772860
300917080
241516750
321829190
658466720
645300000
887452000
PDRB
Harga
Konstan
(milyar
rupiah)
78805,61
83328,95
87897,8
93347,4
99792,27
106172,36
111559,22
118640,9
126587,62
134461,5
142537,12
Ekspor
(US$)
Impor
(US$)
Tenaga
Kerja
2687877000
4239409000
4563075000
5523901000
7082899000
9261977000
6460117000
9147778000
11883269000
10393936000
9598008000
679811000
953359000
1178006000
1456987000
2109879000
3696065000
2724236000
3576248000
4953462000
5164751000
5108510000
4835793
4756078
5166132
4859647
5082797
5540263
5765643
6125571
5912114
5751682
5899560
Lampiran 2
Hasil Regresi Linier
Dependent Variable: PROD
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:48
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
KP
PMA
C
0.000339
0.003464
14611906
8.78E-05
0.001388
827501.1
3.856591
2.495309
17.65787
0.0048
0.0372
0.0000
R-squared
0.850903
Adjusted R-squared 0.813629
S.E. of regression
1063302.
Sum squared resid
9.04E+12
Log likelihood
-166.5026
F-statistic
22.82819
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000494
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
19682176
2463016.
30.81866
30.92717
30.75025
1.552006
74
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3
Hasil Uji Multikolineritas
Variance Inflation Factors
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:50
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Variable
KP
PMA
C
Coefficient Uncentered Centered
Variance
VIF
VIF
7.71E-09
1.93E-06
6.85E+11
9.274135
5.485985
6.662186
1.438913
1.438913
NA
Lampiran 4
Hasil Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
2.310289
4.785649
Prob. F(2,6)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
0.1803
0.0914
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:51
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
KP
PMA
C
RESID(-1)
RESID(-2)
-4.94E-05
0.000548
-23094.44
-0.161042
-1.005336
8.70E-05
0.001336
719297.9
0.421152
0.476715
-0.568288
0.409861
-0.032107
-0.382384
-2.108883
0.5905
0.6961
0.9754
0.7154
0.0795
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
0.435059
0.058432
922842.3
5.11E+12
Mean dependent var -3.81E-10
S.D. dependent var
951046.1
Akaike info criterion 30.61126
Schwarz criterion
30.79212
75
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
-163.3619
1.155144
0.415636
Hannan-Quinn criter. 30.49725
Durbin-Watson stat
1.431332
Lampiran 5
Hasil Uji Normalitas
4
Series: Residuals
Sample 2003 2013
Observations 11
3
2
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
-3.81e-10
2079.224
1494978.
-1319086.
951046.1
0.125301
1.847872
Jarque-Bera
Probability
0.637176
0.727175
1
0
-1499995
-999995
-499995
5
500005
1000005
1500005
Lampiran 6
Hasil Uji Heterokedastisitas
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS
17.75943
10.41363
2.335053
Prob. F(5,5)
Prob. Chi-Square(5)
Prob. Chi-Square(5)
0.0034
0.0643
0.8011
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:52
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
1.69E+11
6.51E+11
0.259069
0.8059
76
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KP
KP^2
KP*PMA
PMA
PMA^2
123.5754
-3.30E-09
1.22E-07
-4816.386
4.69E-06
R-squared
0.946693
Adjusted R-squared 0.893387
S.E. of regression
2.59E+11
Sum squared resid
3.36E+23
Log likelihood
-300.3649
F-statistic
17.75943
Prob(F-statistic)
0.003363
149.0313 0.829191
1.11E-08 -0.296123
1.93E-07 0.633746
1947.686 -2.472876
2.44E-06 1.921272
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
0.4448
0.7790
0.5541
0.0563
0.1127
8.22E+11
7.94E+11
55.70271
55.91975
55.56590
2.043438
77
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 1
Data Penelitian
Tahun
Produktivitas
Tenaga Kerja
(juta rupiah)
Keterbukaan
Perdagangan
(US$)
PMA
(US$)
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
16296315,83
17520517,96
17014238,12
19208679,15
19633337,71
19163776,16
19348964,2
19368137,27
21411566,15
23377770,19
24160635,71
3367688000
5192768000
5741081000
6980888000
9192778000
12958042000
9184353000
12724026000
16836731000
15558687000
14706518000
184828310
199190680
131764940
606802640
931772860
300917080
241516750
321829190
658466720
645300000
887452000
PDRB
Harga
Konstan
(milyar
rupiah)
78805,61
83328,95
87897,8
93347,4
99792,27
106172,36
111559,22
118640,9
126587,62
134461,5
142537,12
Ekspor
(US$)
Impor
(US$)
Tenaga
Kerja
2687877000
4239409000
4563075000
5523901000
7082899000
9261977000
6460117000
9147778000
11883269000
10393936000
9598008000
679811000
953359000
1178006000
1456987000
2109879000
3696065000
2724236000
3576248000
4953462000
5164751000
5108510000
4835793
4756078
5166132
4859647
5082797
5540263
5765643
6125571
5912114
5751682
5899560
Lampiran 2
Hasil Regresi Linier
Dependent Variable: PROD
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:48
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
KP
PMA
C
0.000339
0.003464
14611906
8.78E-05
0.001388
827501.1
3.856591
2.495309
17.65787
0.0048
0.0372
0.0000
R-squared
0.850903
Adjusted R-squared 0.813629
S.E. of regression
1063302.
Sum squared resid
9.04E+12
Log likelihood
-166.5026
F-statistic
22.82819
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000494
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
19682176
2463016.
30.81866
30.92717
30.75025
1.552006
74
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3
Hasil Uji Multikolineritas
Variance Inflation Factors
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:50
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Variable
KP
PMA
C
Coefficient Uncentered Centered
Variance
VIF
VIF
7.71E-09
1.93E-06
6.85E+11
9.274135
5.485985
6.662186
1.438913
1.438913
NA
Lampiran 4
Hasil Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
2.310289
4.785649
Prob. F(2,6)
Prob. Chi-Square(2)
0.1803
0.0914
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:51
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
KP
PMA
C
RESID(-1)
RESID(-2)
-4.94E-05
0.000548
-23094.44
-0.161042
-1.005336
8.70E-05
0.001336
719297.9
0.421152
0.476715
-0.568288
0.409861
-0.032107
-0.382384
-2.108883
0.5905
0.6961
0.9754
0.7154
0.0795
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
0.435059
0.058432
922842.3
5.11E+12
Mean dependent var -3.81E-10
S.D. dependent var
951046.1
Akaike info criterion 30.61126
Schwarz criterion
30.79212
75
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
-163.3619
1.155144
0.415636
Hannan-Quinn criter. 30.49725
Durbin-Watson stat
1.431332
Lampiran 5
Hasil Uji Normalitas
4
Series: Residuals
Sample 2003 2013
Observations 11
3
2
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
-3.81e-10
2079.224
1494978.
-1319086.
951046.1
0.125301
1.847872
Jarque-Bera
Probability
0.637176
0.727175
1
0
-1499995
-999995
-499995
5
500005
1000005
1500005
Lampiran 6
Hasil Uji Heterokedastisitas
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic
Obs*R-squared
Scaled explained SS
17.75943
10.41363
2.335053
Prob. F(5,5)
Prob. Chi-Square(5)
Prob. Chi-Square(5)
0.0034
0.0643
0.8011
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:52
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
1.69E+11
6.51E+11
0.259069
0.8059
76
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KP
KP^2
KP*PMA
PMA
PMA^2
123.5754
-3.30E-09
1.22E-07
-4816.386
4.69E-06
R-squared
0.946693
Adjusted R-squared 0.893387
S.E. of regression
2.59E+11
Sum squared resid
3.36E+23
Log likelihood
-300.3649
F-statistic
17.75943
Prob(F-statistic)
0.003363
149.0313 0.829191
1.11E-08 -0.296123
1.93E-07 0.633746
1947.686 -2.472876
2.44E-06 1.921272
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
0.4448
0.7790
0.5541
0.0563
0.1127
8.22E+11
7.94E+11
55.70271
55.91975
55.56590
2.043438
77
Universitas Sumatera Utara