Analisis kausalitas antara Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) dan Kemiskinan Provinsi-Provinsi di Indonesia
LAMPIRAN I
Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Menurut Provinsi Tahun 2004-2012
Provinsi
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Aceh
68.70
69.00
69.41 70.35
70.76
71.31
71.70
72.16
72.51
Sumatera Utara
71.40
72.00
72.46 72.78
73.29
73.80
74.19
74.65
75.13
Sumatera Barat
70.50
72.20
70.10
69.60
69.90
68.40
71.20
73.60
71.00
70.20
71.10
68.80
71.65 72.23 72.96 73.44
73.81 74.63 75.09
75.6
71.29 71.46 71.99 72.45
71.09 71.40 72.05 72.61
71.28 71.57 72.14 72.55
69.38 69.78
70.3 70.93
73.78
76.07
72.74
72.95
72.92
71.42
74.28
76.53
73.3
73.42
73.4
71.94
74.70
76.90
73.78
73.99
73.93
72.45
69.60
70.80
75.80
69.10
68.90
72.90
66.80
67.90
69.10
70.70
72.20
76.10
69.93
69.78
73.50
68.40
68.80
69.80
71.18
72.79
76.33
70.32
70.25
73.70
69.18
69.11
70.07
71.62
73.68
76.59
70.71
70.92
74.15
69.78
69.29
70.53
72.19
74.18
77.03
71.12
71.6
74.88
70.38
69.7
70.98
72.55
74.54
77.36
71.64
72.1
75.23
71.06
70.06
71.52
72.86
75.07
77.60
72.29
72.49
75.77
71.62
70.48
72.28
73.37
75.78
77.97
72.73
72.94
76.32
72.18
70.95
72.84
73.78
76.20
78.33
73.11
73.36
76.75
72.83
71.49
73.49
60.60
62.40
63.04
63.71
64.12
64.66
65.20
66.23
66.89
62.70
65.40
71.70
66.70
72.20
73.40
67.30
67.80
66.70
65.40
64.40
69.00
63.60
66.20
73.20
67.40
72.90
74.20
68.50
68.10
67.50
67.50
65.70
69.20
64.83
67.08
73.40
67.75
73.26
74.37
68.85
68.81
67.80
68.01
67.06
69.69
65.36
67.53
73.49
68.01
73.77
74.68
69.34
69.62
68.32
68.83
67.72
69.96
66.15
68.17
73.88
68.72
74.42
75.16
70.09
69.62
69.0
69.29
68.55
70.38
66.6
68.79
74.36
69.3
75.11
75.16
70.7
70.94
69.52
69.79
69.18
70.96
67.26
69.15
74.64
69.92
75.56
76.09
71.14
71.62
70.0
70.28
69.64
71.42
67.75
69.66
75.06
70.44
76.22
76.54
71.62
72.14
70.55
70.82
70.11
71.94
68.28
70.31
75.46
71.08
76.71
76.95
72.14
72.7
71.05
71.31
70.73
72.42
Riau
Jambi
Sumatera Selatan
Bengkulu
Lampung
Kep. Bangka
Belitung
Kepulauan Riau
DKI Jakarta
Jawa Barat
Jawa Tengah
Yogyakarta
Jawa Timur
Banten
Bali
Nusa Tenggara
Barat
Nusa Tenggara
Timur
Kalimantan Barat
Kalimantan Tengah
Kalimantan Selatan
Kalimantan Timur
Sulawesi Utara
Sulawesi Tengah
Sulawesi Selatan
Sulawesi Tenggara
Gorontalo
Sulawesi Barat
Maluku
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Maluku Utara
Papua Barat
Papua
INDONESIA
66.40
63.70
60.90
68.70
67.00
64.80
62.10
69.60
67.51
66.08
62.75
70.10
67.82
67.28
63.41
70.59
68.18
67.95
64.0
71.17
68.63
68.58
64.53
71.76
69.03
69.15
64.94
72.27
69.47
69.65
65.36
72.77
69.98
70.22
65.86
73.29
LAMPIRAN 2
Jumlah Penduduk Miskin Menurut Provinsi tahun 2004-2012
Provinsi
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Aceh
2004.00
1166.40
1149.70
1 083,70
892.90
861.90
894.810
876.60
Sumatera Utara
1116.70
1840.20
1897.10
1 768,50
959.70
1
613,8
1 499,7
1 490,90
1 481,31
1378.40
Sumatera Barat
304.60
482.80
578.80
529.20
477.20
429.30
430.00
442.090
397.90
Riau
583.90
600.40
564.90
574.50
566.70
527.50
500.30
482.050
481.30
Jambi
194.30
317.80
304.60
281.90
249.70
241.60
272.670
270.10
Sumatera Selatan
924.20
1429.00
1446.90
1 331,8
260.30
1
249,6
1 167,9
1 125,70
1 298,71
1042.00
Bengkulu
232.30
361.20
360.00
370.60
Lampung
Kep. Bangka
Belitung
1244.40
1572.60
1638.00
58.80
95.30
Kepulauan Riau
133.40
DKI Jakarta
324.10
324.90
72.060
310.50
1 661,7
352.00
1
591,6
1 558,3
1 479,90
129.560
1219.00
117.40
95.10
86.70
76.60
67.80
363.420
70.20
148.00
163.00
148.40
136.40
128.20
129.70
4 648,63
131.20
225.70
316.20
407.10
405.70
323.20
312.20
363.420
366.80
Jawa Barat
2411.00
5137.60
5712.50
5457.90
4 983,6
4 773,70
4 648,63
4421.50
Jawa Tengah
4497.30
6533.50
7100.60
6557.20
379.60
5
322,4
6
189,6
5 725,7
5 369,20
5 107,36
4863.40
Yogyakarta
314.80
625.80
648.70
633.50
Jawa Timur
5081.90
7139.90
7678.10
Banten
499.30
830.50
Bali
Nusa Tenggara
Barat
Nusa Tenggara
Timur
144.90
228.40
1029.40
1171.20
Kalimantan Barat
414.40
Kalimantan Tengah
585.80
577.30
560.880
562.10
7 155,3
616.30
6
651,3
6 022,6
5 529,30
5 356,21
4960.50
904.30
886.20
816.70
788.10
758.20
690.490
648.30
243.40
229.10
215.70
181.70
174.90
166.230
161.00
1 118,6
1
080,6
1 050,9
1 009,40
894.770
828.30
1273.90
1 163,6
1
098,3
1 013,1
1 014,10
1 012,90
1000.30
629.80
626.70
584.30
508.80
434.80
428.80
380.110
355.70
161.10
230.90
212.80
210.30
200.00
165.90
164.20
146.910
141.90
Kalimantan Selatan
167.50
235.70
278.40
233.50
218.90
176.00
182.00
194.620
189.20
Kalimantan Timur
233.90
299.10
335.40
324.80
286.40
239.20
243.00
247.900
246.10
Sulawesi Utara
156.30
201.40
249.40
250.10
223.50
219.60
206.70
194.900
177.50
Sulawesi Tengah
415.80
527.50
553.50
557.40
489.80
475.00
423.630
409.60
Sulawesi Selatan
1089.30
1280.60
1112.00
1 083,4
524.70
1
031,7
963.60
913.40
832.910
805.90
539.10
1136.50
1156.10
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Sulawesi Tenggara
380.40
450.50
466.80
465.40
435.90
434.30
400.70
330.000
304.30
Gorontalo
215.40
255.00
273.80
241.90
221.60
224.60
209.90
198.270
187.70
Sulawesi Barat
237.30
221.50
205.20
189.90
171.10
158.20
141.30
164.860
160.60
Maluku
356.50
411.50
418.60
404.70
391.30
380.00
378.60
360.320
338.90
Maluku Utara
83.90
118.60
116.80
109.90
105.10
98.00
91.10
97.310
88.30
Papua Barat
320.65
302.28
284.10
266.80
246.50
256.80
256.30
249.840
223.20
Papua
917.70
1028.20
816.70
793.40
733.10
760.30
761.60
944.790
976.40
26690.15
36802.10
39295.30
37 168,3
34
963,3
32
530,0
31
023,40
30 018,93
28594.60
INDONESIA
Lampiran 4
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Null Hypothesis: Unit root (individual unit root process)
Series: IPM_NAD, IPM_SUMUT, IPM_SUMBAR, IPM_RIAU, IPM_JAMBI,
IPM_SUMSEL, IPM_BENGKULU, IPM_LAMPUNG, IPM_KPBANGKA,
IPM_KPBALI, IPM_DKIJAKARTA, IPM_JABAR, IPM_JATENG,
IPM_YOGYAKARTA, IPM_JATIM, IPM_BANTEN, IPM_BALI, IPM_NTB,
IPM_NTT, IPM_KALBAR, IPM_KALTENG, IPM_KALSEL, IPM_KALTIM,
IPM_SULUT, IPM_SULTENG, IPM_SULSEL, IPM_SULTRA,
IPM_GORONTALO, IPM_SULBAR, IPM_MALUKU, IPM_MALUT,
IPM_PAPBAR, IPM_PAUA
Date: 06/26/14 Time: 19:53
Sample: 2004 2012
Exogenous variables: Individual effects
Automatic selection of maximum lags
Automatic selection of lags based on AIC: 0 to 1
Total number of observations: 223
Cross-sections included: 29 (4 dropped)
Method
ADF - Fisher Chi-square
ADF - Choi Z-stat
Statistic
79.6848
-0.88743
Prob.**
0.0310
0.1874
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi
-square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Intermediate ADF test results IPM?
Series
IPM_NAD
IPM_SUMUT
IPM_SUMBAR
IPM_RIAU
IPM_JAMBI
IPM_SUMSEL
IPM_BENGKULU
Prob.
0.8433
0.8005
0.3266
0.0920
0.3912
0.2975
0.4631
Lag
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
Max Lag
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Obs
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
Universitas Sumatera Utara
IPM_LAMPUNG
IPM_KPBANGKA
IPM_KPBALI
IPM_DKIJAKARTA
IPM_JABAR
IPM_JATENG
IPM_YOGYAKART
A
IPM_JATIM
IPM_BANTEN
IPM_BALI
IPM_NTB
IPM_NTT
IPM_KALBAR
IPM_KALTENG
IPM_KALSEL
IPM_KALTIM
IPM_SULUT
IPM_SULTENG
IPM_SULSEL
IPM_SULTRA
IPM_GORONTALO
IPM_SULBAR
IPM_MALUKU
IPM_MALUT
IPM_PAPBAR
IPM_PAUA
0.1012
0.9476
0.1012
0.9997
0.3795
0.0896
0.3298
0.2512
0.0929
0.9056
0.9843
0.0915
0.3754
0.0371
0.2577
0.1257
0.9963
0.8076
0.0076
0.0994
0.8076
0.0994
0
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
1
0
1
8
1
1
7
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Dropped from Test
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
8
8
8
7
7
7
8
8
8
8
1
8
Lampiran 5
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Kemiskinan
Null Hypothesis: Unit root (individual unit root process)
Series: PO_NAD, PO_SUMUT, PO_SUMBAR, PO_RIAU, PO_JAMBI,
PO_SUMSEL, PO_BENGKULU, PO_LAMPUNG, PO_KPBANGKA,
PO_KPBALI, PO_DKIJAKARTA, PO_JABAR, PO_JATENG,
PO_YOGYAKARTA, PO_JATIM, PO_BANTEN, PO_BALI, PO_NTB,
PO_NTT, PO_KALBAR, PO_KALTENG, PO_KALSEL, PO_KALTIM,
PO_SULUT, PO_SULTENG, PO_SULSEL, PO_SULTRA,
PO_GORONTALO, PO_SULBAR, PO_MALUKU, PO_MALUT,
PO_PAPBAR, PO_PAUA
Date: 06/26/14 Time: 19:52
Sample: 2004 2012
Exogenous variables: Individual effects
Automatic selection of maximum lags
Automatic selection of lags based on AIC: 0 to 1
Total number of observations: 226
Cross-sections included: 29 (4 dropped)
Method
ADF - Fisher Chi-square
ADF - Choi Z-stat
Statistic
108.282
-4.90214
Prob.**
0.0001
0.0000
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi
-square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Intermediate ADF test results PO?
Series
PO_NAD
PO_SUMUT
PO_SUMBAR
PO_RIAU
PO_JAMBI
PO_SUMSEL
PO_BENGKULU
PO_LAMPUNG
PO_KPBANGKA
PO_KPBALI
PO_DKIJAKARTA
PO_JABAR
PO_JATENG
PO_YOGYAKART
A
PO_JATIM
PO_BANTEN
PO_BALI
PO_NTB
PO_NTT
PO_KALBAR
PO_KALTENG
PO_KALSEL
PO_KALTIM
PO_SULUT
PO_SULTENG
PO_SULSEL
PO_SULTRA
PO_GORONTALO
PO_SULBAR
PO_MALUKU
PO_MALUT
PO_PAPBAR
PO_PAUA
Prob.
0.0977
0.5139
0.0841
0.0646
0.0901
0.5193
0.0489
0.4929
0.5062
0.0831
0.0768
0.1005
0.4916
0.4955
0.4638
0.5151
0.4679
0.0843
0.0827
0.1172
0.0770
0.0816
0.4100
0.0885
0.0831
0.0878
0.0999
0.0831
0.0999
Lag
Max Lag
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Dropped from Test
0
Obs
8
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
8
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
1
8
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Menurut Provinsi Tahun 2004-2012
Provinsi
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Aceh
68.70
69.00
69.41 70.35
70.76
71.31
71.70
72.16
72.51
Sumatera Utara
71.40
72.00
72.46 72.78
73.29
73.80
74.19
74.65
75.13
Sumatera Barat
70.50
72.20
70.10
69.60
69.90
68.40
71.20
73.60
71.00
70.20
71.10
68.80
71.65 72.23 72.96 73.44
73.81 74.63 75.09
75.6
71.29 71.46 71.99 72.45
71.09 71.40 72.05 72.61
71.28 71.57 72.14 72.55
69.38 69.78
70.3 70.93
73.78
76.07
72.74
72.95
72.92
71.42
74.28
76.53
73.3
73.42
73.4
71.94
74.70
76.90
73.78
73.99
73.93
72.45
69.60
70.80
75.80
69.10
68.90
72.90
66.80
67.90
69.10
70.70
72.20
76.10
69.93
69.78
73.50
68.40
68.80
69.80
71.18
72.79
76.33
70.32
70.25
73.70
69.18
69.11
70.07
71.62
73.68
76.59
70.71
70.92
74.15
69.78
69.29
70.53
72.19
74.18
77.03
71.12
71.6
74.88
70.38
69.7
70.98
72.55
74.54
77.36
71.64
72.1
75.23
71.06
70.06
71.52
72.86
75.07
77.60
72.29
72.49
75.77
71.62
70.48
72.28
73.37
75.78
77.97
72.73
72.94
76.32
72.18
70.95
72.84
73.78
76.20
78.33
73.11
73.36
76.75
72.83
71.49
73.49
60.60
62.40
63.04
63.71
64.12
64.66
65.20
66.23
66.89
62.70
65.40
71.70
66.70
72.20
73.40
67.30
67.80
66.70
65.40
64.40
69.00
63.60
66.20
73.20
67.40
72.90
74.20
68.50
68.10
67.50
67.50
65.70
69.20
64.83
67.08
73.40
67.75
73.26
74.37
68.85
68.81
67.80
68.01
67.06
69.69
65.36
67.53
73.49
68.01
73.77
74.68
69.34
69.62
68.32
68.83
67.72
69.96
66.15
68.17
73.88
68.72
74.42
75.16
70.09
69.62
69.0
69.29
68.55
70.38
66.6
68.79
74.36
69.3
75.11
75.16
70.7
70.94
69.52
69.79
69.18
70.96
67.26
69.15
74.64
69.92
75.56
76.09
71.14
71.62
70.0
70.28
69.64
71.42
67.75
69.66
75.06
70.44
76.22
76.54
71.62
72.14
70.55
70.82
70.11
71.94
68.28
70.31
75.46
71.08
76.71
76.95
72.14
72.7
71.05
71.31
70.73
72.42
Riau
Jambi
Sumatera Selatan
Bengkulu
Lampung
Kep. Bangka
Belitung
Kepulauan Riau
DKI Jakarta
Jawa Barat
Jawa Tengah
Yogyakarta
Jawa Timur
Banten
Bali
Nusa Tenggara
Barat
Nusa Tenggara
Timur
Kalimantan Barat
Kalimantan Tengah
Kalimantan Selatan
Kalimantan Timur
Sulawesi Utara
Sulawesi Tengah
Sulawesi Selatan
Sulawesi Tenggara
Gorontalo
Sulawesi Barat
Maluku
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Maluku Utara
Papua Barat
Papua
INDONESIA
66.40
63.70
60.90
68.70
67.00
64.80
62.10
69.60
67.51
66.08
62.75
70.10
67.82
67.28
63.41
70.59
68.18
67.95
64.0
71.17
68.63
68.58
64.53
71.76
69.03
69.15
64.94
72.27
69.47
69.65
65.36
72.77
69.98
70.22
65.86
73.29
LAMPIRAN 2
Jumlah Penduduk Miskin Menurut Provinsi tahun 2004-2012
Provinsi
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Aceh
2004.00
1166.40
1149.70
1 083,70
892.90
861.90
894.810
876.60
Sumatera Utara
1116.70
1840.20
1897.10
1 768,50
959.70
1
613,8
1 499,7
1 490,90
1 481,31
1378.40
Sumatera Barat
304.60
482.80
578.80
529.20
477.20
429.30
430.00
442.090
397.90
Riau
583.90
600.40
564.90
574.50
566.70
527.50
500.30
482.050
481.30
Jambi
194.30
317.80
304.60
281.90
249.70
241.60
272.670
270.10
Sumatera Selatan
924.20
1429.00
1446.90
1 331,8
260.30
1
249,6
1 167,9
1 125,70
1 298,71
1042.00
Bengkulu
232.30
361.20
360.00
370.60
Lampung
Kep. Bangka
Belitung
1244.40
1572.60
1638.00
58.80
95.30
Kepulauan Riau
133.40
DKI Jakarta
324.10
324.90
72.060
310.50
1 661,7
352.00
1
591,6
1 558,3
1 479,90
129.560
1219.00
117.40
95.10
86.70
76.60
67.80
363.420
70.20
148.00
163.00
148.40
136.40
128.20
129.70
4 648,63
131.20
225.70
316.20
407.10
405.70
323.20
312.20
363.420
366.80
Jawa Barat
2411.00
5137.60
5712.50
5457.90
4 983,6
4 773,70
4 648,63
4421.50
Jawa Tengah
4497.30
6533.50
7100.60
6557.20
379.60
5
322,4
6
189,6
5 725,7
5 369,20
5 107,36
4863.40
Yogyakarta
314.80
625.80
648.70
633.50
Jawa Timur
5081.90
7139.90
7678.10
Banten
499.30
830.50
Bali
Nusa Tenggara
Barat
Nusa Tenggara
Timur
144.90
228.40
1029.40
1171.20
Kalimantan Barat
414.40
Kalimantan Tengah
585.80
577.30
560.880
562.10
7 155,3
616.30
6
651,3
6 022,6
5 529,30
5 356,21
4960.50
904.30
886.20
816.70
788.10
758.20
690.490
648.30
243.40
229.10
215.70
181.70
174.90
166.230
161.00
1 118,6
1
080,6
1 050,9
1 009,40
894.770
828.30
1273.90
1 163,6
1
098,3
1 013,1
1 014,10
1 012,90
1000.30
629.80
626.70
584.30
508.80
434.80
428.80
380.110
355.70
161.10
230.90
212.80
210.30
200.00
165.90
164.20
146.910
141.90
Kalimantan Selatan
167.50
235.70
278.40
233.50
218.90
176.00
182.00
194.620
189.20
Kalimantan Timur
233.90
299.10
335.40
324.80
286.40
239.20
243.00
247.900
246.10
Sulawesi Utara
156.30
201.40
249.40
250.10
223.50
219.60
206.70
194.900
177.50
Sulawesi Tengah
415.80
527.50
553.50
557.40
489.80
475.00
423.630
409.60
Sulawesi Selatan
1089.30
1280.60
1112.00
1 083,4
524.70
1
031,7
963.60
913.40
832.910
805.90
539.10
1136.50
1156.10
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Sulawesi Tenggara
380.40
450.50
466.80
465.40
435.90
434.30
400.70
330.000
304.30
Gorontalo
215.40
255.00
273.80
241.90
221.60
224.60
209.90
198.270
187.70
Sulawesi Barat
237.30
221.50
205.20
189.90
171.10
158.20
141.30
164.860
160.60
Maluku
356.50
411.50
418.60
404.70
391.30
380.00
378.60
360.320
338.90
Maluku Utara
83.90
118.60
116.80
109.90
105.10
98.00
91.10
97.310
88.30
Papua Barat
320.65
302.28
284.10
266.80
246.50
256.80
256.30
249.840
223.20
Papua
917.70
1028.20
816.70
793.40
733.10
760.30
761.60
944.790
976.40
26690.15
36802.10
39295.30
37 168,3
34
963,3
32
530,0
31
023,40
30 018,93
28594.60
INDONESIA
Lampiran 4
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Null Hypothesis: Unit root (individual unit root process)
Series: IPM_NAD, IPM_SUMUT, IPM_SUMBAR, IPM_RIAU, IPM_JAMBI,
IPM_SUMSEL, IPM_BENGKULU, IPM_LAMPUNG, IPM_KPBANGKA,
IPM_KPBALI, IPM_DKIJAKARTA, IPM_JABAR, IPM_JATENG,
IPM_YOGYAKARTA, IPM_JATIM, IPM_BANTEN, IPM_BALI, IPM_NTB,
IPM_NTT, IPM_KALBAR, IPM_KALTENG, IPM_KALSEL, IPM_KALTIM,
IPM_SULUT, IPM_SULTENG, IPM_SULSEL, IPM_SULTRA,
IPM_GORONTALO, IPM_SULBAR, IPM_MALUKU, IPM_MALUT,
IPM_PAPBAR, IPM_PAUA
Date: 06/26/14 Time: 19:53
Sample: 2004 2012
Exogenous variables: Individual effects
Automatic selection of maximum lags
Automatic selection of lags based on AIC: 0 to 1
Total number of observations: 223
Cross-sections included: 29 (4 dropped)
Method
ADF - Fisher Chi-square
ADF - Choi Z-stat
Statistic
79.6848
-0.88743
Prob.**
0.0310
0.1874
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi
-square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Intermediate ADF test results IPM?
Series
IPM_NAD
IPM_SUMUT
IPM_SUMBAR
IPM_RIAU
IPM_JAMBI
IPM_SUMSEL
IPM_BENGKULU
Prob.
0.8433
0.8005
0.3266
0.0920
0.3912
0.2975
0.4631
Lag
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
Max Lag
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Obs
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
Universitas Sumatera Utara
IPM_LAMPUNG
IPM_KPBANGKA
IPM_KPBALI
IPM_DKIJAKARTA
IPM_JABAR
IPM_JATENG
IPM_YOGYAKART
A
IPM_JATIM
IPM_BANTEN
IPM_BALI
IPM_NTB
IPM_NTT
IPM_KALBAR
IPM_KALTENG
IPM_KALSEL
IPM_KALTIM
IPM_SULUT
IPM_SULTENG
IPM_SULSEL
IPM_SULTRA
IPM_GORONTALO
IPM_SULBAR
IPM_MALUKU
IPM_MALUT
IPM_PAPBAR
IPM_PAUA
0.1012
0.9476
0.1012
0.9997
0.3795
0.0896
0.3298
0.2512
0.0929
0.9056
0.9843
0.0915
0.3754
0.0371
0.2577
0.1257
0.9963
0.8076
0.0076
0.0994
0.8076
0.0994
0
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
1
0
1
8
1
1
7
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Dropped from Test
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
8
8
8
7
7
7
8
8
8
8
1
8
Lampiran 5
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Kemiskinan
Null Hypothesis: Unit root (individual unit root process)
Series: PO_NAD, PO_SUMUT, PO_SUMBAR, PO_RIAU, PO_JAMBI,
PO_SUMSEL, PO_BENGKULU, PO_LAMPUNG, PO_KPBANGKA,
PO_KPBALI, PO_DKIJAKARTA, PO_JABAR, PO_JATENG,
PO_YOGYAKARTA, PO_JATIM, PO_BANTEN, PO_BALI, PO_NTB,
PO_NTT, PO_KALBAR, PO_KALTENG, PO_KALSEL, PO_KALTIM,
PO_SULUT, PO_SULTENG, PO_SULSEL, PO_SULTRA,
PO_GORONTALO, PO_SULBAR, PO_MALUKU, PO_MALUT,
PO_PAPBAR, PO_PAUA
Date: 06/26/14 Time: 19:52
Sample: 2004 2012
Exogenous variables: Individual effects
Automatic selection of maximum lags
Automatic selection of lags based on AIC: 0 to 1
Total number of observations: 226
Cross-sections included: 29 (4 dropped)
Method
ADF - Fisher Chi-square
ADF - Choi Z-stat
Statistic
108.282
-4.90214
Prob.**
0.0001
0.0000
** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi
-square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Intermediate ADF test results PO?
Series
PO_NAD
PO_SUMUT
PO_SUMBAR
PO_RIAU
PO_JAMBI
PO_SUMSEL
PO_BENGKULU
PO_LAMPUNG
PO_KPBANGKA
PO_KPBALI
PO_DKIJAKARTA
PO_JABAR
PO_JATENG
PO_YOGYAKART
A
PO_JATIM
PO_BANTEN
PO_BALI
PO_NTB
PO_NTT
PO_KALBAR
PO_KALTENG
PO_KALSEL
PO_KALTIM
PO_SULUT
PO_SULTENG
PO_SULSEL
PO_SULTRA
PO_GORONTALO
PO_SULBAR
PO_MALUKU
PO_MALUT
PO_PAPBAR
PO_PAUA
Prob.
0.0977
0.5139
0.0841
0.0646
0.0901
0.5193
0.0489
0.4929
0.5062
0.0831
0.0768
0.1005
0.4916
0.4955
0.4638
0.5151
0.4679
0.0843
0.0827
0.1172
0.0770
0.0816
0.4100
0.0885
0.0831
0.0878
0.0999
0.0831
0.0999
Lag
Max Lag
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
Dropped from Test
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Dropped from Test
0
Obs
8
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
8
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
1
8
Universitas Sumatera Utara